• Title/Summary/Keyword: unbiased estimation

Search Result 146, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

THE MINIMUM VARIANCE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY

  • Park, C.J.;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-32
    • /
    • 1978
  • We obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of system reliability when a system consists of n components whose life times are assumed to be independent and identically distributed either negative exponential or geometric random variables. For the case of a negative exponential life time, we obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of the probability density function of the i-th order statistic.

  • PDF

ONNEGATIVE MINIMUM BIASED ESTIMATION IN VARIANCE COMPONENT MODELS

  • Lee, Jong-Hoo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.95-110
    • /
    • 1989
  • In a general variance component model, nonnegative quadratic estimators of the components of variance are considered which are invariant with respect to mean value translaion and have minimum bias (analogously to estimation theory of mean value parameters). Here the minimum is taken over an appropriate cone of positive semidefinite matrices, after having made a reduction by invariance. Among these estimators, which always exist the one of minimum norm is characterized. This characterization is achieved by systems of necessary and sufficient condition, and by a cone restricted pseudoinverse. In models where the decomposing covariance matrices span a commutative quadratic subspace, a representation of the considered estimator is derived that requires merely to solve an ordinary convex quadratic optimization problem. As an example, we present the two way nested classification random model. An unbiased estimator is derived for the mean squared error of any unbiased or biased estimator that is expressible as a linear combination of independent sums of squares. Further, it is shown that, for the classical balanced variance component models, this estimator is the best invariant unbiased estimator, for the variance of the ANOVA estimator and for the mean squared error of the nonnegative minimum biased estimator. As an example, the balanced two way nested classification model with ramdom effects if considered.

  • PDF

Improvement of Suspended Solid Loads Estimation in Nakdong River Using Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator (비편향 회귀분석모형을 이용한 낙동강 본류 부유사량 산정방법의 신뢰도 향상)

  • Han, Suhee;Kang, Du Kee;Shin, Hyun Suk;Yu, Jae-Jeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.251-259
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study three log-transformed linear regression models are compared with the focus of bias correction problem. The models are the traditional simple linear regression estimator (SL), the quasi maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) and the minimum variance unbiased estimator (MVUE). Using such models, suspended solid loads can be estimated using the discharge - suspended solid data set that has been measured by NIER Nakdong River Water Environment Laboratory. As a result, SL shows negative bias for most values of the measured discharge range. QMLE is nearly unbiased for moderate values of the measured discharge range, but shows increasingly positive bias for either large or small value of the measured discharge range. MVUE is unbiased. It is also analyzed how the estimated regression coefficient and exponent are distributed along Nakdong river main stream.

Estimation of Small Area Proportions Based on Logistic Mixed Model

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo;Son, Jung-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.153-161
    • /
    • 2009
  • We consider a logistic model with random effects as the superpopulation for estimating the small area pro-portions. The best linear unbiased predictor under linear mired model is popular in small area estimation. We use this type of estimator under logistic mixed motel for the small area proportions, on which the estimation of mean squared error is also discussed. Two kinds of estimation methods, the parametric bootstrap and the linear approximation will be compared through a Monte Carlo study in the respects of the normality assumption on the random effects distribution and also the magnitude of sample sizes on the approximation.

Design-based Variance Estimation under stratified Multi-stage Sampling (층화 다단계 샘플링에서 설계 기반 분산추정)

  • 김규성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
    • /
    • 2001.04a
    • /
    • pp.59-71
    • /
    • 2001
  • We investigate design-based variance estimation methods of homogeneous linear estimator for population total under stratified multi-stage sampling. One method is unbiasedly estimating the first stage variance and the second stage variance separately in each stratum. And another is sub-sampling method that estimating the first stage variance only by using sub-sample selected from the second stage sample so that resulting estimator is unbiased for the total variance. The first is useful when the second stage unbiased estimator is available and the second is when the second stage variance is not estimable. For each case, we proposed a form of non-negative unbiased variance estimator. We expect the proposed variance estimation methods can be effectively used for many practical surveys.

