• Title/Summary/Keyword: Relative Uncertainty

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Estimating a Precautionary Saving Motive under Consumption Uncertainty (소비의 불확실성에 따른 예비적 저축 동기 추정)

  • Hwang, Jin-tae;Kim, Sung-min
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.48-70
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    • 2020
  • Using data from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey over the period 1994-2016, we estimate the coefficient of relative prudence in order to capture precautionary saving motive. To do this, we adopt a cohort approach, where we transform such microdata into sample cohort means. Together with initial income involving liquidity constraint, we estimate the relative prudence derived from the Euler equation. The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) between estimate of it obtained from the cohort panel data analysis is too small for the existence of precautionary saving motive, as in previous studies, while the 2SLS random effects estimate is so reasonable. Moreover, the liquidity-constrained cohorts tend to be more sensitive to uncertainty, relative to the unconstrained ones.

Study on Uncertainty Factors of Head Vibration Measurements (머리 진동 측정치의 불확도 인자들에 관한 연구)

  • Cheung, Wan-Sup;Kim, Young-Tae;Ryu, Je-Dam;Hong, Dong-Pyo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.15 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses uncertainty issues encountered recently in measuring head vibration using the conventional 6-axis or 9-axis bite-bar model. Those conventional bite-bar models are shown to present insufficient information to evaluate a generalized motion of head vibration. In order to overcome such limit, a new theoretical measurement model that consists of four 3-axis linear accelerometers is suggested. It is shown to enable the measurement of three angular acceleration components and six second-order angular velocity-dependent terms. Those nine angular motion-related ones, in addition to the three linear acceleration terms at the origin, are found to make it possible to evaluate the generalized head vibration for a given position. To examine the feasibility of the proposed method, a newly designed 12-axis bite-bar was developed. Detailed experimental results obtained from the developed 12-axis bite-bar are demonstrated in this paper. They illustrate that the popular 6-axis bite-bar model yield about $4.0\%$ relative measurement uncertainty for the pitch component of head vibration, $14\%$ and $10\%$ relative measurement uncertainty for the roll and yaw components of head vibration, respectively. Furthermore, this paper proposes other uncertainty factors to be considered in the future.

A short study of uncertainty for post column isotope dilution method in HPLC-ICP/MS (HPLC-ICP/MS에서 후 컬럼 동위원소 희석법의 기초적인 불확도 연구)

  • Joo, Mingyu;Pak, Yong-Nam
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2014
  • A short study for the uncertainty of post column isotope dilution method has been performed for the analysis of Selenomethionine in HPLC-ICP/MS. Major error sources studied were concentration and the flow rate of Se isotope solution, atomic weights of Se in spike and sample, and isotope ratio measured for the spiked sample. Uncertainties were obtained for each factor and the contribution for the total concentration uncertainty was 54.4% and 0.61%, 0.0072% and 0.018%, and 45.0%, respectively. The biggest contribution factor was concentration of the spike solution and the second was the isotopic ratio measured for the spiked sample solution. The mass flow rate of spike and atomic weights did not show much contribution. The calculated total uncertainty was $1.46ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$ for the standard SeMet ($126.30ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$). The experimental result was $127.09{\pm}1.46ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$ and the relative uncertainty was 1.20%.

Estimation of Over Consolidation Ratio in Southern Coasts (남해안 지역의 과압밀비에 대한 평가)

  • Kang, Seokbeom;Heo, Yol;Bae, Wooseok
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2012
  • Efforts to understand and develop reasonable analysis methods for the uncertainty of ground have been made since the 20th century, and the concept of safety factor has been used. However, this concept has limitation in measuring the relative reliability of ground structures because the representative values of the actually used factors have uncertainty. Nevertheless, there is no method to completely remove uncertainty. In most cases, the ground investigation results in Korea are not enough for applying such statistical methods. Furthermore, performing a design without accurate investigation of consolidation state even though consolidation characteristics such as settlement and consolidation velocity vary greatly by the consolidation history can lead to many problems. Therefore, in this paper, as part of the effort to reduce the uncertainty of design around over consolidation ratio among the consolidation factors, the consolidation state was assessed on the basis of the results of high-quality laboratory tests that were performed in Gwangyang and Busan in the southern coast of Korea. Furthermore, consolidation characteristics such as over consolidation ratio by depth were proposed for different regions through statistical processes such as the test of normality and the removal of abnormal values to reduce the uncertainty of design parameters.

