• Title/Summary/Keyword: state variables prediction

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Improvement of Position Estimation Based on the Multisensor Fusion in Underwater Unmanned Vehicles (다중센서 융합 기반 무인잠수정 위치추정 개선)

  • Lee, Kyung-Soo;Yoon, Hee-Byung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose the position estimation algorithm based on the multisensor fusion using equalization of state variables and feedback structure. First, the state variables measured from INS of main sensor with large error and DVL of assistance sensor with small error are measured before prediction phase. Next, the equalized state variables are entered to each filter and fused the enhanced state variables for prediction and update phases. Finally, the fused state variables are returned to the main sensor for improving the position estimation of UUV. For evaluation, we create the moving course of UUV by simulation and confirm the performance of position estimation by applying the proposed algorithm. The evaluation results show that the proposed algorithm is the best for position estimation and also possible for robust position estimation at the change period of moving courses.

Combined Age and Segregated Kinetic Model for Industrial-scale Penicillin Fed-batch Cultivation

  • Wang Zhifeng;Lauwerijssen Maarten J. C.;Yuan Jingqi
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a cell age model for Penicillium chrysogenum fed-batch cultivation to supply a qualitative insight into morphology-associated dynamics. The average ages of the segregated cell populations, such as growing cells, non-growing cells and intact productive cells, were estimated by this model. A combined model was obtained by incorporating the aver-age ages of the cell sub-populations into a known but modified segregated kinetic model from literature. For simulations, no additional effort was needed for parameter identification since the cell age model has no internal parameters. Validation of the combined model was per-formed by 20 charges of industrial-scale penicillin cultivation. Meanwhile, only two charge-dependent parameters were required in the combined model among approximately 20 parameters in total. The model is thus easily transformed into an adaptive model for a further application in on-line state variables prediction and optimal scheduling.

A Study on the Parameter Estimation Algorithm for Nonlinear Systems (비선형 시스템의 계수추정 알고리즘 연구)

  • Lee, Dal-Ho;Seong, Sang-Man
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.898-902
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we proposed an algorithm for estimating parameters of nonlinear continuous-discrete state-space system. This algorithm uses the conventional extended Kalman filter(EKF) for estimating state variables, and modifies the recursive prediction error method for parameter estimation of the nonlinear system. Simulation results for both linear and nonlinear measurements under the environment of process and measurement noises show a convincing performance of the proposed algorithm.

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Fall Prediction Model for Community-dwelling Elders based on Gender (지역사회 노인의 성별에 따른 낙상 예측모형)

  • Yun, Eun Suk
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.810-818
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to explore factors relating to number of falls among community-dwelling elders, based on gender. Methods: Participants were 403 older community dwellers (male=206, female=197) aged 60 or above. In this study, 8 variables were identified as predictive factors that can result in an elderly person falling and as such, supports previous studies. The 8 variables were categorized as, exogenous variables; perceived health status, somatization, depression, physical performance, and cognitive state, and endogenous variables; fear of falling, ADL & IADL and frequency of falls. Results: For men, ability to perform ADL & IADL (${\beta}_{32}$=1.84, p<.001) accounted for 16% of the variance in the number of falls. For women, fear of falling (${\beta}_{31}$=0.14, p<.05) and ability to perform ADL & IADL (${\beta}_{32}$=1.01, p<.001) significantly contributed to the number of falls, accounting for 15% of the variance in the number of falls. Conclusion: The findings from this study confirm the gender-based fall prediction model as comprehensive in relation to community-dwelling elders. The fall prediction model can effectively contribute to future studies in developing fall prediction and intervention programs.

Copula entropy and information diffusion theory-based new prediction method for high dam monitoring

  • Zheng, Dongjian;Li, Xiaoqi;Yang, Meng;Su, Huaizhi;Gu, Chongshi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2018
  • Correlation among different factors must be considered for selection of influencing factors in safety monitoring of high dam including positive correlation of variables. Therefore, a new factor selection method was constructed based on Copula entropy and mutual information theory, which was deduced and optimized. Considering the small sample size in high dam monitoring and distribution of daily monitoring samples, a computing method that avoids causality of structure as much as possible is needed. The two-dimensional normal information diffusion and fuzzy reasoning of pattern recognition field are based on the weight theory, which avoids complicated causes of the studying structure. Hence, it is used to dam safety monitoring field and simplified, which increases sample information appropriately. Next, a complete system integrating high dam monitoring and uncertainty prediction method was established by combining Copula entropy theory and information diffusion theory. Finally, the proposed method was applied in seepage monitoring of Nuozhadu clay core-wall rockfill dam. Its selection of influencing factors and processing of sample data were compared with different models. Results demonstrated that the proposed method increases the prediction accuracy to some extent.

