• 상하수도학회지
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.799-811
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• 2006

As an alternative measure to replace reactive stance with proactive one, a risk based management scheme has been commonly applied to enhance public satisfaction on water service by providing a higher creditable solution to handle a rehabilitation problem of pipe having high potential risk of leaks. This study intended to examine the feasibility of a simulation model to predict a recurrence probability of pipe leaks. As a branch of the data mining technique, probabilistic neural network (PNN) algorithm was applied to infer the extent of leaking recurrence probability of water network. PNN model could classify the leaking level of each unit segment of the pipe network. Pipe material, diameter, C value, road width, pressure, installation age as input variable and 5 classes by pipe leaking probability as output variable were built in PNN model. The study results indicated that it is important to pay higher attention to the pipe segment with the leak record. By increase the hydraulic pipe pressure to meet the required water demand from each node, simulation results indicated that about 6.9% of total number of pipe would additionally be classified into higher class of recurrence risk than present as the reference year. Consequently, it was convinced that the application of PNN model incorporated with a data base management system of pipe network to manage municipal water distribution network could make a promise to enhance the management efficiency by providing the essential knowledge for decision making rehabilitation of network.

• 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.127-135
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• 2023

요즘, 우울증 및 스트레스로 자살하는 환자가 급증하고 있다. 뿐만 아니라, 스트레스 및 우울증이 오래 지속되면, 심장병 및 뇌 질환, 고혈압 등을 유발할 수 있는 위험한 요소로 질환이다. 그러나, 아무리 현대 의학이 발전하였지만, 우울증 및 심장병 환자에게는 특별한 약이나 치료제가 없는 매우 난감한 상황이다. 그러므로, 세계 여러 나라에서, 심전도 및 산소포화도, 뇌파 분석 기능을 이용해서 우울증 위험환자 및 자살 위험환자를 조기에 판단하는 연구가 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는, 이러한 문제점을 분석하기 위해서, 심장병 가설데이터를 수립해서, 심장병 위험환자를 판단하는 컴퓨터 모의실험을 수행하였다. 특히, 심장병 발생 예측을 을 10% 이상 향상하게 시키기 위해서, 퍼지 추론을 사용하는 모의실험을 수행하였다.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.37-44
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• 2020

패류 중 소비량이 높은 굴에서의 고병원성 Vibrio균(V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae)의 식중독 발생 가능성을 분석하기 위하여 위해평가를 실시하였다. 남해권역, 서해권역, 수도권에서 유통되고 있는 굴 88개를 채취하여 V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae의 오염실태를 조사하고, 생굴에서의 V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae의 생장 경향을 관찰하였다. 2017년의 국민건강영양조사 데이터를 활용하여 생굴의 섭취자 비율 및 섭취량을 조사하였으며, 생굴 섭취로 인한 V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae의 식중독 발생 가능성을 분석하기 위해 @RISK를 통해 위해평가를 실시하였다. 88개의 생굴에서 V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae는 검출되지 않아 Beta distribution과 자연로그를 이용한 식을 통해 초기오염수준을 추정하였다. 그 결과 두 세균 모두 -3.6 Log CFU/g으로 생굴에 오염되어 있는 것으로 추정되었다. 생굴에 bioaccumulation된 V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae는 생장하지 않고 초기 접종 수준을 유지하는 것으로 확인되었다. 생굴을 섭취했다고 응답한 사람은 7,167명 중 25명이었으며, 따라서 섭취자 비율은 0.35%로 나타났다. 섭취량에 대한 최적확률분포는 exponential distribution으로 나타났으며 생굴의 평균 섭취량은 66.8 g으로 확인되었다. V. vulnificus와 V. cholerae의 용량-반응 모델은 Beta-Poisson model을 사용하였다. 이상의 데이터를 이용하여 위해평가 시뮬레이션을 개발하고 분석하였다. 초기오염수준으로 오염된 생굴을 바로 섭취함으로써 발생할 수 있는 식중독발생 가능성은 V. vulnificus의 경우 평균 9.08×10^-15, V. cholerae는 8.16×10^-13이며, 섭취자 비율이 식중독 발생 가능성에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.165-172
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• 2016

A Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), which is typically exemplified by the Global Positioning System (GPS), employs a open signal structure so it is vulnerable to spoofing electronic attack using a similar malicious signal with that used in the GPS. It is necessary to require a spoofing test evaluation environment to check the risk of spoofing attack and evaluate the performance of a newly developed anti-spoofing technique against spoofing attacks. The present paper proposed a simulation method of spoofing environment based on simulator that can be implementable in a test room and analyzed the spoofing simulation performance using commercial GPS receivers. The implemented spoofing simulation system ran synchronized two GPS simulator modules in a single scenario to generate both of spoofing and GPS signals simultaneously. Because the signals are generated in radio frequency, a commercial GPS receiver can be tested using this system. Experimental test shows the availability of this system, and anti-spoofing performance of a commercial GPS receiver has been analyzed.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.68-69
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• 2015

Traditional External Insulation Finishing System(EIFS) is applied to apartment construction by performing structural framework and insulation finishing work sequentially. Separate execution of the three works increases construction cost and duration. Concurrent construction method of EIFS, which performs framework and insulation finishing work simultaneously, is introduced in order to solve these problems. However, the introduced method is exposed to the risk of construction delay caused by bottlenecks due to interacting processes and resources. Therefore, this paper presents a simulation model suitable for estimating work productivity of the concurrent construction by considering predecessor and successor processes to optimize resource allocation and minimize construction delay.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제33권10호
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• pp.781-787
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• 2016

We introduce FEST (Flight Environment Simulation Test) procedures for precise guided missiles to reliably improve systems. Flight vibration specification was established based on power spectral density curves calculated from flight test data of a high speed precise guided missile. A FEST pre-profile was developed according to flight vibration specification and delivered to a precise guided missile assembly. Vibration responses were measured by installing accelerometers on electronic components vulnerable to dynamic forces. The FEST profile was adjusted by comparing the vibration responses and the flight vibration specification. Subsequently, the FEST profile was repeatedly modified through trial and error, because the responses were similar to the flight environment. The modified FEST profile enabled performance testing of assembled precise guided missiles under simulated flight conditions on the ground, where unexpected errors could be corrected before the flight tests, leading to cost and risk reduction in the development of the precise guided missile system.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.487-493
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• 2009

We consider a multiple defaultable zero coupon bond. Assuming defaults occur according to a marked point process, we explain how to estimate the time-t discounted price of zero coupon bond by simulation. For the special case of a given specific random face value, we show that the real probability measure is the risk neutral probability measure. In this case the time-t discounted conditional price can be obtained by observing a single sample path upto the time t in the real world. Furthermore the time-t discounted price can be estimated by observing real situations or by simulation under the real probability measure.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1770-1773
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• 2007

Fire accident in tunnel is one of the most critical railway accidents, together with overturning of train by derailment and train crash. Tunnel structures contribute to minimize the cost and time of transport, but in case of railway fire accident occurring bring serious damages of human life caused by narrowness of shelter, poisonous smoke and high temperature raised at the inside of tunnel. For that reason, at the beginning of plan of tunnel, the optimum design for rescue of passengers is needed. For the detail and most suitable design for rescue of passengers, many tunnel designer substituted simulation program for mock examination by its high cost and effort. In this study, simulation program techniques, such as Fluent and Simulex, are applied for verifying the rescue design of passengers reduced the risk when fire accident occurred at tunnel utilizing of case study for planned railway tunnels shows 1,245m length in Iksan-Sili area.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.341-343
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• 2012

This study introduces a method for computation of process and operation gap in the specific construction operation(i.e., RC frame construction applying a block-grouping scheme) using CYCLONE-based simulation modeling and analysis technique. Since uncertainty of construction environment exists, a thoughtful production planning is required to effectively deal with a risk resulting in schedule delay in advance. This study presents the concepts of a time delay occurred in a process level and operation level in a operation model, and a method of measuring gap-times in each level while the simulation progresses. It helps a site manager to decide how many segmentation in a construction block is suitable for eliminating unproductive time-delays under the constrained resources (e.g., laborer, equipment). A case study presents a network model representing a three segmented RC frame work, and result obtained from the simulation experiment.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.45-51
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• 2009

지구기후모델을 이용하여 예측된 (1) 물성치와 (2) 현재 및 미래의 표면 에너지 입력상수의 가변성을 고려한 동결 및 융해깊이를 예측하기 위하여 확률론적 접근법이 도입되었다. 확률론적 접근법을 예시하기 위하여 극지방에서의 융해깊이 예측을 고려해보았다. 특히 확률론적 융해깊이 예측을 위하여 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션과 함께 Stefan 공식이 사용되었다. 시뮬레이션 결과는 물성치의 가변성을 보여주었다. 표면 에너지 입력상수와 온도 데이터는 융해깊이를 예측하는데 상당한 불확실성을 야기시킬 수 있다.