• 제목/요약/키워드: time to failure

검색결과 4,045건 처리시간 0.031초

THERMAL AND STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF CALANDRIA VESSEL OF A PHWR DURING A SEVERE ACCIDENT

  • Kulkarni, P.P.;Prasad, S.V.;Nayak, A.K.;Vijayan, P.K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.469-476
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    • 2013
  • In a postulated severe core damage accident in a PHWR, multiple failures of core cooling systems may lead to the collapse of pressure tubes and calandria tubes, which may ultimately relocate inside the calandria vessel forming a terminal debris bed. The debris bed, which may reach high temperatures due to the decay heat, is cooled by the moderator in the calandria. With time, the moderator is evaporated and after some time, a hot dry debris bed is formed. The debris bed transfers heat to the calandria vault water which acts as the ultimate heat sink. However, the questions remain: how long would the vault water be an ultimate heat sink, and what would be the failure mode of the calandria vessel if the heat sink capability of the reactor vault water is lost? In the present study, a numerical analysis is performed to evaluate the thermal loads and the stresses in the calandria vessel following the above accident scenario. The heat transfer from the molten corium pool to the surrounding is assumed to be by a combination of radiation, conduction, and convection from the calandria vessel wall to the vault water. From the temperature distribution in the vessel wall, the transient thermal loads have been evaluated. The strain rate and the vessel failure have been evaluated for the above scenario.

Parameter Estimation and Comparison for SRGMs and ARIMA Model in Software Failure Data

  • Song, Kwang Yoon;Chang, In Hong;Lee, Dong Su
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2014
  • As the requirement on the quality of the system has increased, the reliability is very important part in terms of enhance stability and to provide high quality services to customers. Many statistical models have been developed in the past years for the estimation of software reliability. We consider the functions for NHPP software reliability model and time series model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from three data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from three data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual three data sets using the NHPP software reliability model and time series model.

메타모델을 이용한 복합재료 구조물의 최적 설계 (Optimum Design of Composite Structures using Metamodels)

  • 이재훈;강지호;홍창선;김천곤
    • Composites Research
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 메타모델을 이용한 복합재 구조물의 지적화가 수행되었다. 일반적으로 복합재 구조물에서 시간이 오래 걸리는 해석의 결과를 최적화하고자 할 때 전체 최적화에 많은 시간이 든다. 따라서 이와 같은 구조물 해석을 메타 모델로 치환해 보았다. 본 연구에서는 RSM, kriging과 같은 메타모델을 사용하였다. 복합재 평판의 최종 파손 강도 해석을 메타모델을 이용해 근사화하였다 최종 파손 강도를 최대화하는 최적화를 유전자 알고리즘과 메타로델을 이용해 수행하였다.

Warranty Analysis Based on Different Lengths of Warranty Periods

  • Park, Min-Jae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2011
  • Global companies can sell their products with dierent warranty periods based on location and times. Customers can select the length of warranty on their own if they pay an additional fee. In this paper, we consider the warranty period and the repair time limit as random variables. A two-dimensional warranty policy is considered with repair times and failure times. The repair times are considered within the repair time limit and the failure times are considered within the warranty period. Under the non-renewable warranty policy, we obtain the expected number of warranty services and their variances in the censored area by warranty period and repair time limit to conduct a warranty cost analysis. Numerical examples are discussed to demonstrate the applicability of the methodologies and results using field data based on the proposed approach in the paper.

지수 수명분포에 대한 Bayesian 합격판정 샘플링계획의 개발 및 비교에 관한 연구 (Development and Comparisons of Bayesian Acceptance Sampling Plans for the Exponential Lifetime Distribution)

  • 정현석;진휘철;염봉진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1994
  • The Bayesian approach to reliability acceptance sampling has several advantages over the non-Bayesian approach. For instance, the former usually requires less amount of testing time and smaller sample sizes than the latter. In this article, a Bayesian acceptance sampling plan(ASP) based on a failure-free period life test is developed under the assumption of exponential lifetime distribution, and is compared with the corresponding Bayesian hybrid ASP in terms of the expected completion time. It is found that the proposed ASP tends to have a smaller expected completion time than the Bayesian hybrid ASP as the prior assessment of the reliability of a lot becomes optimistic, and vice versa. Tables of failure-free period Bayesian ASP's are also included.

