• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구 성장

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Long Run Relationship Between Population and Yield Revisited: An Analysis of Malthusian Regime (맬서스 국면에 의한 인구와 산출량의 장기적 관계 분석)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.142-155
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    • 2020
  • This study re-evaluated Malthusian regime which signifies a negative relationship between population and income by employing the trend for the population and the income of the world and panel analysis during 1820-2006 periods. Empirical evidence suggested that Malthusian regime was existed during 1900-1994 periods in the world economy. Even each country had experienced such regime in its own economic growth path. However, the population drastically decreased and output upsurged since 1995, Malthusian regime had not been revealed any more since then. Such phenomenon is mainly resulted from the output is rather increased geometrically when the population is decreased because of a social reason such as decreasing in fertility rate. In addition to this, the population contributes to the production not by a quantity but a quality which is embodied by capital. Particularly, when the population which is associated with demand side is counted, the population is said to be evolved continuously in economy.

Environmental Implications of Population Change in Korea (한국 인구변동의 환경적 함의)

  • 권태환
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.5-45
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    • 2001
  • Population and the environment are the basic elements of a human ecological system having intrinsic links between them. But, research on their relationships is very limited in both quantity and depth. Although the concern on the topic has grown recently, most discussions lack analytical perspectives and are largely descriptive. The tendency is blamed for problems involved in defining the term, the environment, and the paucity of data on environment. In Korea, the limitation is much grater and, therefore, this study sets a moderate aim: That is, to explore, from ecological perspectives, various implications of population change on the environment in 20th century Korea. More specifically, it examines the related theoretical discussions, the major features of population change, and changes in environmental conditions that can be assumed to have direct or indirect links with population size and urbanization. Official statistics and newspaper articles on various environmental issues consist of the major data sources.

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The Population Growth of Local Cities and the Stage Migration: A case study of Jeollabuk-do (비수도권 중소도시의 인구성장과 단계적 이동: 전라북도를 사례로)

  • Lee, Chungsup
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.525-545
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    • 2014
  • This study seeks to clarify the influence of the stage migration which has proceeded through generations, on the population growth of local cities in the case of Jeollabuk-do. For this, setting to baby boomer as parents generation and echo boomer as their children, this study traces each generation's birth, distribution and the process of selective migration using aggregate level data. And the stage migration is analyzed by O-D, divided into three regions in each; Jeollabuk-do rural areas, Jeollabuk-do cities and other provinces. The major findings of this study are as follows. First, it was estimated that the number of the baby boomer births in Jeollabuk-do rural areas was seven times more numerous than in cities. Second, both rural and urban born baby boomers overwhelmingly moved into other provinces, especially Seoul metropolitan area and metropolis in their selective migration processes. However, there was also migration stream from rural areas to cities in Jeollabuk-do and the amount of this stream was approximately equal to the amount of outflux from cities in Jeollabuk-do to other provinces. Third, due to baby boomers' stage migration, from rural to urban, echo boomers were born in cities more than in rural areas. Fourth, urban born echo boomers still have moved into other provinces just like their parents generation in selective migration process. But comparing with baby boomer, the number of echo boomers influx from rural areas to cities has decreased. Consequentially the population of echo boomer in Jeollabuk-do cities also has decreased. Finally, the stage migration has been a basic cause of the social growth of urban population, and also influenced on the natural growth, closely connected with migrants' life course, such as marriage, childbirth and rearing. Therefore, this study concludes that the stage migration through generations is one of the crucial factor to understand the population growth in local cities.

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Spatial Pattern and Causative Factor Analysis of Vacant Housing in Daegu, South Korea Using Individual-level Building DB (개별건축물 데이터를 활용한 대구광역시 빈집 발생의 공간적 분포 및 발생요인 분석)

  • Park, Jeong-Il;Oh, Sang-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2018
  • This research aims to examine the spatial patterns of vacant housings and the factors determining housing vacancy in Daegu using individual-level building DB. The results of the spatial pattern analysis showed a donut shaped-spatial concentration of vacant housings in the central areas of the city. The results of logistic regression analysis revealed that not only individual building characteristics, such as building area, number of floors, and building age, but also socio-economic characteristics of community, such as urban redevelopment district, number of adjacent vacancies, recent population change, and ratio of elderly, are important factors affecting housing vacancies.

Optimum Population Projection in Korea: An Environmental Perspective (환경 측면에서 한국의 적정인구 추계)

  • Jeong, Dae-Yuon
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.269-292
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    • 2006
  • The current environmental problem is global, and threatens the very existence of human beings. Many factors have been argued as the causes of environmental problem. The examples include anthroponcentric human perspective on nature, increase in the knowledge on nature, development of technology, economic growth and unequal distribution, and population increase, etc. The scholars who argues population increase have focused on over-population. However, the estimation of optimum population size has not been attempted in terms of environmental carrying capacity. In such a context, this paper aims at estimating optimum population size in South Korea in terms of environmental carrying capacity. The estimation was done from two approaches. One was based on the state of environment, the other was based on 'the desirable state of environment' Koreans expect. The former is termed an objective approach, while the latter is termed an approach based on social consensus. About 47.5 millions were estimated from the former approach, and 48.5 millions from the latter approach. However, optimum population size increase by 50.5 millions if government increase environmental budget to 2.00% among total budget. As such, different optimum population size is estimated according to the values of variables. The most significant variable determining optimum population size is environmental budget, and followed by supply of clean energy. The estimated optimum population size was based on the time-series data from 1993 to 2002. Therefore, time-series data collected from other years will result in different estimation model, and then different optimum population size will be estimated.

