• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제6권
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• pp.1-11
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• 1995

A plunge pool is often employed as an energy-dissipating device at the end of a spillway or a pipe culvert. A jet from spillways or pipes frequently generates a scour hole which threaten the stability of the hydraulic structure. Existing scour prediction formulas of plunge pool of spillways or pipe culverts give a wide range of scour depths, and it is, therefore, difficult to accurately predict those scour depths. In this study, a new experimental method and new sour prediction formulas under submerged circular jet for large bed materials with shallow tailwater depths were developed. A major variable, which was not used in previous scour prediction equations, was the ratio of jet size to bed material size. In this study, jet momentum acting on a bed particle and jet diffustion theory were employed to derive scour prediction formulas. Four theoretical formulas were suggested for the two regions of jet diffusion, i.e., the region of flow establishment and the region of established flow. The semi-theoretically developed scour prediction formulas showed close agreement with laboratory experiments performed on movable bed made of large spherical particles.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.112-122
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• 1995

In this work, prediction of fatigue life and fatigue crack growth are studied. 4th order polynominal function is presented to describe the crack growth behaviors from artifical pit of SM45C steel. Crack growth curves obtained from 4th order polyminal growth equations are in good agreement with experimental data The crack growth behaviors at arbitrary stress levels and investigated by the concept of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics using ${\Delta}J$. Fatigue life prediction are carried out by numerical integral method. Prediction lives obtained by proposed method in this study, is in good agreement with the experimental ones. Life prediction results calculated by using of ${\Delta}J$ better than those of ${\Delta}K$.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1995년도 제27회 학술발표회
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• pp.84-98
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• 1995

Network-based model were developed to predict short term future traffic volume based on current traffic, historical average, and upstream traffic. It is presumed that upstream traffic volume can be used to predict the downstream traffic in a specific time period. Three models were developed for traffic flow prediction; a combination of historical average and upstream traffic, a combination of current traffic and upstream traffic, and a combination of all three variables. The three models were evaluated using regression analysis. The third model is found to provide the best prediction for the analyzed data. In order to balance the variables appropriately according to the present traffic condition, a heuristic adaptive weighting system is devised based on the relationships between the beginning period of prediction and the previous periods. The developed models were applied to 15-minute freeway data obtained by regular induction loop detectors. The prediction models were shown to be capable of producing reliable and accurate forecasts under congested traffic condition. The prediction systems perform better in the 15-minute range than in the ranges of 30-to 45-minute. It is also found that the combined models usually produce more consistent forecasts than the historical average.

• IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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• 제5권5호
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• pp.323-326
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• 2016

High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC) adopts intra transform skip mode, in which a residual block is directly quantized in the pixel domain without transforming the block into the frequency domain. Intra transform skip mode provides a significant coding gain for screen content. However, when intra-prediction errors are not transformed, the errors are often correlated along the intra-prediction direction. This paper introduces a residual differential pulse code modulation (DPCM) method for the intra-predicted and transform-skipped blocks to remove redundancy. The proposed method performs pixel-by-pixel residual prediction along the intra-prediction direction to reduce the dynamic range of intra-prediction errors. Experimental results show that the transform skip mode's Bjøntegaard delta rate (BD-rate) is improved by 12.8% for vertically intra-predicted blocks. Overall, the proposed method shows an average 1.2% reduction in BD-rate, relative to HEVC, with negligible computational complexity.

• 한국공간정보시스템학회 논문지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2007

현재 무선 통신 기술과 위치 정보 기술의 발달은 다양한 위치 기반 서비스(LBS: Location Based Services)의 발전을 가져왔으며, 위치 기반 서비스에서 이동 객체의 미래 위치를 빠르게 예측하기 위한 미래 인덱스의 필요성이 높아지고 있다. 미래 인덱스와 관련한 대표적인 연구로써 도로 네트워크 환경에서 이동 객체의 과거 궤적 정보를 이용하여 신뢰성을 높인 확률 궤적 예측 기법이 연구되었다. 그러나, 이 기법은 장기간 미래 질의 시 방대한 미래 궤적 탐색 부하로 인해 예측 성능이 떨어지게 되며, 이 때문에 발생하는 빈번한 미래 궤적 갱신으로 인해 인덱스 유지비용이 매우 높아지게 된다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 효율적인 장기간 미래 위치 예측을 위한 셀 기반의 미래 인덱싱 기법인 PCT-Tree(Probability Cell Trajectory-Tree)를 제시한다. PCT-Tree는 방대한 과거 궤적의 확률을 셀 단위로 재구성함으로써 인덱스 크기를 줄이고, 장기간 미래 질의의 예측 성능을 개선시킨다. 또한, 과거 궤적 정보를 이용하여 신뢰성있는 미래 궤적을 예측함으로써 미래 궤적 예측 오류에 따르는 통신비용과 미래 궤적 갱신으로 인한 인덱스 재구성 비용을 최소화 할 수 있다. 실험을 통해 도로 네트워크 환경에서 PCT-Tree가 기존 인덱싱 기법보다 장기간 미래 질의 성능이 우수함을 입증하였다.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.415-423
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• 2021

