• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum likelihood model

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The restricted maximum likelihood estimation of a censored regression model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2017
  • It is well known in a small sample that the maximum likelihood (ML) approach for variance components in the general linear model yields estimates that are biased downward. The ML estimate of residual variance tends to be downwardly biased. The underestimation of residual variance, which has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard error of estimates, seems to be more serious in some limited dependent variable models, as shown by some researchers. An alternative frequentist's approach may be restricted or residual maximum likelihood (REML), which accounts for the loss in degrees of freedom and gives an unbiased estimate of residual variance. In this situation, the REML estimator is derived in a censored regression model. A small sample the REML is shown to provide proper inference on regression coefficients.

A Robust Estimation for the Composite Lognormal-Pareto Model

  • Pak, Ro Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2013
  • Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto model to analyze loss payment data in the actuarial and insurance industries. Their model is based on a lognormal density up to an unknown threshold value and a two-parameter Pareto density. In this paper, we implement the minimum density power divergence estimation for the composite lognormal-Pareto density. We compare the performances of the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) by simulations and an example. The minimum density power divergence estimator performs reasonably well against various violations in the distribution. The minimum density power divergence estimator better fits small observations and better resists against extraordinary large observations than the maximum likelihood estimator.

New generalized inverse Weibull distribution for lifetime modeling

  • Khan, Muhammad Shuaib;King, Robert
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces the four parameter new generalized inverse Weibull distribution and investigates the potential usefulness of this model with application to reliability data from engineering studies. The new extended model has upside-down hazard rate function and provides an alternative to existing lifetime distributions. Various structural properties of the new distribution are derived that include explicit expressions for the moments, moment generating function, quantile function and the moments of order statistics. The estimation of model parameters are performed by the method of maximum likelihood and evaluate the performance of maximum likelihood estimation using simulation.

Bayesian Inference for Censored Panel Regression Model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Choi, Byongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2014
  • It was recognized by some researchers that the disturbance variance in a censored regression model is frequently underestimated by the maximum likelihood method. This underestimation has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard errors. For instance, the actual coverage probability of the confidence interval based on a maximum likelihood estimate can be significantly smaller than the nominal confidence level; consequently, a Bayesian estimation is considered to overcome this difficulty. The behaviors of the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators of disturbance variance are examined in a fixed effects panel regression model with a limited dependent variable, which is known to have the incidental parameter problem. Behavior under random effect assumption is also investigated.

Parameter estimation of an extended inverse power Lomax distribution with Type I right censored data

  • Hassan, Amal S.;Nassr, Said G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we introduce an extended form of the inverse power Lomax model via Marshall-Olkin approach. We call it the Marshall-Olkin inverse power Lomax (MOIPL) distribution. The four- parameter MOIPL distribution is very flexible which contains some former and new models. Vital properties of the MOIPL distribution are affirmed. Maximum likelihood estimators and approximate confidence intervals are considered under Type I censored samples. Maximum likelihood estimates are evaluated according to simulation study. Bayesian estimators as well as Bayesian credible intervals under symmetric loss function are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Finally, the flexibility of the new model is analyzed by means of two real data sets. It is found that the MOIPL model provides closer fits than some other models based on the selected criteria.

비정규 오차를 고려한 자기회귀모형의 추정법 및 예측성능에 관한 연구 (A Study of Estimation Method for Auto-Regressive Model with Non-Normal Error and Its Prediction Accuracy)

  • 임보미;박정술;김준석;김성식;백준걸
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.

A new model based on Lomax distribution

  • Alshingiti, Arwa M.;Kayid, M.;Aldossary, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2014
  • In this article, a new model based on Lomax distribution is introduced. This new model is both useful and practical in areas such as economic, reliability and life testing. Some statistical properties of this model are presented including moments, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, mean residual life and mean inactivity time functions, among others. It is also shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered with respect to the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. The method of moment and maximum likelihood estimation are used to estimates the unknown parameters. Simulation is utilized to calculate the unknown shape parameter and to study its properties. Finally, to illustrate the concepts, the appropriateness of the new model for real data sets are included.

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Length-biased Rayleigh distribution: reliability analysis, estimation of the parameter, and applications

  • Kayid, M.;Alshingiti, Arwa M.;Aldossary, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2013
  • In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

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Statistical Inference of Some Semi-Markov Reliability Models

  • Alwasel, I.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.167-182
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this paper is to discuss the stochastic analysis and the statistical inference of a three-states semi-Markov reliability model. Using the maximum likelihood procedure, the parameters included in this model are estimated. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system are gener-alized Weibull random variables, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Then, the distribution of the first passage time of this system is derived. Many important special cases are discussed. Finally, the obtained results are compared with those available in the literature.

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Generalized Maximum Likelihood Estimation in a Multistate Stochastic Model

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 1989
  • Multistate survival data with censoring often arise in biomedical experiments. In particular, a four-state space is used for cancer clinical trials. In a four-state space, each patient may either respond to a given treatment and then relapse or may progress without responding. In this four-state space, a model which combines the Markov and semi-Markov models is proposed. In this combined model, the generalized maximum likelihood estimators of the Markov and semi-Markov hazard functions are derived. These estimators are illustrated for the data collected in a study of treatments for advanced breast cancer.

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