• 제목/요약/키워드: Non-common error

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비정규 오차를 고려한 자기회귀모형의 추정법 및 예측성능에 관한 연구 (A Study of Estimation Method for Auto-Regressive Model with Non-Normal Error and Its Prediction Accuracy)

  • 임보미;박정술;김준석;김성식;백준걸
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.

배관감육 평가를 위한 UT 측정 신뢰도 분석 (Reliability Analysis of UT Measurement for Evaluating Pipe Wall Thinning in Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 윤훈;황경모
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2012
  • UT(Ultrasonic Test), one of the non-destructive tests, is the most common thickness measurement method for evaluating the wear rate in NPPs(Nuclear Power Plants). UT is used widely because it is easy and safe for use. However some amount of error inevitably occurs in attempting to measure the thickness. The error, that could make the thickness data thicker or thinner, may affect estimation of wear rate in pipes. NPPs are composed of a lot of pipes and components. Some of them are tested to check the current status during RFO(Re-Fueling Outage). Reliability analysis of UT is essential for evaluating pipe wear rate and establishing the long-term management plan in NPPs. This paper reviewed the cause of error occurrence and presented the UT data reliability analysis method. Also, this paper shows the application result of reliability analysis to the UT data acquired in NPPs.

복행실패로 발생한 CFIT사고의 공통요인 및 외항사 복행게이트 운영 실태에 대한 연구 (한국 대표적 CFIT사고의 TEM 분석을 중심으로) (The Study on Common Factors of Typical CFIT Accident with Go-around Failure and Go-around Gate Operation of Foreign Carriers (An Analysis of Korean CFIT Accidents through TEM))

  • 최진국
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2014
  • There have been CFIT(Controlled Flight Into Terrain) accidents that can be prevented if the crew executed go-around. This study is to analyse the common factors of three typical CFIT accidents of Korea in TEM(threat and error management) frame, and the examples of go-around gate and the countermeasures of eight airlines through the survey facilitating go-around to prevent CFIT. The common factors found in three typical CFIT accidents occurred in Korea or by Korean carriers turned out to be in mountainous terrain, in bad weather while in non-precision approach or circling approach by captain as PF(Pilot Flying) when crew make monitoring errors and communication errors. It also turned out that the crew in all three typical tragic CFIT accidents did not execute go-around in unstabilized approaches. The captains did not respond immediately when first officers advised them to go-around until it is too late. Seven out of eight Airlines answered that they use stabilized approach height as 1,000 feet to be stabilized earlier to have more safety margin by enhancing go-around gate regardless of the weather to prevent CFIT in the survey.

The Effectiveness of the Error Reporting Promoting Program on the Nursing Error Incidence Rate in Korean Operating Rooms

  • Kim, Myoung-Soo;Kim, Jung-Soon;Jung, In-Sook;Kim, Young-Hae;Kim, Ho-Jung
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2007
  • Purpose. The purpose of this study was to develop and evaluate an error reporting promoting program(ERPP) to systematically reduce the incidence rate of nursing errors in operating room. Methods. A non-equivalent control group non-synchronized design was used. Twenty-six operating room nurses who were in one university hospital in Busan participated in this study. They were stratified into four groups according to their operating room experience and were allocated to the experimental and control groups using a matching method. Mann-Whitney U Test was used to analyze the differences pre and post incidence rates of nursing errors between the two groups. Results. The incidence rate of nursing errors decreased significantly in the experimental group compared to the pre-test score from 28.4% to 15.7%. The incidence rate by domains, it decreased significantly in the 3 domains-"compliance of aseptic technique", "management of document", "environmental management" in the experimental group while it decreased in the control group which was applied ordinary error-reporting method. Conclusion. Error-reporting system can make possible to hold the errors in common and to learn from them. ERPP was effective to reduce the errors of recognition-related nursing activities. For the wake of more effective error-prevention, we will be better to apply effort of risk management along the whole health care system with this program.

귀인양식과 귀인편향, 비합리적 도박신념에서의 차이: 도박자와 비도박자의 비교 (Differences in attributional bias and irrational gambling beliefs between gamblers and non-gamblers)

  • 박은아;이종한
    • 한국심리학회지 : 문화 및 사회문제
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.177-203
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 도박자와 비도박자를 대상으로 비합리적 도박신념과 도박행동의 관련성을 확인하고, 기존 연구들이 직접 다루지 않았던 인지적 오류로서 확률적 사고 오류, 귀인양식 및 귀인편향성이 도박행동에 관련되는지에 대해 알아보았다. 248명의 자료를 수집하여 비(非)도박자, 경(經)도박자, 중(重)도박자로 구분하고, 비합리적 도박신념, 확률추론 오류, 귀인양식 및 귀인편향성을 비교하였다. 비합리적 도박신념은 비도박자<경도박자<중도박자 순으로 높게 나타났는데, 하위요인으로서 자기과신적 추론에서 유의미한 차이를 보였고 기술과대평가적 추론에서는 통계적으로 유의한 차이없이 세 집단이 모두 척도평균(4점) 이상의 높은 신념을 형성하고 있었다. 또한, 비도박자에 비해 경도박자와 중도박자의 확률추론 오류 정도가 높았다. 중도박자들은 비도박자와 경도박자에 비해 일상적 사건에 대해 외부귀인 정도가 높고 내부귀인 정도는 낮으며 실패상황에 대한 내부귀인 편향성이 높은 것으로 드러나, 중도박자 집단과 경도박자, 비도박자 간 구분되는 인지적 오류 특성들이 확인되었다. 도박여부를 예측하는 선행요인들의 상대적 영향력을 검증한 결과 실패에 대한 내부귀인 편향성, 확률추론 오류, 비합리적 도박신념 중 자기과신적 추론, 일상사에 대한 외부귀인 성향 순으로 도박행동 예측력이 높게 나타났다. 본 연구를 통해 도박자와 비도박자의 인지적 오류 및 편향성에 어떤 차이가 있는지 확인함으로써, 도박자 뿐 아니라 도박을 하지 않는 일반인을 대상으로 도박에 관한 지속적인 홍보와 사회교육의 필요성을 제안하였다.

