• 제목/요약/키워드: sequential decision

Search Result 165, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

Are Sequential Decision-Making Processes of Tourists and Consumers the Same?

  • Jung, Oh-Hyun
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.161-172
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purposes of this study were to examine if a decision making by a tourist sequentially or hierarchically occurs in a tourism destination and to test determinants that have an effect on both a sequential and non-sequential decision making. An instrument for the study was developed with three steps. A total of 420 and 380 questionnaire were collected respectively for the first two round surveys. For the third step, a pilot test was conducted with 30 respondents. And the data analysis utilized SPSS 18.0. A logistic regression analysis with variables of tourism activity and demography was employed to investigate the factors that affect a sequence of decision-making process. As an important result, the higher the age of the tourist in a tourism destination, the more conspicuous the consumption expenditure is made through the sequential decision-making process. Additionally, it is unreasonable to apply the premises and assumptions in extant consumer behavior to tourist behavior. The process of decision making by tourists in tourism areas is driven by either non-sequential or non-hierarchical decision-making process. More discussion and implications were provided.

Multiobjective Decision Model with Consideration of Flexibility in Sequential Capital Budgeting

  • Min, Kye-Ryo;Park, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.53-80
    • /
    • 1981
  • This paper explores a rational investment decision model in sequential capital allocation process under capital rationing. A method is proposed for measuring the new investment decision factor which is the flexibility that describes the future availability of invested funds. This flexibility is important in sequential decision process. Also presented is a multiobjective (MO) decision model into which flexibility is incorporated with the profit and risk factors. The effectiveness of this criterion is compared with the expected present value and the mean-semivariance criteria through a simulation model.

  • PDF

PV/FI Model in Sequential Investment Process under Certainty (확실성하의 순차적 투자과정에서의 PV/FI 투자대안 결정 모형)

  • Min Gye-Ryo
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-28
    • /
    • 1983
  • In sequential capital allocation processes, the information on the future availability (flexibility) of invested funds provides a decision maker with additional insight into the characteristics of alternatives. The investment decision with consideration of flexibility and profitability results in more wealth accumulation than the decision without considering flexibility does in sequential investment processes. To utilize the information on the flexibility under certainty, the PV/FI decision model is developed.

  • PDF

A TQM case of Centralized Sequential Decision-making Problem

  • Chang, Cheng-Chang;Chu, Yun-Feng
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.131-147
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper considers that a public department under specialized TQM manpower constraints have to implement multiple total quality management (TQM) policies to promote its service performance (fundamental goal) by adopting a centralized sequential advancement strategy (CSAS). Under CSAS, the decision-makers (DMs) start off by focusing specialized TQM manpower on a single policy, then transfer the specialized TQM manpower to the next policy when the first policy reaches the predetermined implementation time limit (in terms of education and training). Suppose that each TQM policy has a different desirous education and training goal. When the desirous goals for all TQM policies are achieved, we say that the fundamental goal will be satisfied. Within the limitation of total implementation period of time for all policies, assume the desirous goals for all TQM policies cannot be achieved completely. Under this premise, the optimal implementation sequence for all TQM policies must be calculated to maximize the weighted achievement of the desirous goal. We call this optimization problem a TQM case of "centralized sequential decision-making problem (CSDMP)". The achievement of the desirous goal for each TQM policy is usually affected by the experience in prior implemented policies, which makes solving CSDMP quite difficult. As a result, this paper introduces the concepts of sequential effectiveness and path effectiveness. The structural properties are then studied to propose theoretical methods for solving CSDMP. Finally, a numerical example is proposed to demonstrate CSDMP′s usability.

Text-Prompt Speaker Verification using Variable Threshold and Sequential Decision (가변 문턱치와 순차결정법을 통한 문맥요구형 화자확인)

  • Ahn, Sung-Joo;Kang, Sun-Mee;Ko, Han-Seok
    • Speech Sciences
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.41-47
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper concerns an effective text-prompted speaker verification method to increase the performance of speaker verification. While various speaker verification methods have already been developed, their effectiveness has not yet been formally proven in terms of achieving an acceptable performance level. It is also noted that the traditional methods were focused primarily on single, prompted utterance for verification. This paper, instead, proposes sequential decision method using variable threshold focused at handling two utterances for text-prompted speaker verification. Experimental results show that the proposed speaker verification method outperforms that of the speaker verification scheme without using the sequential decision by a factor of up to 3 times. From these results, we show that the proposed method is highly effective and achieves a reliable performance suitable for practical applications.

