• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.45-56
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• 2022

The countermeasure for the shortage of water during dry season and drought period has not been considered with return flowrate in detail. In this study, the outflow of STP was predicted through a data-based machine learning model, LSTM. As the first step, outflow, inflow, precipitation and water elevation were utilized as input data, and the distribution of variance was additionally considered to improve the accuracy of the prediction. When considering the variability of the outflow data, the residual between the observed value and the distribution was assumed to be in the form of a complex trigonometric function and presented in the form of the optimal distribution of the outflow along with the theoretical probability distribution. It was apparently found that the degree of error was reduced when compared to the case not considering where the variance distribution. Therefore, it is expected that the outflow prediction model constructed in this study can be used as basic data for establishing an efficient river management system as more accurate prediction is possible.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.45 no.3
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• pp.173-183
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• 2023

The barren ground phenomenon in Korea began to occur and spread in the southern coast region and in Jeju Island in the 1980s, and since the 1990s, the damage has become serious in the east coast region as well. Korea has enacted the fisheries resource management act to manage such barren ground through the installation of sea forests among projects for the creation of fishery resources. Until now, projects related to the identification of the cause of barren ground have focused on the density of crustose coralline algae, sea urchins and seaweed, so the original cause of barren ground has not yet been identified. In order to manage barren ground, it is necessary to identify the cause of barren ground. To identify these causes, it is necessary to comprehensively consider i) studies on spatial characteristics such as rock mass distribution, slope and water depth, ii) studies on ecological and oceanographic characteristics such as water temperature, salinity, El Niño, and typhoons etc, iii) studies on organisms such as crustose coralline algae, macroalgae, and sea urchins, and iv) studies on coastal use such as living and industrial sewage inflow. Next, as with regard to legislative policy proposals , it is necessary to prepare self-management measures by the government, local governments, and fishermen as well as address management problems related to the use of sea forests by fishermen after their creation . In addition, when creating a sea forest, a management model for each resource management plan is required, and evaluation indicators and indexes that can diagnose the cause of barren ground and guidelines for barren ground measures should be developed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.424-424
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• 2023

댐, 저수지 등 수자원 시스템분석 시 가장 기초가 되는 유입량 자료는 실측 수위(저수량)와 방류량을 역산하여 산정된다. 이 중 댐 수위는 수표면 진동으로 인해 변동이 크며, 특히, 급격한 수위 변화가 발생하는 홍수기에는 수위-저수량 변환 시 큰 오차가 발생하여 유입량 진동이 더욱 커지게 된다. 하지만 홍수기 저수지 운영 효과 분석 등 관련 연구를 위해서는 시간 간격이 짧은 10분 또는 1시간 단위의 유입량 자료가 필요함에 따라 관련 연구 수행 시 이동평균법(Moving Average) 등을 통해 실측 유입량 자료를 보정하여 사용하는 것이 일반적이다. 데이터 평활화를 위해 이동평균법을 적용하면 데이터의 변동을 효과적으로 줄일 수는 있지만 실측자료와 비교하였을 때 첨두 유입량이 큰 폭으로 감소하거나, 첨두 유입량 발생시간이 지체되는 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 저수지 유입량과 같이 변동이 큰 수문자료의 평활화를 위해 가우시안 가중 이동평균법(Gaussian-weighted moving average technique), 사비츠키-골레이 필터링기법(Savitzky-Golay filtering technique) 등 필터링 기법을 댐 유입량 보정에 적용하고, 이에 따른 효과를 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 2020년 8월에 발생한 홍수사상을 대상으로 충주댐, 합천댐 등 다목적댐 유입량 자료를 수집하고, 보정을 수행하였다. 필터링 기법의 적용 효과 분석을 위해서는 실측자료와 이동평균법을 적용하여 보정한 결과와 비교하였고, 추가적으로 비교적 변동이 작은 일 단위 유입량 자료와의 양적 비교를 진행하였다. 그 결과 이동평균법을 적용하였을 때보다 필터링 기법을 적용하였을 때 실측자료와의 양적 차이가 작고, 첨두 유입량 및 첨두 유입 발생시간에서도 차이를 큰 폭으로 감소시킬 수 있는 것으로 확인되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.194-194
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• 2023