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3차원 음향 합성을 위한 수직면에서의 음상 정위 향상 (Enhancement of Sound Image Localization on Vertical Plane for Three-Dimensional Acoustic Synthesis)

  • 김동현;정하영;김기만
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.541-546
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    • 1999
  • 자유 공간에서 음원으로부터 사람의 귀로 음향적인 전단 과정을 표현하는 머리전달함수는 사람이 음원의 위치를 판단할 수 있는 중요한 정보를 포함하고 있으며, 이를 이용하여 실질적으로는 존재하지 않는 음원을 근사적으로 생성할 수 있는 입체 음향 시스템을 구현할 수 있다 그러나 개인의 것이 아닌 일반적인 머리전달함수를 사용함으로 인해 앞뒤 판정 오차, 고도 판정 오차와 같은 음상 정위 능력이 저하된다. 이 논문에서는 머리전달함수의 스펙트럼 놋치(notch) 레벌을 증가시켜 수직면상에서의 앞뒤 판정 오차와 고도 판정 오차를 줄였다. 제안된 방법의 성능을 정지된 음원과 움직이는 음원에 대하여 주관 평가를 통해 증명하였다.

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Performance Analysis of the Wireless Localization Algorithms Using the IR-UWB Nodes with Non-Calibration Errors

  • Cho, Seong Yun;Kang, Dongyeop;Kim, Jinhong;Lee, Young Jae;Moon, Ki Young
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2017
  • Several wireless localization algorithms are evaluated for the IR-UWB-based indoor location with the assumption that the ranging measurements contain the channelwise Non-Calibration Error (NCE). The localization algorithms can be divided into the Model-free Localization (MfL) methods and Model-based Kalman Filtering (MbKF). The algorithms covered in this paper include Iterative Least Squares (ILS), Direct Solution (DS), Difference of Squared Ranging Measurements (DSRM), and ILS-Common (ILS-C) methods for the MfL methods, and Extended Kalman Filter (EKF), EKF-Each Channel (EKF-EC), EKF-C, Cubature Kalman Filter (CKF), and CKF-C for the MbKF. Experimental results show that the DSRM method has better accuracy than the other MfL methods. Also, it demands smallest computation time. On the other hand, the EKF-C and CKF-C require some more computation time than the DSRM method. The accuracy of the EKF-C and CKF-C is, however, best among the 9 methods. When comparing the EKF-C and CKF-C, the CKF-C can be easily used. Finally, it is concluded that the CKF-C can be widely used because of its ease of use as well as it accuracy.

An Abnormal Breakpoint Data Positioning Method of Wireless Sensor Network Based on Signal Reconstruction

  • Zhijie Liu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.377-384
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    • 2023
  • The existence of abnormal breakpoint data leads to poor channel balance in wireless sensor networks (WSN). To enhance the communication quality of WSNs, a method for positioning abnormal breakpoint data in WSNs on the basis of signal reconstruction is studied. The WSN signal is collected using compressed sensing theory; the common part of the associated data set is mined by exchanging common information among the cluster head nodes, and the independent parts are updated within each cluster head node. To solve the non-convergence problem in the distributed computing, the approximate term is introduced into the optimization objective function to make the sub-optimization problem strictly convex. And the decompressed sensing signal reconstruction problem is addressed by the alternating direction multiplier method to realize the distributed signal reconstruction of WSNs. Based on the reconstructed WSN signal, the abnormal breakpoint data is located according to the characteristic information of the cross-power spectrum. The proposed method can accurately acquire and reconstruct the signal, reduce the bit error rate during signal transmission, and enhance the communication quality of the experimental object.

A STUDY ON MEASUREMENT FOR LARGE SIZE OBJECTS WITH A NON-CONTACT TYPE CMM

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Sook-Han;Lee, Jeong-Nak;Kim, Jun-Chul;Lee, Eung-Ki
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1505-1510
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    • 2007
  • Recently, efficient manufacturing of high precision is an important issue in modern industry as more variety of industrial products is being designed with compound surfaces. Rapid CAD data generation can be possible based on a non-contact type CMM of object through the use of reverse engineering. However, some registration to match the data measured from various directions into a common coordinate system is required. Also, the error can happen if it uses the conventional method to large product of thin thickness. So it is necessary to develop a new method, which was designed for the registration of large and thin products. Additionally, an algorithm to pick up coordinates for the newly designed method was proposed.

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A Novel Weighting Factor Method in NLOS Environment

  • Guan, Xufeng;Hur, SooJun;Choi, JeongHee
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2011
  • Non-line-of-sight (NLOS) error is the most common and also a major source of errors in wireless location system. A novel weighting factor (NWF) method is presented in this paper, based on the RSS(Received Signal Strength) measurements, path loss model and Circular Disk of Scatterers Model (CDSM). The proposed positioning method effectively weighted the TOA distance measurements for each Base Station (BS). Simulation results show that the proposed method efficiently weighted the distance measurements and achieve higher localization accuracy than that of Linear Line of Position (LLOP) and Believable Factor Algorithm (BFA).