• 제목/요약/키워드: North Korea's provocations

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해양안보 위협 확산에 따른 한국 해군의 역할 확대방안 (Strategic Approaches and the Role of Naval Forces to Counter Increasing Maritime Threats)

  • 박창권
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권31호
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    • pp.220-250
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    • 2013
  • South Korean national security strategy should be developed to effectively handle and counter increasing maritime threats and challenges. There are three major maritime threats South Korea faces today; maritime disputes on the EEZ boundary and Dokdo islet issues, North Korean threats, and international maritime security. Maritime disputes in the region are getting intensified and turned into a military confrontation after 2010. Now regional countries confront each other with military and police forces and use economic leverage to coerce the others. They are very eager to create advantageous de facto situations to legitimize their territorial claims. North Korean threat is also increasing in the sea as we witnessed in the Cheonan incident and Yeonpyoung shelling in 2010. North Korea resorts to local provocations and nuclear threats to coerce South Korea in which it may enjoy asymmetric advantages. The NLL area of the west sea would be a main hot spot that North Korea may continue to make a local provocation. Also, South Korean national economy is heavily dependent upon foreign trade and national strategic resources such as oil are all imported. Without an assurance on the safety of sea routes, these economic activities cannot be maintained and expanded. This paper argues that South Korea should make national maritime strategy and enhance the strength of naval forces. As a middle power, its national security strategy needs to consider all the threats and challenges not only from North Korea but also to maritime security. This is not a matter of choice but a mandate for national survival and prosperity. This paper discusses the importance of maritime security, changing characteristics of maritime threats and challenges, regional maritime disputes and its threat to South Korea's security, and South Korea's future security strategy and ways to enhance the role of naval forces. Our national maritime strategy needs to show middle and long term policy directions on how we will protect our maritime interests. Especially, it is important to build proper naval might to carry out all the roles and missions required to the military.

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한국해군의 새로운 도전과 기동전단의 발전 방향 (The New Challenges for the Republic of Korea Navy and the Development of Maritime Task Flotilla's Force Development)

  • 김덕기
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권39호
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    • pp.163-197
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    • 2016
  • The completion of Jeju Naval Base on February 2016 made the Republic of Korea Navy(ROKN) review the size and role of the Maritime Task Flotilla(MTF). The new strategic environment for the 12st century and the new challenges require the Navy to counter North Korea's provocations and prevent potential enemy's threat. The Navy is also required to take part in the variety of international roles and missions commensurated with Korea's global status to maximize the national interest. Despite these changes, Korea's military construction concept is still unable to break away from the old paradigm of the North Korean threat largely centered. In order to develop the current MTF into the Task Group with the construction of Jeju Naval Base, the Navy must newly not only establish new force development plan and fleet management concepts but also go to persuade and convince policy decision makers. To this end, the following efforts should be promoted. First, the ROK Navy steps up efforts in order to share with the Task Group's vision and strategy. The Navy should also provide the size and structure as well as the missions and roles of the Task Group to react to new maritime security environment. Second, the Navy analyse the MTF's ability and what is required and necessary to perform its duty. After that, it must set out the direction of the Task Group's force development. Third, the current missions and roles of the MTF should be re-established to respond various threats. Finally, accommodating of new technology to the MTF should intensify its strengths. The ROK Navy has a mixed force structure consisting of three fixed- base fleets and a MTF. The fixed base fleet has a passive force to defend and protect its own sea areas, but the MTF should actively not only counter North Korea's threats, including ballistic missiles, but also fight potential threats and takes international missions as a primary task force. However, the MTF has a limited capability to accomplish given missions and long-range operations, and thus, the ROK Navy is strongly required to construct the Task Group.