세류침식은 급경사 나지사면에서 증가하는 지표흐름에 의해 빈번하게 발생하고, 과도한 토사유출로 인해 홍수 및 토사재해 위험 증가와 수질오염 등의 문제를 야기한다. 본 연구는 개발지역의 마사토를 활용하여 1.2 m × 5.5 m 규모의 3개 중규모 플롯에서 세류발달 특성, 유출 및 토사유출량을 파악하고자 강우와 유입수 모의실험을 수행하였다. 경사 조건 15°와 20°에서 유입수 유무에 따른 4회의 반복실험이 진행되었으며 마사토의 평균입경은 0.89 mm이다. 강우강도 범위는 90~140 mm/hr이며, 유입수 유량은 합리식으로 계산하였으며 100~130 ml/sec이다. 하천 차수분석방법인 Horton방법을 사용하여 세류별 차수를 나누었다. 세류절개는 유입수가 없는 경우 실험 시작 약 1분 후에 발생하였고, 최대 2차수까지 세류가 발달하였으며, 유입수가 있는 경우 약 30초 후 발생하였고, 최대 3차수까지 세류가 발달하였다. 세류발달에 대한 수리학적 특성을 파악하기 위하여 염료 추적방법에 의한 동영상 이미지 분석결과 유속은 0.06~0.43 m/s의 범위를 보였다. 유입수와 강우가 함께 공급되는 경우 강우모의 공급수량에 비해 1.32~1.69배 증가했고, 이에 따라 지표유출수는 1.13~3.93배로 증가폭의 범위가 넓었다. 세류발달에 의한 토사유출량은 유입수 유무에 따라 6.7~32.3배로 증가하였다. 결론적으로 강우와 유입수가 상호작용하는 경우 강우에 의한 박리현상보다 유입수에 의한 측벽붕괴 활동이 활발하게 진행되었고 이는 세류 발달 과정에서 지배적으로 이루어졌기 때문으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.317-317
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• 2021

효율적인 물관리를 위한 댐 유입량 대한 연구는 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 머신러닝 알고리즘을 통해 40년동안의 기상 및 댐 유입량 데이터를 이용하여 소양강댐 유입량을 예측하였으며, 그 중 고유량과 저유량예측에 적합한 알고리즘을 각각 선정하여 머신러닝 알고리즘을 결합한 CombML을 개발하였다. 의사 결정 트리 (DT), 멀티 레이어 퍼셉트론 (MLP), 랜덤 포레스트(RF), 그래디언트 부스팅 (GB), RNN-LSTM 및 CNN-LSTM 알고리즘이 사용되었으며, 그 중 가장 정확도가 높은 모형과 고유량이 아닌 경우에서 특별히 예측 정확도가 높은 모형을 결합하여 결합 머신러닝 알고리즘 (CombML)을 개발 및 평가하였다. 사용된 알고리즘 중 MLP가 NSE 0.812, RMSE 77.218 m3/s, MAE 29.034 m3/s, R 0.924, R2 0.817로 댐 유입량 예측에서 최상의 결과를 보여주었으며, 댐 유입량이 100 m3/s 이하인 경우 앙상블 모델 (RF, GB) 이 댐 유입 예측에서 MLP보다 더 나은 성능을 보였다. 따라서, 유입량이 100 m3/s 이상 시의 평균 일일 강수량인 16 mm를 기준으로 강수가 16mm 이하인 경우 앙상블 방법 (RF 및 GB)을 사용하고 강수가 16 mm 이상인 경우 MLP를 사용하여 댐 유입을 예측하기 위해 두 가지 복합 머신러닝(CombML) 모델 (RF_MLP 및 GB_MLP)을 개발하였다. 그 결과 RF_MLP에서 NSE 0.857, RMSE 68.417 m3/s, MAE 18.063 m3/s, R 0.927, R2 0.859, GB_MLP의 경우 NSE 0.829, RMSE 73.918 m3/s, MAE 18.093 m3/s, R 0.912, R2 0.831로 CombML이 댐 유입을 가장 정확하게 예측하는 것으로 평가되었다. 본 연구를 통해 하천 유황을 고려한 여러 머신러닝 알고리즘의 결합을 통한 유입량 예측 결과, 알고리즘 결합 시 예측 모형의 정확도가 개선되는 것이 확인되었으며, 이는 추후 효율적인 물관리에 이용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.419-419
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• 2022

