• 천문학회보
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.59.5-60
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• 2017

We present the relationship between vector magnetic field parameters and solar major flare occurrence rate. Based on this, we are developing a forecast model of major flare (M and X-class) occurrence rate within a day using hourly vector magnetic field data of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) from May 2010 to April 2017. In order to reduce the projection effect, we use SHARP data whose longitudes are within ${\pm}60$ degrees. We consider six SHARP magnetic parameters (the total unsigned current helicity, the total photospheric magnetic free energy density, the total unsigned vertical current, the absolute value of the net current helicity, the sum of the net current emanating from each polarity, and the total unsigned magnetic flux) with high F-scores as useful predictors of flaring activity from Bobra and Couvidat (2015). We have considered two cases. In case 1, we have divided the data into two sets separated in chronological order. 75% of the data before a given day are used for setting up a flare model and 25% of the data after that day are used for test. In case 2, the data are divided into two sets every year in order to reduce the solar cycle (SC) phase effect. All magnetic parameters are divided into 100 groups to estimate the corresponding flare occurrence rates. The flare identification is determined by using LMSAL flare locations, giving more numbers of flares than the NGDC flare list. Major results are as follows. First, major flare occurrence rates are well correlated with six magnetic parameters. Second, the occurrence rate ranges from 0.001 to 1 for M and X-class flares. Third, the logarithmic values of flaring rates are well approximated by two linear equations with different slopes: steeper one at lower values and lower one at higher values. Fourth, the sum of the net current emanating from each polarity gives the minimum RMS error between observed flare rates and predicted ones. Fifth, the RMS error for case 2, which is taken to reduce SC phase effect, are smaller than those for case 1.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.305-308
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• 2012

Objective: To assess the health and economic burden of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related diseases (cervical cancer, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1/2/3, and genital warts) in Singapore over a period of 25 years beginning in 2008. Methods: Incidence-based modeling was used to estimate the incidence cases and associated economic burden, with the assumption that age-stratified incidence rates will remain the same throughout the period of 25 years. The incidence rates in 2008 were projected based on data obtained from the National Cancer Registry for cervical cancer, and from a combination of published data and hospital registry review for CIN1/2/3 and genital warts. The population growth rate was factored into the projection of incidence cases over time. Direct cost data per cervical cancer and per CIN1/2/3 case were obtained from the financial database of large local hospitals while cost data for genital warts were obtained from the National Skin Center; these costs were multiplied by the number of incidence cases to produce an aggregate estimate of the economic burden over the 25-year period (in 2008 Singapore dollars) using a 3% discount rate. Results: The total number of incidence cases of HPV-disease over 25 years beginning in 2008 was estimated to be 60,183, including 8,078 for cervical cancer, 11,685 for CIN 2/3, 8,849 for CIN1, and 31,572 for genital warts. The estimated total direct cost was 83.2 million Singapore Dollars over 25 years: 57.6 million attributable to cervical cancer, 13.0 million to CIN2/3, 6.83 million to CIN1, and 5.70 million to genital warts. Conclusion: HPV-related diseases are expected to impose significant health and economic burden on the Singapore healthcare resources in the next 25 years.

• 한국암반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국암반공학회 2007년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.130-139
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• 2007

We have carried out numerical compression experiments to estimate the mechanical properties (Mohr-Coulomb and elastic) of corestone-bearing saprolites in Beolgyo area. The studied saprolite, consisting of mechanically much stronger corestone and weaker matrix, is a weathering product of the Precambrian granitic gneiss in the Youngnam massif. Since the saprolite consists of larger corestones with diameter up to 2m, it is impossible to directly measure the mechanical properties by physical experiments. We have measured the mechanical properties of corestone and matrix from naturally occurring saprolite and have used them as a reference for our numerical model. Then, we mixed each material and carried out biaxial compression tests while varying the volume percentage of corestones from 0 to 57%. We found that both cohesion and internal friction angle increase with the volume percentage of corestones while elastic modulus remains constant. We found the results from numerical experiments are in contradiction to what is known from physical experiments using artificial saprolites. This may be due to a possibility that the sharp and discrete nature of interface between corestone and matrix in physical experiments differs from the gradual interfacial nature in numerical modelling and natural saprolites.

• 설비공학논문집
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• 제29권10호
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• pp.497-503
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• 2017

In recent years, studies on the prediction of building load using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models have been actively conducted in the field of building energy In general, building loads predicted by ANN models show a sharp deviation unless large data sets are used for learning. On the other hands, some of the input data are hard to be acquired by common measuring devices. In this work, we estimate daily building loads with a limited number of input data and fewer pastdatasets (3 to 10 days). The proposed model with fewer input data gave satisfactory results as regards to the ASHRAE Guide Line showing 21% in CVRMSE and -3.23% in MBE. However, the level of accuracy cannot be enhanced since data used for learning are insufficient and the typical ANN models cannot account for thermal capacity effects of the building. An attempt proposed in this work is that learning procersses are sequenced frequrently and past data are accumulated for performance improvement. As a result, the model met the guidelines provided by ASHRAE, DOE, and IPMVP with by 17%, -1.4% in CVRMSE and MBE, respectively.

• Progress in Superconductivity
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.144-147
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• 2003

We investigated superconducting property of ($Mg_{1-x}$$Zn_{x}$)$CNi_3$ (x=0,0.03, 0.06, 0.09, 0.12, 0.15, and 0.18) sample where Mg is substituted with Zn. The samples were synthesized us ins the solid state reaction method under As atmosphere. X -ray diffraction spectra show that the $MgCNi_3$ structure is maintained up to x=18. With increasing x, the lattice constant (or the Ni-Ni distance) decreases. Magnetic susceptibility measurement shows that $T_{c}$ decreases systematically with x and becomes ～2K at x =0.18. Surprisingly, the transition width remains sharp (～0.3K). Under some assumptions, we estimate the coupling constant in the McMillan formula as a function of x which we interpret in terms of the BCS theory.y.y.y.

