• 제목/요약/키워드: Actual Cost Data

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Time Series Analysis and Forecast for Labor Cost of Actual Cost Data (시계열분석을 통한 실적공사비의 노무비 분석 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seok;Lee, Eun-Young;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2013
  • Since 2004, the government decided to gradually introduce Actual Cost Data into cost estimate for improving problems of below-cost tendering and to reflect fair market price through competition and carry contract efficiently. However, there are many concerns that Actual Cost Data has not reflected real market price, even that has contributed to reduce the government's budget. General construction firm's burden for labor cost is imputed to specialty contractors and eventually it becomes construction worker's burden. Therefore, realization of Actual Cost Data is very important factor to settle this system. To understand realization level and make short term forecast, this paper drew construction group of which labor cost constitutes more than 95% of direct cost, and compares their Actual Cost Data with relevant skilled workers's unit wage and predicts using time series analysis. The bid price which is not be reflected market price accelerates work environment changes and leads to directly affect such as late disbursement of wages, bankruptcy to workers. Therefore this paper is expected to be used to the preliminary data for solving the problem and establishing improvement of Actual Cost Data.

Development of Construction Cost Estimation Model with the Actual Cost Data for Rural Development Project (실적자료에 의한 농어촌정비사업 사업비 결정에 있어서의 단가모델 구축)

  • 배연정;이정재;윤성수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 1999
  • Providing the reasonable construction cost at the initial stage of the rural development project, is a kety factor of the each step of project , such as propriety analysis , cost planning , design, and planning the progress of work. The explainable construction cost can be estimated at the early stage using the actual cost data by statistical analysis. In this study, the influence factors are extracted by factor analysis with the actual cost data of rural development project, object cost model is developed by multiple regression analysis, and verify the developed cost model by Monte-Carlo simulation .

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A Study on Calibration of PRICE Model Using Historical Cost Data (실적자료를 활용한 PRICE 모델의 보정방안 연구)

  • Jung, Tae-Kyun;Lee, Yong-Bok;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2010
  • In Korea weapon system acquisition processes, it's required a cost estimation report obtained from a commercial cost model. The PRICE model is generally used as a cost estimation model in Korea. However, the model uses American historical R&D data and it's output cost component is different from our cost component of defense accounting system. Also, we found that estimating results show about 10% of difference when we comparing with actual costs in 44 finished weapon acquisition projects. There are some limitations in calibration to increase an accuracy of the PRICE model because it's difficult obtain good real input data, detailed cost and technical data in low level WBS. So, only 8% of the defense R&D projects are calibrated and validation of calibration results is more difficult. Therefore, we studied the standard calibration process and performed the calibration about the MCPLXS/E parameters of the PRICE model based on actual cost data. In order to obtain a good calculation result, we collected the actual material costs from the defense industry companies. Our results can be used for an reference in similar weapon system R&D and production cost estimation cases.

Analytic study of 4~10 years Defect Deposite Use State based on Actual Data after moving in apartment complex (4~10년차 실적자료에 근거한 공동주택 하자보수 보증금의 사용실태 분석연구)

  • Seo, Deok-Seok;Jeon, Myeong-Soo;Lee, Eun-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2011년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.153-154
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    • 2011
  • In Korea, the apartment supplier should satisfy the apartment residents' demand on the defect repair found in apartment housing by the law of Management of Apartment Complexs. But in the cost of defect repair, not only the actual defect repair cost, but also the cost of residents' complains are contained. So in this analytic study, the actual use state of defect deposite during 4~10 years after moving in are analysed base on actual data of 15 apartment complexes. In this study, about 66% of defect repair deposites are used to actual defect repair and only 34% of defect repair cost are spent to satisfy the demand of apartment residents'.

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Development of an Unit Cost Modification Model for Proper Actual Cost Data in Small Building Construction Projects (소규모 건축공사의 적정 실적공사비 단가보정 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Kang-Shik;Hyun, Chang-Taek;Hong, Tae-Hoon;Jo, Seong-Min;Mun, Hyun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2010
  • Since 2004, the government has changedthe cost estimate system to one of an actual cost basis in order to calculate the optimum construction cost by reflecting changes in circumstance on the construction site in a timely manner. Currently, this is being applied to public construction work forover a billion won of actual cost data in estimation by contract unit cost. However, directly reflecting actual cost, which for large-sized construction work was originally an average unit cost, to a small building, entails the application of a low discount rate for the cost of materials, labor, etc. and therefore can frequently give rise to cases in which the actual cost of work performed exceeds the contract sum, which in turn causes problems such as decreased revenues, bad effectson business operation, productivity, etc. Therefore, to apply actual cost to small-sized construction work (less than a billion won), there should be a plan to modify unit cost in a manner that can reflect project scale, etc. in order to resolve the problem of unit cost application of actual cost to small-building construction projects. The unit cost modification model for proper actual construction cost in small-scale construction projects developed by this study will help to increase the relevant productivity and proper gain, preventing the aggravation of business operations. Organizations placing orders are also expected to be able to secure a more realistic construction cost in arranging the budget.

