• Title/Summary/Keyword: susceptibility assessment

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Susceptibility Mapping of Umyeonsan Using Logistic Regression (LR) Model and Post-validation through Field Investigation (로지스틱 회귀 모델을 이용한 우면산 산사태 취약성도 제작 및 현장조사를 통한 사후검증)

  • Lee, Sunmin;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.6_2
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    • pp.1047-1060
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, global warming has been continuing and abnormal weather phenomena are occurring frequently. Especially in the 21st century, the intensity and frequency of hydrological disasters are increasing due to the regional trend of water. Since the damage caused by disasters in urban areas is likely to be extreme, it is necessary to prepare a landslide susceptibility maps to predict and prepare the future damage. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the landslide vulnerability using the logistic model and assessed the management plan after the landslide through the field survey. The landslide area was extracted from aerial photographs and interpretation of the field survey data at the time of the landslides by local government. Landslide-related factors were extracted topographical maps generated from aerial photographs and forest map. Logistic regression (LR) model has been used to identify areas where landslides are likely to occur in geographic information systems (GIS). A landslide susceptibility map was constructed by applying a LR model to a spatial database constructed through a total of 13 factors affecting landslides. The validation accuracy of 77.79% was derived by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the logistic model. In addition, a field investigation was performed to validate how landslides were managed after the landslide. The results of this study can provide a scientific basis for urban governments for policy recommendations on urban landslide management.

A Simplified Assessment Method and Application for Consideration of Survivability in Spatial Layout Design at the Early Design Stage of Naval Vessels (함정 초기 설계 단계에서 레이아웃 설계 시 생존성을 고려하기 위한 간이 평가 방법과 애플리케이션)

  • Jung, Jin-Uk;Jeong, Yong-Kuk;Ju, SuHeon;Shin, Jong Gye;Kim, JongChul
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2018
  • Survivability of naval vessels is defined as the ability to perform functions and missions in a combat environment. Survivability has close relationship with the spatial layout of naval vessels. In order to maximize survivability, it must be considered from the early stage of design. However the existing concept of survivability was intended to be applied to unit vessels. So it was not suitable for assessment of spatial layout results at the early stage of design. In this paper, a simplified assessment method which can evaluate the spatial layout considering the survivability in the early stage of design has been proposed. For this, assessment layers were defined on survivability components such as susceptibility, vulnerability, and recoverability. Assessment layers of each component were overlapped to deduce a survivability layer of spatial layout alternatives. In addition, the proposed method and optimization algorithm were used to derive optimal spatial layout alternatives considering survivability.

Assessment of Slope Failures Potential in Forest Roads using a Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 임도붕괴 위험도 평가)

  • Baek, Seung-An;Cho, Koo-Hyun;Hwang, Jin-Sung;Jung, Do-Hyun;Park, Jin-Woo;Choi, Byoungkoo;Cha, Du-Song
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.4
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    • pp.429-434
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    • 2016
  • Slope failures in forest roads often result in social and economic loss as well as environmental damage. This study was carried out to assess susceptibility of slope failures of forest roads in Hongcheon-gun, Gangwon-do where many slope failures occurred after heavy rainfall in 2013 using GIS and logistic regression analysis. The results showed that sandy soil (6.616) in soil texture type had the highest susceptibility to slope failures while medium class (-3.282) in tree diameter showed the lowest susceptibility. A error matrix for both slope failure and non-slope failure area was made and a model was developed showing a classification accuracy of 74.6%. Non-slope failures area in the forest roads were classified mostly in the range of >0.7 which was higher values than the classification criteria (0.5) used by the logistic regression model. It is suggested that considering forest environment and site factors related to forest road failures would improve the accuracy in predicting susceptibility of slope failures.

