• 대기
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.627-637
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• 2019

Severe and long-lasting heat waves over Korea and many regions in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the 2016 summer, have been attributed to global warming and atmospheric teleconnection coupled with tropical convective activities. Yet, what controls subseasonsal time scale of heat wave has not been well addressed. Here we show a critical role of two dominant boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) modes, denominated as BSISO1 and BSISO2, on modulating temporal structure of heat waves in the midst of similar climate background. The 2016 summer was characterized by La Nina development following decay of strong 2015/2016 El Nino. The NH circumglobal teleconnection pattern (CGT) and associated high temperature anomalies and heat waves were largely driven by convective activity over northwest India and Pakistan during summer associated with La Nina development. However, the heat wave event in Korea from late July to late August was accompanied by the phase 7~8 of 30~60-day BSISO1 characterized by convective activity over the South China Sea and Western North Pacific and anticyclonic circulation (AC) anomaly over East Asia. Although the 2010 summer had very similar climate anomalies as the 2016 summer with La Nina development and CGT, short-lasting but frequent heat waves were occurred during August associated with the phase 1~2 of 10~30-day BSISO2 characterized by convective activity over the Philippine and South China Sea and AC anomaly over East Asia. This study has an implication on importance of BSISO for better understanding mechanism and temporal structure of heat waves in Korea.

• 대기
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.125-154
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• 2023

Since the Korean Meteorological Society was organized in 1963, the climate dynamics fields have been made remarkable progress. Here, we documented the academic developments in the area of climate dynamics performed by members of Korean Meteorological Society, based on studies that have been published mainly in the Journal of Korean Meteorological Society, Atmosphere, and Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences. In these journals, the fundamental principles of typical ocean-atmosphere climatic phenomena such as El Niño, Madden-Julian Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, their modeling, prediction, and its impact, are being conducted by members of Korean Meteorological Society. Recently, research has been expanded to almost all climatic factors including cryosphere and biosphere, as well as areas from a global perspective, not limited to one region. In addition, research using an artificial intelligence (AI), which can be called a cutting-edge field, has been actively conducted. In this paper, topics including intra-seasonal and Madden-Julian Oscillations, East Asian summer monsoon, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, mid-latitude and polar climate variations and some paleo climate and ecosystem studies, of which driving mechanism, modeling, prediction, and global impact, are particularly documented.

• 대기
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.101-118
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• 2005

Atmospheric ozone changes temporally and spatially according to both anthropogenic and natural causes. It is essential to quantify the natural contributions to total ozone variations for the estimation of trend caused by anthropogenic processes. The aims of this study are to understand the intrinsic natural variability of long-term total ozone changes and to estimate more reliable ozone trend caused by anthropogenic ozone-depleting materials. For doing that, long-term time series for Seoul of monthly total ozone which were measured from both ground-based Dobson Spectrophotometer (Beck #124)(1985-2004) and satellite TOMS (1979-1984) are analyzed for selected period, after dividing the whole period (1979~2004) into two periods; the former period (1979~1991) and the latter period (1992~2004). In this study, ozone trends for the time series are calculated using multiple regression models with explanatory natural oscillations for the Arctic Oscillation(AO), North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO), North Pacific Oscillation(NPO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO), Quasi Biennial Oscillation(QBO), Southern Oscillation(SO), and Solar Cycle(SC) including tropopause pressure(TROPP). Using the developed models, more reliable anthropogenic ozone trend is estimated than previous studies that considered only QBO and SC as natural oscillations (eg; WMO, 1999). The quasi-anthropogenic ozone trend in Seoul is estimated to -0.12 %/decade during the whole period, -2.39 %/decade during the former period, and +0.10 %/decade during the latter period, respectively. Consequently, the net forcing mechanism of the natural oscillations on the ozone variability might be noticeably different in two time intervals with positive forcing for the former period (1979-1991) and negative forcing for the latter period (1992-2004). These results are also found to be consistent with those analyzed from the data observed at ground stations (Sapporo, Tateno) of Japan. In addition, the recent trend analyses for Seoul show positive change-in-trend estimates of +0.75 %/decade since 1997 relative to negative trend of -1.49 %/decade existing prior to 1997, showing -0.74 %/decade for the recent 8-year period since 1997. Also, additional supporting evidence for a slowdown in ozone depletion in the upper stratosphere has been obtained by Newchurch et al.(2003).