Methodology of data analyses under presence of outliers for estimating construction cost (공사비 예측시 이상값 존재하에서 데이터 처리 분석 방안)

  • O, Se-Dae;Huh, Young-Ki
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2007
  • Statistical analyses with actual data are used in estimating construction cost for many years, but collected data could include factors that distort analytical results, namely outliers. To enhance reliability in predicting construction cost, the methodology, which is able to identify outliers and determine how to manage them, is needed. Actual costs obtained from 22 construction projects were studied. It is found that there is substantial disparity between results considering outliers and results not considering ones. Therefore, it is to identify outliers and apply an optimum process in estimating construction cost when actual data is used in statistical analysis.

Comparative Study of Cost Estimate System in Landscape Architectural Construction - Comparison of Unit Price between Actual Construction Cost and Standard Quantity per Unit - (조경공사 적산방식의 비교연구 - 실적공사비와 표준품셈의 단가비교 -)

  • Jung, Un-Soo;Choi, Key-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to find a proper construction cost calculation method by comparing unit prices of cost estimate in landscape construction among other public ordering construction projects. There were 7 out of 12 items from the actual work cost in the first half of 2011 were compared. The 12 items were classified as landscape Architectural construction and the 7 items were the approximate standard. As applied construction types, the comparable 35 items out of the 80 actual work cost items applied to 5 sites were compared to the unit price of the standard quantity per unit in March 2011, which was the approximate standard. Actual construction rate of the 7 items in the category of landscape sector was 104.86% for each item and 92.09% as a total construction cost. The high actual construction rate was caused by the high rate of seed spray depending on the status of applying rocks. However, there were more fundamental reasons for the cost generated from aslope treatment for grass and seed spray. So, it requires more detailed regulations on the modification factors for each soil type, the standard and needs to improve theillogical standard quantity per unit system. Actual construction rate of the 35 items in the applied sectors of civil engineering and architecture was 78.65% for each item and 71.31% (70.17%) as a total construction cost. This shows that actual unit cost cannot reflect actual cost structurally and standard quantity per unit system lacks practicality in terms of construction due to thelabor force. 85.1~91.2 % actual construction rate announced by the Ministry of Land and Maritime Affairs referred to the newly switched items. So the result was estimated as actual construction rate. This requires supplementation after verification in order to make the actual work cost produce at a proper rate. Also, standard quantity per unit system needs complementation with these actual data and so on.

A Study on the Prediction-Formulas of Approximate Estimate Based on Actual Work Cost for Subway (실적공사비에 의한 지하철 공사비 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hyuk;Jeon, Yong-Bae;Park, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2013
  • This study proposed cost prediction equation model by considering duration, construction, size, actual cost with the subway construction started by the actual cost system which was introduced since 2004. Costs - scale exponent n(confidence range: 0.5 to 0.7) for cost prediction of subway construction was drawn total cost(0.713), net cost(0.77) in point of the 11 subway construction data. The cost prediction equation model of the subway construction which was presented in this study is able to effectively apply to business planning, preliminary investigation, feasibility study, basic design stage to estimate the approximate cost in the future.

An Analysis of Safety Control Effectiveness in Construction (건설업 안전관리 효과분석에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • 갈원모;손기상;채준석
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 1996
  • Estimating the cost of injuries and "accidents" to an organization is very important to figure out about how much well each organization has run his company and how much efficiently he has got the results using a certain amount of the expense for safety. Despite the potential usefulness to management of information as to the cost of a company's "accidents", it is not customary accounting practice to make these data available. Of the two general kinds of costs forced on a company by its occupational injuries and "accidents", the insurance cost and uninsured cost, -the former is by far the easier to find out. But actually, this uninsured cost should be figured out at each company. Authors have designed the generalized model to figure out the above problem costs to establish its efficient safety control. One construction company has been a pilot for this study. It is found that efficient safety control cost should be 1.2%~l.3% of total selling amount by analyzing actual data for three years.g actual data for three years.

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A Study of the Application for Proper Construction Cost Estimating Method based on the Actual Cost Data (실적자료에 의한 적정 건축공사비 산정 방법에 관한 사례연구)

  • Cho Jae-Ho;Park Sang-Jun;Chun Jae-Youl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2001년도 학술대회지
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    • pp.383-386
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    • 2001
  • The ability to make good cost overruns predictions is a very important aspect of in major construction project. The probabilistic cost models can provide more reliable than traditional cost models which have been used in korea to prepare Bill of Quantities, if the actual cost data are sufficient enough to analyze the trends of the variables. The paper considers non-deterministic methods in a cost estimate. The method(referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation' method) interprets cost data indirectly, to generate a probability distribution for total costs from the deficient elemental experience cost distribution. The objectives of this research is to develop a method to forecast the probabilistic total construction cost and the elemental work cost

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