  • PDF

Wine Quality Assessment Using a Decision Tree with the Features Recommended by the Sequential Forward Selection

  • Lee, Seunghan;Kang, Kyungtae;Noh, Dong Kun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-87
    • /
    • 2017
  • Nowadays wine is increasingly enjoyed by a wider range of consumers, and wine certification and quality assessment are key elements in supporting the wine industry to develop new technologies for both wine making and selling processes. There have been many attempts to construct a more methodical approach to the assessment of wines, but most of them rely on objective decision rather than subjective judgement. In this paper, we propose a data mining approach to predict human wine taste preferences that is based on easily available analytical tests at the certification step. We used sequential forward selection and decision tree for this purpose. Experiments with the wine quality dataset from the UC Irvine Machine Learning Repository demonstrate the accuracies of 76.7% and 78.7% for red and white wines respectively.

Acute Leukemia Classification Using Sequential Neural Network Classifier in Clinical Decision Support System

  • Ivan Vincent;Thanh.T.T.P;Suk-Hwan Lee;Ki-Ryong Kwon
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.24 no.9
    • /
    • pp.97-104
    • /
    • 2024
  • Leukemia induced death has been listed in the top ten most dangerous mortality basis for human being. Some of the reason is due to slow decision-making process which caused suitable medical treatment cannot be applied on time. Therefore, good clinical decision support for acute leukemia type classification has become a necessity. In this paper, the author proposed a novel approach to perform acute leukemia type classification using sequential neural network classifier. Our experimental result only covers the first classification process which shows an excellent performance in differentiating normal and abnormal cells. Further development is needed to prove the effectiveness of second neural network classifier.

Interactive Multiobjective Decision Making under Fuzzy Environment (Fuzzy 환경하에서의 상호작용적 다목적 의사결정)

  • 이상완;김재연
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.22
    • /
    • pp.51-57
    • /
    • 1990
  • A new interactive multiobjective decision making technique, which is called the fuzzy sequential proxy optimization technique, has been proposed. This technique is the revised version the sequential proxy optimization technique that the decision-maker's marginal rates of substitution is interpreted as type of L-R fuzzy numbers. It used to the square of normalized scalar product as the doptimalilry condition. However, this technique ignores the imprecise nature of a decision-maker's judgement of marginal rates of substitution. Also, it have a shortcoming that can be only applied over three objective functions. In this paper, considering the imprecise nature of a decision-maker's judgement, we presents an interactive fuzzy decision-making method on the basis of the decision-maker's MRS presented through the use of five types of membership functions including non-linear functions. FORTRAN programs that run in conversational mode are developed to implement man-machine interactive procedure.

  • PDF

A Continuous Sequential Decision Process Model for R&D Economic Feasibility Assessment of the GDHS in Chejoo Island and Its Application (제주도 GDHS의 R&D투자 타당성 분석을 위한 연속적 SDP모형의 개발 및 응용사례연구)

  • Yang, Moon-Hee;Chang, Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.115-126
    • /
    • 1998
  • A GDHS(Geothermal District Heating System) is a heating system supplying a group of districts with heat extracted from geothermal sources. Due to various advantages of GDHS including the saving of fuel consumption as well as the reduction of air pollution, a world-wide trend is to replace central/individual heating systems with GDH systems. The basic point of this paper is that a crash program mentality leads to inappropriate decisions about policy issues in large-scale research and development like the development of GDHS, R&D funding should be viewed as a sequential decision, not a once-and-for-all choice. Hence we develop on economic feasibility assessment model based on a continuous sequential decision process for the Chejoo Island GDHS Project by modifying Roberts's model.

  • PDF