• Title/Summary/Keyword: support vector regression.

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Development of the Modified Preprocessing Method for Pipe Wall Thinning Data in Nuclear Power Plants (원자력 발전소 배관 감육 측정데이터의 개선된 전처리 방법 개발)

  • Seong-Bin Mun;Sang-Hoon Lee;Young-Jin Oh;Sung-Ryul Kim
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.146-154
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    • 2023
  • In nuclear power plants, ultrasonic test for pipe wall thickness measurement is used during periodic inspections to prevent pipe rupture due to pipe wall thinning. However, when measuring pipe wall thickness using ultrasonic test, a significant amount of measurement error occurs due to the on-site conditions of the nuclear power plant. If the maximum pipe wall thinning rate is decided by the measured pipe wall thickness containing a significant error, the pipe wall thinning rate data have significant uncertainty and systematic overestimation. This study proposes preprocessing of pipe wall thinning measurement data using support vector machine regression algorithm. By using support vector machine, pipe wall thinning measurement data can be smoothened and accordingly uncertainty and systematic overestimation of the estimated pipe wall thinning rate data can be reduced.

A Study on the Comparison of Electricity Forecasting Models: Korea and China

  • Zheng, Xueyan;Kim, Sahm
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.675-683
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    • 2015
  • In the 21st century, we now face the serious problems of the enormous consumption of the energy resources. Depending on the power consumption increases, both China and South Korea face a reduction in available resources. This paper considers the regression models and time-series models to compare the performance of the forecasting accuracy based on Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) in order to forecast the electricity demand accurately on the short-term period (68 months) data in Northeast China and find the relationship with Korea. Among the models the support vector regression (SVR) model shows superior performance than time-series models for the short-term period data and the time-series models show similar results with the SVR model when we use long-term period data.

Model of Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) for Prediction of Fracture Parameters of Concrete

  • Kulkrni, Kallyan S.;Kim, Doo-Kie;Sekar, S.K.;Samui, Pijush
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2011
  • This article employs Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) for determination of fracture parameters of concrete: critical stress intensity factor ($K_{Ic}^s$) and the critical crack tip opening displacement ($CTOD_c$). LSSVM that is firmly based on the theory of statistical learning theory uses regression technique. The results are compared with a widely used Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Models of LSSVM have been developed for prediction of $K_{Ic}^s$ and $CTOD_c$, and then a sensitivity analysis has been performed to investigate the importance of the input parameters. Equations have been also developed for determination of $K_{Ic}^s$ and $CTOD_c$. The developed LSSVM also gives error bar. The results show that the developed model of LSSVM is very predictable in order to determine fracture parameters of concrete.

Support Vector Bankruptcy Prediction Model with Optimal Choice of RBF Kernel Parameter Values using Grid Search (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 부도예측모형의 개발 -격자탐색을 이용한 커널 함수의 최적 모수 값 선정과 기존 부도예측모형과의 성과 비교-)

  • Min Jae H.;Lee Young-Chan
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.55-74
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    • 2005
  • Bankruptcy prediction has drawn a lot of research interests in previous literature, and recent studies have shown that machine learning techniques achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. This paper employs a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machines (SVMs). to bankruptcy prediction problem in an attempt to suggest a new model with better explanatory power and stability. To serve this purpose, we use grid search technique using 5-fold cross-validation to find out the optimal values of the parameters of kernel function of SVM. In addition, to evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM. we compare its performance with multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), logistic regression analysis (Logit), and three-layer fully connected back-propagation neural networks (BPNs). The experiment results show that SVM outperforms the other methods.

A Study on Customer Segmentation Prediction Model using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 고객이탈 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Seo Kwang Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2005
  • Customer segmentation prediction has attracted a lot of research interests in previous literature, and recent studies have shown that artificial neural networks (ANN) method achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. However, ANN approaches have suffered from difficulties with generalization, producing models that can overfit the data. This paper employs a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machines (SVM), to the customer segmentation prediction problem in an attempt to provide a model with better explanatory power. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, we compare its performance with logistic regression analysis and ANN. The experiment results with real data of insurance company show that SVM superiors to them.

A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of Educational Building Project at early stage Using Support Vector Machine Technique (서포트벡터머신을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Min;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So various of techniques are developed to predict the construction cost accurately and expeditely. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has an excellent ability for generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to construct the prediction model for construction cost of educational building project using support vector machine technique. And to verify the accuracy of prediction model for construction cost. The performance data used in this study are 217 school building project cost which have been completed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do, Korea. The result shows that average error rate was 7.48% for SVM prediction model. So using SVM model on predicting construction cost of educational building project will be a considerably effective way at the early project stage.

Using Support Vector Regression for Optimization of Black-box Objective Functions (서포트 벡터 회귀를 이용한 블랙-박스 함수의 최적화)

  • Kwak, Min-Jung;Yoon, Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2008
  • In many practical engineering design problems, the form of objective functions is not given explicitly in terms of design variables. Given the value of design variables, under this circumstance, the value of objective functions is obtained by real/computational experiments such as structural analysis, fluid mechanic analysis, thermodynamic analysis, and so on. These experiments are, in general, considerably expensive. In order to make the number of these experiments as few as possible, optimization is performed in parallel with predicting the form of objective functions. Response Surface Methods (RSM) are well known along this approach. This paper suggests to apply Support Vector Machines (SVM) for predicting the objective functions. One of most important tasks in this approach is to allocate sample data moderately in order to make the number of experiments as small as possible. It will be shown that the information of support vector can be used effectively to this aim. The effectiveness of our suggested method will be shown through numerical example which is well known in design of engineering.

Purchase Prediction Model using the Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 고객구매예측모형)

  • Ahn, Hyun-Chul;Han, In-Goo;Kim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2005
  • As the competition in business becomes severe, companies are focusing their capacity on customer relationship management (CRM) for survival. One of the important issues in CRM is to build a purchase prediction model, which classifies customers into either purchasing or non-purchasing groups. Until now, various techniques for building purchase prediction models have been proposed. However, they have been criticized because their performances are generally low, or it requires much effort to build and maintain them. Thus, in this study, we propose the support vector machine (SVM) a tool for building a purchase prediction model. The SVM is known as the technique that not only produces accurate prediction results but also enables training with the small sample size. To validate the usefulness of SVM, we apply it and some of other comparative techniques to a real-world purchase prediction case. Experimental results show that SVM outperforms all the comparative models including logistic regression and artificial neural networks.

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Combining Radar and Rain Gauge Observations Utilizing Gaussian-Process-Based Regression and Support Vector Learning (가우시안 프로세스 기반 함수근사와 서포트 벡터 학습을 이용한 레이더 및 강우계 관측 데이터의 융합)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Joo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.297-305
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    • 2008
  • Recently, kernel methods have attracted great interests in the areas of pattern classification, function approximation, and anomaly detection. The role of the kernel is particularly important in the methods such as SVM(support vector machine) and KPCA(kernel principal component analysis), for it can generalize the conventional linear machines to be capable of efficiently handling nonlinearities. This paper considers the problem of combining radar and rain gauge observations utilizing the regression approach based on the kernel-based gaussian process and support vector learning. The data-assimilation results of the considered methods are reported for the radar and rain gauge observations collected over the region covering parts of Gangwon, Kyungbuk, and Chungbuk provinces of Korea, along with performance comparison.