Uncertainty Evaluation of the Analysis of 11-Nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol in Human Urine by GC/MS (GC/MS를 이용한 소변 중 대마 대사체 분석의 측정불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Jeong, Jae-Chul;Suh, Sung-Ill;Suh, Yong-Jun;Lee, Jeong-Jik;Kim, Jong-Sang;In, Moon-Kyo
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.480-487
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    • 2008
  • We described an estimation of measurement uncertainty in quantitative analysis of 11-nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol (THCCOOH), the major metabolite of ${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol, in urine sample by solid-phase extraction (SPE) and GC/MS detection. The analytical results were compared and the different contributions to the uncertainty were evaluated. Inter-day and inter-person validation were performed using statistical analysis of several indicative factors. Measurement uncertainty associated with target analyte in real forensic samples was estimated using quality control (QC) data. Traceability of measurement was established through traceable standards, calibrated volumetric glassware and volume measuring device. The major factors of contribution to combined standard uncertainty, were calibration linearity, inter-day repeatability and inter-person reproducibility, while those associated with preparation of analytical standards and sampling volume were not so important considering the degree of contribution. Relative combined standard uncertainties associated with the described method was 12.05% for THCCOOH.

The Effect of Uncertainty Avoidance on Purchase Deferral Intention in Online Shopping : The Moderating Effect of Consumption Values (온라인 소비자의 불확실성 회피성향이 구매연기의도에 미치는 영향 : 소비가치의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Eun-cheol;Kim, Da-young;Kim, Pu-reum;Kang, Do-yoon;Park, Euna
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2019
  • This study investigated how consumer's uncertainty avoidance affect purchase deferral intention when purchasing high-involved products (i.e. laptops) in online shopping, and we looked at whether utilitarian/hedonic consumption value has a moderating effect in this relationship. Results showed the higher the uncertainty avoidance, the higher the deferral intention. Also, only the utilitarian consumption value had moderating effect in this relationship. This means that in an information overload situation like online shopping, consumers are more likely to delay their purchase intention when they have more uncertainty avoidance. Thus, to prevent this purchase delay, marketers should selectively present relative product information, strategically emphasize the importance of certain product attribution to reduce consumers' uncertainty of the product or highlight the utilitarian values of product attributes that are expected to have a significant impact on decision making.

Effects of Uncertainty and Depression on the Quality of Life of Elderly People (노인의 불확실성과 우울이 삶의 질에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyun-Seung;Cho, Sung-Hyoun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.209-219
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    • 2022
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was two-fold: to investigate the effects of uncertainty and depression on the quality of life (QoL) of elderly people with chronic diseases and to provide basic data on the physical, emotional, and psychological factors affecting their QoL in the field of physical therapy. Methods : A questionnaire covering uncertainty, depression, and QoL was distributed among 320 elderly people. Pearson's correlation analysis was performed to examine the correlation between uncertainty (ambiguity, complexity, inconsistency, and unpredictability), depression, and QoL (physical, psychological, social, and living environment domains) of the respondents; furthermore, multiple regression analysis was performed to identify the factors affecting the QoL of the respondents with a chronic disease. Results : The sub-factors of uncertainty and QoL-"complexity and social domain" (r=-.295, p<.001), "complexity and living environment domain" (r=-.302, p<.001), and "inconsistency and living environment domain" (r=-.360, p<.001)-showed a negative (-) correlation, as did depression and the sub-factors of QoL-"depression and physical domain" (r=-.782, p<.001), "depression and psychological domain" (r=-.876, p<.001), "depression and social domain" (r=-.668, p<.001), and "depression and living environment domain" (r=-.731, p<.001). The factors affecting QoL were complexity (𝛽=-.122, p<.001), inconsistency (𝛽=-.102, p=.002), unpredictability (𝛽=.112, p<.001), and depression (𝛽=-.850, p<.001). The relative influence of the independent variables was in the order of depression, complexity, unpredictability, and inconsistency, and the explanatory power was 77.1 % (F=215.853, p<.001). Conclusion : It is important to help the elderly with chronic diseases reduce the negative impact on their quality of life by helping them gain support from their families and medical professionals and by increasing their understanding through communication so that they can transition from negative emotions to positive emotions of opportunity.

