Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회지)

Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회)
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Economic Feasibility Analysis of Nationwide Expansion of Agro-meteorological Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Korea

농업기상재해 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 경제적 타당성 분석

  • Sangtaek Seo (Department of Agricultural Economics, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Yun Hee Jeong (Department of Agricultural Economics, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Soo Jin Kim (Institute of Agricultural Science & Technology, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Kyo-Moon Shim (Climate Change Assessment Division, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences)
  • 서상택 (충북대학교 농업경제학과) ;
  • 정윤희 (충북대학교 농업경제학과) ;
  • 김수진 (충북대학교 농업과학기술연구소) ;
  • 심교문 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과)
  • Received : 2023.08.31
  • Accepted : 2023.09.13
  • Published : 2023.09.30
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Abstract

The purpose of this study was to examine the economic feasibility of providing services according to the nationwide expansion of early warning services. The net present value method, one of the cost-benefit analysis methods, was applied to the analysis. As a benefit item that constituted the net present value, the damage reduction amount using crop insurance data and the willingness to pay for the use of early warning services were used. The cost items included system construction and maintenance costs, and text transmission costs. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the nationwide expansion of early warning services had economic feasibility, and its economic effect varied depending on the level of text message use (10 % to 40 %, 10 %p interval) of participating farmers. In the future, the economic effect of early warning services is expected to increase further due to the increase in the number of farmers participating in early warning services and the increase in crop damage caused by climate change. It is necessary to further enhance the economic effect of early warning services by actively utilizing information delivery means through apps or the web as well as text messages.

본 연구는 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 서비스 제공의 경제적 타당성을 검토하는데 목적이 있다. 분석방법으로는 비용편익분석법의 하나인 순현재가치법을 준용하였다. 순현재가치를 구성하는 편익항목으로 농작물재해보험 실적자료를 이용한 피해경감액과 농가의 조기경보서비스 이용에 따른 지불의사액을 이용하였으며, 비용항목은 시스템 구축 및 유지비용, 그리고 문자발송 비용 등을 포함하였다. 분석결과, 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대는 경제적 타당성이 있으며, 그 효과는 참여농가의 문자이용 수준(10%~40%까지, 10%p간격)에 따라 달라지는 것으로 분석되었다. 향후, 조기경보서비스 참여농가가 증가할 경우 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과는 더욱 커질 것으로 예상된다. 효과적인 정보의 전달 및 활용을 위해 문자뿐만 아니라 앱이나 웹을 통한 정보전달 수단을 적극 활용함으로써 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과를 더욱 증진시킬 필요가 있다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 논문은 농촌진흥청 국립농업과학원 농업과학기술 연구개발사업(과제번호: PJ014880)의 지원에 의한 연구용역과제의 일환으로 수행되었습니다.

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