• 대한기계학회논문집B
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• 제33권10호
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• pp.820-826
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• 2009

The anisotropic phonon conductions with varying Joule heating rate of the silicon film in Silicon-on-Insulator devices are examined using the electron-phonon interaction model. It is found that the phonon heat transfer rate at each boundary of Si-layer has a strong dependence on the heating power rate. And the phonon flow decreases when the temperature gradient has a sharp change within extremely short length scales such as phonon mean free path. Thus the heat generated in the hot spot region is removed primarily by heat conduction through Si-layer at the higher Joule heating level and the phonon nonlocality is mainly attributed to lower group velocity phonons as remarkably dissimilar to the case of electrons in laser heated plasmas. To validate these observations the modified phonon nonlocal model considering complete phonon dispersion relations is introduced as a correct form of the conventional theory. We also reveal that the relation between the phonon heat deposition time from the hot spot region and the relaxation time in Si-layer can be used to estimate the intrinsic thermal resistance in the parallel heat flow direction as Joule heating level varies.

• 자원환경지질
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.339-347
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• 1998

The purpose of this study is to find P-wave crustal velocity structure and the Moho characteristics beneath Seoul (SEO) and Inchon (INCN) stations using broadband teleseismic records. The use of broadband receiver function analysis is increasing to estimate the fine-scale velocity structure of the lithosphere. The broadband receiver functions are developed from teleseismic events of P waveforms recorded at Seoul (SEO) and Inchon (INCN) stations, and are analyzed to examine the crustal structure beneath the stations. The teleseismic receiver functions are inverted in the time domain of the vertical P wave velocity structures beneath the stations. The crustal velocity structures beneath the stations are estimated using the receiver function inversion method (Ammon et al., 1990). The general features of inversion results are as follows: (1) For the Seoul station, the Conrad and Moho discontinuities exist at 22 km and 30 km depth in the south ($BAZ=180^{\circ}$) direction. (2) For the Inchon station, the Conrad discontinuity exists at 22 km depth in the direction of SE ($BAZ=145^{\circ}$) and the Moho discontinuity exists at 30~34 km depth with a 4 km thick, which consists of a laminated velocity transition layers with thickness, whereas a crust-mantle boundary beneath the Seoul station consists of a more sharp boundary compared with the Moho shape of INCN station.

• 방송공학회논문지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.229-237
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 혼합현실의 핵심 기술인 실사와 가상 영상의 합성을 위해 스테레오 영상의 특성을 고려하여 효율적으로 미세 변이를 추정하는 알고리듬과, 추정된 깊이 정보를 이용해 영상을 자연스럽게 합성하는 알고리듬을 제안하며, 이를 모의실험을 통해 검증한다. 제안 방법은 낮은 해상도의 영상으로부터 고해상도로 변이를 찾아가는 계층적 변이 추정 방식으로, 영역분할 양방향 화소정합을 통해 변이 추정의 수행 속도를 향상시키는 동시에 신뢰도를 높이며, 에지 정보를 참조하여 화소 단위로 미세 변이를 할당하게 된다. 이렇게 추정된 깊이 정보는 모델링된 가상 객체의 깊이 정좌와의 비교를 통해 혼합 현실 스테레오 영상으로 합성된다. 제안된 방식을 통해 매우 안정적이면서도 경계 부분이 정확한 변이 정보를 얻을 수 있었고, 3차원 영상의 합성에 효율적으로 사용될 수 있음을 실험을 통해 확인하였다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.311-330
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• 2007

Model-based predictions of structural behavior are negatively affected by uncertainties of various type and in various stages of the structural analysis. The present paper focusses on dynamic analysis and addresses the effects of uncertainties concerning material and geometric parameters, mainly in the context of modal analysis of large-scale structures. Given the large number of uncertain parameters arising in this case, highly scalable simulation-based methods are adopted, which can deal with possibly thousands of uncertain parameters. In order to solve the reliability problem, i.e., the estimation of very small exceedance probabilities, an advanced simulation method called Line Sampling is used. In combination with an efficient algorithm for the estimation of the most important uncertain parameters, the method provides good estimates of the failure probability and enables one to quantify the error in the estimate. Another aspect here considered is the uncertainty quantification for closely-spaced eigenfrequencies. The solution here adopted represents each eigenfrequency as a weighted superposition of the full set of eigenfrequencies. In a case study performed with the FE model of a satellite it is shown that the effects of uncertain parameters can be very different in magnitude, depending on the considered response quantity. In particular, the uncertainty in the quantities of interest (eigenfrequencies) turns out to be mainly caused by very few of the uncertain parameters, which results in sharp estimates of the failure probabilities at low computational cost.

• 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.99-103
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• 2015

One-dimensional photonic crystals (1D PCs) were fabricated by RF sputtering technique on p-Si (100), and fused quartz substrates. The 1D PCs structures consisted of $TeO_x$ (x=1.42), and $SiO_2$ with the difference refractive index. In order to estimate the effect on a defect level within 1D PCs structures, samples were prepared with both normal, and defect mode. The structural and optical properties were confirmed by Scanning electron microscope (SEM), and Ultraviolet visible near-infrared spectrophotometer (UV-VIS-NIR) respectively. In the case of a 1D PC normal mode without defect layer, it had a photonic band gap (PBG) in the near infrared (NIR) region. In the case of a 1D PC defect mode with defect layer, it had a sharp transmission band owing to a defect level, and moved towards the longer wavelength after exposing He-Cd laser with a wavelength of 325 nm.