• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power series method

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A Study on the Predictive Power Improvement of Time Series Model with Empirical Mode Decomposition Method (경험적 모드분해법을 이용한 시계열 모형의 예측력 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Taereem;Shin, Hongjoon;Nam, Woosung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.981-993
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    • 2015
  • The analysis of hydrologic time series data is crucial for the effective management of water resources. Therefore, it has been widely used for the long-term forecasting of hydrologic variables. In tradition, time series analysis has been used to predict a time series without considering exogenous variables. However, many studies using decomposition have been widely carried out with the assumption that one data series could be mixed with several frequent factors. In this study, the empirical mode decomposition method was performed for decomposing a hydrologic time series data into several components, and each component was applied to the time series models, autoregressive moving average (ARMA). After constructing the time series models, the forecasting values are added to compare the results with traditional time series model. Finally, the forecasted estimates from ARMA model with empirical mode decomposition method showed better performance than sole traditional ARMA model indicated from comparing the root mean square errors of the two methods.

Prediction of Dynamic Line Rating by Time Series Weather Models (시계열 기상 모델을 이용한 동적 송전 용량의 예측)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Bae, In-Su;Kim, Jin-O;Chang, Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.11b
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    • pp.35-38
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    • 2005
  • This paper suggests the method that forecast Dynamic Line Rating (DLR). Thermal Overload Risk (TOR) of next time is forecasted based on current weather condition and DLR value by Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To model weather element of transmission line for MCS, we will propose the use of weather forecast system and statistical models that time series law is applied. Also, through case study, forecasted TOR probability confirmed can utilize by standard that decide DLR of next time. In short, proposed method may be used usefully to keep safety of transmission line and reliability of supply of electric Power by forecasting transmission capacity of next time.

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Characteristic Analysis of Single Phase SRM Using Fourier Series (퓨리에 급수를 이용한 단상 SRM 특성 해석)

  • Lee, Jong-Han;Lee, Eun-Woong;Kim, Yong-Heon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.80-82
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    • 2004
  • The single phase switched reluctance motor(SRM) is more simpler and robust in the structure than poly phase SRM. It has the merits that it reduces the switching elements and the energy density per volume is very high. Recently, it has been researched and developed in various types and starting method due to the technique of power electronics and the computer added design. This paper presents a analytical representation of the phase inductance of a single phase SRM, as function of position and current, taking into account the non-linearity of the magnetic circuit. the method is based on Fourier series expansion. Analytical expressions for the calculation of instantaneous phase inductance, flux linkage, coenergy and electromagnetic torque as a function of rotor position and winding currents are derived.

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Study on the Capacitor-self-excited Three-phase Synchronous Generator (A 캐패시터 자력식 삼상동기발전기에 관한 연구)

  • 정연택;김영동
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.425-432
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    • 1984
  • This paper is to propse a new self-excitation method of synchronous generator. Instead of conventional exciter of synchronous generator, the additional winding which is arranged in addition to the armature winding, is used in this generator. The output terminal of the additional winding is connected to a capacitor and to a full wave rectifier in series. In this configuration, one source double excitation which is composed of capacitor-self-excitation by lead urrent and direct current excitation by rectifier, is induced. The result is that` The excetation efficency is improved greatly and output waveform is improved also. In three-phase synchronous generator using the new method of the one source double excitation, voltage element (shunt characteristics) and current element (series characteristics)are compounded in scalar by adapting star-point-open-rectifier system. The result is as following` The effect of load power factor angle on voltage regulation is reduced greatly, compound characteristics is become manifold by controlling capacity of capacitor, and transient response is improved.

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A Study on the Development of 3[kW] Power Conversion System for Fuel Cell (3[kW]급 연료전지용 전력변환기 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Se-Min;Park, Sung-Jun;Song, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2009
  • This paper is the research on the development of power conversion system for the fuel cell. In composing the DC/DC converters which have high boost voltage ratio, unlike the conventional method a new multi DC/DC converter system is proposed that the diode and the condenser and the reactor can be reduced by connecting the secondary side output of the transformer. In this system the rectifier part and the filter part of the secondary side in the power transformer that is connecting in series are composed into a single module, which is the strong advantage and the number of level can be easily increased. A new variable shift phase switching method is also suggested that it makes possible to reduce the output voltage ripples in the proposed system. All the factors mentioned above have been verified through simulations and experiments, and the proposed converter is considered very useful in the demanded load which requires a wide of the output.

