• 제목/요약/키워드: probabilistic study

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초등 수학과 확률적 추론 지도에 관한 연구 (A Study on Teaching Probabilistic Reasoning of Elementary School Mathematics)

  • 김태욱;남승인
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈C:초등수학교육
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • For Probabilistic Reasoning Ability is useful to predict uncertain fact from information, it's getting more important. But when we consider the actual condition of teaching Probabilistic Reasoning Ability, it doesn't correspond with its importance. So the purpose of this study is, by developing Basic Contents of Probabilistic Reasoning Teaching; by developing and applying Probabilistic Reasoning Teaching Program, to study how the application of it effects the progress of the student's Probabilistic Reasoning Ability.

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NONLINEAR SEMIGROUPS AND DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS IN PROBABILISTIC NORMED SPACES

  • Chang, S.S.;Ha, K.S.;Cho, Y.J.;Lee, B.S.;Chen, Y.Q.
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.77-98
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce and study the semigroups of nonlinear contractions in probabilistic normed spaces and to establish the Crandall-Liggett's exponential formula for some kind of accretive mappings in probabilistic normed spaces. As applications, we utilize these results to study the Cauchy problem for a kind of differential inclusions with accertive mappings in probabilistic normed spaces.

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동적 확률 재규격화를 이용한 네트워크 연쇄 관계 해석 (Analysis of Network Chain using Dynamic Convolution Model)

  • 이형진;김태곤;이정재;서교
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제56권1호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2014
  • Many classification studies for the community of densely-connected nodes are limited to the comprehensive analysis for detecting the communities in probabilistic networks with nodes and edge of the probabilistic distribution because of the difficulties of the probabilistic operation. This study aims to use convolution method for operating nodes and edge of probabilistic distribution. For the probabilistic hierarchy network with nodes and edges of the probabilistic distribution, the model of this study detects the communities of nodes to make the new probabilistic distribution with two distribution. The results of our model was verified through comparing with Monte-carlo Simulation and other community-detecting methods.

Difference between Korean and Occidental Group-specific Label-based Probabilistic Brain Atlas

  • 구방본;이종민
    • 전자공학회지
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    • 제36권11호
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    • pp.66-82
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    • 2009
  • Probabilistic atlases for the human brain structure are more suitable than single brain atlases for representing population anatomy. In this study, we hypothesized the group-specific probabilistic atlas for accurate characteristic feature coding. Our proposed method for a new group comparison study, using a subpopulation specific probabilistic atlas, was based on this hypothesis. A knowledge-based automatic labeling technique using nonlinear registration was applied to encode group-specific regional probabilistic information. Direct atlas-based comparison using volume counting above the probability threshold, distance measurement and correlation analysis were performed based on the probabilistic atlas. Here, we applied this method for comparison between Korean and occidental groups. The results showed that this method could provide simple but intuitive regions of interest-based group analysis for the entire cortex area.

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크리프 균열성장 모델에 대한 확률론적 수명예측 프로그램 (Probabilistic Remaining Life Assessment Program for Creep Crack Growth)

  • 김건영;;강명수
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a probabilistic remaining life assessment program for the creep crack growth. The probabilistic life assessment program is developed to increase the reliability of life assessment. The probabilistic life assessment involves some uncertainties, such as, initial crack size, material properties, and loading condition, and a triangle distribution function is used for random variable generation. The resulting information provides the engineer with an assessment of the probability of structural failure as a function of operating time given the uncertainties in the input data. This study forms basis of the probabilistic life assessment technique and will be extended to other damage mechanisms.

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확률론적 지진계수 개발 (Development of Probabilistic Site Coefficient)

  • 곽동엽;정창균;박두희
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2009
  • The design response spectrum generally used in Korea is decided by the site coefficients determined by deterministic methodology, while it is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. The design response spectrum has to be made using probabilistic method which includes uncertainties of ground motions and ground properties for coincide with probabilistic methodology of seismic hazard analysis. In this study probabilistic site coefficients were developed, which were defined by the results of site response analysis using a set of ground motion that was compatible with present seismic hazard map. The design response spectrum defined by probabilistic seismic coefficients resulted in lower spectrum in long period area and larger spectrum in short period area. Also, the maximum spectral accelerations in site class D and site class E were lower than one in site class C while in the previous design response spectrum the maximum spectral acceleration increased from site class A to E.

