• Title/Summary/Keyword: Qualitative Risk Assessment

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A quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk based on the meta feature system of network security data

  • Lin, Weiwei;Yang, Chaofan;Zhang, Zeqing;Xue, Xingsi;Haga, Reiko
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.4531-4544
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    • 2021
  • Because the traditional network information security vulnerability risk assessment method does not set the weight, it is easy for security personnel to fail to evaluate the value of information security vulnerability risk according to the calculation value of network centrality, resulting in poor evaluation effect. Therefore, based on the network security data element feature system, this study designed a quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk under single transmission state. In the case of single transmission state, the multi-dimensional analysis of network information security vulnerability is carried out by using the analysis model. On this basis, the weight is set, and the intrinsic attribute value of information security vulnerability is quantified by using the qualitative method. In order to comprehensively evaluate information security vulnerability, the efficacy coefficient method is used to transform information security vulnerability associated risk, and the information security vulnerability risk value is obtained, so as to realize the quantitative evaluation of network information security vulnerability detection under single transmission state. The calculated values of network centrality of the traditional method and the proposed method are tested respectively, and the evaluation of the two methods is evaluated according to the calculated results. The experimental results show that the proposed method can be used to calculate the network centrality value in the complex information security vulnerability space network, and the output evaluation result has a high signal-to-noise ratio, and the evaluation effect is obviously better than the traditional method.

A Study on the Risk Assessment and Improvement Methods Based on Hydrogen Explosion Accidents of a Power Plant and Water Electrolysis System (발전소 및 수전해 시스템의 수소 폭발 사고 사례 기반 위험성 평가 및 개선 방안 연구)

  • MIN JAE JEON;DAE JIN JANG;MIN CHUL LEE
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2024
  • This study addresses the escalating issue of worldwide hydrogen gas accidents, which has seen a significant increase in occurrences. To comprehensively evaluate the risks associated with hydrogen, a two approach was employed in this study. Firstly, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted using the bow-tie method. Secondly, a quantitative consequence analysis was carried out utilizing the areal locations of hazardous atmospheres (ALOHA) model. The study applied this method to two incidents, the hydrogen explosion accident occurred at the Muskingum River power plant in Ohio, USA, 2007 and the hydrogen storage tank explosion accident occurred at the K Technopark water electrolysis system in Korea, 2019. The results of the risk assessments revealed critical issues such as deterioration of gas pipe, human errors in incident response and the omission of important gas cleaning facility. By analyzing the cause of accidents and assessing risks quantitatively, the effective accident response plans are proposed and the effectiveness is evaluated by comparing the effective distance obtained by ALOHA simulation. Notably, the implementation of these measures led to a significant 54.5% reduction in the risk degree of potential explosions compared to the existing risk levels.

Risk Assessment and Application in Chemical Plants Using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA를 이용한 화학공장의 위험성 평가 및 응용)

  • Kim Yun-Hwa;Kim Ky-Soo;Yoon Sung-Ryul;Um Sung-In;Ko Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 1997
  • This study is to estimate the possibility of accident in chemical plants from the analysis of system component which affects the occurrence of top event. Among the various risk assessment techniques, the Fault Tree Analysis which approaches deductively on the route of accident development was used in this study. By gate-by-gate method and minimal cut set, the qualitative and quantitative risk assessment for hazards in plants was performed. The probability of occurrence and frequency of top event was calculated from failure or reliability data of system components at stage of the quantitative risk assessment. In conclusion, the probability of accident was estimated according to logic pattern based on the Fault Tree Analysis. And the failure path which mostly influences on the occurrence of top event was found from Importance Analysis.

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A Study on the Effectiveness of Risk Assessment for School Food Service Workers (학교 급식종사자를 대상으로 한 위험성평가의 실효성에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Guy-Sun;Yi, Dae-Ho;Jun, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2021
  • Since 2017, the Occupational Safety and Health Act has been fully applied to school food services, and risk assessments have been implemented since 2019. The introduction was slow compared to other industries and was evaluated by non-professional nutritionists, so there was a limit to establishing the system. All schools under the Seoul Metropolitan Office of Education apply the KRAS every year in accordance with the OSH Act for school foodservice and a notice from the Ministry of Employment and Labor. A risk assessment is applied according to legal regulations. On the other hand, the effectiveness of risk assessment has been questioned because the frequency and intensity criteria of the risk are qualitative and subjective. Based on the accident statistics of catering workers, the frequency and intensity criteria of risk were presented quantitatively and objectively, and a risk assessment was conducted by applying a new calculation standard for some work during the catering service and compared with current risk assessment results. The risk was increased, and the improved effectiveness was confirmed by the specific suggestions for improvement. Thus, the pilot evaluation for the entire food service should be expanded, and the feasibility confirmed. The pilot evaluation should be applied to all schools to enhance the effectiveness and operability of the risk assessment.

Risk Analysis on Offshore Windfarm Industry in South Korea: Based on the Jeonnam Offshore Windfarm Project

  • Kim, Tae Hyun;Kim, Yea-Sang;Chin, Sangyoon;Pallesen, Kristian
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the Korean government has been actively promoting the smart city as their strategic agenda. However, to build smart cities that are greener, the authors believe it is essential to rapidly transit conventional energy sources such as fossil fuels to renewable energy. Although there is a big potential for Offshore wind in Korea, there has not been a full-scale commercial offshore wind farm until today. Since Korea is relatively a new market compared to the EU, it can be risky for developers. The authors will introduce risk management best practices in the offshore wind industry applicable to the Korean environment. This paper will mainly introduce an offshore wind project size of 99 MW. The project is expecting a Finance Close (FC) in Q3 2022, so the project team has prepared a risk register with over 150 risks and levers throughout the project lifecycle. Overall risks include risks with Development Expenditure (DEVEX) impact, a Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) impact, and an Operating Expenditure (OPEX) impact. Based on the identified risks, a more qualitative assessment of Cost and Schedule Impact was conducted. In conclusion, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to propose a quantitative risk assessment to evaluate a benchmark contingency of the project cost.

