• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.55-79
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• 2015

It is well known that using any additional information in the estimation of unknown parameters with new sample of observations diminishes the sampling units needed and minimizes the risk of new estimators. There are many rational reasons to assure that the existence of additional information in practice and there exists many practical cases in which additional information is available in the form of target value (initial value) about the unknown parameters. This article is described the problem of how the prior initial value about the unknown parameters can be utilized and combined with classical Bayes estimator to get a new combination of Bayes estimator and prior value to improve the properties of the new combination. In this article, two classes of Bayes-shrinkage and preliminary test Bayes-shrinkage estimators are proposed for the scale parameter of exponential distribution. The bias, risk and risk ratio expressions are derived and studied. The performance of the proposed classes of estimators is studied for different choices of constants engaged in the estimators. The comparisons, conclusions and recommendations are demonstrated.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.325-337
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• 2017

In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제51권2호
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• pp.199-214
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• 2014

The present investigation is concerned with the effect of two temperatures on functionally graded (FG) nanobeams subjected to sinusoidal pulse heating sources. Material properties of the nanobeam are assumed to be graded in the thickness direction according to a novel exponential distribution law in terms of the volume fractions of the metal and ceramic constituents. The upper surface of the FG nanobeam is fully ceramic whereas the lower surface is fully metal. The generalized two-temperature nonlocal theory of thermoelasticity in the context of Lord and Shulman's (LS) model is used to solve this problem. The governing equations are solved in the Laplace transformation domain. The inversion of the Laplace transformation is computed numerically using a method based on Fourier series expansion technique. Some comparisons have been shown to estimate the effects of the nonlocal parameter, the temperature discrepancy and the pulse width of the sinusoidal pulse. Additional results across the thickness of the nanobeam are presented graphically.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.91-97
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• 1988

In accelerated life testing, a relationship is usually assumed between the stress and a parameter of the lifetime distribution. However, the true relationship is not usually known, and therefore, the experimenter may wish to provide protections against the likely departures from the assumed relationship. This paper considers an accelerated life test in which two stress levels are involved, and the lifetime of each test item at a stress level is assumed to have an independent, identical, exponential distribution. For the case where a first order relationship is assumed while the true one is quadratic, a procedure is developed for allocating test items to stress levels such that the bias and/or the variance of the estimated(log-transformed) mean lifetime at the use condition is minimized.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제63권3호
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• pp.401-415
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• 2017

In this article, hygro-thermo-mechanical vibration and buckling of exponentially graded (EG) nanoplates resting on two-parameter Pasternak foundations are studied using the four-unknown shear deformation plate theory. The material properties are presumed to change only in the thickness direction of the EG nanoplate according to two exponential laws distribution. The boundary conditions of the nanoplate may be simply supported, clamped, free or combination of them. To consider the small scale effect on forced frequencies and buckling, Eringen's differential form of nonlocal elasticity theory is employed. The accuracy of the present study is investigated considering the available solutions in literature. A detailed analysis is executed to study the influences of the plate aspect ratio, side-to-thickness ratio, temperature rise, moisture concentration and volume fraction distributions on the vibration and buckling of the nanoplates.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제66권6호
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• pp.737-748
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• 2018

The current study presents a new technique in the framework of the nonlocal elasticity theory for a comprehensive buckling analysis of Euler-Bernoulli nano-beams made up of bidirectional functionally graded material (BDFGM). The mechanical properties are considered by exponential and arbitrary variations for axial and transverse directions, respectively. The various circumstances including tapering, resting on two-parameter elastic foundation, step-wise or continuous variations of axial loading, various shapes of sections with various distribution laws of mechanical properties and various boundary conditions like the multi-span beams are taken into account. As far as we know, for the first time in the current work, the buckling analyses of BDFGM nano-beams are carried out under mentioned circumstances. The critical buckling loads and mode shapes are calculated by using energy method and a new technique based on calculus of variations and collocation method. Fast convergence and excellent agreement with the known data in literature, wherever possible, presents the efficiency of proposed technique. The effects of boundary conditions, material and taper constants, foundation moduli, variable axial compression and small-scale of nano-beam on the buckling loads and mode shapes are investigated. Moreover the analytical solutions, for the simpler cases are provided in appendices.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.100-109
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• 2016

