• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gravity 모형

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An Analysis on the Impact of Korea-Chile FTA on Busan Port - Focusing on the Inbound Container from Chile - (한-칠레 자유무역협정이 부산항 물동량에 미치는 영향분석 - 대 칠레 수입 컨테이너화물 중심 -)

  • Nam, Kichan;Nam, Hyung-Sik;Kang, Dal-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.681-687
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    • 2013
  • Free Trade Agreement(FTA) aims at abolishing tariffs on trade among nations or regions resulting in having a significant impact on maritime transportation and port. Korea made the first FTA with Chile in 2004 and the trade volume between two countries has seen significant increase. The literature on such impact, however, seems to be very limited. The main purpose of this study is, therefore, to analyze the impact of Korea-Chile Free Trade Agreement on the imported container throughput from Chile at the Busan Port. For this both cross-sectional and time series data are collected that comprise container throughput, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), import tariff, and maritime freight rate, from 2000 to 2011, and the gravity model is applied. The main result of the study shows that the dependent variables, GDP and import tariff are statistically significant, but the maritime freight rate is not consistent with regarding to statistical significance and parameter sign.

Economic Validation of Maritime Safety Center in Case of Yeong-Nam Province

  • Lim, Sangseop;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.10
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    • pp.167-172
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    • 2021
  • After the Ferry Sewol accident, public interest in marine safety has increased. However, as the marine leisure tourism population increases, the number of casualties caused by marine accidents is increasing, so marine safety education is urgently needed. Since facilities related to marine safety education in Korea are geographically biased to the west, regional imbalances in education are significant. Therefore, this study suggested solutions to the problems of developing educational contents and securing budgets and professionals by using idle facilities of the Korea Institute of Maritime and Fisheries Technology(KIMFT) located in Busan as a maritime safety education center. In addition, as a result of estimating demand using the gravity model, it was estimated that the demand would range from 150,000 to 130,000 per year. This study sufficiently proved social policy validity for policy suggestions using existing idle sites as maritime safety education centers based on objective verification methods and is expected to contribute substantially to policy promotion in the future.

A Study on the Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Korea's Commodity Trade (Covid-19 팬데믹이 한국의 상품무역에 미친 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Tae-Kun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.187-198
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    • 2022
  • This study attempted to examine whether the spread of infectious diseases and quarantine measures such as border blockade and restrictions on movement due to the global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is the cause of a decrease in product trade. To this end, a gravity model analysis was conducted using commodity trade statistics from Korea and major trading partners. As a result of the analysis, it was empirically confirmed that in 2020, the time of the spread of COVID-19, the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic was an obstacle to reducing Korea's trade. However, in the case of 2021, it was not possible to confirm whether the impact of the pandemic had a significant effect on commodity trade. As the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 is different, the commodity trade situation in 2022 when the COVID-19 epidemic is stably managed is also likely to change. Since factors such as response to COVID-19 and the spread of vaccines vary from country to country, it is thought that such various factors should be fully considered in the process of establishing policies to end the COVID-19 era

Analysis of Japan's CPTPP Trade Effect Using Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 일본의 CPTPP 교역 효과 분석)

  • Jongin Kim;Seong-Hyuk Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2023
  • The South Korean government announced its plan to pursue membership in the CPTPP in 2022, aiming to establish a stable supply chain within the Asia-Pacific region. The CPTPP, led by Japan, was ratified in 2018 by 11 countries with the goal of eliminating tariffs and establishing new trade rules. According to our analysis, since the implementation of the CPTPP, there has been a trade promotion effect among Japan and member countries, with greater effects observed in countries with higher GDP per capita and closer geographical distance. As long as tariff elimination and reduction proceed as planned, the trade promotion effects are expected to expand gradually. However, the expansion of trade between Japan and CPTPP member countries may also indicate a relative contraction in trade with non-member countries, potentially posing a threat to the stable supply chain in the Korean industry within the Asia-Pacific region. As Japan is Korea's fourth-largest trading partner, it is necessary to carefully consider the impact of CPTPP on Japan's future trade with member countries and engage in discussions regarding Korea's participation and negotiation content based on a thorough examination of the matter.

A Study on the Method for Promoting Trade between Central Asian CIS Countries and the region Daegu-Gyeongbuk (중앙아시아CIS 국가를 활용한 대구·경북 무역의 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Ahn, Tae-Kun;Kim, Sung-Ryong
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.221-243
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the trade of the Central Asian CIS countries and the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region. These countries are rich in resources such as oil, natural gas and aluminum. These countries were switched to capitalist market economy after independence from the Soviet Union. So, these countries are considered as new emerging markets. This study analyzed the current status of trade between Daegu-Gyeongbuk region and Central Asian CIS countries. The result of analysis of the trade structure between the Daegu-Gyeongbuk and Central Asian CIS countries, and of the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region exports to Central Asian CIS countries showed insufficience when compared with the total export of korea. In this study, we used the gravity model to analyze the trade volume of the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region and Central Asian CIS countries. The result of analysis is that the globalization of Central Asian CIS countries appeared to be effective in increasing trade. In order to increase trade, Korea and CIS countries should strengthen their economic cooperation. Especially, these countries should try to implement FTAs for economic integration. The Central Asian CIS countries have an industrial structure that relies on resource exports. So, they have a blueprint for diversification of industries through national long-term plans. The Daegu-Gyeongbuk region's economy has been going through long-term stagnation. If the Daegu-Gyeongbuk companies can enter the Central Asian CIS countries, it can be a solution for the local economy.