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A Study on the Application of Operational Experience in the Stage of Aircraft System Design and Safety Assessment (항공기 시스템 설계와 안전성평가에 운영경험 반영 사례 연구)

  • Koo, Min-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.34-39
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    • 2014
  • Airworthiness authorities specify the technical standards of airworthiness that propose minimum requirement of the commercial transport category and apply the rules in the certification process to ensure the safety of the aircraft. The Federal Aviation Administration and other national airworthiness authorities define the fatal accident risk levels for the safety assessment of the aircraft system and establish standard procedures to apply both qualitative and quantitative analysis techniques. However, an accident or incident may occur by the combination of various factors, although the aircraft is designed in accordance with the strict standards and approval by the Airworthiness Authorities. There are some key factors, such as human error, unpredictable complex system failures, degradation of the components reliability, improper maintenance task and intervals. Risk can be reduced by reflecting aircraft operational experience with similar types of aircraft in the process of aircraft development and safety assessment. Result of the root cause analysis for the Airbus A300-600 incident in which the aircraft engine reverser was deployed in the air have been introduced to reflect the design of system and related components. Also, this paper suggests to create a big-database in order to provide a feed-back to the FAR Part 25 transport category design and safety assessment of the operational experience.

Development of Accident Scenario Models for the Risk Assessment of Railway Casualty Accidents (철도 사상사고 위험도 평가를 위한 사고 시나리오 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Wang, Jong-Bae;Cho, Yun-ok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to develop accident scenario models for the risk assessment of railway casualty accidents. To develop these scenario models, hazardous events and hazardous factors were identified by gathering various accident reports and information. Then, the accident scenario models were built up. Each accident scenario model consists of an occurrence scenario model and a progress scenario model. The occurrence scenario refers to the occurrence process of the event before the hazardous event. The progress scenario means the progress process of the event after the hazardous event. To manage a large amount of accident/incident data and scenarios, a railway accident analysis information system was developed using railway accident scenario models. To test the feasibility of the developed scenario models, more than 800 domestic railway casualty accidents that occurred in 2004 and 2005 were investigated and quantitative and qualitative analyses were performed using the developed information system.

Risk Assessment and Clasification for Climate Change Adaptation: Application on the Method of Climate Change Risk Assessment in the UK (기후변화 적응을 위한 리스크 평가 및 유형화: 영국의 정성적 리스크 평가 방법론 적용)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-83
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change risk assessment has been discussed as a medium process for making climate change adaptation policies in the research field of climate change adaptation. Climate change risk assessment has been understood to have an intermediary role among impact assessment, vulnerable assessment and policy, and is used in the process of devising adaptation policies in the United Kingdom (UK). This paper quantitatively assessed the risks of climate change in Korea, applied the methods used in the UK, underwent the classification process and suggested implications of Korean adaptation policies. A survey of experts, based on Delphi's method and the classification criterion developed by Klinke and Renn(2002), was also carried out. A list of climate risks was created from the climate change impact and vulnerability assessment report of Korea, first national adaptation policy of Korea, and general climate risks of the UK. From the results, 42 risks out of total 125 risks were selected based on their importance. The assessed risks with factors, such as high impact and urgency, are related to repeated and large scale damage from storms and floods caused by abnormal or extreme weather events. Ecological changes and social infrastructure risks were engaged as required as a policy response for medium to longer term. As for making the classification, types of climate risks were suggested to manage the basic capacity in relation to social trust, triggering mechanism and responsibility. Following suggestions are put forward as the base of autonomous adaptation: increasing the capacity of civil society, mutual trust and civil participation in adaptation policy process.

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Preliminary Hazard Analysis: Assessment of New Component Interface Module Design for APR1400

  • Olaide, Adebena Oluwasegun;Jung, Jae Cheon;Choi, Moon Jae;Ngbede, Utah Michael
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2021
  • The use of Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) in the development of safety-related Human-Machine Interface (HMI) systems has gained much momentum in nuclear applications. Recently, one of the application areas for the Advanced Power Reactor 1400 (APR1400) is in the development of the advanced Component Interface Module (CIM) of the Engineered Safety Features Actuation System (ESFAS). Using systems engineering approach, we have developed a new FPGA-based advanced CIM software. The first step of our software development process involves the Preliminary Hazard Analysis (PHA) based on the previous CIM design. In this paper, we describe the qualitative approach used in performing the preliminary hazard analysis. The paper presents the methodology for applying a modified Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) procedure for the conduct of PHA which resulted in a qualitative risk-ranking scheme that informed the decisions for the safety criteria in the requirements specification phase. The qualitative approach provided the justification for design changes during the advanced CIM software development process.

A study on the safety assessment of Hydrogen refueling system (수소 충전 시스템의 안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Hun;Oh, Young Dal;Lee, Man Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2014
  • Hydrogen energy is expanding in range for civil use together with development of pollution-free power sources recently, and it is judged that the use of hydrogen will increase more as a part of carbon dioxide reduction measures according to the Climatic Change Convention. Especially, it is thought that the securement of safety of the used dispenser will be the biggest obstacle in the use of high-pressure hydrogen because the hydrogen station is operated in a high pressure. This study found risks in the process and problems on operation by making use of HAZOP(6 kinds), a qualitative safety evaluation technique, and FMEA(5 kinds), a fault mode effect analysis, for the hydrogen charging system at a hydrogen gas station, derived 6 risk factors from HAZOP and 5 risk factors from FMEA, and prepared measures for it.