• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제18권12호
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• pp.1090-1095
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• 2012

In this paper, we propose a model-based fault diagnosis method applied to vibration data. The fault detection is performed by comparing estimated parameters with normal parameters and deciding if the observed changes can be explained satisfactorily in terms of noise or undermodelling. The key feature of this method is that it accounts for the effects of noise and model mismatch. And we aslo design a classifier for the fault isolation by applying the multiclass SVM (Support Vector Machine) to the estimated parameters. The proposed fault detection and isolation methods are applied to an engine vibration data to show a good performance. The proposed fault detection method is compared with a signal-based fault detection method through a performance analysis.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.603-613
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• 2011

Exponentiated distribution has been used in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we derive Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter, reliability function and failure rate function in the exponentiated distribution family based on Type-II right censored data. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, the mean square errors of the estimates are computed. Comparisons are made between these estimators using Monte Carlo simulation study.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.383-388
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• 2009

In this paper we propose a variance function estimation method based on kernel trick for replicated data or data consisted of sample variances. Newton-Raphson method is used to obtain associated parameter vector. Furthermore, the generalized approximate cross validation function is introduced to select the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed variance function estimation method. Experimental results are then presented which illustrate the performance of the proposed procedure.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.117-128
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• 2003

새로운 약의 치료 효과가 기존의 약의 치료 효과보다 못하지 않음을 보이는 것이 목적인 실험을 noninferiority 실험이라고 한다. 본 논문에서는 이표본에서 모비율의 noninferiority 실험에서 무조건부 정확검정에 사용되는 세 가지 분산 추정방법을 비교하였다. 가능한 모든 경우를 조사하는 방법을 이용하여 세 가지 분산 추정방법에 따라 소표본에서 크기와 검정력을 비교하였다

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.453-470
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• 2018

We study how to distinguish the parameters of the sparse autoregressive (AR) process from zero using a non-convex penalized estimation. A class of non-convex penalties are considered that include the smoothly clipped absolute deviation and minimax concave penalties as special examples. We prove that the penalized estimators achieve some standard theoretical properties such as weak and strong oracle properties which have been proved in sparse linear regression framework. The results hold when the maximal order of the AR process increases to infinity and the minimal size of true non-zero parameters decreases toward zero as the sample size increases. Further, we construct a practical method to select tuning parameters using generalized information criterion, of which the minimizer asymptotically recovers the best theoretical non-penalized estimator of the sparse AR process. Simulation studies are given to confirm the theoretical results.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.190-196
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• 2005

The ratio between the hydrodynamic force produced by a submarine tau appendage and that acting on an equivalent appendage in isolation is regarded as tail plane efficiency. It is an important parameter in numerical simulations because it has a significant effect on predicted stability, controllability, and maneuverability. The paper introduces some recent work to improve the reliability and general applicability of current methods of tail plane efficiency estimation.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.27-39
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• 2013

In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.1581-1589
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• 2014

In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood estimators of the location and scale parameters for the half-logistic distribution when samples are multiply Type I hybrid censored. The scale parameter is estimated by approximate maximum likelihood estimation methods using two different Taylor series expansion types ($\hat{\sigma}_I$, $\hat{\sigma}_{II}$). We compare the estimators in the sense of the root mean square error (RMSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n=20 and 40 and various censored schemes. The approximate MLE of the second type is better than that of the first type in the sense of the RMSE. Further an illustrative example with the real data is presented.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.44-50
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• 2008

Focusing on the exponential smoothing method equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, a new method of estimating smoothing constant using exponential smoothing method is proposed. This study goes beyond the usual method of arbitrarily selecting a smoothing constant. First, an estimation of the ARMA model parameter was made and then, the smoothing constants. The empirical example shows that the theoretical solution satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. The new method was also applied to the stock market price of electrical machinery industry (6 major companies in Japan) and forecasting was accomplished. Comparing the results of the two methods, the new method appears to be better than the ARIMA model. The result of the new method is apparently good in 4 company data and is nearly the same in 2 company data. The example provided shows that the new method is much simpler to handle than ARIMA model. Therefore, the proposed method would be better in these general cases. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.241-250
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• 2016

In this paper, we consider statistical inferences on the estimation of the parameters of a Weibull distribution when data are randomly censored. Maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and approximate MLEs are derived to estimate the parameters. We consider two cases for the censoring model: the assumption that the censoring distribution does not involve any parameters of interest and a censoring distribution that follows a Weibull distribution. A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances of the estimators. The result shows that the MLEs and the approximate MLEs are similar in terms of biases and mean square errors; in addition, the assumption of the censoring model has a strong influence on the estimation of scale parameter.