• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.236-244
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• 2023

본 연구는 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 서비스 제공의 경제적 타당성을 검토하는데 목적이 있다. 분석방법으로는 비용편익분석법의 하나인 순현재가치법을 준용하였다. 순현재가치를 구성하는 편익항목으로 농작물재해보험 실적자료를 이용한 피해경감액과 농가의 조기경보서비스 이용에 따른 지불의사액을 이용하였으며, 비용항목은 시스템 구축 및 유지비용, 그리고 문자발송 비용 등을 포함하였다. 분석결과, 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대는 경제적 타당성이 있으며, 그 효과는 참여농가의 문자이용 수준(10%~40%까지, 10%p간격)에 따라 달라지는 것으로 분석되었다. 향후, 조기경보서비스 참여농가가 증가할 경우 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과는 더욱 커질 것으로 예상된다. 효과적인 정보의 전달 및 활용을 위해 문자뿐만 아니라 앱이나 웹을 통한 정보전달 수단을 적극 활용함으로써 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과를 더욱 증진시킬 필요가 있다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.817-841
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• 2013

본 연구의 목적은 [2013 슬로푸드국제대회(아시오 구스토)] 개최의 경제적 타당성과 파급효과를 검증하는 데 있다. 이를 위하여 기존의 연구자료 및 통계자료를 활용하였으며, 국민여행실태조사와 대국민 설문조사를 통하여 수요추정을 하였다. 엑스포 개최 타당성을 검토하기 위하여 편익 비용 비율(Benefit Cost Ratio: BCR)과 순현재가치(Net Present Value: NPV)를 통해 재무적 및 경제적 타당성을 분석하였다. 또한, 엑스포 개최에 따른 경제적 파급효과를 추정하기 위하여 지역산업연관모형을 활용하여 전국 및 경기지역에 미치는 영향(효과)을 분석하였다. 재무적 타당성 분석 결과 BC ratio는 1.02~2.27로 수익성이 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 경제성 분석에서도 무료입장 10%적용시 시나리오 3과 4에서 BC ratio가 1.04~2.15로 나타나 수익성이 도출되었다. 한편, 엑스포 개최에 따른 남양주시를 포함한 경기도 지역경제의 파급효과는 생산유발효과가 373.6~738.7억 원, 부가가치유발효과가 166.2~327.4억 원, 고용유발효과는 1,971~2,009명으로 분석되었다. 따라서 "2013 슬로푸드국제대회"의 경제적 타당성은 양호한 것으로 나타났으며, 엑스포에 대한 지역주민의 공감대가 크며 남양주시 지역경제에 대한 경제적인 파급 효과도 긍정적인 것으로 나타났다.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.657-679
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• 2004

The purpose of this paper is to measure economic impact of marine environment conservation research development project. Benefit-Cost(B/C) analysis and Contingent Valuation Methods(CVM) are used to valuate the benefits from the research development projects. A period of three years for research development fund is considered as a part of the costs and adjusted to the net present value (NPV) of the 2002 ending period. The environmental charges for marine environment improvement are considered for the benefit measurement. The benefits are estimated by using monthly average willingness to pay, which is 2,289 Korean won. The contribution of the developing a management model for environmental pollution in the Gwangyang Bay is evaluated utilizing survey data and information. Based on the assessment by expert groups, the contribution of the model was 37.5％. The research results showed that B/C ratio is 20.61, NPV is 89,200 million Korean won, and social rate of return is 185.7％. When the level of contribution is over 1.83％ at the assessment of potential influence, it is recognized to be economically feasible. This research presents a quantitative framework for Research and Development projects for marine environment conservation, and it can be applied to decision making for the investment size of R&D projects.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.602-607
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• 2013

Financial risks associated with capital investments are often measured with different feasibility indicators such as the net present value (NPV), the internal rate of return (IRR), the payback period (PBP), and the benefit-cost ratio (BCR). This paper aims at demonstrating practical applications of probabilistic feasibility analysis techniques for an integrated feasibility evaluation of the IRR and PBP. The IRR and PBP are concurrently analyzed in order to measure the profitability and liquidity, respectively, of a cash flow. The cash flow data of a real wind turbine project is used in the study. The presented approach consists of two phases. First, two newly reported analysis techniques are used to carry out a series of what-if analyses for the IRR and PBP. Second, the relationship between the IRR and PBP is identified using Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the integrated feasibility evaluation of stochastic cash flows becomes a more viable option with the aide of newly developed probabilistic analysis techniques. It is also shown that the relationship between the IRR and PBP for the wind turbine project can be used as a predictive model for the actual IRR at the end of the service life based on the actual PBP of the project early in the service life.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.55-65
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• 2002