A Performance Comparison of Machine Learning Classification Methods for Soil Creep Susceptibility Assessment (땅밀림 위험지 평가를 위한 기계학습 분류모델 비교)

  • Lee, Jeman;Seo, Jung Il;Lee, Jin-Ho;Im, Sangjun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.4
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    • pp.610-621
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    • 2021
  • The soil creep, primarily caused by earthquakes and torrential rainfall events, has widely occurred across the country. The Korea Forest Service attempted to quantify the soil creep susceptible areas using a discriminant value table to prevent or mitigate casualties and/or property damages in advance. With the advent of advanced computer technologies, machine learning-based classification models have been employed for managing mountainous disasters, such as landslides and debris flows. This study aims to quantify the soil creep susceptibility using several classifiers, namely the k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), Naive Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models. To develop the classification models, we downscaled 292 data from 4,618 field survey data. About 70% of the selected data were used for training, with the remaining 30% used for model testing. The developed models have the classification accuracy of 0.727 for k-NN, 0.750 for NB, 0.807 for RF, and 0.750 for SVM against test datasets representing 30% of the total data. Furthermore, we estimated Cohen's Kappa index as 0.534, 0.580, 0.673, and 0.585, with AUC values of 0.872, 0.912, 0.943, and 0.834, respectively. The machine learning-based classifications for soil creep susceptibility were RF, NB, SVM, and k-NN in that order. Our findings indicate that the machine learning classifiers can provide valuable information in establishing and implementing natural disaster management plans in mountainous areas.

Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using TPI-Slope Combination (TPI와 경사도 조합을 이용한 산사태 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Han Na;Kim, Gihong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.507-514
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    • 2018
  • TSI (TPI-Slope Index) which is the combination of TPI (Topographic Position Index) and slope was newly proposed for landslide and applied to a landslide susceptibility model. To do this, we first compared the TPIs with various scale factors and found that TPI350 was the best fit for the study area. TPI350 was combined with slope to create TSI. TSI was evaluated using logistic regression. The evaluation showed that TSI can be used as a landslide factor. Then a logistic regression model was developed to assess the landslide susceptibility by adding other topographic factors, geological factors, and forestial factors. For this, landslide-related factors that can be extracted from DEM (Digital Elevation Model), soil map, and forest type map were collected. We checked these factors and excluded those that were highly correlated with other factors or not significant. After these processes, 8 factors of TSI, elevation, slope length, slope aspect, effective soil depth, tree age, tree density, and tree type were selected to be entered into the regression analysis as independent variables. Three models through three variable selection methods of forward selection, backward elimination, and enter method were built and evaluated. Selected variables in the three models were slightly different, but in common, effective soil depth, tree density, and TSI was most significant.

Vulnerability Assessment Procedure for the Warship Including the Effect of Shotline and Penetration of Fragments (탄두의 관통 효과를 고려한 함정 취약성 평가 절차에 관한 기본 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Sik;Lee, Jang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.254-263
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    • 2012
  • The survivability of warship is assessed by susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability. Essentially, a vulnerability assessment is a measure of the effectiveness of a warship to resist hostile weapon effects. Considering the shot line and its penetration effect on the warship, present study introduces the procedural aspects of vulnerability assessments of warship. Present study also considers the prediction of penetration damage to a target caused by the impact of projectiles. It reflects the interaction between the weapon and the target from a perspective of vulnerable area method and COVART model. The shotline and tracing calculation have been directly integrated into the vulnerability assessment method based on the penetration equation empirically obtained. A simplified geometric description of the desired target and specification of a threat type is incorporated with the penetration effect. This study describes how to expand the vulnerable area assessment method to the penetration effect. Finally, an example shows that the proposed method can provide the vulnerability parameters of the warship or its component under threat being hit through tracing the shotline path thereby enabling the vulnerability calculation. In addition, the proposed procedure enabling the calculation of the component's multi-hit vulnerability introduces a propulsion system in dealing with redundant Non-overlapping components.

