• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk pricing

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Can Idiosyncratic Volatility Factor be a Risk Factor? (고유변동성 요인에 대한 위험평가)

  • Kim, Sookyung;Byun, Youngtae;Kim, Woohyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we examined whether common idiosyncratic volatility(CIV), a risk factor for idiosyncratic volatility, can be evaluated as a pricing factor. The sample is listed on the Korea Exchange. The analysis period is 288 months from July 1992 to June 2016. The main results of this study are as follows. First, in the empirical verification of the market excess returns of the testing portfolios, the difference in the return on the CIV factor sensitivity difference was statistically significant. In other words, we confirmed that there is a risk premium for CIV factors. Second, CAPM, FF3 factor model, and FF5 factor model do not explain the risk premium for CIV factors, whereas factor models that add CIV factors explain the risk premium for CIV factors. In other words, the CIV factor can be evaluated in terms of pricing factors.

Can Bank Credit for Household be a Conditional Variable for Consumption CAPM? (가계대출을 조건변수로 사용하는 소비 준거 자본자산 가격결정모형)

  • Kwon, Ji-Ho
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.199-215
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This article tries to test if the conditional consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) with bank credit for household as a conditional variable can explain the cross-sectional variation of stock returns in Korea. The performance of conditional CCAPM is compared to that of multifactor asset pricing models based on Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Design/methodology/approach - This paper extends the simple CCAPM to the conditional version of CCAPM by using bank credit for household as conditioning information. By employing KOSPI and KOSDAQ stocks as test assets from the second quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2018, this paper estimates risk premiums of conditional CCAPM and a variety of multifactor linear models such as Fama-French three and five-factor models. The significance of risk factors and the adjusted coefficient of determination are the basis for the comparison in models' performances. Findings - First, the paper finds that conditional CCAPM with bank credit performs as well as the multifactor linear models from Arbitrage Pricing theory on 25 test assets sorted by size and book-to-market. When using long-term consumption growth, the conditional CCAPM explains the cross-sectional variation of stock returns far better than multifactor models. Not only that, although the performances of multifactor models decrease on 75 test assets, conditional CCAPM's performance is well maintained. Research implications or Originality - This paper proposes bank credit for household as a conditional variable for CCAPM. This enables CCAPM, one of the most famous economic asset pricing models, to conform with the empirical data. In light of this, we can now explain the cross-sectional variation of stock returns from an economic perspective: Asset's riskiness is determined by its correlation with consumption growth conditional on bank credit for household.

Asset Pricing From Log Stochastic Volatility Model: VKOSPI Index (로그SV 모형을 이용한 자산의 가치평가에 관한 연구: VKOSPI 지수)

  • Oh, Yu-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines empirically Durham's (2008) asset pricing models to the KOSPI200 index. This model Incorporates the VKOSPI index as a proxy for 1 month integrated volatility. This approach uses option prices to back out implied volatility states with an explicitly speci ed risk-neutral measure and risk premia estimated from the data. The application uses daily observations of the KOSPI200 and VKOSPI indices from January 2, 2003 to September 24, 2010. The empirical results show that non-affine model perform better than affine model.

The Effect of Stochastic Taxes on Asset Prices (세금 불확실성 하의 자산 가격 결정)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops an equilibrium asset pricing model with taxation in the economy. The expected excess rate of return on a risky asset is shown to be an increasing function of the covariance of asset return with aggregate consumption rate changes and the covariance of asset return with the tax rates as well. Thus, the expected execss rate of return can be decomposed as the consumption risk premium and the tax premium. The capital asset pricing model derived in the absence of taxes is shown to understate the expected excess rate of return and to have a misspecification error in the economy with taxation.