해양안보위협의 확산에 따른 한국해군의 역할 확대방안 (Extending Plans of the Role of ROK Navy vis-'a-vis the Expansion of Maritime Security Threats)

  • 길병옥
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권30호
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    • pp.63-98
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    • 2012
  • Northeast Asia has a multi-layered security structure within which major economic and military powers both confront one another and cooperate at the same time. Major regional powers maintain mutually cooperative activities in the economic sphere while competing one another in order to secure a dominant position in the politico-military arena. The multifarious threats, posed by the North Korea's nuclear development, territorial disputes, and maritime demarcation line issues demonstrate that Northeast Asia suffers more from military conflicts and strifes than any other region in the world. Specifically, major maritime security threats include North Korea's nuclear proliferation and missile launching problems as well as military provocations nearby the Northern Limit Line(NLL) as witnessed in the Cheonan naval ship and Yeonpyong incidents. The ROK Navy has been supplementing its firm military readiness posture in consideration of North Korea's threats on the NLL. It has performed superb roles in defending the nation and establishing the Navy advanced and best picked. It also has been conducive to defend the nation from external military threats and invasion, secure the sea lanes of communications, and establish regional stability and world peace. In order to effectively cope with the strategic environment and future warfares, the ROK Navy needs to shift its military structure to one that is more information and technology intensive. In addition, it should consolidate the ROK-US alliance and extend military cooperative measures with neighboring countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Evolved steadily for the last 60 years, the ROK-US alliance format has contributed to peace and security on the Korean peninsula and in the Northeast Asian region. In conclusion, this manuscript contends that the ROK Navy should strive for the establishment of the following: (1) Construction of Jeju Naval Base; (2) Strategic Navy Equipped with War Deterrence Capabilities; (3) Korean-type of System of Systems; (4) Structure, Budget and Human Resources of the Naval Forces Similar to the Advanced Countries; and (5) Strategic Maritime Alliance and Alignment System as well as Domestic Governance Network for the Naval Families.

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텍스트마이닝을 활용한 북한 관련 뉴스의 기간별 변화과정 고찰 (An Investigation on the Periodical Transition of News related to North Korea using Text Mining)

  • 박철수
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.63-88
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    • 2019
  • 북한의 변화와 동향 파악에 대한 연구는 북한관련 정책에 대한 방향을 결정하고 북한의 행위를 예측하여 사전에 대응 할 수 있다는 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 현재까지 북한 동향에 대한 연구는 전문가를 중심으로 과거 사례를 서술적으로 분석하여, 향후에 북한의 동향을 분석하고 대응하여 왔다. 이런 전문가 서술 중심의 북한 변화 및 동향 연구에서 비정형데이터를 이용한 텍스트마이닝 분석이 더해지면 보다 과학적인 북한 동향 분석이 가능할 것이다. 특히 북한의 동향 파악과 북한의 대남 관련 행위와 연관된 연구는 통일 및 국방 분야에서 매우 유용하며 필요한 분야이다. 본 연구에서는 북한의 신문 기사 내용을 활용한 텍스트마이닝 방법으로 북한과 관련한 핵심 단어를 구축하였다. 그리고 본 연구는 김정은 집권 이후 최근의 남북관계의 극적인 관계와 변화들을 기반으로 세 개의 기간을 나누고 이 기간 내에 국내 언론에 나타난 북한과 관련성이 높은 단어들을 시계열적으로 분석한 연구이다. 북한과 관련한 주요 단어들을 세 개의 기간별로 분류하고 당시에 북한의 태도와 동향에 따라 해당 단어와 주제들의 관련성이 어떻게 변화하였는지를 파악하였다. 본 연구는 텍스트마이닝을 이용한 연구가 남북관계 및 북한의 동향을 이해하고 분석하는 방법론으로서 얼마나 유용한 것이지를 파악하는 것이었다. 앞으로 북한의 동향 분석에 대한 연구는 물론 대북관계 및 정책에 대한 방향을 결정하고, 북한의 행위를 사전에 예측하여 대응 할 수 있는 북한 리스크 측정 모델 구축을 위한 연구로 진행 될 것이다.