An Analysis of Urban Spatial Cycles Considering Wide Area City Plan in Seoul Metropolitan Area (광역도시계획을 고려한 수도권 도시 성장주기 분석)

  • Im, Young-Jin;Lee, Myeong-Hun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.348-358
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    • 2016
  • This study reveals a change in the growth cycle of metropolitan with analyzing the population of Seoul metropolitan area and identifies the characteristics of each urban area. For this, the exponential growth of the city, Roxy index, which in recent years been actively studied in Japan, has applied. As a result, the entire metropolitan area and central areas, and the southern region are about to move to the accelerating centralization phase. In the phase of suburbanization are highly likely to turn into the new phase of regression phase. In addition, the northern and eastern suburbs are currently in progress with the accelerating decentralization phase and are expected to be converted in the decelerating decentralization phase. Through this implication in Seoul metropolitan area, it is necessary to carry out the policy responses about regional maintenance by connecting to the changes in direction and speed of cycle phase of city. The results of this study can be used as basic data to determine the long-term future growth and decline of the metropolitan area.

A Study on the Uneven Growth and Geographic Distribution of Creative Industries (창조산업의 불균등 성장과 지리적 분포 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.447-464
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    • 2014
  • Creative industries are important due to the capability of enhancing urban competitiveness. This study is focused on unravelling the uneven growth and geographic distributions of creative industries. The main results are as follows. First, the primary city, Seoul, has too much eminence than the citysize rule suggests, and the creative-industry elasticity is very high compared to population and all industry. Second, Seoul is reinforcing the uneven growth with adjacent cities. Third, the local main cities have little power to enhance creative industries and the local small cities grow randomly. Fourth, each city should have more deliberation in accepting creative industries as an urban growth strategy.

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The Changing Spatial Patterns of Aging Population in Korea (한국 인구고령화의 지역적 전개 양상)

  • Choi, Jae-Heon;Yoon, Hyun-Wi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.359-374
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    • 2012
  • This paper intends to examine spatial patterns and regional variations of aging population in Korea based on census data for 163 areas during 1980~2010. It briefly investigates general characteristics of aging population in Korea from previous studies and clarifies spatial patterns of aging process at regional level with reference of population growth rate at different time periods. Cities in Korea are classified into several stages including aging society, aged society and super-aged society according to the percentages of aging population out of total population every five years. At the regional scale, the stage of aging society was revealed from 1980, while the stage of aged society was shown from 1995 and super-aged society was entered from 2000 in Korea. Eighty cities in the analysis were shown at the stage of super-aged society in 2010. The portions of aging population are highly related to city size and population growth rate. For instance, the cities both in small size and with low population growth rate are revealing high percentage of aging population. As of 2010, most rural areas are staged into super-aged society, while most cities within Seoul metropolitan area and mid-sized cities are kept in the stage of aging society. At regional scale, there are no significant statistical correlations between total fertility rate and aging population.

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Changes of Spatial Structure in Busan Metropolitan using GIS - with Special Reference to Population, Employment and Land Prices - (GIS를 활용한 부산시공간구조변천에 관한 연구 - 인구, 고용, 지가분포를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Heung-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.204-214
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    • 2006
  • The necessity of a management for a metropolitan has long intrigued many urban scholars and researchers who are interested in Busan metropolitan spatial structure and its problems. The purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamic changes of spatial structure in Busan Metropolitan by analyzing the population, employment and Land prices, for the period of 1993, 2001. The major results in this study are as follows; While main-centers have experienced significant loss of population, sub-centers have been growing. Jung-Ang Dong still has high accessibility in population potentials, but its accessibility has declined since 1993. Pu-Jeon Dong had increasing trend of population until 2000, but its population has also descended since that time. Meanwhile, the population of sub-centers has increased in its accessibility. And The spatial pattern of the population in Busan has changed from monocentric to polycentric. This phenomenon was almost spontaneously generated from population dispersion from existing main-centers. In terms of change of land values are there is a spatial and temporal rhythm in the urbanization of Busan. The highest land value in Busan is shown in CBD. The development of Busan proceeded along the north-south belt and extended to west Busan.

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The Urbanization and Migration in the Period of the Japanese Occupation (일제 강점기 도시화와 인구이동: 1930년 부(府)와 지정면(指定面) 지역을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Chung Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the urbanization process and identify the Origin-Destination(O-D) of migration in the period of the Japanese occupation, based on the census data about Bu and Jijung-myeon. For this, the study analysed the types and the location of the immigrants' origin(birthplace) whose headed for an urban area. In 1930, as the destinations in the inter-regional migration, the urban areas could be divided into three categories according to the distance: long-, medium- and short-distance. The new urban areas which developed for effective colonial rule by Japanese pulled the long distance immigrant across the Korean Peninsula, and the Chosun Dynasty's traditional cities had the inflow of population from the near and hinterland. All in all, it is proposed that the dual settlement systems of colonial and traditional structures, is the key to understand the Korean urbanization processes basedd on the inter-regional migration during Japanese colonial period.

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