• Title/Summary/Keyword: portfolio Selection

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Development and Evaluation of a Portfolio Selection Model and Investment Algorithm utilizing a Markov Chain in the Foreign Exchange Market (외환 시장에서 마코브 체인을 활용한 포트폴리오 선정 모형과 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a portfolio selection model utilizing a Markov chain for investing in the foreign exchange market based on market forecasts and exchange rate movement predictions. The proposed model is utilized to compute optimum investment portfolio weights for investing in margin-based markets such as the FX margin market. We further present an objective investment algorithm for applying the proposed model in real-life investments. Empirical performance of the proposed model and investment algorithm is evaluated by conducting an experiment in the FX market consisting of the 7 most traded currency pairs, for a period of 9 years, from the beginning of 2005 to the end of 2013. We compare performance with 1) the Dollar Index, 2) a 1/N Portfolio that invests the equal amount in the N target assets, and 3) the Barclay BTOP FX Index. Performance is compared in terms of cumulated returns and Sharpe ratios. The results suggest that the proposed model outperforms all benchmarks during the period of our experiment, for both performance measures. Even when compared in terms of pre- and post-financial crisis, the proposed model outperformed all other benchmarks, showing that the model based on objective data and mathematical optimization achieves superior performance empirically.

An Algorithm for Portfolio Selection Model

  • Kim, Yong-Chan;Shin, Ki-Young;Kim, Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.65-68
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    • 2000
  • The problem of selecting a portfolio is to find Un investment plan that achieves a desired return while minimizing the risk involved. One stream of algorithms are based upon mixed integer linear programming models and guarantee an integer optimal solution. But these algorithms require too much time to apply to real problems. Another stream of algorithms are fur a near optimal solution and are fast enough. But, these also have a weakness in that the solution generated can't be guaranteed to be integer values. Since it is not a trivial job to tansform the scullion into integer valued one simutaneously maintaining the quality of the solution, they are not easy to apply to real world portfolio selection. To tackle the problem more efficiently, we propose an algorithm which generates a very good integer solution in reasonable amount of time. The algorithm is tested using Korean stock market data to verify its accuracy and efficiency.

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Compromise possibility portfolio selections

  • Tanaka, Hideo;Guo, Peijun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1998.06a
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    • pp.659-662
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, lower and upper possibility distributions are identified to reflect two extreme opinions in portfolio selection problems based on upper and lower possibility distributions are formalized as quadratic programming problems. Portfolios for compromising two extreme opinions from upper and lower possibility distributions and balancing the opinions of a group of experts can be obtained by quadratic optimization problems, respectively.

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OPTIMAL CONSUMPTION, PORTFOLIO, AND LIFE INSURANCE WITH BORROWING CONSTRAINT AND RISK AVERSION CHANGE

  • Lee, Ho-Seok
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.375-383
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates an optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance strategies of a family when there is a borrowing constraint and risk aversion change at the time of death of the breadwinner. A CRRA utility is employed and by using the dynamic programming method, we obtain analytic expressions for the optimal strategies.

THE EFFECT OF INFLATION RISK AND SUBSISTENCE CONSTRAINTS ON PORTFOLIO CHOICE

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2013
  • The optimal portfolio selection problem under inflation risk and subsistence constraints is considered. There are index bonds to invest in financial market and it helps to hedge the inflation risk. By applying the martingale method, the optimal consumption rate and the optimal portfolios are obtained explicitly. Furthermore, the quantitative effect of inflation risk and subsistence constraints on the optimal polices are also described.

CARA UTILITY AND OPTIMAL RETIREMENT

  • CHOI, JONGSUNG;LEE, HO-SEOK
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.1_2
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2021
  • We explore an optimal consumption/portfolio and retirement problem with a CARA utility function of consumption. The relevant Bellman equation for the value function is transformed into a linear equation and the optimal strategies are obtained explicitly.

