The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society (천문학회보)
- Volume 42 Issue 2
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- Pages.59.5-60
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- 2017
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- 1226-2692(pISSN)
Development of a Daily Solar Major Flare Occurrence Probability Model Based on Vector Parameters from SDO/HMI
- Lim, Daye (School of Space Research, Kyung Hee University) ;
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Moon, Yong-Jae
(School of Space Research, Kyung Hee University) ;
- Park, Jongyeob (Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute) ;
- Lee, Kangjin (School of Space Research, Kyung Hee University) ;
- Lee, Jin-Yi (Department of Astronomy & Space Science, Kyung Hee University)
- Published : 2017.10.10
Abstract
We present the relationship between vector magnetic field parameters and solar major flare occurrence rate. Based on this, we are developing a forecast model of major flare (M and X-class) occurrence rate within a day using hourly vector magnetic field data of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) from May 2010 to April 2017. In order to reduce the projection effect, we use SHARP data whose longitudes are within
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