• Title/Summary/Keyword: 소표본 모의실험

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The extraction method of unstable frequency line generated by underwater target using extended Kalman filter (확장 칼만필터를 이용한 수중 표적의 불안정 주파수선 추출 기법)

  • Lee, Sung-Eun;Hwang, Soo-Bok;Nam, Ki-Gon;Kim, Jae-Chang
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 1996
  • In passive sonar system, frequency lines generated by underwater target are very important for detection, tracking and classification. In this paper, the extraction method of unstable frequency line from the time samples of the radiated noise of underwater target is studied. As unstable frequency line is time varying, an extended Kalman filter algorithm which is desirable for nonlinear system is applied to extract unstable frequency line. The proposed method shows good extraction of unstable frequency line by application of simulated signal and real target.

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Nonparametric tests using optimal weights for umbrella alternatives in a randomized block design (확률화 블럭 계획법에서 최적 가중치를 이용한 우산형 대립가설의 비모수검정법)

  • 김동희;김영철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we propose nonparametric tests using optimal weights for umbrella alternatives in a randomized block design. We obtain the optimal weights by maximizing the asymptotic relative efficiency of the proposed test statistics with respect to Mack and Wolf(1981) type test statistic, and investigate asymptotic relative efficiencies of the proposed test statistics using these optimal weights relative to Mack and Wolfe type statistics and linear rank statistic. Throughout simulations for small samples, the proposed test statistic has good powers rather than the other two tests when the block sizes are different.

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Autocovariance based estimation in the linear regression model (선형회귀 모형에서 자기공분산 기반 추정)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.839-847
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we derive an estimator based on autocovariance for the regression coefficients vector in the multiple linear regression model. This method is suggested by Park (2009), and although this method does not seem to be intuitively attractive, this estimator is unbiased for the regression coefficients vector. When the vectors of exploratory variables satisfy some regularity conditions, under mild conditions which are satisfied when errors are from autoregressive and moving average models, this estimator has asymptotically the same distribution as the least squares estimator and also converges in probability to the regression coefficients vector. Finally we provide a simulation study that the forementioned theoretical results hold for small sample cases.

Regression models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate transition status (중간 사건이 결측되었거나 구간 중도절단된 준 경쟁 위험 자료에 대한 회귀모형)

  • Kim, Jinheum;Kim, Jayoun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1311-1327
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    • 2016
  • We propose a multi-state model for analyzing semi-competing risks data with interval-censored or missing intermediate events. This model is an extension of the 'illness-death model', which composes three states, such as 'healthy', 'diseased', and 'dead'. The state of 'diseased' can be considered as an intermediate event. Two more states are added into the illness-death model to describe missing events caused by a loss of follow-up before the end of the study. One of them is a state of 'LTF', representing a lost-to-follow-up, and the other is an unobservable state that represents the intermediate event experienced after LTF occurred. Given covariates, we employ the Cox proportional hazards model with a normal frailty and construct a full likelihood to estimate transition intensities between states in the multi-state model. Marginalization of the full likelihood is completed using the adaptive Gaussian quadrature, and the optimal solution of the regression parameters is achieved through the iterative Newton-Raphson algorithm. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation procedure in terms of the empirical coverage probability of the true regression parameter. Our proposed method is also illustrated with the dataset adapted from Helmer et al. (2001).

A measure of discrepancy based on margin of victory useful for the determination of random forest size (랜덤포레스트의 크기 결정에 유용한 승리표차에 기반한 불일치 측도)

  • Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2017
  • In this study, a measure of discrepancy based on MV (margin of victory) has been suggested that might be useful in determining the size of random forest for classification. Here MV is a scaled difference in the votes, at infinite random forest, of two most popular classes of current random forest. More specifically, max(-MV,0) is proposed as a reasonable measure of discrepancy by noting that negative MV values mean a discrepancy in two most popular classes between the current and infinite random forests. We propose an appropriate diagnostic statistic based on this measure that might be useful for the determination of random forest size, and then we derive its asymptotic distribution. Finally, a simulation study has been conducted to compare the performances, in finite samples, between this proposed statistic and other recently proposed diagnostic statistics.

Additive hazards models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate events (결측되었거나 구간중도절단된 중간사건을 가진 준경쟁적위험 자료에 대한 가산위험모형)

  • Kim, Jayoun;Kim, Jinheum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.539-553
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    • 2017
  • We propose a multi-state model to analyze semi-competing risks data with interval-censored or missing intermediate events. This model is an extension of the three states of the illness-death model: healthy, disease, and dead. The 'diseased' state can be considered as the intermediate event. Two more states are added into the illness-death model to incorporate the missing events, which are caused by a loss of follow-up before the end of a study. One of them is a state of the lost-to-follow-up (LTF), and the other is an unobservable state that represents an intermediate event experienced after the occurrence of LTF. Given covariates, we employ the Lin and Ying additive hazards model with log-normal frailty and construct a conditional likelihood to estimate transition intensities between states in the multi-state model. A marginalization of the full likelihood is completed using adaptive importance sampling, and the optimal solution of the regression parameters is achieved through an iterative quasi-Newton algorithm. Simulation studies are performed to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation method in terms of empirical coverage probability of true regression parameters. Our proposed method is also illustrated with a dataset adapted from Helmer et al. (2001).

