Journal of the Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회)
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Development of Accident Scenario Models for the Risk Assessment of Railway Casualty Accidents

철도 사상사고 위험도 평가를 위한 사고 시나리오 모델 개발에 관한 연구

  • Park, Chan-Woo (Railroad Safety Technology R&D Corps, Korea Railroad Research Institute) ;
  • Wang, Jong-Bae (Railroad Safety Technology R&D Corps, Korea Railroad Research Institute) ;
  • Cho, Yun-ok (Railroad Safety Technology R&D Corps, Korea Railroad Research Institute)
  • 박찬우 (한국철도기술연구원 철도종합안전기술개발사업단) ;
  • 왕종배 (한국철도기술연구원 철도종합안전기술개발사업단) ;
  • 조연옥 (한국철도기술연구원 철도종합안전기술개발사업단)
  • Published : 2009.06.30
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to develop accident scenario models for the risk assessment of railway casualty accidents. To develop these scenario models, hazardous events and hazardous factors were identified by gathering various accident reports and information. Then, the accident scenario models were built up. Each accident scenario model consists of an occurrence scenario model and a progress scenario model. The occurrence scenario refers to the occurrence process of the event before the hazardous event. The progress scenario means the progress process of the event after the hazardous event. To manage a large amount of accident/incident data and scenarios, a railway accident analysis information system was developed using railway accident scenario models. To test the feasibility of the developed scenario models, more than 800 domestic railway casualty accidents that occurred in 2004 and 2005 were investigated and quantitative and qualitative analyses were performed using the developed information system.

Keywords

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