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Regression models generated by gamma random variables with long-term survivors

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Hashimoto, Elizabeth M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.43-65
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    • 2017
  • We propose a flexible cure rate survival model by assuming that the number of competing causes of the event of interest has the Poisson distribution and the time for the event follows the gamma-G family of distributions. The extended family of gamma-G failure-time models with long-term survivors is flexible enough to include many commonly used failure-time distributions as special cases. We consider a frequentist analysis for parameter estimation and derive appropriate matrices to assess local influence on the parameters. Further, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings, sample sizes and censoring percentages. We illustrate the performance of the proposed regression model by means of a data set from the medical area (gastric cancer).

A cost-reliability model for the optimal release time of a software system

  • Lee, Won-Hyung;Kim, Yong-Whi
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1991년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문 및 초록집; 전북대학교, 전주; 26-27 Apr. 1991
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    • pp.405-421
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, faults existing in a software system is classified into three types; simple, degenerative and regenerative faults. The reliability functions and failure rates of both a software module and system which have a mixture of such faults are obtained and the expected number of failures in the system after time T is also derived. Using the formulas obtained, a cost-reliability model and an efficient algorithm for optimal software release time are proposed via nonlinear programming formulation ; minimizing the total test cost with constraints on the failure rates of each module. Application of this model to several cases are presented and it appears to be more realistic.

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Optimal Schedules of Periodic Preventive Maintenance Model with Different PM Effect

  • Lim, Jae-Hak
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic preventive maintenance policy in which each preventive maintenance reduces the hazard rate of amount proportional to the failure intensity, which increases since the system started to operate. And the effect of preventive maintenance at each preventive maintenance epoch is different. The expected cost rate per unit time for the proposed model is obtained. We discuss the optimal number N of the periodic preventive maintenance and the optimal period x, which minimize the expected cost rate per unit time and obtain the optimal preventive maintenance schedule for given cost structures of the model. A numerical example is given for the purpose of illustrating our results when the failure time distribution is Weibull distribution.

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품질보증정책하에 ESS와 Burn-in을 결합한 최적비 용모형 의 설정$^{1)}$ (-A study on Optimal Cost Model of Combined ESS and Burn-in under Warranty Policy-)

  • 송서일;조영찬;박현규
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제24권62호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2001
  • The electronics industry is fast growing segment of manufacturing and service industries. It is important that the manufacturer develops a product with adequate life cycle, high quality, and low failure rate in the specified time period. Environmental Stress Screening(ESS) and burn-in are widely used in the electronic industry to assist in the elimination of early failure. In this research, we construct optimal cost model of combined ESS and burn-in under various warranty policy and establish optimal testing times for given environments. Also we conduct sensitivity analysis on various parameter. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Comparing free warranty policy to rebate warranty policy, optimal ESS time is longer under free warranty policy, and optimal burn-in time is longer under rebate warranty policy. Free warranty policy higher than rebate warranty policy in total cost.

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와이어 본딩시 본딩 패드 리프트 불량에 관한 연구 (Study on the Bonding Pad Lift Failure in Wire Bonding)

  • 김경섭;장의구;신영의
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제11권12호
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    • pp.1079-1083
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    • 1998
  • In this study, ultrasonic power of Aluminum wire bonder, bond time and bond force are investigated and valued in order to minimize failure of bonding pad lift. We also tried to control those 3 factors properly. We got the conclusion that if we turn down the ability of ultrasonic power or bond time, we can get a pad lift from a boundary between bond pad ad wire because pad metal and wire joining is unstable, but it is best condition when it ultrasonic power is 100∼130unit, bond time is 15∼20msec and bond force is 4∼6gf.

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