Application of a large-scale ensemble climate simulation database for estimating the extreme rainfall (극한강우량 산정을 위한 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의자료의 적용)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Son, Minwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.177-189
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to apply the d4PDF (Data for Policy Decision Making for Future Change) constructed from a large-scale ensemble climate simulation to estimate the probable rainfall with low frequency and high intensity. In addition, this study analyzes the uncertainty caused by the application of the frequency analysis by comparing the probable rainfall estimated using the d4PDF with that estimated using the observed data and frequency analysis at Geunsam, Imsil, Jeonju, and Jangsu stations. The d4PDF data consists of a total of 50 ensembles, and one ensemble provides climate and weather data for 60 years such as rainfall and temperature. Thus, it was possible to collect 3,000 annual maximum daily rainfall for each station. By using these characteristics, this study does not apply the frequency analysis for estimating the probability rainfall, and we estimated the probability rainfall with a return period of 10 to 1000 years by distributing 3,000 rainfall by the magnitude based on a non-parametric approach. Then, the estimated probability rainfall using d4PDF was compared with those estimated using the Gumbel or GEV distribution and the observed rainfall, and the deviation between two probability rainfall was estimated. As a result, this deviation increased as the difference between the return period and the observation period increased. Meanwhile, the d4PDF reasonably suggested the probability rainfall with a low frequency and high intensity by minimizing the uncertainty occurred by applying the frequency analysis and the observed data with the short data period.

(A Study on the Design of Analog Converter Using Neuron MOS) (뉴런모스를 이용한 아날로그 변환기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seong-Il;Park, Seung-Yong;Kim, Heung-Su
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes a 3.3 (V) low power 4 digit CMOS quaternary to analog converter (QAC) designed with a neuron MOS($\upsilon$MOS) down literal circuit block and cascode current mirror source block. The neuron MOS down literal architecture allows the designed QAC to accept not only 4 level voltage inputs, but also a high speed sampling rate quaternary voltage source LSB. Fast settling time and low power consumption of the QAC are achieved by utilizing the proposed architecture. The simulation results of the designed 4 digit QAC show a sampling rate of 6(MHz) and a power dissipation of 24.5 (mW) with a single power supply of 3.3 (V) for a CMOS 0.35${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$ n-well technology.

Saddlepoint approximations for the risk measures of linear portfolios based on generalized hyperbolic distributions (일반화 쌍곡분포 기반 선형 포트폴리오 위험측도에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na, Jonghwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.959-967
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    • 2016
  • Distributional assumptions on equity returns play a key role in valuation theories for derivative securities. Elberlein and Keller (1995) investigated the distributional form of compound returns and found that some of standard assumptions can not be justified. Instead, Generalized Hyperbolic (GH) distribution fit the empirical returns with high accuracy. Hu and Kercheval (2007) also show that the normal distribution leads to VaR (Value at Risk) estimate that significantly underestimate the realized empirical values, while the GH distributions do not. We consider saddlepoint approximations to estimate the VaR and the ES (Expected Shortfall) which frequently encountered in finance and insurance as measures of risk management. We supposed GH distributions instead of normal ones, as underlying distribution of linear portfolios. Simulation results show the saddlepoint approximations are very accurate than normal ones.

A Wilcoxon signed-rank test for random walk hypothesis based on slopes (기울기를 이용한 랜덤워크 윌콕슨 부호순위검정)

  • Kim, Tae Yoon;Park, Cheolyong;Kim, Seul Gee;Kim, Min Seok;Lee, Woo Jung;Kwon, Yunji
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1499-1506
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    • 2014
  • Random walk is used for describing random phenomenon in various areas but tests for random walk developed so far are known to suffer from size distortion and low power. Kim et al. (2014) proposed a sign test for unit root (${\rho}=1$) hypothesis based on slopes. This article proposes a Wilcoxon signed rank test based on slopes for unit root hypothesis, and compares it with the augmented Dickey-Fuller test and the sign test by a simulation study. Our results confirm that the nonparametric tests are better than ADF test for small samples like n = 30. The results also show that the sign test is better than the Wilcoxon signed rank test and that for 0 < ${\rho}$ < 1 (-1 < ${\rho}$ < 0), the nonparametric tests suffer from power loss (improvement) as normal error changes to double exponential error.