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제38권7호
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• pp.469-480
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• 2017

Controversy has surrounded the potential impacts of phytoplankton on the tropical climate, since climate models produce diverse behaviors in terms of the equatorial mean state and El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude. We explored biophysical impacts on the tropical ocean temperature using an ocean general circulation model coupled to a biogeochemistry model in which chlorophyll can modify solar attenuation and in turn feed back to ocean physics. Compared with a control model run excluding biophysical processes, our model with biogeochemistry showed that subsurface chlorophyll concentrations led to an increase in sea surface temperature (particularly in the western Pacific) via horizontal accumulation of heat contents. In the central Pacific, however, a mild cold anomaly appeared, accompanying the strengthened westward currents. The magnitude and skewness of ENSO were also modulated by biophysical feedbacks resulting from the chlorophyll affecting El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$ in an asymmetric way. That is, El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ conditions were intensified by the higher contribution of the second baroclinic mode to sea surface temperature anomalies, whereas La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$ conditions were slightly weakened by the absorption of shortwave radiation by phytoplankton. In our model experiments, the intensification of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ was more dominant than the dampening of La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$, resulting in the amplification of ENSO and higher skewness.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제33권7호
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• pp.583-595
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• 2012

대기 및 해양의 대규모 환경에서 열대저기압 발생의 잠재적 빈도는 잠재생성지수(GPI; Genesis Potential Index)를 이용하여 예측할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 18개의 CMIP5 기후모델을 이용하여 GPI의 연진동 및 경년변동성이 분석되었다. 비교를 위하여 재분석자료로부터 계산된 GPI의 연진동이 재조명되었다. 특히 CMIP5 기후모델과 재분석자료에 의한 GPI가 비교되었고, 그 차이에 대한 가능한 해석이 논의되었다. ENSO (El Nino and Southern Oscillation)는 열대 저기압 발생 및 경로에 영향을 주는 열대 기후현상이다. 잠재생성지수가 네 개의 대규모 매개변수의 함수임을 이용함으로써 열대저기압발생에 대한 역학적 해석이 제시되었다. 본 연구에서는 엘니뇨 혹은 라니냐 해에 GPI 편차를 논의하였고, 그 편차에 가장 영향을 많이 주는 인자를 찾았다. 또한 여러 대규모 인자를 활용하여 북태평양지역 열대저기압 발생에 대하여 가능한 기작을 논의하였다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.593-601
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• 2000

Kim and Lee(2000)는 우리 나라 충주댐의 월 유입량을 EI Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)과 연관지어 분석한 결과, 엘리뇨가 발생한 해의 가을과 겨울의 유입량은 평년보다 적은 반면, 라니냐가 발생한 해의 가을과 겨울의 유입량은 평년보다 많음을 밝힌바 있다. 본 연구에서는 이런 ENSO와 유입량 사이의 원격상관관계를 저수지 운영에 활용하는 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 즉, ENSO 정보를 추계동적계획법(SDP)의 수문상태변수로 사용하여 충주댐의 월 운영율을 산출하였다. 대안으로, 수문상태변수를 사용하지 않은 SDP로 월 운영율울 또한 산출하였다. 이러한 두 가지 운영율을 모의운영을 통하여 비교함으로써, ENSO 정보를 이용하였을 때의 가치를 검토하였다. 모의운영 결과, ENSO 정보를 이용한 운영울은 발전량과 용수공급의 안정성을 증대시키고 동시에 월류량을 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제48권4호
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• pp.489-497
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• 2015

To reveal the spatial and temporal variability in the distribution, growth, and maturation of skipjack tuna Katsuwonus pelamis in the western tropical Pacific, we compared two El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals and the sea surface temperature (SST) in the main fishing area with fishery and biological data. An index of skipjack tuna distribution was calculated using Korean purse seine fishery data from 1985 to 2003. Biological data for skipjack tuna were collected monthly from Korean catches during the 1994-2003 period. The catch was more closely related to the SST in the main fishing area than to the ENSO signals. However, cross-correlated function analysis showed delayed interactions between abiotic and biotic factors. The El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ events preceded the eastward movement of the fishing center by 2-3 months. El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ had a positive effect on the skipjack tuna catch, and the change in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) preceded the catch fluctuation by ca. 5-7 months. In addition, negative El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ effects on gonad maturation and the mean length of skipjack tuna were detected with time lags of 12 and 7 months, respectively. The length frequency indicated that the regime-specific growth pattern at each discrete period seemed to be related to the ENSO.

