• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권2호
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• pp.308-313
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• 2009

This paper presents a reliability analysis of S-bonds for AF track circuits, which detect train movement and transmit a speed control signal to the train. Field survey shows that S-bonds are exposed to very large vibrations transferred from rail, and suffer from frequent failures when they were installed on ballasted track. We collected the time-to-failure data of S-bonds from the maintenance field of Seoul metro line 2, and made a parametric approach to estimate the statistical distribution that fits the time-to-failure data. The analysis shows that S-bonds have time-to-failure characteristics described by Weibull distribution. The estimated shape parameter of Weibull distribution is 1.1, which means the distribution has constant failure rate characteristics like exponential distribution. The reliability function, hazard function, percentiles and mean lifetime are derived for maintenance support.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.535-541
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• 2007

The Non-homogeneous Poisson process is probably the most popular model since it can model systems that are deteriorating or improving. The renewal process is a model that is often used to describe the random occurrence of events in time. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose maximum likelihood estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.1331-1336
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• 2008

This paper suggests a method using Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution and acceleration parameters under the condition that the stresses are time-dependent functions. A Bayesian model based on the discrete time approximation is formulated to infer the parameters of interest from the failure data of the virtual tests and a statistical analysis is considered to decide the most probable mean values of the parameters for reasoning of the failure data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.268-275
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• 2003

We consider the Bayesian accelerated failure time model. The error distribution is assigned a skewed normal distribution which is including normal distribution. For noninformative priors of regression coefficients, we show the propriety of posterior distribution. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm(i.e., Gibbs Sampler) is used to obtain a predictive distribution for a future observation and Bayes estimates of regression coefficients.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.123-138
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• 2010

This paper investigates a mathematical model of a system composed of two non-identical unit parallel system with common-cause failure, critical human error, non-critical human error, preventive maintenance and two type of repair, i.e. cheaper and costlier. This system goes for preventive maintenance at random epochs. We assume that the failure, repair and maintenance times are independent random variables. The failure rates, repair rates and preventive maintenance rate are constant for each unit. The system is analyzed by using the graphical evaluation and review technique (GERT) to obtain various related measures and we study the effect of the preventive maintenance preventive maintenance on the system performance. Certain important results have been derived as special cases. The plots for the mean time to system failure and the steady-state availability A(${\infty}$) of the system are drawn for different parametric values.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.100-108
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• 2013

In aerospace industry, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and MFTBF (Mean Flight Time Between Failure) are generally used for reliability analysis. So far, especially to Korean military aircraft, MFTBF of avionic equipments is predicted by MIL-HDBK-217 and MIL-HDBK-338, however, the predicted MFTBF by military standard has a wide discrepancy to that of real-world operation, which leads to overstock and increase operation cost. This study analyzes operational data of avionic equipments. Operational MFTBF, which is calculated from operational data, is compared with predicted MFTBF calculated conventionally by military standard. In addition, failure rate trend is investigated to verify reliability growth in operational data, the investigation shows that failure rate curve from operational data has somewhat pattern with decreased failure rate and constant failure rate.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1989-1992
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• 2009

Maintenance is classified preventive maintenance before performing equipment failure and corrective maintenance after performing equipment failure. In preventive maintenance, we may analyze the failure data to end from beginning of equipment and allocate maintenance method and calculate maintenance cycle quantitatively by the failure data analysis. So, it has a merit to reduce system maintenance cost and to operate effectively but, it require high cost in system introducing and continuous operation to end of system. In corrective maintenance, we may calculate MTTR(mean time to repair) quantitatively based on function failure time. it can be based on establishing maintenance system for operation efficiency. In this paper, we may reflect the MTTR for the onboard equipped in Tilting train to establish maintenance system for Tilting train operation efficiency.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

In this paper, we investigate reliability and availability of repairable systems with two types of failure. The first one is to one unit and the second one is to M units in parallel structure. Let failure rate and repair rate of [type1, type2] components are assumed to be exponentially distributed. The expressions of availability and reliability characteristics such as the system reliability and the mean time to failure are derived for two systems. We used several cases to analyze graphically the effect of various system parameters on the reliability system and availability system.

• 소성∙가공
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.147-155
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• 1994

The service life of tools in metal forming technology is to a large extent limited by wear and fatigue fracture of the active elements. This presents a basic request for tool cost minimization and reduction of extensive machine down time, caused by premature tool failure. Currents developments are dominated by steps to reduce the causes of tool failure. A main problem of forming technology remains the insufficient reliability of tools due to a large and incalculable life time fluctuation. Only a systematic investigation of the failure mechanisms and operational loading of tools can lead to future improvements in tool layout, that is optimization of tool usage.

• Composites Research
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.12-19
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• 2001

급격한 과도하중이나 충격 등에 의해서 발생만 복합적층 내부의 손상은 항공기 구조물과 같이 안전성이 중요시되는 구조의 신뢰성을 저하시키며 또한 큰 위험 요인이 될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 구조의 건전성을 모니터링하고 파손여부를 실시간으로 감지하기 위해 단파장 레이저와 광대역광원을 동시에 적용한 광섬유 센서를 이용하여 변형률 및 파손을 실시간으로 동시에 모니터링 할 수 있는 시스템을 구성하였다 이때 서로 다른 파장대의 두 장원은 파장분할다중 송신기를 이용하여 하나의 광섬유 센서에 적용되었다 파손신호의 특징을 정량적으로 구분하기 위해 STFT와 Wavelet Transform 과 같은 시간 주파수 분석법을 사용하였으며, 광섬유 센서로 취득 긴 파손신호 및 변형률 측정값을 각각 압전 세라믹 센서와 스트레인게이지의 값과 서로로 비교하였다. 장시간동안 파손과 동시에 측정된 변형률의 값은 스트레인게이지의 측정값과 잘 일치하였으며 파손감지 시스템 또만 미세한 파손신호까지 민감하게 감지해 낼 수 있음을 알 수 있었다.