• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes Estimators

검색결과 124건 처리시간 0.023초

Bayesian Algorithms for Evaluation and Prediction of Software Reliability (소프트웨어 신뢰도의 평가와 예측을 위한 베이지안 알고리즘)

  • Park, Man-Gon;Ray
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
    • /
    • 제1권1호
    • /
    • pp.14-22
    • /
    • 1994
  • This paper proposes two Bayes estimators and their evaluation algorithms of the software reliability at the end testing stage in the Smith's Bayesian software reliability growth model under the data prior distribution BE(a, b), which is more general than uniform distribution, as a class of prior information. We consider both a squared-error loss function and the Harris loss function in the Bayesian estimation procedures. We also compare the MSE performances of the Bayes estimators and their algorithms of software reliability using computer simulations. And we conclude that the Bayes estimator of software reliability under the Harris loss function is more efficient than other estimators in terms of the MSE performances as a is larger and b is smaller, and that the Bayes estimators using the beta prior distribution as a conjugate prior is better than the Bayes estimators under the uniform prior distribution as a noninformative prior when a>b.

  • PDF

EMPIRICAL BAYES ESTIMATION OF RESIDUAL SURVIVAL FUNCTION AT AGE

  • Liang, Ta-Chen
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제33권2호
    • /
    • pp.191-202
    • /
    • 2004
  • The paper considers nonparametric empirical Bayes estimation of residual survival function at age t using a Dirichlet process prior V(a). Empirical Bayes estimators are proposed for the case where both the function ${\alpha}$(0, $\chi$] and the size a(R$\^$+/) are unknown. It is shown that the proposed empirical Bayes estimators are asymptotically optimal at a rate n$\^$-1/, where n is the number of past data available for the present estimation problem. Therefore, the result of Lahiri and Park (1988) in which a(R$\^$+/) is assumed to be known and a rate n$\^$-1/ is achieved, is extended to a(R$\^$+/) unknown case.

Generalized Bayes estimation for a SAR model with linear restrictions binding the coefficients

  • Chaturvedi, Anoop;Mishra, Sandeep
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제28권4호
    • /
    • pp.315-327
    • /
    • 2021
  • The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.

A Study on Estimators of Parameters and Pr[X < Y] in Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Park, Eun Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.101-116
    • /
    • 1990
  • The objectives of this thesis are : first, to estimate the parameters and Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution ; and secondly, to compare the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] with maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution. Through the Monte Carlo Simulation, we observed that the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] and the Bayes estimator of Pr[X < Y] with gamma prior distribution performs better than with vague prior distribution with respect to bias and mean squared error in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution.

  • PDF

Hierachical Bayes Estimation of Small Area Means in Repeated Survey (반복조사에서 소지역자료 베이지안 분석)

  • 김달호;김남희
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.119-128
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this paper, we consider the HB estimators of small area means with repeated survey. mao and Yu(1994) considered small area model with repeated survey data and proposed empirical best linear unbiased estimators. We propose a hierachical Bayes version of Rao and Yu by assigning prior distributions for unknown hyperparameters. We illustrate our HB estimator using very popular data in small area problem and then compare the results with the estimator of Census Bureau and other estimators previously proposed.

Estimators of Pr [ X < Y ] in Block and Basu's Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Lee, Ki-Hoon;Lee, Yeon;Kim, Hwan-Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • 제22권3호
    • /
    • pp.124-141
    • /
    • 1994
  • The maximum likelihood estimator (M.L.E.) and the Bayes estimators of Pr (X < Y) are derived when X and Y have a absolutely continuous bivariate exponential distribution in Block & Basu's model. The performances of M.L.E. are compared to those Bayes estimators for moderate sample size.

  • PDF

System reliability estimation in multicomponent exponential stress-strength models

  • Pandit, Parameshwar V.;Kantu, Kala J.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.97-105
    • /
    • 2013
  • A stress-strength model is formulated for a multi-component system consisting of k identical components. The k components of the system with random strengths ($X_1$, $X_2$, ${\ldots}$, $X_k$) are subjected to one of the r random stresses ($X_{k+1}$, $X_{k+2}$, ${\ldots}$, $X_{k+r}$). The estimation of system reliability based on maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and Bayes estimators in k component system are obtained when the system is either parallel or series with the assumption that strengths and stresses follow exponential distribution. A simulation study is conducted to compare MLE and Bayes estimator through the mean squared errors of the estimators.

  • PDF

Bayesian estimation for Rayleigh models

  • Oh, Ji Eun;Song, Joon Jin;Sohn, Joong Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제28권4호
    • /
    • pp.875-888
    • /
    • 2017
  • The Rayleigh distribution has been commonly used in life time testing studies of the probability of surviving until mission time. We focus on a reliability function of the Rayleigh distribution and deal with prior distribution on R(t). This paper is an effort to obtain Bayes estimators of rayleigh distribution with three different prior distribution on the reliability function; a noninformative prior, uniform prior and inverse gamma prior. We have found the Bayes estimator and predictive density function of a future observation y with each prior distribution. We compare the performance of the Bayes estimators under different sample size and in simulation study. We also derive the most plausible region, prediction intervals for a future observation.

Bayesian Analysis under Heavy-Tailed Priors in Finite Population Sampling

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, In-Suk;Sohn, Joong-Kweon;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제3권3호
    • /
    • pp.225-233
    • /
    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose Bayes estimators of the finite population mean based on heavy-tailed prior distributions using scale mixtures of normals. Also, the asymptotic optimality property of the proposed Bayes estimators is proved. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the results.

  • PDF