Prediction of Pain Expression Using the Extended Gate Control Theory of Pain and Fishbein′s Model (관문통제동통이론과 FISHBEIN의 모델을 이용한 동통표현 예견에 대한 연구)

  • 이은옥
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this study were to(a) develop theoretical modifications of the extended gate control theory of pain using Fishbein's model and(b) test the efficacy of these modifications. Attitude, social subjective norm, personal subjective norm, habit and state anxiety were operationalized to represent internal stimuli for the cognitive-evaluative and motivational-affective dimensions of the theory. Pain expression was operationalized as sensory and affective responses to pain, and pain endurance. Sixty-two female nurses from 20 to 50 years of age participated. A semantic differential scale measured attitude and motivations to comply; a Likerty-type scale measured personal and social norms and habit. Spielberger's STAI measured state anxiety, Pain was produced using a modified submaximum effort tourniquet technique. Pair expression was measured using ratio scales of sensory intensity and unpleasantness developed by Gracely and his associates. Pain endurance was measured by subtracting time of pain threshold from pain tolerance. The first hypothesis examining whether pain endurance would be more significantly related to the affective response than to the sensory response was net rejected. Four remaining hypotheses, testing the ability of the five variables to predict the sensory and affective responses were not rejected. However, the habit of pain expression and the attitude toward pain expression contributed to the prediction of both sensory and affective responses to pain. The interaction between the cognitive-evaluative and the sensory-discriminative dimensions and the interaction between the cognitive-evaluative and motivational-affective dimensions were partially supported by the data from these two variables. The interaction between the motivational-affective and the sensory-discriminative dimensions was also supported by the relationship of sensory to affective responses. The variables which did not significantly predict pain expression appeared to have potential for prediction. Revision and testing of the tools for better reliability, validity, and clinical usuability are needed. The study contributed to theory building. The identification of variables which pre-dict pain behavior must occur before effective nursing interventions can be developed.

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Blank Design and Strain Prediction in Sheete Metal Forming Process (박판금속 성형공정에서의 블랭크 설계및 변형률 예측)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Huh, Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1810-1818
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    • 1996
  • A new finite elemetn approach is introduced for direct prediction of bland shapes and strain distributions from desired final shapes in sheet metal forming. The approach deals with the geometric compatibility of finite elements, plastic deformation theory, minimization of plastic work with constraints, and a proper initial guess. The algorithm developed is applied to cylindrical cup drawing, square cup drawing, and fron fender forming to confirm its validity by demonstratin reasonable accurate numerical results of each problems. Rapid calculation with this algorithm enables easy determination of various process variables for design of sheet metal forming process.

Adaptive On-line State-of-available-power Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries

  • Fleischer, Christian;Waag, Wladislaw;Bai, Ziou;Sauer, Dirk Uwe
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.516-527
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a new overall system for state-of-available-power (SoAP) prediction for a lithium-ion battery pack. The essential part of this method is based on an adaptive network architecture which utilizes both fuzzy model (FIS) and artificial neural network (ANN) into the framework of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). While battery aging proceeds, the system is capable of delivering accurate power prediction not only for room temperature, but also at lower temperatures at which power prediction is most challenging. Due to design property of ANN, the network parameters are adapted on-line to the current battery states (state-of-charge (SoC), state-of-health (SoH), temperature). SoC is required as an input parameter to SoAP module and high accuracy is crucial for a reliable on-line adaptation. Therefore, a reasonable way to determine the battery state variables is proposed applying a combination of several partly different algorithms. Among other SoC boundary estimation methods, robust extended Kalman filter (REKF) for recalibration of amp hour counters was implemented. ANFIS then achieves the SoAP estimation by means of time forward voltage prognosis (TFVP) before a power pulse occurs. The trade-off between computational cost of batch-learning and accuracy during on-line adaptation was optimized resulting in a real-time system with TFVP absolute error less than 1%. The verification was performed on a software-in-the-loop test bench setup using a 53 Ah lithium-ion cell.

Spatio-temporal Load Forecasting Considering Aggregation Features of Electricity Cells and Uncertainties in Input Variables

  • Zhao, Teng;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Haibo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.38-50
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    • 2018
  • Spatio-temporal load forecasting (STLF) is a foundation for building the prediction-based power map, which could be a useful tool for the visualization and tendency assessment of urban energy application. Constructing one point-forecasting model for each electricity cell in the geographic space is possible; however, it is unadvisable and insufficient, considering the aggregation features of electricity cells and uncertainties in input variables. This paper presents a new STLF method, with a data-driven framework consisting of 3 subroutines: multi-level clustering of cells considering their aggregation features, load regression for each category of cells based on SLS-SVRNs (sparse least squares support vector regression networks), and interval forecasting of spatio-temporal load with sampled blind number. Take some area in Pudong, Shanghai as the region of study. Results of multi-level clustering show that electricity cells in the same category are clustered in geographic space to some extent, which reveals the spatial aggregation feature of cells. For cellular load regression, a comparison has been made with 3 other forecasting methods, indicating the higher accuracy of the proposed method in point-forecasting of spatio-temporal load. Furthermore, results of interval load forecasting demonstrate that the proposed prediction-interval construction method can effectively convey the uncertainties in input variables.

Use of Groundwater recharge as a Variable for Monthly Streamflow Prediction (월 유출량 예측 변수로서 지하수 함양량의 이용)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Yun, Yong-Nam;An, Jae-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.275-285
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    • 2001
  • Since the majority of streamflow during dry periods is provided by groundwater storage, the streamflow depends on a basin moisture state recharged from rainfall during wet periods. This hydrologic characteristics dives good condition to predict long-term streamflow if the basin state like groundwater recharge is known in advance. The objective of this study is to examine groundwater recharge effect to monthly streamflow, and to attempt monthly streamflow prediction using estimated groundwater recharge. The ground water recharge is used as an independent variable with streamflow and precipitation to construct multiple regression models for the prediction. Correlation analysis was performed to assess the effect of groundwater carry-over to streamflow and to establish the associations among independent variables. The predicted streamflow shows that the multiple regression model involved groundwater recharge gives improved results comparing to the model only using streamflow and precipitation as independent variables. In addition, this paper shows that the prediction model with the effect of groundwater carry-over taken into account can be developed using only precipitation.

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