• Title/Summary/Keyword: time interval error

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Estimation of Survival Function and Median Survival Time in Interval-Censored Data (구간중도절단자료에서 생존함수와 중간생존시간에 대한 추정)

  • Yun, Eun-Young;Kim, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.521-531
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    • 2010
  • Interval-censored observations are common in medical and epidemiologic studies; however, limited studies exist due to the complexity and special structure of interval-censoring. This paper introduces the imputation method and the self consistency method in the interval-censored data. We propose a new method of generating random numbers under an interval-censoring set-up. Through simulation studies we compare two methods under various simulation schemes in the sense of the mean squared error for estimating the median survival time and the mean integrated squared error for estimating the survival function. Under a moderate censoring percentage, the mean imputation method showed a better performance than the self-consistency method in estimating the median survival time and the survival function.

Investigating Optimal Aggregation Interval Size of Loop Detector Data for Travel Time Estimation and Predicition (통행시간 추정 및 예측을 위한 루프검지기 자료의 최적 집계간격 결정)

  • Yoo, So-Young;Rho, Jeong-Hyun;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2004
  • Since the late of 1990, there have been number of studies on the required number of probe vehicles and/or optimal aggregation interval sizes for travel time estimation and forecasting. However, in general one to five minutes are used as aggregation intervals for the travel time estimation intervals for the travel time estimation and/or forecasting of loop detector system without a reasonable validation. The objective of this study is to deveop models for identifying optimal aggregation interval sizes of loop detector data for travel time estimation and prediction. This study developed Cross Valiated Mean Square Error (CVMSE) model for the link and route travel time forecasting, The developed models were applied to the loop detector data of Kyeongbu expressway. It was found that the optimal aggregation sizes for the travel time estimation and forecasting are three to five minutes and ten to twenty minutes, respectively.

Simple ECEM Algorithms Using Function Values Only

  • Kim, Philsu;Kim, Sang Dong;Lee, Eunjung
    • Kyungpook Mathematical Journal
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.573-591
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we improve the error corrected Euler method(ECEM) introduced in [11] by evaluating function values only at local nodes in each time interval. As a result, one can avoid computations of Jacobian matrices on each time interval so that the algorithms become simpler to implement in solving various class of time dependent differential equations numerically. The proposed ECEM formula resembles to the Runge-Kutta method in its representations but both methods have different characteristic properties.

Reliability Estimation of Series-Parallel Systems Using Component Failure Data (부품의 고장자료를 이용하여 직병렬 시스템의 신뢰도를 추정하는 방법)

  • Kim, Kyung-Mee O.
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2009
  • In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

A stability factor for structure-dependent time integration methods

  • Shuenn-Yih Chang;Chiu-Li Huang
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.87 no.4
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    • pp.363-373
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    • 2023
  • Since the first family of structure-dependent methods can simultaneously integrate unconditional stability and explicit formulation in addition to second order accuracy, it is very computationally efficient for solving inertial problems except for adopting auto time-stepping techniques due to no nonlinear iterations. However, an unusual stability property is first found herein since its unconditional stability interval is drastically different for zero and nonzero damping. In fact, instability might occur for solving a damped stiffness hardening system while an accurate result can be obtained for the corresponding undamped stiffness hardening system. A technique of using a stability factor is applied to overcome this difficulty. It can be applied to magnify an unconditional stability interval. After introducing this stability factor, the formulation of this family of structure-dependent methods is changed accordingly and thus its numerical properties must be re-evaluated. In summary, a large stability factor can result in a large unconditional stability interval but also lead to a large relative period error. As a consequence, a stability factor must be appropriately chosen to have a desired unconditional stability interval in addition to an acceptable period distortion.