최근 전 지구적 기후변화의 발생으로 수문현상의 규모와 빈도가 예측하기 어려운 수준으로 변화되고 있다. 이에 따라 정밀한 데이터를 활용한 수공구조물 운영 및 관리의 중요성이 대두되고 있다. 이 중에서도 다목적댐은 이·치수 측면에서 모두 활용되기 때문에 정밀한 댐 운영을 위한 댐 유입량 자료의 수집 및 관리가 필요하지만 현실적 한계로 인해 간접적으로 측정되고 있다. 현재 국내 다목적댐 저수지의 유입량은 댐시설 유지관리 기준(MW, 1994)에서 제시한 저수지 수위 변동량과 댐 방류량의 추정치로부터 계산하는 간접측정방법을 통해 산정되고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 방법은 태풍이나 집중호우 등 대규모 홍수 발생 시 저수지 수위의 불균일성으로 인한 오차가 나타나며, 음유입량 및 톱니바퀴 형태의 자료가 발생하는 등 정확도 측면에서 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 한국건설기술연구원에서 2008년 개발한 물리적 기반의 분포형 유출해석 모형인 GRM(Grid based Rainfall-Runoff Model)을 활용하여 상류 유량관측소(옥동교 관측소, 영춘 관측소) 관측유량과 충주댐 지점 모의유량간의 경험공식을 도출하였으며, 이를 통해 상류 유량 관측소의 유량자료를 활용한 댐 유입량 직접산정이 가능하도록 하였다. 또한 다중 관측소 활용 시 댐 유입량 모의 성능이 개선되는지 여부를 확인하기 위해 3가지 경우(옥동교 관측소 단일, 영춘 관측소 단일, 옥동교·영춘 관측소 다중)로 구분하고 각 공식의 성능을 비교 평가하였다. 분석 결과 상류 관측소 관측유량과 댐 본체 지점의 모의유량이 비교적 높은 상관관계(0.79~0.96)를 보였으며, 단일 관측소를 활용한 공식 대비 다중 관측소를 활용한 공식이 더 높은 결정계수를 보였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.4
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• pp.249-261
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• 2024

Climate change has intensified the severity of extreme floods, presenting substantial challenges to dam management and operation. Traditionally, flood control strategies for dam operations have been based on theoretical scenarios, such as designed floods, without taking into account downstream conditions. However, in practice, managing floods involves operating dams based on climate forecasts. This strategy encounters challenges due to the limited predictability of climate forecasts, which in turn leads to uncertainty in decisionmaking among dam managers. This study proposes a flood control approach for dam operations that involves gradually increasing the outflow, considering the operational constraints and potential downstream damage, based on inflow data. The effectiveness of this method was assessed through simulation, employing both a designed flood and data from the most significant historical flood. The dam operation strategy for flood control presented in this study provides a framework for dam operators, facilitating consistent decisionmaking in flood management by integrating realistic dam operational conditions.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.4323-4337
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• 1977