이스칸데르 미사일 대응방안 연구 (A Study on the Countermeasures of Iskander)

  • 김세일;신진
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2019
  • 북의 단거리 발사체 및 미사일은 S-300 계열 이스칸데르급으로 사거리는 270-420km, 고도는 40-50km 내에서 타격이 가능한 무기체계로 우리가 보유하고 있는 탐지레이더나 타격무기로는 대응이 매우 어렵다. 북이 서울 불바다를 운운하는 것도 이러한 단거리 로켓과 미사일에 핵이나 화학무기를 장착하여 수도권을 타격하겠다는 의도를 파악 할 수 있기 때문에 하루 빨리 대응무기의 전력화나 도입이 매우 시급하다. 북의 단거리 미사일 방어에 즉각 대응하기 위한 무기체계로 이스라엘에서 운용하고 있는 아이언 돔 및 아이언 빔 체계가 적합함으로 조기 도입하고 장기적으로 국내 자체적으로 단거리 미사일 방어를 위한 한국형 미사일방어와 타격체계인 Kill Chain을 지속 개발하고 국방과학연구소, 한국과학기술원, 방산 업체들과 협업하여 자체 기술력 확보로 북의 무모한 도발에 상시 대비할 수 있도록 만반의 준비태세를 갖추어야 하겠다.

대한민국 해군창설 : 회고와 당부 (Reflecting on the History and Future of Republic of Korea Navy)

  • 함명수
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권37호
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2015
  • The Republic of Korean Navy (ROKN) started from scratch. However, ROKN demonstrated its Blue Navy capabilities successfully to the entire world by conducting "Operation Early Dawn" at the Aden Bay, Yemen in Jan 2011. On the event of the 70th anniversary of the ROKN, I would like to retrospect past gleaning from voyages and challenges we had in the past. At the very inception of the ROKN, Korean government as well as senior military leaders recognized that it had no time to spare to clean up military those were insinuated deeply by communist agents. It was the top priority of the government. The Mongumpo Operation which was not well known, conducted by ROKN was one of the clean-up drive. The Korean War sometimes called as "a fire from land put-off at the sea". The world famous "Incheon Landing" which reversed war situation from the Nakdong Perimeter also done by Sea Power. ROKN conducted various maritime operations including not only Incheon Landing, but amphibious operation at Hungnam, mine sweeping, sea convoy, Wonsan Withdrawal. On the same day of the Korean War started, 25th June 1950, unless the victory of the ROKNS Baekdusan (PC 701) at the Korean Strait, the waning lamp light of Korea could not be rekindled by the participation of the U.N. The ROKN rescued the 17th regiment of Korean Army from the isolation at the Ongjin Peninsular and transported gold and silver bars stored at the Bank of Korea to the Navy supply deposit in Jinhae safely. ROKN special intelligence unit conducted critical HUMINT which led Incheon Landing success. One of important mission ROKN conducted successfully was not only transporting war fighting materials but also U.S. provided grains to starving Koreans. ROKN participated Vietnam campaign from 1960s and conducted numerous maritime transportation operations supplying materials to Vietnam military forces along the long coastal lines. Experienced Naval Officers and enlisted men who discharged and acquired as merchant marine certificate supported most of the U.S. sea lift operations throughout the Vietnam campaign. ROK-US Combined Forces which had been honed and improved its war fighting capabilities through the Korean War and out of Vietnam jungle playing key deterrent against threat from north Korea. However, those threat level will be completely different when north Korea finish its nuclear weapon ambition. In order to stand firm against north Korean nuclear threat, I would like to expect strong political leadership supporting nuclear submarine for ROKN.