The most representative fruit in Yanbian area is Applepear(Ping Guo Li). It has been a important resource of farm income. According to the economic growth and income Increase of individual consumers, food consumption pattern will be changed from grain to high value cash crops such as Applepear and vegetables. The globalization and adapt ion of free market oriented economic policy of China government have led to change the collective farming system to individual farm management system. The institutional transformation have brought about high productivity of farm products and incomes of farmers. Therefore the plantation area of Applepear and requirement of investment cost for establishment of Applepear farms have increased rapidly since the 1980's, the time of perestroika and glasnost in Chinese economy. In prosperity of Chinese agriculture, individual farmer's decision making as free selection of farmland use, selection of high pay-off crops, free sale of the products in free market and credit support for the project might be the most important factors. In case of Applepear farm development, net present value of the project net benefit was estimated at 55.518won per hectare and financial rate of return was 21%. The benefit/cost ratio of the project was 2.11. Considering 10% of discounting rate or the opportunity cost of capital in China the Applepear farm development project showed us economically feasible in the light of the above efficiency indices. The Chinese government has to support Applepear farm development project financially and institutionally considering the high-payoff benefit of the fruit and farmer's in come increase in the future.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.41-50
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• 2013

Economic feasibility study using weighted average variable Jeju System Marginal Price, SMP, was conducted for Gasiri wind farm of Jeju Island. To predict the variable Jeju SMP, generator share ratio for SMP was calculated from the real time wind power production and the power demand data for years. Also, sensitivity analysis on Net Present Value, NPV, and Benefit/Cost Ratio, B/C ratio, were performed to clarify which factors are more important in assessing economic feasibility. The result shows that the Gasiri wind farm has a minimum of 110 billion won and a maximum of 132 billion won difference between fixed and variable SMP. Also, Capacity Factor, C.F., had the highest sensitivity for NPV, followed by SMP. Accordingly, when economic analysis for a potential wind farm site is carried out, the variable SMP as well as C.F. should be considered for more accurate assessment of the wind farm.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제11권10호
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• pp.3721-3725
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• 2010

본 연구는 정부의 공공기관선진화계획에 따라 국립현대미술관의 법인화에 대한 비용-편익분석을 실시하였다. 현상태(대안 1)와 법인화(대안 2)라는 두 가지 대안을 상정하고, 각 대안의 순현재가치를 비교하였다. 법인화 과정의 시나리오의 수를 줄이고, 국립현대미술관의 법인화의 현실적 수용성을 높이기 위해서 세 가지 전제를 상정하였다: (1) 법인화과정에서 인력구조조정 없음, (2) 인건비 상승, (3) 공공기능의 지속적 수행. 이러한 가정은 법인화에 대한 거부감 없이 적극적인 구조조정 참여를 유도하기 위한 것이기도 하며, 또한 법인화관련 정책적 방향과 의지를 반영하는 가정이라고 할 수 있다. 최종적인 대안의 선택은 순현재가치가 큰 대안이 우월한 대안으로 결정된다. 대안별로 다양한 시나리오의 조합이 가능하기 때문에, 최종적인 비교의 대상은 두 대안의 평균값의 상대적 크기이다. 결과적으로, 법인화의 순현재가치의 평균값이 현상태의 순현재가치의 평균값보다 현저하게 크다. 이는 할인율의 크기에 상관없이 성립하는 결과이다.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.84-93
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• 2005

The purpose of this study is to analyze the economic feasibility of the construction of a new ecological park, based on the case of a plan in Yeongcheon City. For fulfilling the purpose of this study, questionnaire survey was conducted in Yeongcheon City. Based on the survey data, cost-benefit analysis is conducted. For this study, costs and benefits of the project are estimated. Then, using NPV, IRR, and B/C ratio criteria, cost-benefit analysis for this study is conducted. from the empirical cost-benefit analysis, NPV of the proposed project is estimated at 5,420 million Won, IRR is estimated at 12.16%, and B/C ratio is estimated at 1.44. Thus, it is found that the construction of a new ecological park in this area would be feasible from the economic point of view.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.313-327
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• 2006

This study aims to examine the operating status of the Farmer's Health Center Project and the validity of its business using the benefit-cost analysis. As the pilot project of the Rural Development Adminstration from 1996, a total of 884 Farmer's Health Centers were established until 2004. Internal information of the RDA management unit was used for the analysis. A questionnaire with an interview was also performed with 70 over 468 Centers that had been established from 2001 to 2004. Results were as follows. 1) The Center was mainly used by elderly over 60 years, which took 71.4%. Winter was the most popular season for visiting. 2) Approximately 71% of the manager of the Center pointed out the deficiency of fuel cost as the most difficulty in operating the Center. 3) Users were moderately satisfied with facility and the effect of its use, which took 3.5 point over 5 scale. 4) For the cost-benefit analysis on the Centers, both 5% of social discount rate and 15 years of use term were assumed. Subsequently, the Net Present Value was 3,134 million won, which certified the validity of the business.

• 한국도서관정보학회지
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.99-119
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• 2017

이 연구는 부산시 금정구 금샘도서관(가칭) 건립 타당성 조사 연구의 일부로서, 도서관 건립의 경제적 타당성 분석에 대한 결과를 검토하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 이러한 목적을 위하여, 이 연구에서는 도서관 건립에 대한 정책적 타당성 분석, 수요조사, 경제적 타당성 분석의 결과를 살펴보았다, 경제성 분석 도구로 비용편익비율, 순현재가치, 내부수익률을 활용하여 경제적 타당성을 분석하였으며, 조건부가치측정법을 활용하여 편익을 추정하였다. 연구의 결과, 금샘도서관 건립의 비용편익비율은 1.28로 나타났으며, 도서관 건립은 경제적 타당성을 확보한 것으로 분석되었다.