• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic study

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A Study on Teaching Probabilistic Reasoning of Elementary School Mathematics (초등 수학과 확률적 추론 지도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Tae-Wook;Nam Seung-In
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.9 no.2 s.18
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • For Probabilistic Reasoning Ability is useful to predict uncertain fact from information, it's getting more important. But when we consider the actual condition of teaching Probabilistic Reasoning Ability, it doesn't correspond with its importance. So the purpose of this study is, by developing Basic Contents of Probabilistic Reasoning Teaching; by developing and applying Probabilistic Reasoning Teaching Program, to study how the application of it effects the progress of the student's Probabilistic Reasoning Ability.

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NONLINEAR SEMIGROUPS AND DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS IN PROBABILISTIC NORMED SPACES

  • Chang, S.S.;Ha, K.S.;Cho, Y.J.;Lee, B.S.;Chen, Y.Q.
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.77-98
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce and study the semigroups of nonlinear contractions in probabilistic normed spaces and to establish the Crandall-Liggett's exponential formula for some kind of accretive mappings in probabilistic normed spaces. As applications, we utilize these results to study the Cauchy problem for a kind of differential inclusions with accertive mappings in probabilistic normed spaces.

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Analysis of Network Chain using Dynamic Convolution Model (동적 확률 재규격화를 이용한 네트워크 연쇄 관계 해석)

  • Lee, Hyungjin;Kim, Taegon;Lee, JeongJae;Suh, Kyo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2014
  • Many classification studies for the community of densely-connected nodes are limited to the comprehensive analysis for detecting the communities in probabilistic networks with nodes and edge of the probabilistic distribution because of the difficulties of the probabilistic operation. This study aims to use convolution method for operating nodes and edge of probabilistic distribution. For the probabilistic hierarchy network with nodes and edges of the probabilistic distribution, the model of this study detects the communities of nodes to make the new probabilistic distribution with two distribution. The results of our model was verified through comparing with Monte-carlo Simulation and other community-detecting methods.

Difference between Korean and Occidental Group-specific Label-based Probabilistic Brain Atlas

  • Gu, Bang-Bon;Lee, Jong-Min
    • The Magazine of the IEIE
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.66-82
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    • 2009
  • Probabilistic atlases for the human brain structure are more suitable than single brain atlases for representing population anatomy. In this study, we hypothesized the group-specific probabilistic atlas for accurate characteristic feature coding. Our proposed method for a new group comparison study, using a subpopulation specific probabilistic atlas, was based on this hypothesis. A knowledge-based automatic labeling technique using nonlinear registration was applied to encode group-specific regional probabilistic information. Direct atlas-based comparison using volume counting above the probability threshold, distance measurement and correlation analysis were performed based on the probabilistic atlas. Here, we applied this method for comparison between Korean and occidental groups. The results showed that this method could provide simple but intuitive regions of interest-based group analysis for the entire cortex area.

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Probabilistic Remaining Life Assessment Program for Creep Crack Growth (크리프 균열성장 모델에 대한 확률론적 수명예측 프로그램)

  • Kim, Kun-Young;Shoji, Tetsuo;Kang, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a probabilistic remaining life assessment program for the creep crack growth. The probabilistic life assessment program is developed to increase the reliability of life assessment. The probabilistic life assessment involves some uncertainties, such as, initial crack size, material properties, and loading condition, and a triangle distribution function is used for random variable generation. The resulting information provides the engineer with an assessment of the probability of structural failure as a function of operating time given the uncertainties in the input data. This study forms basis of the probabilistic life assessment technique and will be extended to other damage mechanisms.

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Development of Probabilistic Site Coefficient (확률론적 지진계수 개발)

  • Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Jeong, Chang-Gyun;Park, Du-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2009
  • The design response spectrum generally used in Korea is decided by the site coefficients determined by deterministic methodology, while it is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. The design response spectrum has to be made using probabilistic method which includes uncertainties of ground motions and ground properties for coincide with probabilistic methodology of seismic hazard analysis. In this study probabilistic site coefficients were developed, which were defined by the results of site response analysis using a set of ground motion that was compatible with present seismic hazard map. The design response spectrum defined by probabilistic seismic coefficients resulted in lower spectrum in long period area and larger spectrum in short period area. Also, the maximum spectral accelerations in site class D and site class E were lower than one in site class C while in the previous design response spectrum the maximum spectral acceleration increased from site class A to E.

