• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.831-845
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• 2014

This paper proposed a discrete wavelet transform based method for time-varying physical parameter identification of shear type structures. The time-varying physical parameters are dispersed and expanded at multi-scale as profile and detail signal using discrete wavelet basis. To reduce the number of unknown quantity, the wavelet coefficients that reflect the detail signal are ignored by setting as zero value. Consequently, the time-varying parameter can be approximately estimated only using the scale coefficients that reflect the profile signal, and the identification task is transformed to an equivalent time-invariant scale coefficient estimation. The time-invariant scale coefficients can be simply estimated using regular least-squares methods, and then the original time-varying physical parameters can be reconstructed by using the identified time-invariant scale coefficients. To reduce the influence of the ill-posed problem of equation resolving caused by noise, the Tikhonov regularization method instead of regular least-squares method is used in the paper to estimate the scale coefficients. A two-story shear type frame structure with time-varying stiffness and damping are simulated to validate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method. It is demonstrated that the identified time-varying stiffness is with a good accuracy, while the identified damping is sensitive to noise.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.1-20
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• 2015

We examine the validity of popular exchange rate models such as the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis and the monetary model for Korean won/US dollar exchange rate. Various specification tests demonstrate that Korean data are more favorable for both models based on time-varying cointegration coefficients as compared to those based on constant cointegration coefficients. When the abilities to predict future exchange rates between those models based on time-varying cointegration coefficients are compared, an in-sample analysis shows that the time-varying PPP (monetary model) has better predictive power over horizons shorter (longer) than one year. Results from an out-of-sample analysis indicate that the time-varying PPP outperforms models based on constant cointegration coefficients when predicting future exchange rate changes in the long run.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.173-179
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• 2000

Interval prediction based on the empirical distribution function for the class of time series with time varying coefficients is discussed. To this end, strong mixing property of the model is shown and results due to Fotopoulos et. al.(1994) are employed. A simulation study is presented to assess the accuracy of the proposed interval predictor.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.10
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• pp.513-521
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• 2020

In this paper, we have developed a Fama - French five factor model (FF5 model) from Fama & French (2015) by using concept of time-varying coefficient. For a data set, we have used monthly data form Kenneth R. French home page, it include Japan portfolios (classified by using size and book-to-market) and 5 factors from July 1990 to April 2020. The first analysis, we used Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF test) for the stationary test, from the result, all Japan portfolios and 5 factors are stationary. Next analysis, we estimated a coefficient of Fama - French five factor model by using a generalized additive model with a thin-plate spline to create the time-varying coefficient Fama - French five factor model (TV-FF5 model). The benefit of this study is TV-FF5 model which can capture a different effect at different times of 5 factors but the traditional FF5 model can't do it. From the result, we can show a time-varying coefficient in all factors and in all portfolios, for time-varying coefficients of Rm-Rf, SMB, and HML are significant for all Japan portfolios, time-varying coefficients of RMW are positively significant for SM, and SH portfolio and time-varying coefficients of CMA are significant for SM, SH, and BM portfolio.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.367-379
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• 2004

This article deals with the nonparametric analysis of longitudinal data when there exist possible correlations among repeated measurements for a given subject. We consider a quasi-likelihood regression model where a transformation of the regression function through a link function is linear in time-varying coefficients. We investigate the local polynomial approach to estimate the time-varying coefficients, and derive the asymptotic distribution of the estimators in this quasi-likelihood context. A real data set is analyzed as an illustrative example.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.115-127
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• 2017

This paper proposes a Bayesian test for the equivalence of survival functions in multiple groups. Proposed Bayesian test use the model of Cox's regression with time-varying coefficients. B-spline expansions are used for the time-varying coefficients, and the proposed test use only the partial likelihood, which provides easier computations. Various simulations of the proposed test and typical tests such as log-rank and Fleming and Harrington tests were conducted. This result shows that the proposed test is consistent as data size increase. Specifically, the power of the proposed test is high despite the existence of crossing hazards. The proposed test is based on a Bayesian approach, which is more flexible when used in multiple tests. The proposed test can therefore perform various tests simultaneously. Real data analysis of Larynx Cancer Data was conducted to assess applicability.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1990.10b
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• pp.1424-1429
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• 1990

This paper presents an indirect adaptive control scheme for discrete linear systems whose parameters are not necessrily slowly varying. It is assumed that system parameters are modelled as linear combinations of known bounded functions with unknown constant coefficients. Unknown coefficients are estimated using a recursive least squares algorithm with a dead zone and a forgetting factor. A control law which makes the estimated model exponentially stable is constructed. With this control law and a state observer, all based on the parameter estimates, it is shown that the resulting closed-loop system is globally stable and robust to bounded external disturbances and small unmodelled plant uncertainties.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.318-329
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• 2011

This study focuses on enhancing the accuracy of consumption function of Korean natural gas for city gas. It is using time-series model with time-varying coefficients taking into account the recent abnormal temperature phenomenon and the changing gross domestic product (GDP) as important variables. This study estimates the cointegrating regression model for the long-run estimation and the error correction model for the short-run estimation. The consumption function of Korean natural gas is estimated to be influenced by the time-varying coefficients of GDP and temperature. Using the estimated time-series model with time-varying coefficients, this study forecasts the consumption of natural gas for city gas from July 2011 to December 2012. The consumption in 2011 would be 18,303 thousand tons, which is little different from the imported 18,681 thousand tons. The consumption of natural gas for city gas in 2012 is forecast to be 19,213 thousand tons. The consumption model of this study is needed to extend by considering the relative prices between natural gas and its substitutes, the scale of consumers and others.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2002.07b
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• pp.860-863
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• 2002

Realizations of multirate converters are proposed using periodically time-varying (PTV) structures. By exploiting the computational redundancy of the filtering operation in a multirate filter, it is possible to implement the filter with much less hardware. In the proposed implementations, several coefficients time-share in a periodic fashion the hardware of one multiply-and-add. Therefore, each multiply-and-add circuit performs different coefficient scalings at different time instants within a period. Compared to the direct form realization, the proposed realizations reduce the hardware of an interpolator and a decimator by a factor of approximately U and M, respectively, while retaining the same processing speed, where U and M are the upsampling and downsampling factors, respectively. The approach can be used to obtain realizations for sampling rate conversion by a rational factor of U/M, where U and M are relatively prime, in which case hardware reduction by a factor of approximately UM can be achieved.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.5 no.5
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• pp.521-528
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• 1999

The nth-order, scalar, linear time-varying (LTV) systems can be dealt with operators on a differential ring. Using this differential algebraic structure and a classical result on differential operator factorizaitons developed by Floquet, a novel eigenstructure(eigenvalues, eigenvectors) concepts for linear time0varying systems are proposed. In this paper, Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of well-defined(free of finite-time singularities) SD- and PD- spectra for SPDOs with complex- and real-valued coefficients are also presented. Three numerical examples are presented to illustrate the proposed concepts.