• Title/Summary/Keyword: cargo volume

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Quantitative Analysis of Port Incentive Effect: Focusing on Busan Port (항만인센티브제도의 효과에 대한 정량적 분석: 부산항을 중심으로)

  • Ha, Myung-Sin;Kim, Chul-Min;Chang, Byoung-Ky
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2011
  • Various incentive policies for transshipment cargo have been enforced without any evaluation of the effectiveness. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of volume incentive on container transshipment cargo. To be different from previous studies, this study tries to quantitatively assess the incentive effects by using econometric techniques. The result derived from the ARIMA type models indicates that the total amount of the increased transshipment cargo during the last 7 years is about one million TEU. In the meanwhile, the multivariate long run equilibrium model implies that the increased transshipment cargo is less than 0.5 million TEU for the 7 years. Furthermore, the structural break tests indicate that the volume incentive does not change the model structures. It means that the effect of volume incentive is not statistically significant. Consequently, the test results conclude the effect of volume incentive on transshipment cargo is not significant although the volume of transshipment cargo is increased to some extent by volume incentive. Considering the magnitude of BPA's expenditure, we doubt the effectiveness of volume incentive. This study, therefore, encourages the port authority to research a more efficient way to induce transshipment cargo rather than focusing on only volume incentives.

A study on Securing Port Competitiveness through analysis of General Cargo Volume at Busan Port (부산항의 일반 화물 물동량 분석을 통한 항만 경쟁력 확보에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hak-Sung;Cho, Sang-Lee
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.295-308
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    • 2023
  • Busan Port, as Korea's representative trading port, handles a variety of port cargo from bulk cargo to container cargo. Busan Port is currently functioning as a container specialized port for North Port and Busan New Port, and Gamcheon Port is also handling container cargo mainly in bulk cargo. This study intends to examine the overlapping cargoes and specialized cargoes between these ports and Busan Port as the amount of import and export cargoes in ports designated as trade ports in Korea is increasing. In order to understand the characteristics of the major cargoes handled in the port, the quantitative change is confirmed through the total cargo volume of major domestic ports and the trend of changes in import/export cargo between Busan Port and major ports is analyzed. There are many specialized investigation methods, but as the most basic method, we will examine quantitative changes and causes by simply examining the data for 10 years as the amount of change by cargo. In addition, the causes of these fluctuations should be reclassified into domestic and foreign causes by identifying changes in customers in different ports and shipping volumes, changes in consumption areas, and transshipment volumes. Through the analysis of the major cargo volume of each port, the characteristics and fluctuation trends of major cargo handled in Busan Port and other ports are identified, and the competitive cargoes of each port are verified. Through this, the characteristics and competitiveness of the port are inferred, and implications for the cargo volume of Busan Port and future countermeasures are suggested.

Synchronization Phenomenon between Export Weight & Control Volume, Inland Cargo, Export Cargo, Ship Departure (수출중량과 관제탑관제량, 내항화물입항, 수출화물수송 그리고 선박출항과의 동조화현상)

  • Kim, Shin-Joong;Choi, Soo-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to look for the relationship between export weight and control volume, inland cargo, export cargo transport, ship departure. The analysis period were used for a total of 113 monthly data from January 2011 to May 2020. Data were retrieved from the Korean Statistical Information Service of the Statistics Korea. The data used in this study were performed numerical analysis, index analysis and model analysis using the rate of change from the same month of the previous year. In the trend of the increase rate, the amount of control has plummeted from 150% to 60% due to the influence of Corona 19 in the beginning of 2020. At the same time, export weight and export cargo transport also decreased. As a result of the analysis, export weight showed relatively high synchronization with export cargo transport and control volume. On the other hand, export weight and inland cargo showed relatively low synchronization. Export weight is expected to continue in 2020 after the fluctuation rate began to decrease after 2019. If we can find the point of rebound in control volume or export cargo transport in the future, we can predict the point of increase in export weight. We expect to see an increase in export weight as soon as possible.

Study on the Forecasting and Relationship of Busan Cargo by ARIMA and VAR·VEC (ARIMA와 VAR·VEC 모형에 의한 부산항 물동량 예측과 관련성연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Yhun;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2020
  • More accurate forecasting of port cargo in the global long-term recession is critical for the implementation of port policy. In this study, the Busan Port container volume (export cargo and transshipment cargo) was estimated using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model and the vector error correction (VEC) model considering the causal relationship between the economic scale (GDP) of Korea, China, and the U.S. as well as ARIMA, a single volume model. The measurement data was the monthly volume of container shipments at the Busan port J anuary 2014-August 2019. According to the analysis, the time series of import and export volume was estimated by VAR because it was relatively stable, and transshipment cargo was non-stationary, but it has cointegration relationship (long-term equilibrium) with economic scale, interest rate, and economic fluctuation, so estimated by the VEC model. The estimation results show that ARIMA is superior in the stationary time-series data (local cargo) and transshipment cargo with a trend are more predictable in estimating by the multivariate model, the VEC model. Import-export cargo, in particular, is closely related to the size of our country's economy, and transshipment cargo is closely related to the size of the Chinese and American economies. It also suggests a strategy to increase transshipment cargo as the size of China's economy appears to be closer than that of the U.S.