Development of Spatial Information System for Regional Ground Stability Assessment near Dam area (댐 주변지역 광역적 지반 안정성 평가를 위한 공간 정보시스템 개발)

  • 장범수;이사호;최위찬;최재원;오영철
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2001
  • Ground failure such as landslide, rock fall land subsidence by heavy rainfall have damaged to people and property. Especially, the damage to important facility such as dam, bridge, tunnel and industrial complex may be possible. Therefore the ground failure must be assessed and counter plan must be prepared. So, the object of this study is to develop the spatial information system for regional ground stability assessment. For this, the topographic, geologic, soil, forest, land use, rainfall frequency map, and satellite image near 40 dams were collected and constructed to the spatial information system. The spatial information system was developed using Avenue in ArcView 3.2 environment and consists of pull down menus and icons. For application of the spatial information system, regional ground stability was assessed in Andong dam. The assessment was ground failure susceptibility and possibility. The spatial information can be used for regional ground stability assessment, prevention and mitigation of hazard, and management of ground as basic data.

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Development of a Vulnerability Assessment Model for Naval Ships on a Theater Engagement Analysis (전구급 교전분석을 위한 함정 취약성 평가모델 개발)

  • Lee, Sungkyun;Go, Jinyong;Kim, Changhwan;You, Seungki
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • In actual battlefield environment, the naval ships which have specific missions have to respond to the attack of hostile forces. Especially, in modern warfare, the importance of the survivability of naval ships are increasing due to the high lethality of armaments. Naval ship survivability is generally considered to encompass three constituents, susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability. Recently, among these three constituents, many researches on vulnerability have been conducted. However, for the vulnerability of naval ships, most of researches are aimed towards the detailed design stages where implementing changes is heavily constrained or even impractical. In this paper, vulnerability assessment model for naval ships on a theater engagement is developed by using M&S technique. By using this model, the characteristics of platform and armaments are reflected on the damage of naval ship. The basic logic of damage assessment is also considered in detail. The damage status of the naval ship is quantified by defining a representative state index of onboard equipment for each system.

Genetic and Epigenetic Biomarkers on the Personalized Nutrition

  • An Sung-Whan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.271-274
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    • 2004
  • Nutritional genomics is a new field of study of how nutrition interacts with an individual's genome or individual responds to individual diets. Systematic approach of nutritional genomics will likely provide important clues about responders and non-responders. The current interest in personalizing health stems from the breakthroughs emerging in integrative technologies of genomics and epigenomics and the identification of genetic and epigentic diversity in individual's genetic make-up that are associated with variations in many aspects of health, including diet-related diseases. Microarray is a powerful screen system that is being also currently employed in nutritional research. Monitoring of gene expression at genome level is now possible with this technology, which allows the simultaneous assessment of the transcription of tens of thousands of genes and of their relative expression of pathological cells such tumor cells compared with that of normal cells. Epigenetic events such as DNA methylation can result in change of gene expression without involving changes in gene sequence. Recent developed technology of DNAarray-based methylation assay will facilitate wide study of epigenetic process in nutrigenomics. Some of the areas that would benefitfrom these technologies include identifying molecular targets (Biomarkers) for the risk and benefit assessment. These characterized biomarkers can reflect expose, response, and susceptibility to foods and their components. Furthermore the identified new biomarker perhaps can be utilized as a indicator of delivery system fur optimizing health.

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Safety Assessment of Coagulase-Negative Staphylococci from Jeotgal, a Korean High-Salt-Fermented Seafood (젓갈 유래 Coagulase-Negative Staphylococci의 안전성 평가)

  • Jeong, Do-Won;Lee, Jong-Hoon
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.84-90
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    • 2015
  • Seventeen ampicillin-sensitive coagulase-negative staphylococci (CNS) isolates identified in jeotgal were subjected to assessments for antibiotic susceptibility and safety hazards. Fifteen of the 17 CNS strains exhibited phenotypic resistances to at least one antibiotic, and their prevailing resistance was to penicillin G. The dfrA gene for trimethoprim and tetK for tetracycline were amplified by PCR from the two strains, respectively. α-Hemolytic activity was not detected from the 17 strains, while five strains presented δ-hemolytic activity. Among the five strains, two strains exhibited β-hemolytic activity. Biofilm was formed from twelve strains. All of the tested phenotypic characteristics were expressed in a strain-specific manner.