• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션

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Calculation of the Detection Range for a Given Cumulative Probability in Airborne Surveillance Radars (탐색 레이다에서 누적확률에 기인한 탐지거리 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun Hee;Roh, Ji-Eun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.24-27
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    • 2018
  • The performance measure of airborne radars is the range at which the cumulative probability of detection has some specified value, because the per-scan detection probability is an oscillatory function of the target range in airborne radars operating with the dynamic clutter environment. As a result, no one range, at which the per-scan detection probability has a given value, can give a meaningful description of the range performance. In this paper, we provide the equation to calculate the cumulative detection probability and show that the result of Monte Carlo simulation is same as the calculated value in a simple scenario. This verified Monte Carlo model will be used to evaluate the performance of airborne radars in various operating scenarios, at which the numerical calculation is difficult.

An Satellite Communication Wireless Package System Using Analysis of Channel Interference between ISM band Systems (ISM 대역 시스템간 채널 간섭 분석을 통한 위성 통신 무선 패키지시스템 적용)

  • Ko, Hojeong;Cha, Jaesang
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, when WLAN repeater of satellite communication package system as a novel wireless disaster communication network connected to LTE D2D mobile terminal, we analyzed radio channel interference from WLAN and WPAN system of adjacent same ISM band using Monte-Carlo method. In this study, WLAN cell radius was determined using Extended Hata Model considering practical environment, and simulated physical protection distance and density in the dense-mode to minimize interference from WLAN, Bluetooth, and ZigBee. Simulation results, WLAN repeater can be operated with 15 WLAN interferer over 130m distance, 23 Bluetooth interferer over 100m distance, and with 62 ZigBee interferer over 83m distance.

A Study on Computing Stochastic Capacity of Energy Storage Systems using Monte Carlo Simulations (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션 기반 변동성을 고려한 에너지 저장 시스템 용량 계산에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Soowhan;Ryu, Jun-Hyung
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.424-429
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    • 2020
  • An Energy Storage System (ESS) is recently drawing an increasing attention as an efficient tool to cope with variation in the energy system. In order to take the best utilization of ESS, the inherent variation of energy supply and demand should be properly addressed. This paper is concerned with computing the stochastic capacity of ESS in the face of such variations by way of Monte Carlo simulation. The issue of uncertainty in energy systems will be given further focus. More works are expected to be followed to address the issues in academia and industry.

Probabilistic Damage Mechanics Assessment of Wall-Thinned Nuclear Piping Using Reliability Method and Monte-Carlo Simulation (신뢰도지수 및 몬데카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 원전 감육배관의 확률론적 손상역학 평가)

  • Lee Sang-Min;Yun Kang-Ok;Chang Yoon-Suk;Choi Jae-Boong;Kim Young-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.8 s.239
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    • pp.1102-1108
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    • 2005
  • The integrity of nuclear piping systems has to be maintained sufficiently all the times during operation. In order to maintain the integrity, reliable assessment procedures including fracture mechanics analysis, etc, are required. Up to now, the integrity assessment has been performed using conventional deterministic approach even though there are lots of uncertainties to hinder a rational evaluation. In this respect, probabilistic approach is considered as an appropriate method for piping system evaluation. The objectives of this paper are to develop a probabilistic assessment program using reliability index and simulation technique and to estimate the damage probability of wall-thinned pipes in secondary systems. The probabilistic assessment program consists of three evaluation modules which are first order reliability method, second order reliability method and Monte Carlo simulation method. The developed program has been applied to evaluate damage probabilities of wall-thinned pipes subjected to internal pressure, global bending moment and combined loading. The sensitivity analysis results as well as prototypal evaluation results showed a promising applicability of the probabilistic integrity assessment program.

