• Title/Summary/Keyword: Profit Models

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Role of Decision Support Systems in Marketing Management

  • Arshi Naim;Kholood Alqahtani
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2024
  • This paper is an extended paper showing the role of Decision Support Systems (DSS) in other fields of Marketing Management (M.Mgnt). DSS facilitates in decision making many M.Mgnt concepts and Customer Relationship Management (CRM) is one of them and it depends on the firm's tasks for developing and retaining customers while achieving their satisfaction and enhancing the sense of belongingness for their products and services. Profit maximization, the process of customer value, and building strategic values for the firm are the three empirical benefits of CRM that are achieved through analytical, operational, and direction (AOD) capabilities respectively. This research focuses on the application of DSS models of what-if analysis (WIA) for CRM at (AOD) and also shows the dependence on the Information Success model (ISM). Hypothetical data are analyzed for (AOD) by three types of (WIA) to attain CRM and profit maximization and this analytical method can be used by any customer-oriented firm as a general model.

Discriminant Prediction Function and Its Affecting Factors of Private Hospital Closure by Using Multivariate Discriminant Analysis and Logistic Regression Models (다변량 판별분석과 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 민간병원의 도산예측 함수와 영향요인)

  • Jung, Yong-Mo;Lee, Yong-Chul
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this article is for deriving functions related to the prediction of the closure of the hospitals, and finding out how the discriminant functions affect the closure of the hospitals. Empirical data were collected from 3 years financial statements of 41 private hospitals closed down from 2000 till 2006 and 62 private hospitals in business till now. As a result, the functions related to the prediction of the closure of the private hospital are 4 indices: Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. From these discriminant functions predicting the closure, I found that the profitability indices - Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets - are the significant affecting factors. The discriminant functions predicting the closure of the group of the hospitals, 3 years before the closure were Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and among them Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues are the significant affecting factors. However 2 years before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure of the hospital were Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and it was the significant affecting factor. And, one year before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure were Total Assets Turnover, Fixed Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Total Assets, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. Among them, Total Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues were the significant affecting factors.

A Cross-Comparative Study of Benefit Sharing: Korea and Japan (한국과 일본 자동차 업체의 혁신 성과 공유 방식에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong Mook
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.17-40
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    • 2011
  • This study examines the differences of enacting models and influential causes of benefit-sharing practices between Korean automobile networks and the Japanese networks. The case study method is chosen for this research because only small numbers of supply networks adopt benefit-sharing practices. I employ semi-structured interviews with managers from four automobile manufacturers and eight of their suppliers in South Korea and Japan. I find that Japanese automobile networks have adopted a higher level of trust-demanding, with a higher level of value-creating models such as supplier development, joint-new-product development. Whereas, the Korean networks have adopted the lower trust demanding, also less profitable models such as supplier's suggestion and buyer's suggestion. In terms of work-related cultural values, I find that Japanese networks emphasized collectivism. Both buyers and suppliers in the Japanese networks are supposed to have common causes. In contrast, Korean networks emphasized individualism. Both buyers and suppliers of Korea generally do not identify that they are common group members with a common cause. I also find that a slight differences of the enacting models and the causes between foreign-owned networks and domestic-owned networks within each country. Foreign-owned networks have adopted lower trust demanding, also less profitable models. The findings demonstrate that the cultural values have a decisive influence on the adoption of benefit sharing models for the networks in Japan, and South Korea.

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Optimal Service Contract Policies for Outsourcing Maintenance Service of Assets to the Service Providers

  • Rahman, Anisur;Chattopadhyay, Gopinath
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.183-197
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    • 2007
  • There is a growing trend for asset intensive industries to outsource maintenance services of their complex assets since outsourcing through service contract reduces upfront investments in infrastructure, expertise and specialised maintenance facilities. Estimation of costs for such contracts is complex and it is important to the user and the service providers for economic variability. The service provider's profit is influenced by many factors such as the terms of the contract, reliability of asset, and the servicing strategies, costs of resources needed to carryout maintenance. There is a need to develop mathematical models for understanding future costs to build it into the contract price. Three policies for service contracts are proposed in this paper considering the concepts of outsourcing maintenance service of assets to the service providers. Conceptual models are developed for estimating servicing costs of outsourcing through service contracts by considering time dependent failure mode.

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A Study on Development of Main Producing Areas for Industrialization of complex and of fusion in Field

  • Young-Jun Park
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.331-331
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    • 2022
  • This research aims to developing new commercialization project of convergence agricultural industrial model. First, we established an inventory for the planning of convergence agricultural industrial model categorize the relevant factors identified, and then suggested three models which are the business profit model for convergence agriculture industrialization, the resource recycling complex and agricultural tourism model, and the smart agricultural model. Second, in order to investigate the feasibility of each industrial model, we investigated the willingness to participate in the project according to the pilot models such as related organizations and management agencies, and proposed the result of business feasibility analysis. Finally, we suggested the establishment of a demonstration complex through the systemization of element technologies at two models. The related systems and technologies was reviewed as a new commercialization plan through the modeling of convergence agricultural industrial types in main crop production complex presented, and set up mid- to long-term development direction. The results of this study can be applied to the design of convergence agricultural industrial model in main crop production complex.

