• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability bounds

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Reliability computation technique for ball bearing under the stress-strength model

  • Nayak, S.;Seal, B.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2016
  • Stress function of ball bearing is function of multiple stochastic factors and this system is so complex that analytical expression for reliability is difficult to obtain. To address this pressing problem, in this article, we have made an attempt to approximate system reliability of this important item based on reliability bounds under the stress strength setup. This article also provides level of error of this item. Numerical analysis has been adopted to show the closeness between the upper and lower bounds of this item.

Reliability Analysis of Multiple Failure Modes of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters (경사제의 다중 파괴모드에 대한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2008
  • A reliability analysis has been performed to investigate the systematic stability of multi-failure modes of rubble-mound breakwaters. The reliability functions of four different failure modes are established straightforwardly. AFDA(Approximate Full Distribution Approcah) reliability models for each failure modes are directly developed and satisfactorily calibrated through the comparison with CIAD's results. In the reliability analysis of single failure mode, the probabilities of failure are calculated and the influence coefficients of random variables in the failure modes are properly evaluated. Meanwhile, three different models such as uni-modal bounds, bimodal bounds, and PNET are applied to evaluate the probabilities of failure of multi-failure modes for rubble-mound breakwaters. It may be found that uni-modal bounds tend to overestimate the probability of failure of multi-failure modes. Therefore, for the systematic reliability analysis of multi-failure modes, it is recommended to use bi-modal bounds or PNET which consider the correlation between the failure modes for rubble-mound breakwaters. By introducing the reliability analysis of multi-failure modes, it could be possible to find out the additional probabilities of failure occurred by the multi-failure modes of a multi-component system such as rubble-mound breakwaters.

The Decision of Bounds for Consecutive k out of n Structure with Sink-Source Pole

  • Oh, Chung Hwan;Kim, Bok Mahn
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1993
  • The derived expressions and computations of the system reliability in the consecutive k out of n failure structure with sink-source pole are discussed and a decisive lower and upper bounds as well as exact system reliability are presented in this paper. Good bounds of the system reliability can be easily computed and are illustrated in the numerical example.

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A Study on the Approximating Reliability Analysis of communication Networks (통신망의 신뢰도 근사해석에 관한 연구)

  • 유재영;오영환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Communication Sciences Conference
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, an algorithm is proposed to analyze the approximating reliability of the capacity considered communication networks. In the case ofthe former methods to evaluate the source-to-termianl node reliability, it is very difficult to contract and delete the jointed terms in the simple path group. Therefore, the reliability bounds are used and compared to the exact reliability by TURBO PROLOG, the natural lanquage of artficial intelligence. In the reliability bounds, the upper bound used the valid cutset that isthe group of simple path and the lower bound used the minimal cutset by complement operation and the esact reiability is compared to this reliability bounds.

Bounds for Network Reliability

  • Jeong, Mi-Ok;Lim, Kyung-Eun;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2005
  • A network consisting of a set of N nodes and a set of links is considered. The nodes are assumed to be perfect and the states of links to be binary and associated to each other. After defining a network structure function, which represents the state of network as a function of the states of links, we obtain some lower and upper bounds on the network reliability by adopting minmax principle and minimal path and cut set arguments. These bounds are given as functions of the reliabilities of links. The bridge network is considered as an example.

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Reliability Analysis of Multistate Systems with Multistate Components (다항상태 부품으로 구성된 다항상태 시스템의 신뢰도 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chong-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2007
  • Most of systems used in real fields are considered as multistate systems with multistate components. As one of methods for performance evaluation of the system, reliability analysis has been popularly used. In this paper, we propose an improved reliability analysis method which is based on state space decomposition method of Aven (1985). In deriving upper bounds, our method uses sets of unspecified states whereas Aven (1985) excludes sets of unacceptance states. Also, closer lower bounds to an exact reliability are obtained by considering of importance of min-path vectors.

Bootstrap Confidence Bounds for P(X>Y) in 1-Way Random Effect Model with Equal Variances

  • Kim, Dal Ho;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 1996
  • We construct bootstrap confidence bounds for reliability, R=P(X>Y), where X and Y are independent normal random variables. 1-way random effect models with equal variances are assumed for the populations of X and Y. We compare the accuracy of the proposed bootstrap confidence bounds and classical confidence bound for small samples via Monte Carlo simulation.

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System Reliability Analysis of a Shallow Foundation using Correlated Failure Modes (유상관 파양류형에 의한 얕은 기초의 신뢰도 해석)

  • Kim, Yong-Pil;Im, Byeong-Jo;Im, Chung-Mo
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 1986
  • This paper presents how to determine the system reliability of a typical shallow foundation constituted four potential correlated failure modes of hearing capacity (BCM), consolidation settlement (CSM), moment (MFM), and tension shear (PCM). Through the idenfication of the distinct and different modes and evaluation of range of system reliability, the obtained conclusions are as follows; 1. The CSM and the PCM are the lowest and highest of reliability indices of single performance function, and the BCM and the MFM are medium of them. 2. For the correlated failure modes, the hi-modal bounds Is narrower and lower of failure probability than the unimodal bounds. Not to be overestimated, therefore, the system reliability should be based on the second-order bounds using correlated performance functions.

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Analysis of Structural Reliability under Model and Statistical Uncertainties: a Bayesian Approach

  • Kiureghian, Armen-Der
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2001
  • A framework for reliability analysis of structural components and systems under conditions of statistical and model uncertainty is presented. The Bayesian parameter estimation method is used to derive the posterior distribution of model parameters reflecting epistemic uncertainties. Point, predictive and bound estimates of reliability accounting for parameter uncertainties are derived. The bounds estimates explicitly reflect the effect of epistemic uncertainties on the reliability measure. These developments are enhance-ments of second-moment uncertainty analysis methods developed by A. H-S. Ang and others three decades ago.

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Reliability Analysis of Fuzzy Systems Based on Interval Valued Vague Sets (구간값 모호집합에 기반을 둔 퍼지시스템의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Lee, Se-Yul;Cho, Sang-Yeop;Kim, Yong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.362-365
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    • 2008
  • In the conventional fuzzy system reliability analysis, the reliabilities of the fuzzy systems and the components of fuzzy systems are represented by real values between zero and one, fuzzy numbers, vague sets, interval valued fuzzy sets, etc. This paper propose a method to represent and analyze the reliabilities of the fuzzy systems based on the internal valued vague sets defined in the universe of discourse [0, 1]. In the interval valued vague sets, the upper bounds and the lower bounds of the conventional vague sets are represented as the intervals, therefore it can allow the reliabilities of a fuzzy system to represent and analyze in a more flexible manner.

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