Design-based Variance Estimation under Stratified Multi-stage Sampling (층화 다단계 샘플링에서 설계 기반 분산추정)

  • 김규성
    • Survey Research
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-71
    • /
    • 2001
  • We investigate design-based variance estimation methods of homogeneous linear estimator for population total under stratified multi-stage sampling. One method is unbiasedly estimating the first stage variance and the second stage variance separately in each stratum. And another is sub-sampling method that estimating the first stage variance only by using sub-sample selected from the second stage sample so that resulting estimator is unbiased for the total variance. The first is useful when the second stage unbiased estimator is available and the second is when the second stage variance is not estimable. For each case, we proposed a form of non-negative unbiased variance estimator. We expect the proposed variance estimation methods can be effectively used for many practical surveys.

  • PDF

Hierachical Bayes Estimation of Small Area Means in Repeated Survey (반복조사에서 소지역자료 베이지안 분석)

  • 김달호;김남희
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.119-128
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this paper, we consider the HB estimators of small area means with repeated survey. mao and Yu(1994) considered small area model with repeated survey data and proposed empirical best linear unbiased estimators. We propose a hierachical Bayes version of Rao and Yu by assigning prior distributions for unknown hyperparameters. We illustrate our HB estimator using very popular data in small area problem and then compare the results with the estimator of Census Bureau and other estimators previously proposed.

Smart Air Condition Load Forecasting based on Thermal Dynamic Model and Finite Memory Estimation for Peak-energy Distribution

  • Choi, Hyun Duck;Lee, Soon Woo;Pae, Dong Sung;You, Sung Hyun;Lim, Myo Taeg
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.559-567
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose a new load forecasting method for smart air conditioning (A/C) based on the modified thermodynamics of indoor temperature and the unbiased finite memory estimator (UFME). Based on modified first-order thermodynamics, the dynamic behavior of indoor temperature can be described by the time-domain state-space model, and an accurate estimate of indoor temperature can be achieved by the proposed UFME. In addition, a reliable A/C load forecast can be obtained using the proposed method. Our study involves the experimental validation of the proposed A/C load forecasting method and communication construction between DR server and HEMS in a test bed. Through experimental data sets, the effectiveness of the proposed estimation method is validated.

The Usage of an SNP-SNP Relationship Matrix for Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUP) Analysis Using a Community-Based Cohort Study

  • Lee, Young-Sup;Kim, Hyeon-Jeong;Cho, Seoae;Kim, Heebal
    • Genomics & Informatics
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.254-260
    • /
    • 2014
  • Best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) has been used to estimate the fixed effects and random effects of complex traits. Traditionally, genomic relationship matrix-based (GRM) and random marker-based BLUP analyses are prevalent to estimate the genetic values of complex traits. We used three methods: GRM-based prediction (G-BLUP), random marker-based prediction using an identity matrix (so-called single-nucleotide polymorphism [SNP]-BLUP), and SNP-SNP variance-covariance matrix (so-called SNP-GBLUP). We used 35,675 SNPs and R package "rrBLUP" for the BLUP analysis. The SNP-SNP relationship matrix was calculated using the GRM and Sherman-Morrison-Woodbury lemma. The SNP-GBLUP result was very similar to G-BLUP in the prediction of genetic values. However, there were many discrepancies between SNP-BLUP and the other two BLUPs. SNP-GBLUP has the merit to be able to predict genetic values through SNP effects.

BLUE-Based Channel Estimation Technique for Amplify and Forward Wireless Relay Networks

  • PremKumar, M.;SenthilKumaran, V.N.;Thiruvengadam, S.J.
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.511-517
    • /
    • 2012
  • The best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) is most suitable for practical application and can be determined with knowledge of only the first and second moments of the probability density function. Although the BLUE is an existing algorithm, it is still largely unexplored and has not yet been applied to channel estimation in amplify and forward (AF)-based wireless relay networks (WRNs). In this paper, a BLUE-based algorithm is proposed to estimate the overall channel impulse response between the source and destination of AF strategy-based WRNs. Theoretical mean square error (MSE) performance for the BLUE is derived to show the accuracy of the proposed channel estimation algorithm. In addition, the Cram$\acute{e}$r-Rao lower bound (CRLB) is derived to validate the MSE performance. The proposed BLUE channel estimation algorithm approaches the CRLB as the length of the training sequence and number of relays increases. Further, the BLUE performs better than the linear minimum MSE estimator due to the minimum variance characteristic exhibited by the BLUE, which happens to be a function of signal-to-noise ratio.