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A Study on Developing a VKOSPI Forecasting Model via GARCH Class Models for Intelligent Volatility Trading Systems (지능형 변동성트레이딩시스템개발을 위한 GARCH 모형을 통한 VKOSPI 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Woong
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2010
  • Volatility plays a central role in both academic and practical applications, especially in pricing financial derivative products and trading volatility strategies. This study presents a novel mechanism based on generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models that is able to enhance the performance of intelligent volatility trading systems by predicting Korean stock market volatility more accurately. In particular, we embedded the concept of the volatility asymmetry documented widely in the literature into our model. The newly developed Korean stock market volatility index of KOSPI 200, VKOSPI, is used as a volatility proxy. It is the price of a linear portfolio of the KOSPI 200 index options and measures the effect of the expectations of dealers and option traders on stock market volatility for 30 calendar days. The KOSPI 200 index options market started in 1997 and has become the most actively traded market in the world. Its trading volume is more than 10 million contracts a day and records the highest of all the stock index option markets. Therefore, analyzing the VKOSPI has great importance in understanding volatility inherent in option prices and can afford some trading ideas for futures and option dealers. Use of the VKOSPI as volatility proxy avoids statistical estimation problems associated with other measures of volatility since the VKOSPI is model-free expected volatility of market participants calculated directly from the transacted option prices. This study estimates the symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models for the KOSPI 200 index from January 2003 to December 2006 by the maximum likelihood procedure. Asymmetric GARCH models include GJR-GARCH model of Glosten, Jagannathan and Runke, exponential GARCH model of Nelson and power autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) of Ding, Granger and Engle. Symmetric GARCH model indicates basic GARCH (1, 1). Tomorrow's forecasted value and change direction of stock market volatility are obtained by recursive GARCH specifications from January 2007 to December 2009 and are compared with the VKOSPI. Empirical results indicate that negative unanticipated returns increase volatility more than positive return shocks of equal magnitude decrease volatility, indicating the existence of volatility asymmetry in the Korean stock market. The point value and change direction of tomorrow VKOSPI are estimated and forecasted by GARCH models. Volatility trading system is developed using the forecasted change direction of the VKOSPI, that is, if tomorrow VKOSPI is expected to rise, a long straddle or strangle position is established. A short straddle or strangle position is taken if VKOSPI is expected to fall tomorrow. Total profit is calculated as the cumulative sum of the VKOSPI percentage change. If forecasted direction is correct, the absolute value of the VKOSPI percentage changes is added to trading profit. It is subtracted from the trading profit if forecasted direction is not correct. For the in-sample period, the power ARCH model best fits in a statistical metric, Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE), and the exponential GARCH model shows the highest Mean Correct Prediction (MCP). The power ARCH model best fits also for the out-of-sample period and provides the highest probability for the VKOSPI change direction tomorrow. Generally, the power ARCH model shows the best fit for the VKOSPI. All the GARCH models provide trading profits for volatility trading system and the exponential GARCH model shows the best performance, annual profit of 197.56%, during the in-sample period. The GARCH models present trading profits during the out-of-sample period except for the exponential GARCH model. During the out-of-sample period, the power ARCH model shows the largest annual trading profit of 38%. The volatility clustering and asymmetry found in this research are the reflection of volatility non-linearity. This further suggests that combining the asymmetric GARCH models and artificial neural networks can significantly enhance the performance of the suggested volatility trading system, since artificial neural networks have been shown to effectively model nonlinear relationships.

Determination of the Optimal Target Values for a Canning Process with Linear Shift in the Mean (평균이 변하는 충전공정의 최적 목표치의 결정)

  • Lee, Min-Goo;Bai, Do-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 1994
  • The problem of selecting the optimal target values in a canning process is considered for situations where there is a linear shift in the mean of the content of a can which is assumed to be normally distributed with known variance. The target values are initial process mean, length of resetting cycle and controllable upper limit. Profit models are constructed which involve give-away, rework, and resetting costs. Methods of finding the optimal target values are presented and a nemerical example is given.

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DEVS Simulation of Purchase Strategies for Material Stock Control System (DEVS 시뮬레이션을 이용한 자재 재고 관리의 발주 전략에 관한 연구)

  • 문성진
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 1995
  • One of many factors that influences the profit of an enterprise is the amount of the stock in an enterprise. When the stock amounts are optimal the economic burden of the enterprise decreases which in turn results in the optimum number of employment and spatial utilization of storages. The purpose of this study is the simulation modeling of a material stock control system using DEVS models in order to get the most suitable stock amounts. The stock within an enterprise is built by the orders from outside world. The effect on the stock by the factors such as order, delivery, and production components has been analyzed based on simulation results.

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Economic Complete Inspection Plans for Grading Product Quality (품질 등급화를 위한 경제적 전수검사방식)

  • Hong, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.473-483
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    • 1996
  • For situations where there are several markets with different price/cost structures, economic complete inspection plans are developed for determining the market to ship the product to. Two complete inspection plans are considered; the plan based on the performance variable of interest, and the plan based on a variable which is correlated with the performance variable. Profit models are constructed which involve selling price, cost incurred by imperfect quality, and quality inspection cost. Methods of finding the optimal complete inspection plans are presented and a numerical example is given.

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Deciding the Optimal Shutdown time of a Nuclear Power Plant (원자력 발전소의 최적 운행중지 시기 결정 방법)

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2000
  • A methodology that determines the optimal shutdown time of a nuclear power plant is suggested. The shutdown time is decided considering the trade off between the cost of accident and the loss of profit due to the early shutdown. We adopt the bayesian approach in manipulating the model parameter that predicts the accidents. We build decision tree models and apply dynamic programming approach to decide whether to shutdown immediately or operate one more period. The branch parameters in decision trees are updated by bayesian approach. We apply real data to this model and provide the cost of accidents that guarantees the immediate shutdown.

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