• 제목/요약/키워드: scenario selection

검색결과 174건 처리시간 0.022초

Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.325-337
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

대규모 종합감시시스템 환경에서의 비디오의 특징분석 기반 감시 알고리즘 선택 기법 (A Surveillance Algorithm Selection Method Based on Video Features for Large-scale Integrated Surveillance Systems)

  • 박광영;박구만
    • 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제7권1호
    • /
    • pp.33-38
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 대규모 종합감시시스템 환경에서 비디오의 특징을 분석하여 비디오가 촬영되는 환경에 적합한 지능형 영상분석 알고리즘 선택 기준을 제안하였다. 대규모 종합감시시스템 환경의 예로 도시철도 감시시스템을 사용하였다. 본 시스템에 설치된 카메라에 입력되는 비디오의 특징을 위치와 용도 및 상황별로 분석하였다. 분석을 기반으로 하여 적합한 비디오 감시 알고리즘을 선택하는 기준을 제시하였으며 상황 처리 시나리오를 제시하였다.

Selection of markers in the framework of multivariate receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in binary classification

  • Sameera, G;Vishnu, Vardhan R
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.79-89
    • /
    • 2019
  • Classification models pertaining to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis have been extended from univariate to multivariate setup by linearly combining available multiple markers. One such classification model is the multivariate ROC curve analysis. However, not all markers contribute in a real scenario and may mask the contribution of other markers in classifying the individuals/objects. This paper addresses this issue by developing an algorithm that helps in identifying the important markers that are significant and true contributors. The proposed variable selection framework is supported by real datasets and a simulation study, it is shown to provide insight about the individual marker's significance in providing a classifier rule/linear combination with good extent of classification.

Research On The Relevance Between Mixed-use Complex and User Behaviour Based On Three-dimensional Spatial Analysis

  • Zhendong Wang;Yihan Pan;Yi Lu;Xihui Zhou
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.83-91
    • /
    • 2023
  • Under the dual pressure of population growth and land shortage, threedimensional development is the inevitable choice for cities in China. In such a scenario, a mixed-use complex has considerable potential in its realization and research. Based on space syntax and the three-dimensional visibility graph analysis, this paper describes the spatial and functional layout of the Shanghai Super Brand Mall and studies the relationship between spatial visibility and user behaviour through linear regression analysis and correlation analysis. This paper studies three different types of user behaviour, namely, path selection, staying selection, and store selection, and finds that spatial visibility and accessibility have different effects on user behaviour depending on the type and purpose of the activity. This paper reveals the influence of spatial and functional layout on user behaviour and puts forward the corresponding design strategy under the three-dimensional environment.

A Numerical Kano Model for Compliance Customer Needs with Product Development

  • Rashid, Md. Mamunur;Tamaki, Jun'ichi;Sharif Ullah, A.M.M.;Kubo, Akihiko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • /
    • 제10권2호
    • /
    • pp.140-153
    • /
    • 2011
  • Functional form and dysfunctional form of Kano model are considered as customer need regarding attribute of product. Both functional and dysfunctional forms are: Like, Must-be Neutral, Live-with and Dislike. The answers of customer regarding a product of functional and dysfunctional forms have been applied for selection of customer needs regarding product attribute (Kano evaluation). Filling.up and returning the Questionnaires by the individuals are essential for determining Kano evaluation. But many Questionnaires have not been returned in that case. Moreover, many possible consumers could not get opportunity to fill-up questionnaire. These uncertain or unknown consumers' opinions are also essential for product development. The choices of Kano evaluations have been outlined by: Attractive, One-dimensional, Must-be, Indifferent and Reverse. In this study, choices of evaluation of unknown customer are considered uniform cumulative vector probability (scenario 1). This study is based on the Monte Carlo simulation method, concept of probability and Kano model. This model has also been tested for its soundness and found fairly consistent including existing Kano model (scenario 2) and case survey for headlight of bicycle (scenario 3).

격자 해상도에 따른 EFDC의 새만금호 모의 (The Comparison of Grid Resolutions using EFDC in Saemangeum Reservoir)

  • 신유리;장정렬;최정훈;조영권
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제28권5호
    • /
    • pp.646-656
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study area was Saemangeum Reservoir in Korea and the applied model was Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code(EFDC). It was the same as the scenarios to the boundary and initial conditions except the resolutions of the model grids. The resolutions were about 800 and 2,000 cells. It was considered scenario 1 and 2. The model was performed to simulate the water temperature, salinity, water quality parameters such as dissolved oxygen(DO), chemical oxygen demand(COD), total nitrogen(T-N), and total phosphorus(T-P) at 2008. The simulation results of the two scenarios were reflected in the trend of observed data tolerably. However, water flow, water temperature, and salinity showed high confidence level at the scenario 1. The water quality items did not present high confidence level at the scenario 1 because which concept was considered to biochemical and physical processes. This result shows that grid resolution has an influence on the water transport and the effect is reflected directly shallow and narrow water area. But, the selection of grid resolution should be considered the purpose of model simulation and the process of target items.

사이버 공격 훈련 시나리오 표현을 위한 Stage 기반 플로우 그래프 모델 연구 (A study on Stage-Based Flow Graph Model for Expressing Cyber Attack Train Scenarios)

  • 김문선;이만희
    • 정보보호학회논문지
    • /
    • 제31권5호
    • /
    • pp.1021-1030
    • /
    • 2021
  • 본 논문은 현대의 복잡한 사이버 공격을 모사하는 훈련 시나리오를 효과적으로 표현하기 위한 모델인 S-CAFG(Stage-based Cyber Attack Flow Graph)를 제안하고 평가한다. 이 모델은 더 복잡한 시나리오 표현을 위해 기존 그래프 및 트리 모델을 결합하고 stage 노드를 도입했다. 평가는 기존 모델링 기법으로는 표현하기 어려운 시나리오를 제작하고 이를 S-CAFG로 모델링하는 방식으로 진행했다. 평가 결과, S-CAFG는 동시 공격, 부가적 공격, 우회 경로 선택 등 매우 복잡한 공격 시나리오를 효과적으로 표현할 수 있음을 확인했다.