이 연구에서는 횡등방성 암석파괴함수의 개발에 활용할 수 있는 3가지 강도정수 공간분포함수를 제안하였다. 제안된 분포함수는 편구(oblate spheroid)분포함수, 지수분포함수, 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수이며 모두 2개의 모델파라미터로 정의된다. 제안된 분포함수들을 점착력과 마찰각의 공간분포함수로 활용하여 횡등방성 Mohr-Coulomb 파괴함수를 유도한 후 이를 활용하여 수치삼축시험을 모사하였다. 연약면의 경사각과 구속압의 변화에 따른 파괴축응력 변화 및 파괴면 방향 변화를 계산한 결과 3개의 분포함수을 적용한 경우 모두 실제 실험에서 관찰되는 이방성 파괴특성을 재현하고 있음을 확인하였다. 3개의 분포함수 중 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수를 채용한 경우가 가장 큰 파괴축강도를 계산하였으며 지수분포함수, 편구분포함수 순으로 낮은 파괴축강도 값을 예측하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.138-147
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• 2017

As the functions and structure of the system are complicated and elaborated, various types of structures are emerging to increase reliability in order to cope with a system requiring higher reliability. Among these, standby systems with standby components for each major component are mainly used in aircraft or power plants requiring high reliability. In this study, we consider a standby system with a multi-functional standby component in which one standby component simultaneously performs the functions of several major components. The structure of a parallel system with multifunctional standby components can also be seen in real aircraft hydraulic pump systems and is very efficient in terms of weight, space, and cost as compared to a basic standby system. All components of the system have complete operation, complete failure, only two states, and the system has multiple states depending on the state of the component. At this time, the multi-functional standby component is assumed to be in a non-operating standby state (Cold Standby) when the main component fails. In addition, the failure rate of each part follows the Weibull distribution which can be expressed as increasing type, constant type, and decreasing type according to the shape parameter. If the Weibull distribution is used, it can be applied to various environments in a realistic manner compared to the exponential distribution that can be reflected only when the failure rate is constant. In this paper, Markov chain analysis method is applied to evaluate the reliability of multi-functional multi-state standby system. In order to verify the validity of the reliability, a graph was generated by applying arbitrary shape parameters and scale parameter values through Excel. In order to analyze the effect of multi-functional multi-state standby system using Weibull distribution, we compared the reliability based on the most basic parallel system and the standby system.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.289-302
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• 1993

본 연구에서는 지수분포성 적합도검정 문제를 다루는데, 모수가 미지인 상황에서 제1종단일 우측중도절단 표본과 제2종우측중도절단 표본인 경우에 각각 적용될 수 있는 새로운 검정통 계량을 제안하였다. 미지의 모수 문제를 해결하기 위해서 K-변환을 고려하였으며 중도절단 균일표본을 완결 균일표본으로 전환시키기 위해서 Rosenblatt 변환을 적용하였다. 전환된 완결 균일표본의 적합도검정을 위한 통계량은 분포함수와 경험분포함수의 편차의 $L_1-norm$ 으로 정의되었다. 검정 통계량의 임계치는 Monte Carlo simulation에 의해 구 했으며, 잘 알려진 Pettit 검정법과 검정력을 비교하였는데, 새로 제안된 검정통계량의 검정 력이 대체로 우수한 것으로 평가되었다.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.76-87
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• 1997

This paper deals with reliability and MTTF analysis of a non-repairable man-machine system operating under different weather conditions. The system consists of a hardware(machine) and a two-operator standby subsystem such as the air combat maneuvering of fighters with dual seat. The failure times for the subsystems follow the exponential distribution with constant parameter. By considering not only the effect on hardware component but also the weather conditions and human performance factors such as the operator's errors, a Markov model is presented as a method for evaluating the system reliability of time continuous operation tasks. Laplace transforms of the various state probabilities have been derived and then reliability of the system, at any time t, has been computed by inversion process. MTTF has also been computed.