• Title/Summary/Keyword: the population dynamics

Search Result 543, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Applying Steady State Analysis to the Study of Mitten Crabs in Jichun, Kum River (동적 균형상태를 중심으로 본 금강 지천의 참게자원 분석)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Jeong, Hoi-Seong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-57
    • /
    • 2010
  • This article deals with an ecological-economic analysis of the 'Pasture Project of Kum River', which is the farming plan of mitten crabs using Jichun, a stream of the River Kum where the natural propagation of mitten crabs are blocked because of the estuary dam constructed in 1990. Toward analyzing the ecological and economic effects of the crab releasing and harvesting activities in Jichun, a two-stage cohort model of population dynamics with cannibalistic behaviors and density restrictions in biomathematics is adopted, despite of the current infertility in Kum, considering the opportunity of establishing dam fishways in the near future. This study moreover presents a method of parameter estimation especially with assuming a steady state of the ecosystem, and performs various analyses such as the risk measurement of climate change and the economic value of such fishways.

  • PDF

The Effect Analysis of Smart City Planning on Urban Dynamics Using System Dynamics Method - Focused on Anyang-city, Korea (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 스마트도시계획이 도시동태성에 미치는 영향 분석 - 안양시를 중심으로)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Yeo, Kwan Hyun;Kim, Chang Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.38 no.1
    • /
    • pp.57-67
    • /
    • 2020
  • Recently, smart cities are attracting attention as a solution for a plethora of urban problems, including transportation, environment, safety, and energy. However, despite a substantial body of research dealt with the concept, trends, policy, and legal institutions of smart cities, few researchers have examined how the smart city services influence the cities from the dynamic perspective that considers the entire cycle of a city, including its growth, stagnation, and decline. Thus, it is vital to understand how the city changes with time from the view that a city is a system of sub-elements-population, industry, transportation, environment, housing, and land-closely interacting together. Within this context, this study explores how the urban dynamics of Anyang-city develop for the long term using the System Dynamics method and analyzes the effect of smart city project investment on the dynamics of Anyang-city. According to the result, Anyang-city is a "mature and stable" type, and its population is expected to decrease slowly by 2040. Specifically, the Anyang-city population will be reduced to 553,000 by 2030. It was analyzed that the number will decrease to 543,000 by 2040. It was also found that the investment in smart city projects in Anyang, based on the Plan for Anyang Smart City, would have the following effects: easing population decline, increasing number of businesses, improving urban safety index, and increasing average driving speed. The population will grow by 4,000 and the number of businesses will increase by 761 than before budget investment. The result of this paper is expected to contribute to identifying and predicting the effect of smart city policies from a long-term perspective.

Analysis on the Dynamics of Distribution and Eradication of Nutria on Nakdong River Area (낙동강 생태계에서의 외래종 뉴트리아 확산과 근절의 동태성 분석)

  • Kwon, Soon-Min;Kim, Sun-Tae;Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.53-74
    • /
    • 2015
  • Nutria(Myocastor coypus) is one of the most notorious invasive species in many countries. The Nutria's original range was South America like Brazil, Chile and Argentina. But it has been introduced to North America, Europe, Africa, and Asia including Korea, by fur ranchers. Like most invasive and disturbing species, nutria not only destroys habitats but also impacts many native species throughout most of its range with destructive feeding behavior. The purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamics of survival mechanism, population increase and spatial distribution, and eradication effect of Nutria on Nakdong River Area with the systems thinking. The result of this study revealed that Nutria can survive during winter with the behavior that the colder the winter was, the more deeply it burrowed. Further, the study uncovered the dynamics that nutria has survived more and more strongly during the extreme cold winter in almost every region and their population has increased dramatically as a result of the uncontrolled reproduction. Finally, the result showed that the action delay in eradicating Nutria, which was originated from the information delay of perception of nutria's survival and reproduction structure, reinforced the spread of Nutria across the nation.