Application of Sampling Theories to Data from Bottom Trawl Surveys Along the Korean Coastal Areas for Inferring the Relative Size of a Fish Population (한반도 연근해 저층 트롤 조사 자료에 표본론을 적용한 개체군의 상대적 크기 추정)

  • Lee, Hyotae;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.594-604
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    • 2017
  • The Korean National Institute of Fisheries Science (NIFS) has biannually (spring and fall, respectively) deployed a bottom trawl survey along the coastal areas for last decade, taking samples on a regular basis (i.e., a systematic sampling). Despite the availability of the survey data, NIFS has not yet officially reported the estimates of the groundfish population sizes as well as has not evaluated uncertainty of the estimates. The objectives of our study were to infer the relative size of a fish population, applying two different sampling techniques (namely simple and stratified sampling) with different observation units to the NIFS survey data, and to compare those two techniques in bias and precision. For demonstration purposes, we used data on Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) collected by the 2011-2015 surveys, and the results of simple and stratified sampling showed that the point estimates and precision varied by observation unit as well as the sampling technique.

Comparison of Geometrical Factors of Dielectric Resonators Prepared for the Surface Resistance of Superconductor Films: Field Analysis vs. Computer Simulation (초전도체 박막의 표면저항 측정용 유전체 공진기에 대한 Geometrical factor의 비교 : 전자기장 해석 대 시뮬레이션)

  • Yang, Woo-Il;Jung, Ho-Sang;Kim, Myung-Su;Cho, Man-Soon;Choo, Kee-Nam;Lee, Sang-Young
    • Progress in Superconductivity
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2011
  • In the dielectric resonator method, which has been widely used for measuring the microwave surface resistance of superconductors, accuracies in the geometrical factors (G-factors) affect the uncertainty in the measured surface resistance. We compare the G-factors of short-ended sapphire resonator as obtained by using field analysis with those by using computer simulations: The former is obtained by using the analytic expressions for the electric and the magnetic field components inside the resonator, and the latter by using computer software. The G-factors as obtained by using the latter appear to be closer to those obtained by using the former as the resonator space is divided into larger number of sub-space, i.e., a tighter mesh, with a difference of ~8 % observed for a mesh of 14400 sub-spaces reduced to ~2 % for 114996 sub-spaces. Variations in the relative uncertainty in the surface resistance of typical $YBa_2Cu_3O_{7-\delta}$ superconductor films with those in the G-factors are studied, which provides an upper limit of the relative uncertainty in the G-factors required for realizing the target uncertainty in the surface resistance. These results could be useful in estimating the optimum number of meshes for obtaining the G-factors through computer simulations.

Development of a Metrological Atomic Force Microscope for the Length Measurements of Nanometer Range (나노미터 영역 길이 측정 위한 미터 소급성을 갖는 원자간력 현미경 개발)

  • 김종안;김재완;박병천;엄태봉;홍재완
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2004
  • A metrological atomic force microscope (M-AFM) was developed fur the length measurements of nanometer range, through the modification of a commercial AFM. To eliminate nonlinearity and crosstalk of the PZT tube scanner of the commercial AFM, a two-axis flexure hinge scanner employing built-in capacitive sensors is used for X-Y motion instead of PZT tube scanner. Then two-dimensional displacement of the scanner is measured using two-axis heterodyne laser interferometer to ensure the meter-traceability. Through the measurements of several specimens, we could verify the elimination of nonlinearity and crosstalk. The uncertainty of length measurements was estimated according to the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement. Among several sources of uncertainty, the primary one is the drift of laser interferometer output, which occurs mainly from the variation of refractive index of air and the thermal stability. The Abbe error, which is proportional to the measured length, is another primary uncertainty source coming from the parasitic motion of the scanner. The expanded uncertainty (k =2) of length measurements using the M-AFM is √(4.26)$^2$+(2.84${\times}$10$^{-4}$ ${\times}$L)$^2$(nm), where f is the measured length in nm. We also measured the pitch of one-dimensional grating and compared the results with those obtained by optical diffractometry. The relative difference between these results is less than 0.01 %.