• 한국제4기학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.53-61
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 엘니뇨-남방진동(ENSO)이 한반도 중부지역의 수목 생장에 미친 영향을 조사하기 위하여 잣나무, 소나무, 주목을 대상으로 연륜분석을 실시하였다. 잣나무와 소나무는 설악산에서 각각 4개, 7개 지역에서 채취하였으며, 주목은 소백산의 1개 지역에서 채취하였다. 연륜 생장과 월 평균기온과의 상관관계를 구한 결과, 설악산 잣나무와 소백산 주목은 대체적으로 기온과 양의 상관관계를 갖는 것으로 나타났으며, 설악산 소나무는 기온과 음의 상관관계를 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 연륜생장과 월별 남방진동지수(SOI)와의 상관관계를 구한 결과, 잣나무의 경우는 고도상 생육하한선인 설악산 한계령 하부 지역에서 4월 SOI와 유의한 음의 상관관계를 나타내었으나, 나머지 지역 잣나무는 모두 유의성이 인정되지 않았다. 소나무의 경우는 백담산장 지역에서 생육전년도 8월과 9월 SOI와 연륜생장이 유의한 양의 상관관계를 나타내었으나 고지대에 자라는 지역의 소나무는 모두 상관이 인정되지 않았다. 엘니뇨가 발생하면 중부지역의 생육하한선에 자라는 잣나무는 생장이 양호해지는 반면에 저지대에 자라는 소나무의 경우 생장이 저하되는 것으로 해석된다.

• 대기
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.325-336
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• 2018

This study investigates robust features of interdecadal changes in the Northern hemisphere summer tropical-extratropical teleconnection occurred around the mid-to-late 1990s by analyzing four different reanalysis data for atmospheric circulation and temperature, two precipitation reconstructions, and two sea surface temperature (SST) data during the satellite observation era of 1980~2017. For the last 38 years, there has been a significant increasing trend in anticyclonic circulation at lower and upper troposphere and 2 m air temperature with wavenumber-5 Rossby wave structure in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropics. The increase has been accompanied with the significant weakening and northward shift of jet stream over Eurasia and the North Pacific. It is further found that there has been a significant interdecadal shift occurred around the mid-to-late 1990s in the two distinct modes of tropical-extratropical teleconnection: Western Pacific-North America (WPNA) and circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) pattern. After mid-to-late 1990s, the WPNA has played more important role in modulating the extratropical atmospheric circulation and surface climate, which has been preferentially occurred during the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) decaying or transition summer such as 1998, 2010 and 2016. During these summers, severe heat waves were occurred over many parts of the NH extratropics due to the combined effect of the increasing trend in the barotropic anticyclonic circulation and the significant WPNA across the NH. Although weakened, the CGT also contributed to some of hot summers over many parts of the NH extratropics such as 1999, 2000, 2008, 2011, and 2012 when weak to moderate La $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ was persisted.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제40권6호
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• pp.561-571
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• 2019

To understand the genesis of tropical cyclones (TC), we computed TC genesis probability (GPr) by partitioning a highly localized genesis frequency (GFq) into nearby grid boxes in proportion to the spatial coherence of genesis potential index (GPI). From the analysis of TCs simulated by the Seoul National University Atmosphere Model Version 0 and the observed TCs, it was shown that GPr reasonably converges to GFq when averaged over a long-term period in a decent grid size, supporting its validity as a proxy representing a true TC GPr. The composite anomalies of the gridded GPr in association with the Asia summer monsoon, El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) are much less noisy than those of GFq, and consequently are better interpretable. In summary, GPr converges to GFq, varies more smoothly than GFq, represents the spatiotemporal variations of GFq better than GPI, and depicts GFq with greater spatial details than other spatially smoothed GFqs.