The study was to estimate the effect of the rise of water temperature in the warm water pool and to make contribution to the establishment of reducing to a damage of cool water as well as to the planning for warm water pool. This observation was performed in Wudu warm water pool located at Wudu-Dong of Chuncheon for two years from 1975 to 1976. The results were showed as follows; 1. The daily variation of water temperature was the least for inset (No.1; 0.6$^{\circ}C$) the second for middle overflow (No2: 3$^{\circ}C$, No.3; 2.3$^{\circ}C$) and another for outflet (No.4; 3.6$^{\circ}C$, No.5; 3.8$^{\circ}C$) And the highest reaching time of water temperature in each block was later about 1 hour than the time at which air temperature happend in the daytime. So, the variation of water temperature was sensitive to the variation of air temperature 2. The monthly variation of water temperature at each measuring point was plotted to be increased with increase in air temperature till August (Mean monthly rising degree; No.1; 1.15$^{\circ}C$, No.2; 1.7$^{\circ}C$, No.3; 1.73$^{\circ}C$, No.4; 2.08$^{\circ}C$, No.5; 2.0$^{\circ}C$), and expressed gradually descended influence upon water temperature after August. 3. The mean temperature of inflow folwed in warm Water pool was 7.5∼12.5$^{\circ}C$, and outflow temperature was described as 13.4∼22.5$^{\circ}C$ to be climbed. And So, the rising interval of water temperature was shown as 6.7∼10.4$^{\circ}C$. 4. The correlation between the rising of water temperature and the weather condition was found out highly significant. As the result, their correlation coefficents of water temperature depending on mean air temperature, ground temperature, wind velocity and relative humidity were to be 0.93, 0.90, - 0.83 and 0.71 respectively. But there was no confrimation of the correlation on the clouds, sunlight time, volume of evaporation, and heat capacity of horizontal place. 5. The water temperature of balance during the period of rice growing in Chuncheon district was shown as table 10, and the mean of whole period was calculated as about 23.7$^{\circ}C$. 6. The observed value of the outflow temperature passed through the warm water pool was higher than that of computed, the mean difference between two value was marked as 1.15$^{\circ}C$ for blockl, 1.18$^{\circ}C$ for block2, and 0.47$^{\circ}C$ for block3, respectivly. Therefore, the ratio on the rising degree between the observed and computed were shown as 53%, 44%, and 18%, mean 38% through each block warm water pool (referring item $\circled9$ of table 11,12, and 13). Accordingly, formula (4) in order to fit for each block warm water pool was transfromed as follow; {{{{ { theta }_{w } - { theta }_{ 0} =[1-exp LEFT { { 1-(1+2 varphi )} over {cp } CDOT { A} over { q} RIGHT } ] TIMES ( { theta }_{w } - { theta }_{ 0}) TIMES C }}}} Here, correction coefficinent was computed 1.38, and being substituted 1.38 for C in preceding formula, the expected water temperature will be calculated to be able to irrigate the rice paddy. As the result, we can apply the coefficient in order to plan and to construct a new warm water pool.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.63-75
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• 2016

For safe water supply, residual chlorine has to be maintained in tap-water above a certain level from drinking water treatment plants to the final tap-water end-point. However, according to the current literature, approximately 30-60% of residual chlorine is being lost during the whole water supply pathways. The losses of residual chlorine may have been attributed to the current tendency for water supply managers to reduce chlorine dosage in drinking water treatment plants, aqueous phase decomposition of residual chlorine in supply pipes, accelerated chlorine decomposition at a high temperature during summer, leakage or losses of residual chlorine from old water supply pipes, and disappearances of residual chlorine in water storage tanks. Because of these, it is difficult to rule out the possibility that residual chlorine concentrations become lower than a regulatory level. In addition, it is concerned that the regulatory satisfaction of residual chlorine in water storage tanks can not always be guaranteed by using the current design method in which only storage capacity and/or hydraulic retention time are simply used as design factors, without considering other physico-chemical processes involved in chlorine disappearances in water storage tank. To circumvent the limitations of the current design method, mathematical models for aqueous chlorine decomposition, sorption of chlorine into wall surface, and mass-transfer into air-phase via evaporation were selected from literature, and residual chlorine reduction behavior in water storage tanks was numerically simulated. The model simulation revealed that the major factors influencing residual chlorine disappearances in water storage tanks are the water quality (organic pollutant concentration) of tap-water entering into a storage tank, the hydraulic dispersion developed by inflow of tap-water into a water storage tank, and sorption capacity onto the wall of a water storage tank. The findings from his work provide useful information in developing novel design and technology for minimizing residual chlorine disappearances in water storage tanks.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.81-84
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• 2004

Biological oxygen demand (BOD) as a stream water quality indicator was monitored monthly in the Mankyeong and Dongjin river basins from June 2001 to October 2002 to evaluate water qualitied as well as to get the information on the water quality management strategy in Semangeum reclamation areas. BOD in the Mankyeong river was 5.4mg/L in average during the survey and increased after the inflow of Iksan tributary, which was contaminated with livestock wastewater. BOD of Iksan tributary was maintained at 5.4 mg/L before joining the Wanggung tributary, however, that in the downstream was increased to 13.6 mg/L in average due to the inlet of the livestock wastewater. Meanwhile, BOD of Dongjin river was the average of 2.8 mg/L during the survey periods but it showed 3.5 mg/L when Jungeup tributary which was contaminated with sewage and industrial wastewater joined into the main stream. BOD in both Mankyeong and Dongjin rivers decreased in 2002 as compared to that in 2001.