An Integrated Ecological-Economic System Dynamics Model Analysis on the Ecosystem Restoration Policy (II): Extensions and Relaxations of the Model of King Crabs in the Imjin River, Korea (생태계 복원사업의 생태.경제 통합체계 동태분석(II) -임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형-)

  • Jeong, Hoi-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-120
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

  • PDF

생태계 복원사업의 생태${\cdot}$경제 통합체계 동태분석 II;임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Hoe-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.49-69
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 선행연구인 정회성${\cdot}$전대욱 (2005)의 모형을 중심으로 선행연구에서 미처 다루지 못한 체계 변화 및 모형 확장 등에 대해 다루고 있다. 선행연구에서는 우리나라의 참게 복원사업에 대한 개체수 동태모형(population dynamics)과 자원 경제학적 이론모형을 근거로 생태${\cdot}$경제 통합시스템에 대한 동태모형을 도출하고 이를 통해 실증분석을 수행하였는데, 본 논문에서는 이 통합 모형에 있어서 밀도 제약(density restriction)과 공식 행위(cannibalistic behavior), 주민참여에 의한 환경개선 등 일련의 가정들에 대한 확장을 통해 보다 일반화된 통합체계 및 시스템 다이내믹스 분석을 제시한다. 이와 같은 모형 확장 및 파라메터의 내생화 등은 관련 피드백 루프들의 변형과 추가 등을 의미하며, 이와 같은 변화를 포함한 확장 모델을 제시하고 분석함으로써 참게 복원사업에 대한 보다 폭넓은 논의를 제시하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Alcoholic Process and System Dynamic Study of the Effects of Alcoholic Crime Forecast on Therapy programs (알코올중독 프로세스 및 치유프로그램이 음주범죄 예측에 미치는 영향에 관한 동적 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jae;Byun, Sang-Hei
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.31-48
    • /
    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to simulate drinking population, an alcoholic abuser and an alcoholic through therapy programs and system dynamic model. Then we try to research relationship between an alcoholic crime and related therapy programs. The results of the model simulation were consistently increased drinking population and 3 types drinkers until 2020 years. Specially the growth rate of drinking abusers will be passing that of a drinking population. Second, It showed clearly the decreasing effects of drinking crime on therapy programs(clinical treatment, preventive displine and counseling treatment). Finally, it will be positvely necessary the long-term and various alcoholic therapy program for reducing the ratio of drinking abusers and an alcoholic. In the second place, government and medical centers must be established a concrete information systems for collecting alcoholic datum.

INTERVENTION STRATEGIES FOR THE DYNAMICS OF POPULATION WITH OVEREATING BEHAVIOR

  • MINHYE KIM;YONGKUK KIM;CHUNYOUNG OH
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-134
    • /
    • 2023
  • Disordered eating behaviors, such as overeating, are known to be contagious in the general population. The objective of our research is to find an optimal control strategy to reduce the social burden of unhealthy overeating behavior by establishing and analyzing a mathematical model for the social transmission dynamics of unhealthy overeating. We consider four compartments in the population: normal weight with normal eating behavior, normal weight with overeating behavior, overweight with normal eating behavior, and overweight with overeating behavior. Simulation results under various control scenarios show that integrated control measures may be necessary to reduce the growth rate of the overeating population.

STABILITY AND THE EFFECT OF HARVESTING IN A BUDWORM POPULATION MODEL

  • Zaman, Gul;Kang, Yong-Han;Jung, Il-Hyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.163-173
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this work, we consider a nonlinear budworm model by a system of three ordinary differential equations originally created by Ludwig et al. in 1978. The nonlinear system describes the dynamics of the interaction between a budworm and a fir forest. We introduce stability techniques to analyze the dynamical behavior of this nonlinear system. Then we use constant effort harvesting techniques to control the budworm population. We also give numerical simulations of the population model with harvest and without harvest.

Exciton Dynamics of GaAs/AIGaAs Quantum Wells

  • Lee, Joo-In;Lee, Jae-Young m;Sungkyu Yu;Lee, Chang-Myung
    • Journal of Korean Vacuum Science & Technology
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-43
    • /
    • 2000
  • We present a study of exciton relaxation in GaAs/AIGaAs quantum well structures by using time-resolved photoluminescence techniques.03 observed that light-hole exciton has a longer decay time than heavy-hole exciton, which results from the difference of the exciton population factor. We considered the thermal population time to explain the observed exciton dynamics.

  • PDF

DYNAMICS OF A SINGLE SPECIES POPULATION IN A POLLUTED ENVIRONMENT

  • Pal, A.K.;Samanta, G.P.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.28 no.5_6
    • /
    • pp.1185-1202
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we have studied the dynamical behaviour such as boundedness, local and global stabilities, bifurcation of a single species population affected by environmental toxicant and population toxicant. We have also studied the effect of discrete delay of the environmental toxicant on the instantaneous growth rates of the population biomass and population toxicant due to incubation period. The length of delay preserving the stability is also estimated. Computer simulations are carried out to illustrate our analytical findings.