NCAM-LAMP 중기예측 자료의 통계적 후처리와 개선을 위하여 R 기반의 지점 시계열 자료 검증 체계를 구축하였다. 이 시계열 검증체계를 이용하여 기상청 AWS 관측 자료와 NCAM-LAMP, KMA GDAPS 중기예측 모델 자료를 비교하였다. 이를 위해 관측 지점에 가장 근접한 모델 위도 및 경도 자료를 추출하여 총 9개 지점을 선정하였다. 각 지점에 대해 NCAM-LAMP, GDAPS 모델의 기온, 강수량, 풍속 일평균 예측 자료를 관측과 비교한 결과, 모델들은 풍속의 과대예측 경향을 뚜렷이 보였으며, 기온과 강수의 경우에는 두 모델의 예측력이 월별 및 변수별로 다르게 나타났다. 이를 바탕으로 본 연구에서는 통계적 기법을 개발하여 NCAM-LAMP가 가지고 있는 오차를 줄이고자 하였다. 모델 오차를 줄이기 위해 일반적으로 쓰이는 MOS(Model Output Statistics)기법 중에 인공지능 SVM(Support vector machine) 방식을 8~10월 기간에 적용한 결과, 8월에 비해서 10월이, 기온 변수에 비해서 바람과 강수 변수가 개선된 효과를 보여주었다. 이러한 결과는 풍속의 과대예측을 줄이고, 농림 가뭄지수와 산사태 예측 등을 개선시키며, 지역 수치예보 모델이 시간 적분됨에 따라 영역 내 예측가능성이 점점 저하되는 현상을 완화시키는데 SVM 방법이 일정 부분 기여할 수 있음을 가리키며, 현업 표출 중인 NCAM Agro-Meteogram 개선에도 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:데이타베이스
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.165-174
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• 2000

OLAP 분야에서 지금까지 연구되어온 영역 질의는 주어진 영역에 대한 집단 연산의 결과를 구하는 단순한 형태이다. 그러나 실제 데이타 분석 과정에서는 이러한 단순한 형태의 영역 질의뿐만 아니라, 집단 연산이 포함된 특정 조건을 만족하는 데이타 큐브 내의 영역을 찾는 형태의 확장된 영역 질의에 대한 필요성이 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 확장된 영역 질의 유형의 일반적인 형태를 정의하고, 이에 대한 대표적인 예인 'MAX-of-SUM 질의'의 효율적인 처리 기법을 제안한다. MAX-of-SUM 질의는 데이타 큐브 상에서 영역합(SUM)이 최대(MAX)가 되는 영역을 찾는 질의를 의미한다. 본 논문에서는 MAX-of-SUM 질의 처리 시 검색의 대상이 되는 영역들에 대한 SUM 연산의 결과값이 취할 수 있는 범위를 미리 예측하는 기법을 제안한다. 즉, 영역에 대한 SUM 값의 범위를 예측함으로써, 이들 중에서 최대값을 찾기 위해 실제로 계산하여야 하는 영역의 개수를 줄여 빠른 질의 처리를 보장한다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.141-161
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• 2014

This article presents a new generation of empirical ground motion models for the prediction of response spectral accelerations in soil conditions, specifically developed for the Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic source. The strong ground motion database from which the ground motion prediction model is derived consists of over 800 horizontal components of acceleration recorded from nine Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic events as well as from other seventeen intermediate-depth earthquakes produced in other seismically active regions in the world. Among the main features of the new ground motion model are the prediction of spectral ordinates values (besides the prediction of the peak ground acceleration), the extension of the magnitudes range applicability, the use of consistent metrics (epicentral distance) for this type of seismic source, the extension of the distance range applicability to 300 km, the partition of total standard deviation in intra- and inter-event standard deviations and the use of a national strong ground motion database more than two times larger than in the previous studies. The results suggest that this model is an improvement of the previous generation of ground motion prediction models and can be properly employed in the analysis of the seismic hazard of Romania.

• Advances in Computational Design
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.121-131
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• 2017

Collapse was one of the typical common geological hazards during the construction of tunnels. The risk assessment of collapse was an effective way to ensure the safety of tunnels. We established a prediction model of collapse based on Bayesian Network. 76 large or medium collapses in China were analyzed. The variable set and range of the model were determined according to the statistics. A collapse prediction software was developed and its veracity was also evaluated. At last the software was used to predict tunnel collapses. It effectively evaded the disaster. Establishing the platform can be subsequent perfect. The platform can also be applied to the risk assessment of other tunnel engineering.

• 한국전산유체공학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2008

Direct Write Technologies are being utilized in various industrial fields such as antennas, engineered structures, sensors and tissue engineering. With Direct Write Technologies, producing features have the mesoscale range, from 1 to 100 microns. One form of the Direct Write Technologies is based on aerosol dynamics. The shape of deposited aerosols determine the form of products in the Direct Write Technology based on aerosol dynamics. To predict shape of deposited aerosol, a prediction model is created. In this study, we estimated Line-Width and Line-Thickness from the prediction model. Results of prediction model is valid from comparison with experimental results.