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Application of Non-hydrostatic Free Surface Model for Three-Dimensional Viscous Flows (비정수압 자유수면 모형의 3차원 점성 흐름에의 적용)

  • Choi, Doo-Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2012
  • A horizontally curvilinear non-hydrostatic free surface model that was applicable to three-dimensional viscous flows was developed. The proposed model employed a top-layer equation to close kinematic free-surface boundary condition, and an isotropic k-${\varepsilon}$ model to close turbulence viscosity in the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes equation. The model solved the governing equations with a fractional step method, which solved intermediate velocities in the advection-diffusion step, and corrects these provisional velocities by accounting for source terms including pressure gradient and gravity acceleration. Numerical applications were implemented to the wind-driven currents in a two-dimensional closed basin, the flow in a steep-sided trench, and the flow in a strongly-curved channel accounting for secondary current by the centrifugal force. Through the numerical simulations, the model showed its capability that were in good agreement with experimental data with respect to free surface elevation, velocity, and turbulence characteristics.

A Study on Behavior Characteristics of Segmental Retaining Wall (조립식 블럭 옹벽의 거동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jundae
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2008
  • From the practical point of view, general retaining wall systems, such as gravity wall, cantilever wall and reinforced wall, have several problems. As a countermeasure, precast block type retaining wall systems have been developed and used for the various purposes of construction. The retaining wall systems can be applied not only for mechanical purpose but environmentally friendly aspects by changing the shapes of surface plates and planting on the surface plates. On the other hand, the bulging failure was dominant near the center of wall height. Therefore, an individual block has to be estimated for the stability problem related to turnover and the for design of gravity block type wall. On the basis of this result, the optimum section of the wall has to be determined.

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Analysis of Influencing Export Factors of Major Agricultural Products for ASEAN using Panel Gravity Model (패널중력모형을 이용한 동남아시아 대상 주요 수출 농산물 영향인자 분석)

  • Kim, Solhee;Son, Younghwan;Park, Jinseon;Kim, Taegon;Suh, Kyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2016
  • The global trade partners have been diversified and mixed in agricultural market, which is expended the international agri-food market through the Regional Trade Agreement and World Trade Organization, etc. The aim of this study is to derive influential factors for exports increases of agricultural products targeting to Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN). We set the equation for agricultural products exports referred to panel gravity model considering panel fixed effect for controlling endogeneity within variables. The results of this study are the follows; (1) Social economic distance considering international oil price negatively affects in the mushroom model; (2) Korean GDP affects (-) in a mushroom model and (+) in a vegetable model, however, ASEAN's per capita GDP indicates opposite influence in the same model; (3) Relative exchange rate shows negative impact in a vegetable model; (4) The entry status into WTO and the status in force of FTA have converse effects in mushroom and vegetable model, respectively.

The Relation between Trade Volume and Regional Trade Agreements (지역무역협정(RTA)과 국가 간 무역량 결정요인 분석)

  • AHN, So-Young;BAE, Yeon-Ho
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.72
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    • pp.139-160
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    • 2016
  • Using the gravity model, this paper analyzes empirically how the world trade in goods is affected by regional trade agreements(RTAs) which have been spreading rapidly since the mid-1990s. This paper attempt to do the panel data analysis about 174 countries during the period of 1994-2008. These panel data include 157 RTAs. It is meaningful that this paper uses comprehensive data to analyze the net effect of regional trade agreements on the global trade volume. This provides a clue as to the answer to the stumbling block debate raised early in the regional trade agreement. Also, confirming how the participation of the WTO affected the trade volume among the member countries, the WTO-related dummy variables are additionally introduced to this gravity model. And as far as we know, the state system-related variables is first considered in this model. This variable reflects the social and cultural environments of countries as the proxy variable representing the sociocultural homogeneity. In all regressions, joining to the WTO and consistency of the state system have a positive effect on increasing the trade volumes between countries. According to the analysis of RTA trade effects, RTAs, on average, increase the volume of trade within the RTA region by 27%~37%, and decrease the volume of trade between the regional and the non-regional nation by 1.2%~3.4%.Therefore, the net effect of regional trade agreements on the promotion of global welfare is positive. For robustness check, we also introduce the interaction term of the dummy variable which reflects the RTA tightening and the continuous variable which reflects the distance effect. As a result, the RTAs alleviate the trade-decreasing effect which is caused by the distance between the countries.

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An Experimental Study on the Behavior of Composite Ground Improved by SCP and GCP with Low Replacement Ratio (저치환율 SCP와 GCP로 개량된 복합지반의 거동에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Byoung-Il;Yoo, Wan-Kyu;Kim, Young-Uk;Moon, In-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.936-942
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the results of laboratory tests conducted to investigate the effectiveness of applying methodology of a sand compaction(SCP) and a gravel compaction pile(GCP) on soft ground. The test conditions involved relatively low replacement ratios (=10, 20, and 30%) of a pile to unit cell at 1g (gravity acceleration) level. Results revealed that GCP significantly enhanced bearing capacity, settlement reduction, and consolidation rate compared with SCP.