A Study of Incentive System Problems for Busan.Gwangyang Port (부산항.광양항 인센티브제도의 문제점)

  • Won, Yangyeon;Kim, Dogeun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2013
  • This paper aims to identify the problems of incentives and find a solution to them by empirically analyzing the port incentives and the development of cargo volume. The current method of paying performance incentives and cargo-increase incentives makes it is possible for shipping companies to get the maximum incentives just by regulating cargo volumes without increasing them. Since the processing volume of transshipment cargo of the Busan port is over the volume eligible for the maximum incentive determined by the tie-up of shipping companies, the transshipment cargo can decrease. The incentive of the Busan port based on the cargo record and increase does not affect the increase of transshipment cargo, only to suffer a loss, and thus a new incentive system is needed that does not allow shipping companies to regulate cargo volumes. Based on the result of this study, We have to apply the even-handed incentive rule which pays the incentive for the cargo volume of the pertinent year with the unit price per 1 TEU to avoid the chicken game among the ports.

Change of Logistics Environment in North-East Asia and Hub Port Strategy of Gwangyang Port (동북아 물류환경 변화와 광양항의 허브항만 전략)

  • Kang, Young-Moon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.35-59
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    • 2005
  • The Purpose of this study is to exmaine fundamental problems of Gwangyang Port and draw up plans of its Hub Port. Gwangyang Port has been gradually reduced container cargo increase rate. on account of large development of Chinese Port, undevelopment of Hinterland, Port facilities of Gwangyang Port. We should develop hinterland to be closely connected with Port Cluster, Business City, Free Economic Zone to increase cargo volume. and in order to increase transshipment cargo volume, We should prepare diverse plans that can induce Chinese and Japanese transshipment cargo. Gwangyang Port and Busan Port should be managed united one port system by a Port Authority to strengthen international competitiveness. Activation of new ports for the most part call for full support by Government at the beginning. Gwangyang Port's future it can be if Government has strong will.

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A Study on Recent Trends and Prospects of Domestic and International Shipping Industries (국내외 해운업의 최근 동향과 전망에 관한 연구)

  • Byun, Dae-Ho
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the growth status and future prospects of the shipping industry over the past decade through a review of the statistical database and related literature. We classify the shipping industry and survey a number of companies, number of employees, sales trends and shipping logistics market outlook, port cargo volume, and container throughput trends with regard to the sea cargo shipping business, freezing cold warehousing business, harbor cargo unloading business, and international freight forwarding business. We will also look at the overall trends, scale, cargo volume, and harbor automation status of the global shipping market.

A Study on the Factors Influencing Cargo Volume of Small & Medium Container Port in Korea (국내 중소형 컨테이너항만 물동량에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chang-Ki;Nam, Ki-Chan;Kang, Dal-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 2015
  • Port is responsible for the important role that creates a lot of value-added export and import-intensive countries, critical infrastructure, and in the national economy. Despite being an important facility for the past, awareness of the port is insufficient; In 2000s, increasing the world container traffic volumes, China's economic development, and trade volume in the Northeast Asia to generate a lot of are changing the perception of the role and importance of the port. According to the review of the master plan and the port recognition in Korean Port, this study examines determining factors which affects the port cargo volume. The target of the study is domestic small and medium-sized container port that receives a large hinterland cargo volume, excluding the impact of the Global Hub Port like Busan and Gwangyang port. Factors that affect the multiple regression analysis result of the port cargo volume are berthing capacity, degree of activation, connection number of countries, GRDP and number of manufacturers.

The Forecast of the Cargo Transportation and Traffic Volume on Container in Gwangyang Port, using Time Series Models (시계열 모형을 이용한 광양항의 컨테이너 물동량 및 교통량 예측)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.425-431
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    • 2008
  • The future cargo transportation and traffic volume on container in Gwangyang port was forecasted by using univariate time series models in this research. And the container ship traffic was produced. The constructed models all were most adapted to Winters' additive models with a trend and seasonal change. The cargo transportation on container in Gwangyang port was estimated each about 2,756 thousand TEU and 4,470 thousand TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 7.4%, 16.2% compared with 2007. The volume per ship on container was estimated each about 675TEU and 801TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 30.3%, 54.6% compared with 2007. Also, traffic volume on container incoming in Gwangyang Port was prospected each about 4,078ships and 5,921ships in 2011 and 2015.