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Parametric study on probabilistic local seismic demand of IBBC connection using finite element reliability method

  • Taherinasab, Mohammad;Aghakouchak, Ali A.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.151-173
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to probabilistically evaluate performance of two types of I beam to box column (IBBC) connection. With the objective of considering the variability of seismic loading demand, statistical features of the inter-story drift ratio corresponding to the second, fifth and eleventh story of a 12-story steel special moment resisting frames are extracted through incremental dynamic analysis at global collapse state. Variability of geometrical variables and material strength are also taken into account. All of these random variables are exported as inputs to a probabilistic finite element model which simulates the connection. At the end, cumulative distribution functions of local seismic demand for each component of each connection are provided using histogram sampling. Through a parametric study on probabilistic local seismic demand, the influence of some geometrical random variables on the performance of IBBC connections is demonstrated. Furthermore, the probabilistic study revealed that IBBC connection with widened flange has a better performance than the un-widened flange. Also, a design procedure is proposed for WF connections to achieve a same connection performance in different stories.

수문지역별 최적확률강우강도추정모형의 재정립 -영.호남 지역을 중심으로 - (Estimation Model for Optimum Probabilistic Rainfall Intensity on Hydrological Area - With Special Reference to Chonnam, Buk and Kyoungnam, Buk Area -)

  • 엄병헌;박종화;한국헌
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.108-122
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    • 1996
  • This study was to introduced estimation model for optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity on hydrological area. Originally, probabilistic rainfall intensity formula have been characterized different coefficient of formula and model following watersheds. But recently in korea rainfall intensity formula does not use unionize applyment standard between administration and district. And mingle use planning formula with not assumption model. Following the number of year hydrological duration adjust areal index. But, with adjusting formula applyment was without systematic conduct. This study perceive the point as following : 1) Use method of excess probability of Iwai to calculate survey rainfall intensity value. 2) And, use method of least squares to calculate areal coefficient for a unit of 157 rain gauge station. And, use areal coefficient was introduced new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for each rain gauge station. 3) And, use new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula to adjust a unit of fourteen duration-a unit of fifteen year probabilistic rainfall intensity. 4) The above survey value compared with adjustment value. And use three theory of error(absolute mean error, squares mean error, relative error ratio) to choice optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for a unit of 157 rain gauge station.

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확률변수의 잔차를 이용한 Mg-Al-Zn 합금의 시편두께 조건에 따른 확률론적 피로균열전파모델 연구 (A Study of Probabilistic Fatigue Crack Propagation Models in Mg-Al-Zn Alloys Under Different Specimen Thickness Conditions by Using the Residual of a Random Variable)

  • 최선순
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문의 주 목적은 확률변수의 잔차를 이용하여 제안된 확률론적 피로균열전파모델들을 평가하고 Mg-Al-Zn 합금의 확률론적 피로거동을 묘사하기에 적합한 모델을 제시하는 것이다. 제안된 모델은 '확률론적 Paris-Erdogan 모델', '확률론적 Walker 모델', '확률론적 Forman 모델'과 '확률론적 수정 Forman 모델'이다. 이 모델들은 실험적 피로균열전파모델인 Paris-Erdogan 모델, Walker 모델, Forman 모델과 수정 Forman 모델에 확률변수를 도입하여 준비하였다. Mg-Al-Zn 합금의 피로균열전파거동을 묘사하기에 적합한 모델은 일반적으로 '확률론적 Paris-Erdogan 모델'과 '확률론적 Walker 모델'임을 밝혔으며, 시편두께 9.45mm 에서는 '확률론적 Forman 모델'이 적합하였다.

DOProC-based reliability analysis of structures

  • Janas, Petr;Krejsa, Martin;Sejnoha, Jiri;Krejsa, Vlastimil
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.413-426
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    • 2017
  • Probabilistic methods are used in engineering where a computational model contains random variables. The proposed method under development: Direct Optimized Probabilistic Calculation (DOProC) is highly efficient in terms of computation time and solution accuracy and is mostly faster than in case of other standard probabilistic methods. The novelty of the DOProC lies in an optimized numerical integration that easily handles both correlated and statistically independent random variables and does not require any simulation or approximation technique. DOProC is demonstrated by a collection of deliberately selected simple examples (i) to illustrate the efficiency of individual optimization levels and (ii) to verify it against other highly regarded probabilistic methods (e.g., Monte Carlo). Efficiency and other benefits of the proposed method are grounded on a comparative case study carried out using both the DOProC and MC techniques. The algorithm has been implemented in mentioned software applications, and has been used effectively several times in solving probabilistic tasks and in probabilistic reliability assessment of structures. The article summarizes the principles of this method and demonstrates its basic possibilities on simple examples. The paper presents unpublished details of probabilistic computations based on this method, including a reliability assessment, which provides the user with the probability of failure affected by statistically dependent input random variables. The study also mentions the potential of the optimization procedures under development, including an analysis of their effectiveness on the example of the reliability assessment of a slender column.