A Study in Seismic Signal Analysis for the First Arrival Picking (초동발췌를 위한 탄성파 신호분석연구)

  • Lee, Doo-Sung
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2007
  • With consideration of the first arrival picking methodology and inherent errors in picking process, I propose, from the computerization point of view, a practical algorithm for picking and error computation. The proposed picking procedure consists of 2-step; 1) picking the first coherent peak or trough events, 2) derive a line which approximates the record in the interval prior to the pick, and set the intercept time of the line as the first break. The length of fitting interval used in experiment, is few samples less than 1/4 width of the arriving wavelet. A quantitative measure of the error involved in first arrival picking is defined as the time length that needed to determine if an event is the first arrival or not. The time length is expressed as a function of frequency bandwidth of the signal and the S/N ratio. For 3 sets of cross-well seismic data, first breaks are picked twice, by manually, and by the proposed method. And at the same time, the error bound for each trace is computed. Experiment results show that good performance of the proposed picking method, and the usefulness of the quantitative error measure in pick-quality evaluation.

Synchronization of Chaotic Secure Communication Systems with Interval Time-varying Delays (구간 시변 지연이 존재하는 카오스 보안 통신시스템의 동기화)

  • Kwon, Oh-Min;Park, Ju-Hyun;Lee, Sang-Moon;Park, Myeong-Jin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.6
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    • pp.1215-1222
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a method of designing a controller which ensures the synchronization between the transmission and the reception ends of chaotic secure communication systems with interval time-varying delays is proposed. To increase communication security, the transmitted message is encrypted with the techniques of N-shift cipher and public key. And to reduce the conservatism of the stabilization criterion for error dynamic system obtained from the transmitter and receiver, a new Lyapunov-functional and bounding technique are proposed. Through a numerical example, the effectiveness of the proposed method is shown in the chaotic secure communication system.

Design of Optimized Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Controller and Its Application (최적 Interval Type-2 퍼지 제어기 설계 및 응용)

  • Jang, Han-Jong;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.8
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    • pp.1624-1632
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we introduce the design methodology of an optimized Interval Type-2 fuzzy controller. The fixed MF design of type-1 based FLC leads to the difficulty of rule-based control design for representing the linguistically uncertain expression. In the Type-2 FLC as the expanded type of Type-1 FLC, we can effectively improve the control characteristic by using the footprint of uncertainty(FOU) of membership function. Type-2 FLC has a robust characteristic in the unknown system with unspecific noise when compared with Type-1 FLC. Through computer simulation as well as practical experiment, we compare their performance by applying both the optimized Type-1 and Type-2 fuzzy cascade controllers to ball and beam system. To evaluate each controller performance, we consider controller characteristic parameters such as maximum overshoot, delay time, rise time, settling time and steady-state error.

A Differential Current-to-Time Interval Converter Using Current-Tunable Schmitt Triggers

  • Chung, Won-Sup
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.375-380
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    • 2017
  • A differential current-to-time interval converter is presented for current mode sensors. It consists of a ramp voltage generator, a current mode sensor, a reference current source, two current-tunable Schmitt triggers, a one-shot multivibrator, and two logic gates. The design principle is to apply a ramp voltage to each input of the two current-tunable Schmitt triggers whose threshold voltages are proportional to the drain current values of the current mode sensors. A proposed circuit converts a current change in the ISFET biosensor into its equivalent pulse width change. A prototype circuit built using TSMC 0.18 nm CMOS process exhibit a conversion sensitivity amounting to $726.9{\mu}s/pH$ over pH variation range of 2-12 and a linearity error less than ${\pm}0.05%$.

SPECTRAL APPROXIMATIONS OF ATTRACTORS FOR CONVECTIVE CAHN-HILLIARD EQUATION IN TWO DIMENSIONS

  • ZHAO, XIAOPENG
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.1445-1465
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the long time behavior of the convective Cahn-Hilliard equation in two dimensions is considered, semidiscrete and completely discrete spectral approximations are constructed, error estimates of optimal order that hold uniformly on the unbounded time interval $0{\leq}t<{\infty}$ are obtained.