韩国对外战略调整的原因分析-美中战略竞争下不断增加的北韩威胁对东北亚安全局势带来的深远影响 (Analysis of the Reason for ROK's Foreign Strategy Adjustment: The growing threat from DPRK under the U.S.-China strategic competition and its profound influences on the security situation in Northeast Asia)

  • 金东灿;李章源
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.115-144
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    • 2023
  • 特朗普政府时期美国已表明了 "中国是美国的战略竞争者, 也是修正主义势力, 更是对美国繁荣和安全的主要挑战" 这种立场, 拜登政府也基本上继承了这种对中国的认识。中国也对此积极应对。因此, 美中战略竞争已成为当今国际体系中最重要的背景因素, 也对东北亚安全局势产生了巨大的影响。尽管如此, 观察最近韩美日三边安全合作的形成过程时我们可以发现, 尹锡悦总统上台之后韩国的对外战略调整对韩美日三边安全合作的形成起到了关键性作用。这是因为美国一如既往希望构建的韩美日三边安全合作的成败取决于韩日关系的改善, 而尹锡悦政府不顾韩国国内政治的制约因素, 果断推动了韩日关系的快速改善。随后, 在戴维营召开的韩美日三国峰会为未来三国在安全及其他更广泛领域的合作奠定了基础。中国对韩美日三边安全合作的形成提出了强烈的不满和抗议。但本文认为, 韩国虽然同意与美国和日本形成韩美日三边安全合作, 但韩国的战略目标与美国和日本的战略目标都不完全一致。比如, 回顾冷战结束之后的美日同盟发展历程, 美国与日本都对中国的崛起持有类似的看法和认识。最近几年美日同盟加强的实际目标也主要是如何应对中国的崛起。与此相反, 韩国历届政府都对韩美日三边安全合作持消极的态度。这是因为韩国想要追求的最主要的战略目标是如何减少或消除来自北韩的威胁, 而不是应对中国。面对北韩不断增强的挑衅与威胁, 过半数的韩国人支持通过加强韩美日三边安全合作来遏制或缓解来自北韩的威胁。因此, 只要北韩的核威胁与导弹挑衅持续存在, 那韩国的对外战略方向就很可能是加强韩美日三边安全合作, 以确保自身的安全与生存。所以, 如果中国想要减少韩美日三边安全合作给中国带来的战略上的压力, 最好的方案是降低北韩对韩国的挑衅和威胁, 在让北韩放弃核武器的问题上扮演更加实质性的角色。

关于东北亚地区内 "建设性的微边主义, 小区域主义" 制度 建设的必要性和效果的研究 -以韩国的视角为中心 - (A Study on the necessity and Effect of constructive minilateralism and subregionalism in Northeast Asia: Focused on Korean perspective)

  • Kim, Jaekwan
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.63-87
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    • 2020
  • This article not only theoretically explores the necessity and effect of constructive minilateralism and subregionalism in Northeast Asia, but also delves into a series of practical solutions from viewpoint of seeking common ground while reserving differences in this region. The main contents are as follows: First, the various obstacles that hinder the formation of regionalism, subregionalism and minilateralism in the Northeast Asia are discussed. That is to say, geopolitical realism, My Country First ideology, exclusive nationalism in the socio-historical context, and North Korea's latest provocations, etc. Second, this article explores the philosophy and basic principles of realizing Northeast Asia regionalism and minilateralism. Third, in the 21st century, Northeast Asia becomes the center of the world. It examines the core points, controversial focus and platform for building sub regionalism in the region. Finally, based on the institutional platform such as minilateralism and sub regionalism, the various ideas and practical plans of cross-border cooperation among major countries in Northeast Asia were discussed. Because there are a lot of obstacles, so first of all it is more appropriate to promote economic or functional minilateralism or sub regionalism than multilateral cooperation. In order to promote the formation of regionalism and minilateralism in Northeast Asia, the issues to be considered are as follows: First, for the sake of leading regional solidarity and minilateral economic cooperation, it is advisable for China, as a regional economic power, to implement a stable and responsible diplomacy. Secondly, regional solidarity based on credible politics and security should be promoted for a long time beyond the level of economic cooperation. Third, the primary prerequisite for the realization of Northeast Asian regionalism is that in the process of denuclearization of North Korea, the stability and peace mechanism of the Korean Peninsula should be established. Fourth, with the continued hegemonic competition between the United States and China in Northeast Asia, under the circumstance that countries in the region are pushed into so-called "East Asian Paradox", it is profoundly important for them to consider transition from the hostile relationship as the "Thucydides trap" to the order of "coexistence" in which competition and cooperation run side by side, and the two countries should explore a conversion plan for the foreign policy line. This mutual cooperation and peaceful coexistence of the US-China relationship will create a friendly atmosphere for the formation of regionalism in Northeast Asia. In the future, the cooperation of minilateralism in Northeast Asia will break the existing conflict between the maritime forces and the continental forces in order to promote peace. And along with the philosophy that "peace is economy", recent policies of common prosperity as the framework, such as China's "Belt and Road Initiative", North Korea's "Special Zone and Development Zone Policy", Russia's "New Eastern Policy", Japan's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative and South Korea's The "Korean Peninsula New Economy Map" are organically linked and it should promote the so-called "networked regionalism".