A Novel Noise Reduction Method for Measuring Partial Discharge in High Voltage Electric Machinery (고압 전기설비 부분방전시험을 위한 노이즈 저감방안)

  • Lee, Young-Jun;Park, Kwang-Ha;Choi, Hyung-Joo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.2021_2022
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    • 2009
  • Partial discharges(PD) is a important factor to evaluate the insulation state in high voltage electric machinery. However, measuring PD under the circumstances of power plant is occasionally impossible due to the relatively high magnitude of noise which is emanated from the operating machinery. In some case, the instrument measuring PD can not even perform a calibration that initializes tools and enhance the accuracy. This paper presents that we devised a noise reduction method and demonstrated the usefulness in acquiring reliable PD signals. We attached a series of filter and transformer at the input of power source of the instruments which refrains high noise signals from incoming to the instruments. We experimented the efficiency of noise reduction applying the device into the Dangjin Power Plant and Factory. As a result of testing with the filter and transformer, we can easily calibrate the PD signal compared to the case without the device. Additionally, we can detect the small PD signal which was unperceived with a normal device.

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Structural Integrity Evaluation for Interference-fit Flywheels in Reactor Coolant Pumps of Nuclear Power Plants

  • Park June-soo;Song Ha-cheol;Yoon Ki-seok;Choi Taek-sang;Park Jai-hak
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.1988-1997
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    • 2005
  • This study is concerned with structural integrity evaluations for the interference-fit flywheels in reactor coolant pumps (RCPs) of nuclear power plants. Stresses in the flywheel due to the shrinkage loads and centrifugal loads at the RCP normal operation speed, design overspeed and joint-release speed are obtained using the finite element method (FEM), where release of the deformation-controlled stresses as a result of structural interactions during rotation is considered. Fracture mechanics evaluations for a series of cracks assumed to exist in the flywheel are conducted, considering ductile (fatigue) and non-ductile fracture, and stress intensity factors are obtained for the cracks using the finite element alternating method (FEAM). From analysis results, it is found that fatigue crack growth rates calculated are negligible for smaller cracks. Meanwhile, the material resistance to non-ductile fracture in terms of the critical stress intensity factor (K$_{IC}$) and the nil-ductility transition reference temperature (RT$_{NDT}$) are governing factors for larger cracks.

A Study on Forecasting Method for a Short-Term Demand Forecasting of Customer's Electric Demand (수요측 단기 전력소비패턴 예측을 위한 평균 및 시계열 분석방법 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Min;Yang, Il-Kwon;Song, Jae-Ju
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.

DC-link Voltage Control of Grid Connected PV System using Quasi Z-Source Inverter (QZSI를 이용한 계통연계형 태양광발전 시스템의 직류단 전압제어)

  • Park, Jong-Hyoung;Kim, Heung-Geun;Nho, Eui-Cheol;Chun, Tae-Won;Cha, Honnyong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, dc-link voltage control of a grid-connected QZSI is presented. Since the input current of the ZSI is discontinuous, a capacity with relatively large capacitance should be connected to the output of the PV array in order to reduce the current ripple. Due to the presence of the impedance network inductor in series with the PV array, the QZSI can achieve continuous input current flow. Several dc-link voltage control methods are compared and the method for power quality improvement is also presented. The performance of the proposed method is verified through both simulation and experimental results.

Vibration analysis of laminated plates with various boundary conditions using extended Kantorovich method

  • Singhatanadgid, Pairod;Wetchayanon, Thanawut
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.115-136
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    • 2014
  • In this study, an extended Kantorovich method, employing multi-term displacement functions, is applied to analyze the vibration problem of symmetrically laminated plates with arbitrary boundary conditions. The vibration behaviors of laminated plates are determined based on the variational principle of total energy minimization and the iterative Kantorovich method. The out-of-plane displacement is represented in the form of a series of a sum of products of functions in x and y directions. With a known function in the x or y directions, the formulation for the variation of total potential energy is transformed to a set of governing equations and a set of boundary conditions. The equations and boundary conditions are then numerically solved for the natural frequency and vibration mode shape. The solutions are verified with available solutions from the literature and solutions from the Ritz and finite element analysis. In most cases, the natural frequencies compare very well with the reference solutions. The vibration mode shapes are also very well modeled using the multi-term assumed displacement function in the terms of a power series. With the method used in this study, it is possible to solve the angle-ply plate problem, where the Kantorovich method with single-term displacement function is ineffective.