Opportunistic Relay Selection for Joint Decode-and-Forward Based Two-Way Relaying with Network Coding

  • Ji, Xiaodong;Zheng, Baoyu;Zou, Li
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제5권9호
    • /
    • pp.1513-1527
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the capacity rate problems for a joint decode-and-forward (JDF) based two-way relaying with network coding. We first characterize the achievable rate region for a conventional three-node network scenario along with the calculation of the corresponding maximal sum-rate. Then, for the goal of maximizing the system sum-rate, opportunistic relay selection is examined for multi-relay networks. As a result, a novel strategy for the implementation of relay selection is proposed, which depends on the instantaneous channel state and allows a single best relay to help the two-way information exchange. The JDF scheme and the scheme using relay selection are analyzed in terms of outage probability, after which the corresponding exact expressions are developed over Rayleigh fading channels. For the purpose of comparison, outage probabilities of the amplify-and-forward (AF) scheme and those of the scheme using relay selection are also derived. Finally, simulation experiments are done and performance comparisons are conducted. The results verify that the proposed strategy is an appropriate method for the implementation of relay selection and can achieve significant performance gains in terms of outage probability regardless of the symmetry or asymmetry of the channels. Compared with the AF scheme and the scheme using relay selection, the conventional JDF scheme and that using relay selection perform well at low signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs).

산림경관천이모델(LANDIS-II)를 이용한 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 산림의 생물량 장기변화 추정 연구 -충청북도 영동군 학산면 봉소리 일대 산림을 중심으로 - (Long-term Effects on Forest Biomass under Climate Change Scenarios Using LANDIS-II - A case study on Yoengdong-gun in Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea -)

  • 최영은;최재용;김휘문;김성열;송원경
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
    • /
    • 제22권5호
    • /
    • pp.27-43
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study applied the LANDIS-II model to the forest vegetation of the study area in Yeongdong-gun, Korea to identify climate effects on ecosystems of forest vegetation. The main purpose of the study is to examine the long-term changes in forest aboveground biomass(AGB) under three different climate change scenarios; The baseline climate scenario is to maintain the current climate condition; the RCP 4.5 scenario is a stabilization scenario to employ of technologies and strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions; the RCP 8.5 scenario is increasing greenhouse gas emissions over time representative with 936ppm of $CO_2$ concentration by 2100. The vegetation survey and tree-ring analysis were conducted to work out the initial vegetation maps and data for operation of the LANDIS model. Six types of forest vegetation communities were found including Quercus mongolica - Pinus densiflora community, Quercus mongolica community, Pinus densiflora community, Quercus variabilis-Quercus acutissima community, Larix leptolepis afforestation and Pinus koraiensis afforestation. As for changes in total AGB under three climate change scenarios, it was found that RCP 4.5 scenario featured the highest rate of increase in AGB whereas RCP 8.5 scenario yielded the lowest rate of increase. These results suggest that moderately elevated temperatures and $CO_2$ concentrations helped the biomass flourish as photosynthesis and water use efficiency increased, but huge increase in temperature ($above+4.0^{\circ}C$) has resulted in the increased respiration with increasing temperature. Consequently, Species productivity(Biomass) of trees decrease as the temperature is elevated drastically. It has been confirmed that the dominant species in all scenarios was Quercus mongolica. Like the trends shown in the changes of total AGB, it revealed the biggest increase in the AGB of Quercus mongolica under the RCP 4.5 scenario. AGB of Quercus mongolica and Quercus variabilis decreased in the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios after 2050 but have much higher growth rates of the AGB starting from 2050 under the baseline scenario. Under all scenarios, the AGB of coniferous species was eventually perished in 2100. In particular they were extinguished in early stages of the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. This is because of natural selection of communities by successions and the failure to adapt to climate change. The results of the study could be expected to be effectively utilized to predict changes of the forest ecosystems due to climate change and to be used as basic data for establishing strategies for adaptation climate changes and the management plans for forest vegetation restoration in ecological restoration fields.

기존 물류 네트워크 기반에서 크로스 - 도킹 거점선정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Selection of Cross-Docking Center based on Existing Logistics Network)

  • 이인철;이명호;김내헌
    • 산업공학
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.26-33
    • /
    • 2006
  • Many Firms consider the application of a cross-docking system to reduce inventory and lead-time. However, most studies mainly concentrate on the design of a cross-docking system. This study presents the method that selects the cross-docking center under the existing logistics network. Describing the operation environment to apply the cross-docking system, the selection criteria of the cross-docking center, and the main constraints of transportation planning under the environment of multi-level logistics network, we define the selection problem of the cross-docking center applied to a logistics field. We also define the simulation model that can analyze variously the cross-docking volume and develop the selection methodology of the cross-docking center. The simulation model presents the algorithm and influence factors of the cross-docking system, the decision criteria of the system, policy parameter, and input data. In addition, this study analyzes the effect of increasing the number of simultaneous receiving and shipping docks, and the efficiency of the overnight transportation and cross-docking by evaluating each scenario after simulating the scenarios with the practical data of the logistics field.