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Designing Forward Markets for Electricity using Weather Derivatives (날씨파생상품을 이용한 전기선물시장 설계)

  • Yoo, Shiyong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.319-353
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    • 2006
  • This paper shows how weather derivatives can be used to hedge against the price risk and volume risk of purchasing relatively large amounts of electricity. Our specific approach to designing new contracts for electricity is to focus on the return over a summer season rather than on the daily levels of demand and price. It is shown that correct market signals can be preserved in a contract and the associated financial risk can be offset by weather options. The advantage of combining a forward contract with a weather derivative is that the high prices on hot days or when the temperature is high reflect the underlying high cost of producing power when the load is high and that the combined contract with a weather derivative substantially reduces the volatility of the return.

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Return Premium of Financial Distress and Negative Book Value: Emerging Market Case

  • KAKINUMA, Yosuke
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine a financial distress premium in the emerging market. A risk-return trade-off of negative book equity (NBE) and distress firms is empirically analyzed using data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand. This research employs Ohlson's (1980) bankruptcy model as a measurement of distress risk. The results indicate that distress firms outperform solvent firms in the Thai market and deny distress anomaly often found in the developed market. Fama-Frech (1993) three-factor model and Carhart (1997) four-factor model verify the existence of a distress premium in the Thai capital market. Risk-seeking investors demand greater compensation for bearing risks of distress firms' going concern. This paper provides fresh evidence that default risk is a significant explanatory factor in pricing stocks in the emerging market. Also, this study sheds light on the role of NBE firms in asset pricing. Most studies eliminate NBE firms from their sample. However, NBE firms yield superior average cross-sectional returns, albeit with higher volatility. Investors are rewarded with distress risks associated with NBE firms. The outperformance of NBE firms is statistically significant when compared to the overall market. The NBE premium disappears when factoring size, value, and momentum in time-series analysis.

A Credit Risk Evaluation Using Negative DEA (부(負) (Negative) DEA를 이용한 신용위험평가)

  • Lee, Yeong-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.441-456
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce the concept of negative DEA, which aims at identifying worst performers by placing them on the efficient frontier, This paper also proposes to use a layering technique instead of the traditional cut-off point approach, since this enables incorporation of risk attitudes and risk-based pricing. The results of the empirical application on credit risk evaluation validate the method which is proposed in this paper.

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Real Options and Strategic Decision Analysis (실물 옵션과 전략적 의사 결정)

  • Kim, Ki-Hong;Oh, Hyung-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggests a valuation framework of investment project using the concept of real options. We show the valuation process of real assets using the risk-neutral pricing. Especially, we focus on the investment lag. Real assets have investment lag in general. The decision time and the payment time are not identical. So the investment lag should be considered when valuing real assets for reality. We provide the valuation process for real assets, including R&D project. The results of this paper can be used for the real assets valuation and strategic decision analysis.

The Determinants of Future Bank Stock Returns in Eight Asian Countries

  • An, Jiyoun;Na, Sung-O
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.253-276
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    • 2014
  • We examine which traditional asset pricing variables together with bank-specific accounting variables explain the cross-sectional variation of future bank stock returns, using a firm-level data of eight Asian countries. Our empirical evidence shows that exchange rate risk, firm size, the book-to-market ratio, and the net income ratio are important in explaining future bank stock returns during normal times. However, during the Global Financial Crisis period, different variables such as local market beta, illiquidity risk, equity ratio, and off-balance sheets ratio were statistically significant. Thus, researchers and policy practitioners should monitor these variables during normal times as well as during times of crisis.

THE PRICING OF VULNERABLE POWER OPTIONS WITH DOUBLE MELLIN TRANSFORMS

  • HA, MIJIN;LI, QI;KIM, DONGHYUN;YOON, JI-HUN
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.5_6
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    • pp.677-688
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    • 2021
  • In the modern financial market, the scale of financial instrument transactions in the over-the-counter (OTC) market are increasing. However, in this market, there exists a counterparty credit risk. Herein, we obtain a closed-form solution of power option with credit risks, using the double Mellin transforms. We also use a numerical method to compare the differentiations of option price between the closed-form solution and Monte-Carlo simulation. The result shows that the closed-form solution is precise. In addition, the option's price is sensitive to the exponent of the maturity stock price.