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소형드론 위협 사례와 대드론체계 발전방향 (A Case Study on the Threat of Small Drone and the Development of Counter-Drone System)

  • 서강일;김기원;김종훈;조상근;박상혁
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2023
  • 2022년 12월 26일 북한의 드론 도발은 8년 만에 재개되었다. 이번 위협은 수도권은 물론 대통령실 경호를 위한 비행금지구역까지 해당되었으며, 이에 대한 우리 군의 대응이 적절하지 못해 큰 논란이 되고 있다. 이러한 가운데 국내에서는 소형드론의 비행 금지 및 제한구역의 불법 침입에 따른 문제점이 점증하고 있으며 해외에서는 테러 공격에 활용되는 등 그 위협이 실체화되고 있다. 본 고에서는 이러한 드론의 위협에 대해 '대드론(Counter-Drone)' 개념과 이와 관련된 기술을 고찰하고 국내 및 해외의 소형드론 위협 사례를 통해 함의를 도출, 대드론체계의 발전방향을 제시하였다. 북한의 드론위협은 더욱 다종화, 다량화, 고도화되어 보다 대담한 공격 및 도발로 이루어질 것으로 보인다. 따라서 우리 군은 통합관제체계 및 대드론체계의 조기 전력화, 소형드론의 위협에 대응한 합동 및 제병협동 차원의 대응, 한·미 대드론 연합작전 수행능력 등을 추진해 나아가야할 것이다.

일본 방위전략의 공세적 변화가 한국 해군에 주는 전략적 함의 - 일본 '수륙기동단(水陸機動團)' 창설에 대한 분석을 중심으로 - (An Offensive Change of Japan's Defense Strategy and Strategic Implication to the South Korea Navy: Focusing on the Japan's Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade Creation)

  • 정광호
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권42호
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    • pp.83-113
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    • 2017
  • After defeat in World War II, Japan's Peace Constitution committed the country to forego the acquisition of offensive military capabilities. However, in the midst of the post-cold war period, Japan began to change its security posture in line with the so-called 'normal state theory', which called for a more robust defense posture and expanded security activities. The second Abe administration promoted these security policies by issuing a National Security Strategy as well as a new National Defense Program Outline(NDPO) in 2013 and by establishing new security institutions such as the National Security Council. The Abe administration also adopted the new concept of a 'Unified Mobile Defense Force' in the 2013 which replaced the 'Dynamic Defense Force' as a new criteria for the Self-Defense Force's acquisition of military capabilities. In this new concept of military capabilities, the Ground Self-Defense Force is planning to replace existing divisions with mobile divisions and to form 'Amphibious Rapid Deployment Bridge' for the first time in 2018, which has long been taboo in Japan. Japan has experience a Marine Corps in the past. Likewise, an offensive changes in the military strategy can change the spectrum of strategy and 'Amphibious Rapid Deployment Bridge' plays a big role in this. Furthermore, Japan is increasing the Coast Guard's budget and capabilities in preparation for contingencies around the Senkaku islands (called the Diaoyu in Chinese). The South Korea navy should utilize Japan's changing security posture to deter immediate threat such as North Korea's military provocations and potential enemy threat such as China, Japan, Russia.