Stochastic analysis for Real Rate Interest of Building Life Cycle Cost(LCC) with Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 건축물 생애주기비용(LCC)의 실질할인율에 대한 확률론적 분석)

  • Kim, Bum-Sic;Jung, Young-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.161-163
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    • 2012
  • Recently on Value Engineering(VE) and Life Cycle Cost(LCC) social interests is increasing. The government Turn Key, BTL projects and public works projects, such as VE and LCC Analysis on the value and economic analysis is mandatory. And accordingly the VE and LCC analysis is underway for the various studies. However, there is a problem existing in the LCC analysis. Worth the cost varies according to the flow of time. However, the real interest rate during the LCC analysis of buildings in calculation time for interest rates and inflation are not considering the value of the flow. In other words, a few years using the average value of the deterministic analysis method has been adopted. These costs for the definitive analysis of the cost of an uncertain future, unforeseen changes resulting hazardous value. In this study of the last 15 years interest rates and inflation targeting by using Monte-Carlo Simulation is to perform probabilistic analysis. This potential to overcome uncertainties of the cost of building a more scientific and LCC Estimation of the probability value of the real interest rate is presented.

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Application of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Technique Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 확률론적 파괴역학 수법의 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Joon-Seong;Kwak, Sang-Log;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.154-160
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    • 2001
  • For major structural components periodic inspections and integrity assessments are needed for the safety. However, many flaws are undetectable because sampling inspection is carried out during in-service inspection. Probabilistic integrity assessment is applied to take into consideration of uncertainty and variance of input parameters arise due to material properties and undetectable cracks. This paper describes a Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics(PFM) analysis based on the Monte Carlo(MC) algorithms. Taking a number of sampling data of probabilistic variables such as fracture toughness value, crack depth and aspect ratio of an initial surface crack, a MC simulation of failure judgement of samples is performed. for the verification of this analysis, a comparison study of the PFM analysis using a commercial code, mathematical method is carried out and a good agreement was observed between those results.

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Visualization of Vector Fields from Density Data Using Moving Least Squares Based on Monte Carlo Method (몬테카를로 방법 기반의 이동최소제곱을 이용한 밀도 데이터의 벡터장 시각화)

  • Jong-Hyun Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we propose a new method to visualize different vector field patterns from density data. We use moving least squares (MLS), which is used in physics-based simulations and geometric processing. However, typical MLS does not take into account the nature of density, as it is interpolated to a higher order through vector-based constraints. In this paper, we design an algorithm that incorporates Monte Carlo-based weights into the MLS to efficiently account for the density characteristics implicit in the input data, allowing the algorithm to represent different forms of white noise. As a result, we experimentally demonstrate detailed vector fields that are difficult to represent using existing techniques such as naive MLS and divergence-constrained MLS.

Stochastic Finite Element Analysis of Underground Rock Cavern Using Monte Carlo Simulation Techinque (몬테칼로 시뮬레이션기법을 이용한 지하암반동굴의 확률론적 유한요소해석)

  • 최규섭;심재구;정영수
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.301-308
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    • 1995
  • In this study, a stochastic finite element method is proposed with a view to consider rock property variations in the analysis of structural behavior on underground caverns. Here, the Monte carlo simulation technique, which has been widely used in probabilistic applications in many engineering fields, is applied for the analysis of the effect rock property distribution. Using the newly developed computer program based on the above - mentioned method, the underground opening in biaxial stress field is analyzed considering the effect of material property variation.

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Analysis of Integrated Navigation Performance for Sensor Selection of Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) (무인잠수정 센서 선정을 위한 복합항법 성능 분석)

  • Yoo, Tae-Suk;Kim, Moon Hwan
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.566-573
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents the results of an integrated navigation performance analysis for selecting the sensor of an unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) using Monte Carlo numerical simulation. An inertial measurement unit (IMU) and Doppler velocity log (DVL) are considered to build the integrated navigation system. The position error and price of the sensor are selected as performance indices to evaluate the volunteer integrated navigation systems. Monte-Carlo simulation is introduced to analyze the circular error probability (CEP) and its variance. Simulation results provide the proper sensor combination for integrated navigation in relation to the performance and price.