• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk minimization

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A Variable Speed Limits Operation Model to Minimize Confliction at a Bottleneck Section by Cumulative Demand-Capacity Analysis (대기행렬이론을 이용한 병목지점 충돌위험 저감 가변속도제어 운영모형)

  • LEE, Junhyung;SON, Bongsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.478-487
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    • 2015
  • This study proposed a Variable Speed Limits(VSL) algorithm to use traffic information based on Cumulative Demand-Capacity Analysis and evaluated its performance. According to the analysis result, the total of delay consisted of 3 separate parts. There was no change in total travel time although the total of delay decreased. These effects was analysed theoretically and then, evaluated through VISSIM, a microscopic simulator. VISSIM simulation results show almost same as those of theoretical analysis. Furthermore in SSAM analysis with VISSIM simulation log, the number of high risk collisions decreased 36.0 %. However, the total delay decrease effect is not real meaning of decrease effect because the drivers' desired speed is same whether the VSL model is operated or not. Nevertheless this VSL model maintains free flow speed for longer and increases the cycle of traffic speed fluctuation. In other words, this is decrease of delay occurrence and scale. The decrease of speed gap between upstream and downstream stabilizes the traffic flow and leads decrease number of high risk collision. In conclusion, we can expect increase of safety through total delay minimization according to this VSL model.

Mapping Inundation Areas by Flash Flood and Developing Rainfall Standards for Evacuation in Urban Settings (GIS를 이용한 도시지역 돌발홍수 침수예상지도 작성 및 대피강우기준 개발)

  • Shin, Sang-Young;Yeo, Chang-Geon;Baek, Chang-Hyun;Kim, Yoon-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2005
  • As local flash flood exceeding planned capacity occurs frequently, localized preparedness and response to flood inundation are increasingly important. Using XP-SWMM model and GIS techniques, this study analyzes inundation areas by local flash flood and develops rainfall standards for evacuation with the case of Sadang-Cheon area, a local stream and its nearby highly populated watershed in the southern part of metropolitan Seoul, Flood inundation areas overflowed from drainage systems are analyzed and mapped by amount of rainfall that is derived from reference levels of stream flow. Rainfall standards for evacuation are comprised of 'watch' (40mm/hr) in preparing for near-future inundation and 'evacuation' (65mm/hr) in responding to realized inundation. The methods suggested by this case study may be applied to other urban areas for sound flood prevention policy measures and thus risk minimization.

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A Study on the Removal of Unusual Feature Vectors in Speech Recognition (음성인식에서 특이 특징벡터의 제거에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Young
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.561-567
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    • 2013
  • Some of the feature vectors for speech recognition are rare and unusual. These patterns lead to overfitting for the parameters of the speech recognition system and, as a result, cause structural risks in the system that hinder the good performance in recognition. In this paper, as a method of removing these unusual patterns, we try to exclude vectors whose norms are larger than a specified cutoff value and then train the speech recognition system. The objective of this study is to exclude as many unusual feature vectors under the condition of no significant degradation in the speech recognition error rate. For this purpose, we introduce a cutoff parameter and investigate the resultant effect on the speaker-independent speech recognition of isolated words by using FVQ(Fuzzy Vector Quantization)/HMM(Hidden Markov Model). Experimental results showed that roughly 3%~6% of the feature vectors might be considered as unusual, and therefore be excluded without deteriorating the speech recognition accuracy.

Effects of Abdominal Muscle and Pressure on the Spine Stability during Upright Stance Posture - For the Case where Intervertebral Disc Plays the Role of Mechanoreceptor (추간판이 물리적 자극의 수용기 역할을 하는 경우 기립 상태에서 복압 및 복근의 역할이 척추 안전성에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Hae-Won;Kim, Young-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2011
  • Recently, we have proposed a hypothesis that spinal structures have a stress sensor driving feedback mechanism, In the human spine, spinal structure could react to modify muscular action in such a way so as to equalize stress at the disc, therefore reduce the risk of injury, In this analysis, abdominal muscle and abdominal pressure, which were not included in the previous study, were added to identify those effects in spine stability during upright stance posture for the case where the intervertebral disc plays the role of mechanoreceptor, The musculoskeletal FE model was consisted with detailed whole lumbar spine, pelvis, sacrum, coccyx and simplified trunk model. Muscle architecture with 46 local muscles containing paraspinal muscle and 6 rectus abdominal muscles were assigned according to the acting directions. The magnitude of 4kPa was considered for abdominal pressure. Minimization of the nucleus pressure deviation and annulus fiber average tension stress deviation was chosen for cost function. Developed model provide nice coincidence with in-vivo measurement (nucleus pressure). Analysis was conducted according to existence of co-activation of abdominal muscle and abdominal pressure. Antagonistic activity of abdominal muscle produced stability of spinal column with relatively small amount of total muscle force. In contrast to the abdominal muscle, effect of abdominal pressure was not clear that was partly depending on the assumption of constant abdominal pressure.

