• 제목/요약/키워드: probability matching prior

검색결과 31건 처리시간 0.017초

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Failure Rates in Exponential Model

  • 조장식;백승욱
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we derive noninformative priors for the ratio of failure rates in exponential model. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. And we prove that the noninformative prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities and is a HPD matching prior up to the second order. Finally, we provide simulated freqentist coverage probabilities under the derived noninformative prior for small samples.

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Noninformative Priors for Stress-Strength System in the Burr-Type X Model

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X model. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior as well as the Jeffreys prior are the second order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved. The frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for samll samples via simulation study.

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An objective Bayesian analysis for multiple step stress accelerated life tests

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.601-614
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    • 2009
  • This paper derives noninformative priors for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We nd the objective priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior. Some simulation results are given and using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR LINEAR COMBINATION OF THE INDEPENDENT NORMAL MEANS

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.203-218
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develop the matching priors and the reference priors for linear combination of the means under the normal populations with equal variances. We prove that the matching priors are actually the second order matching priors and reveal that the second order matching priors match alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and also, are HPD matching priors. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Our simulation study indicates that one-at-a-time reference prior performs better than the other reference priors in terms of matching the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense. We compute Bayesian credible intervals for linear combination of the means based on the reference priors.

INVERSE GAUSSIAN분포의 모수비에 대한 무정보적 사전분포에 대한 연구 (Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of Parameters in Inverse Gaussian Distribution)

  • 강상길;김달호;이우동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2004
  • 이 논문의 목적은 역 가우스 분포의 모수비가 관심의 대상일 때, 그 모수비에 대한 무정보적 사전분포를 구하는데 있다. 특별히, 모수비에 대한 확률대응사전분포와 기준 사전분포를 제안하였다. 먼저, 관심의 대상이 되는 모수에 대해 모수 직교화 변환을 구하고, 모수 직교화 변환을 이용하여 확률대응사전분포와 기준사전분포를 구하였다. 특히 확률대응사전분포의 일치차수는 1차임을 보였으며 2차 확률대응사전분포는 존재하지 않음을 보였다. 또한 제안된 사전분포에 의해 유도된 사후분포는 적절 분포임을 증명하였다. 모의 실험을 통하여 확률대응사전분포와 기준사전분포를 비교했으며, 실제자료를 이용하여 분석하는 예를 보였다.

무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석 (Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • 반복이 같은 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 무정보 사전분포를 이용하여 오차분산을 추정하는 문제를 생각하고자 한다. 먼저 무정보 사전분포로 제프리스사전분포, 준거 사전분포 그리고 확률일치 사전분포를 유도하고 이들 각각의 사전분포들에 대하여 주변사후분포를 제시하였다. 끝으로 실제 자료를 근거로 오차분산의 주변사후밀도함수에 대한 그래프와 오차분산에 대한 신용구간들을 구하고 이 구간들을 비교한다.

Noninformative Priors for Fieller-Creasy Problem using Unbalanced Data

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2005
  • The Fieller-Creasy problem involves statistical inference about the ratio of two independent normal means. It is difficult problem from either a frequentist or a likelihood perspective. As an alternatives, a Bayesian analysis with noninformative priors may provide a solution to this problem. In this paper, we extend the results of Yin and Ghosh (2001) to unbalanced sample case. We find various noninformative priors such as first and second order matching priors, reference and Jeffreys' priors. The posterior propriety under the proposed noninformative priors will be given. Using real data, we provide illustrative examples. Through simulation study, we compute the frequentist coverage probabilities for probability matching and reference priors. Some simulation results will be given.

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Noninformative priors for linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution

  • Lee, Woo Dong;Kim, Dal Ho;Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1091-1100
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers the noninformative priors for the linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution. The lognormal distribution is applied in the various areas, such as occupational health research, environmental science, monetary units, etc. The linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution includes the expectation, median and mode of the lognormal distribution. Thus we derive the probability matching priors and the reference priors for the linear function of parameters. Then we reveal that the derived reference priors do not satisfy a first order matching criterion. Under the general priors including the derived noninformative priors, we check the proper condition of the posterior distribution. Some numerical study under the developed priors is performed and real examples are illustrated.

Noninformative Priors in Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution : Symmetry Case

  • 조장식;백승욱;김희재
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the ratio of failure rates under Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. Also the propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved and the frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for small samples via simulation study.

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Noninformative Priors for the Power Law Process

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers noninformative priors for the power law process under failure truncation. Jeffreys'priors as well as reference priors are found when one or both parameters are of interest. These priors are compared in the light of how accurately the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals match the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It is found that the reference priors have a definite edge over Jeffreys'prior in this respect.