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Parametric study on probabilistic local seismic demand of IBBC connection using finite element reliability method

  • Taherinasab, Mohammad;Aghakouchak, Ali A.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.151-173
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to probabilistically evaluate performance of two types of I beam to box column (IBBC) connection. With the objective of considering the variability of seismic loading demand, statistical features of the inter-story drift ratio corresponding to the second, fifth and eleventh story of a 12-story steel special moment resisting frames are extracted through incremental dynamic analysis at global collapse state. Variability of geometrical variables and material strength are also taken into account. All of these random variables are exported as inputs to a probabilistic finite element model which simulates the connection. At the end, cumulative distribution functions of local seismic demand for each component of each connection are provided using histogram sampling. Through a parametric study on probabilistic local seismic demand, the influence of some geometrical random variables on the performance of IBBC connections is demonstrated. Furthermore, the probabilistic study revealed that IBBC connection with widened flange has a better performance than the un-widened flange. Also, a design procedure is proposed for WF connections to achieve a same connection performance in different stories.

Estimation Model for Optimum Probabilistic Rainfall Intensity on Hydrological Area - With Special Reference to Chonnam, Buk and Kyoungnam, Buk Area - (수문지역별 최적확률강우강도추정모형의 재정립 -영.호남 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • 엄병헌;박종화;한국헌
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.108-122
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    • 1996
  • This study was to introduced estimation model for optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity on hydrological area. Originally, probabilistic rainfall intensity formula have been characterized different coefficient of formula and model following watersheds. But recently in korea rainfall intensity formula does not use unionize applyment standard between administration and district. And mingle use planning formula with not assumption model. Following the number of year hydrological duration adjust areal index. But, with adjusting formula applyment was without systematic conduct. This study perceive the point as following : 1) Use method of excess probability of Iwai to calculate survey rainfall intensity value. 2) And, use method of least squares to calculate areal coefficient for a unit of 157 rain gauge station. And, use areal coefficient was introduced new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for each rain gauge station. 3) And, use new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula to adjust a unit of fourteen duration-a unit of fifteen year probabilistic rainfall intensity. 4) The above survey value compared with adjustment value. And use three theory of error(absolute mean error, squares mean error, relative error ratio) to choice optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for a unit of 157 rain gauge station.

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A Study of Probabilistic Fatigue Crack Propagation Models in Mg-Al-Zn Alloys Under Different Specimen Thickness Conditions by Using the Residual of a Random Variable (확률변수의 잔차를 이용한 Mg-Al-Zn 합금의 시편두께 조건에 따른 확률론적 피로균열전파모델 연구)

  • Choi, Seon-Soon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2012
  • The primary aim of this paper was to evaluate several probabilistic fatigue crack propagation models using the residual of a random variable, and to present the model fit for probabilistic fatigue behavior in Mg-Al-Zn alloys. The proposed probabilistic models are the probabilistic Paris-Erdogan model, probabilistic Walker model, probabilistic Forman model, and probabilistic modified Forman models. These models were prepared by applying a random variable to the empirical fatigue crack propagation models with these names. The best models for describing fatigue crack propagation behavior in Mg-Al-Zn alloys were generally the probabilistic Paris-Erdogan and probabilistic Walker models. The probabilistic Forman model was a good model only for a specimen with a thickness of 9.45 mm.

DOProC-based reliability analysis of structures

  • Janas, Petr;Krejsa, Martin;Sejnoha, Jiri;Krejsa, Vlastimil
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.413-426
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    • 2017
  • Probabilistic methods are used in engineering where a computational model contains random variables. The proposed method under development: Direct Optimized Probabilistic Calculation (DOProC) is highly efficient in terms of computation time and solution accuracy and is mostly faster than in case of other standard probabilistic methods. The novelty of the DOProC lies in an optimized numerical integration that easily handles both correlated and statistically independent random variables and does not require any simulation or approximation technique. DOProC is demonstrated by a collection of deliberately selected simple examples (i) to illustrate the efficiency of individual optimization levels and (ii) to verify it against other highly regarded probabilistic methods (e.g., Monte Carlo). Efficiency and other benefits of the proposed method are grounded on a comparative case study carried out using both the DOProC and MC techniques. The algorithm has been implemented in mentioned software applications, and has been used effectively several times in solving probabilistic tasks and in probabilistic reliability assessment of structures. The article summarizes the principles of this method and demonstrates its basic possibilities on simple examples. The paper presents unpublished details of probabilistic computations based on this method, including a reliability assessment, which provides the user with the probability of failure affected by statistically dependent input random variables. The study also mentions the potential of the optimization procedures under development, including an analysis of their effectiveness on the example of the reliability assessment of a slender column.