Surgical Complications and Its Management in Intracranial Aneurysm (두개강내 뇌동맥류에서 수술적 합병증 및 치료)

  • Han, Jong Woo;Hwang, Soo Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.1113-1120
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    • 2000
  • Objectives : Despite advance in the surgical treatment of the intracranial aneurysm, we have to be surgical complication. The aim of this report is to evaluate the complication and its management in intracranial aneurysm operation. Methods : We reviewed our exprience with interesting cases of surgical complication of intracranial aneurysm : 1) rebleeding, 2) intra-operative premature rupture, 3) missed aneurysm in angiography, 4) vasospasm. Results : The risk of rebleeding was not related to the patients' initial comdition, but all other intracranial complications occurred significantly more often in patients graded poor compared with patients in good clinical condition. Rebleeding before early surgery remains as major cause of unfavorable outcome. The causes of intraoperative premature ruptures were as follows : 1) dural opening and arachnoid opening(8.3%), 2) hematoma removal(12.5%), 3) brain retraction(16.7%) 4) aneurysm dissection(62.5%). The double suction technique and primary hemostasis using a small piece of cotton or temporary clip resulted in good outcome even in cases with premature rupture. The incidence of missed aneurysm in angiography occurred in 10%. The causes were as thrombosed aneurysm, vasospasm on feeder artery. The most common missed aneurysm is also the most common aneurysm(anterior communicating artery aneurysm). The repeated angiography were documented in missed aneurysm. Balloon angioplasty is superior topapaverine for treatment of proximal vessel vasospasm by viture of a more sustained effect on the vessel. Papaverine can be useful as an adjunct to ballon angioplasty and also for the treatment of distal vessels that are not accessible for ballon angioplasty. Conclusion : The minimization of the complications and active treatment can reduced the mortality and morbidity of ruptured aneurysm patients.

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Hedging Performance Using KODEX200 ETF (KODEX200 ETF를 이용한 헤지성과)

  • Byun, Youngtae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.905-914
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we examine hedging effectiveness of KODEX200 ETF and KOSPI200 futures with respect to KOSPI200 spot or KODEX200 ETF using naive, the risk-minimization models and the VECM. The sample period covers from January 5. 2010 to October 31. 2013. Daily prices of the KOSPI200 spot, KOSPI200 futures and KODEX200 were used in this study. The results are summarized ans follows. First, this study show that there is cointegration relationship among KOSPI200 spot, futures and KODEX200 ETF market. Second, there is no significant difference in hedging performance among the models. Finally, hedged position of KOSPI200 cash(unhedged position)-KODEX200 ETF(hedge vehicle) or KODEX200 ETF-KOSPI200 futures seems to improve hedging performance compared to KOSPI200 cash-KOSPI200 futures. This implies that the portfolio managers may be encouraged to use the former than the latter.

A Study on Relationships between Travel Time and Provision of Road Inundation Information in Heavy Rain and Snow using an Agent-based Simulation Model (폭우.폭설 시 침수 정보 전달과 통행시간 관계 연구 -에이전트 기반 모델을 활용하여-)

  • Na, Yu-Gyung;Lee, Seungho;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.262-274
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    • 2013
  • Heavy rain and heavy snow as representative extreme weather are recently an issue in urban area. The paper aims at modeling the scenarios of evacuation that minimizes economic loss of the designated urban area with improving travel efficiency by providing road closure information facing an extremely heavy rainfall. The paper develops a model by using a NetLogo toolkit applied to the study area of Seocho-dong, Seocho-gu, Seoul. The model conducts a simulation of travel time under different scenarios of information provision. The simulation results show that it is efficient to provide the information of road closure to 20~40% of the drivers under the scenario of humid road or rainfall less than 20mm, whereas to 40~60% of the drivers under the scenario of heavy rainfall more than 20mm.