Method for Composing a Portfolio for REITs Investment Using Markowitz's Portfolio Model

  • Lee, Chi-Joo;Lee, Ghang;Won, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2011
  • Domestic construction companies are suffering from financing difficulties in the wake of the economic slump in Korea and abroad. During this economic slump, real estate investment trusts (REITs), facilitators for improving financing and stimulating construction businesses, have increasingly expanded since their introduction in 2001. However, in terms of growth speed and marketing size, Korean REITs are falling behind those of other nations. The purpose of this study is to suggest a method for composing a portfolio using the Markowitz portfolio selection model to stimulate REITs. The main contents are as follows. First, a comparative analysis was conducted of increased REIT profit with the application of the Markowitz model and the average REIT profit rate from July 3, 2007, to July 21, 2008, during the investment analysis periods. The results showed that the total profit rate from the Markowitz model was about 10% higher than the average REIT profit rate. Second, the sensitivity was analyzed according to the portfolio's data-gathering and replacement cycle to measure the optimum cycle and yield. The six-mouth profit data collection period showed about 16% higher profits with the Markowitz model than with the REITs. The two-week portfolio change period resulted in about 11% higher profits with the Markowitz model than with the REITs.

An Investment Strategy for Construction Companies using DEA-Markowitz's Model (DEA-마코위츠 결합 모형을 이용한 건설업종 투자 전략)

  • Ryu, Jaepil;Shin, Hyun Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.899-904
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes an efficient portfolio selection methodology for the listed construction corporations in KOSPI and KOSDAQ. For the construction industrial sector classified by KRX(Korea Exchange), the proposed method carries out an efficiency analysis using DEA (Data envelopment analysis) approach and for the efficient corporations filtered by DEA, construct portfolio using Markowitz's Model. In order to show the effectiveness of the proposed method, we constructed annually portfolios for 5 years (2007-2011) out of 53 listed corporations in KOSPI and KOSDAQ, and proved that our portfolios are superior to benchmark portfolios in terms of rate of returns.

Stock Trading Model using Portfolio Optimization and Forecasting Stock Price Movement (포트폴리오 최적화와 주가예측을 이용한 투자 모형)

  • Park, Kanghee;Shin, Hyunjung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2013
  • The goal of stock investment is earning high rate or return with stability. To accomplish this goal, using a portfolio that distributes stocks with high rate of return with less variability and a stock price prediction model with high accuracy is required. In this paper, three methods are suggested to require these conditions. First of all, in portfolio re-balance part, Max-Return and Min-Risk (MRMR) model is suggested to earn the largest rate of return with stability. Secondly, Entering/Leaving Rule (E/L) is suggested to upgrade portfolio when particular stock's rate of return is low. Finally, to use outstanding stock price prediction model, a model based on Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) which was suggested in last research was applied. The suggested methods were validated and applied on stocks which are listed in KOSPI200 from January 2007 to August 2008.

A Study on Information Efficiency in Stock Selection by Various Investor Type (투자자집단별 선택적 종목거래활동의 정보효율성 검증)

  • Lee, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Jung-Jin;Lee, Jae-Hyun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2015
  • In previous studies concerning turnover, they argue individual stock's turnover must be identical to market portfolio's turnover under one condition where 2 funds separation theorem holds. In this kind of world, all market participants hold and trade the same portfolio and this should be only market portfolio. If one's trading portfolio's shape is different from market portfolio's, this would mean he or she has an advantage over others in information and this kind of information would be private. In accordance with this theory, we develop a metric which measures how far one's trading portfolio from market's and name it as Stock Selection by Investor(SSI). We apply this measurement to the various types of investor groups classified as individual, institutional and foreign who participate in Korea stock market. To test the validity of measure, we regress price ratio on this measurement using SUR method. As a result, individual investor group shows large number in SSI, but the coefficient in regression is not significant and economically meaningless. In case of institutional investor group, the coefficient proves to be significantly negative. We can infer from this fact that their trading is somehow far from informed trading. Stock selection activity by foreign investor groups proves to be informed trading by showing significantly positive coefficient and the magnitude of coefficient is economically meaningful, especially in sell activity.

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