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Support Vector Machine Classification of Hyperspectral Image using Spectral Similarity Kernel (분광 유사도 커널을 이용한 하이퍼스펙트럴 영상의 Support Vector Machine(SVM) 분류)

  • Choi, Jae-Wan;Byun, Young-Gi;Kim, Yong-Il;Yu, Ki-Yun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.4 s.38
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2006
  • Support Vector Machine (SVM) which has roots in a statistical learning theory is a training algorithm based on structural risk minimization. Generally, SVM algorithm uses the kernel for determining a linearly non-separable boundary and classifying the data. But, classical kernels can not apply to effectively the hyperspectral image classification because it measures similarity using vector's dot-product or euclidian distance. So, This paper proposes the spectral similarity kernel to solve this problem. The spectral similariy kernel that calculate both vector's euclidian and angle distance is a local kernel, it can effectively consider a reflectance property of hyperspectral image. For validating our algorithm, SVM which used polynomial kernel, RBF kernel and proposed kernel was applied to land cover classification in Hyperion image. It appears that SVM classifier using spectral similarity kernel has the most outstanding result in qualitative and spatial estimation.

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The Fukushima Nuclear Disaster and Nuclear Safety Systems in Korea (후쿠시마 원전사고와 한국의 원전안전정책)

  • Choi, Ye-Yong;Suzuki, Akira;Lee, Sang-Hong;Paek, Do-Myung
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.226-233
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    • 2011
  • Exactly 25 years after the Chernobyl nuclear disaster, 11th of March 2011 the Fukushima nuclear accident occurred in Japan and was ranked at level 7 same to the Chernobyl. A Korean and Japanese joint civil survey was conducted around Fukushima on April 13-17. The radiation survey data clearly shows a large hotspot area between 20 km and 50 km radius north and west direction from the accident reactors, with the highest radiation recorded being 55.64 ${\mu}Sv/hr$ in the air, 99.89 ${\mu}Sv/hr$ in the surface air, and 36.16 ${\mu}Sv/hr$ in a car, respectively. 3.65 ${\mu}Sv/hr$ in the air and 6.89 ${\mu}Sv/hr$ in the surface air were detected at the playground of an elementary school in Fukushima City. Spring came with full cherry blossoms in Fukushima, but it was silent spring of radiation contamination. Interviews with Fukushima nuclear refugees reveal serious problems about Japanese nuclear safety systems, such as there was no practical evacuation drill within 1-10 km and no plan at all for 10-30 km areas. Several reforms items for Korean nuclear safety system can be suggested: minimization of accident damage, clear separation of regulatory and safety bureaus with a new and independent administrating agency, community participation and agreement regarding the safety system and levels, which is the major concern of 80% Korean. To tackle threats of nuclear disaster in neighboring nations like China, a new position entitled 'Ambassador for nuclear safety diplomacy' is highly necessary. The nuclear safety of Korea should no longer be the monopoly of those nuclear engineers and limited technocrats criticized as a 'nuclear mafia'.

A Study on Factors Impacting Work-related Health Problems in Different Work-hour Groups (근로시간대별 근로자의 업무관련 건강문제에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Beak, Eun-Mi;Jung, Hye-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.383-393
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: The proportion of those working beyond 53 hours a week in 2018 has reached 16.8% of the total number of workers in the Republic of Korea (Statistics Korea, 2018). Although there are many studies that have dealt with the correlation of long working hours and increasing risk of work-related health problems, studies dealing with the factors impacting work-related health problems of workers according to their working hours are few. This study aims to ascertain factors impacting work-related health problems of workers based on their working hours through thorough research on their work environment. Methods: Necessary factors for this study were extracted from 'the 4th Korean Working Conditions Survey to analyze details on normal characteristics and work environments used for the study analysis, work hours, and health problems related to work. Results: The results are as follows: First, men showed a greater probability of exposure to work-related health problems than did women, especially in the 50s age group, which showed the highest potential for health problems from work among age groups. Second, service providers and sales professionals showed a higher probability of work-related health problems. Third, for the work environment, health problems at work related to vibration, noise, chemical and poison exposure, exhaustion, pain, standing position, and repeated motion showed a higher probability if the work hours are long. Conclusions: This study suggests that the minimization of overtime labor would prevent work-related health problems and diseases, improve the well-being of workers, and decrease the negative impact on workers in the subject area.