• 제목/요약/키워드: portfolio Selection

검색결과 108건 처리시간 0.023초

OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO SELECTION UNDER STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY AND STOCHASTIC INTEREST RATES

  • KIM, MI-HYUN;KIM, JEONG-HOON;YOON, JI-HUN
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2015
  • Although, in general, the random fluctuation of interest rates gives a limited impact on portfolio optimization, their stochastic nature may exert a significant influence on the process of selecting the proportions of various assets to be held in a given portfolio when the stochastic volatility of risky assets is considered. The stochastic volatility covers a variety of known models to fit in with diverse economic environments. In this paper, an optimal strategy for portfolio selection as well as the smoothness properties of the relevant value function are studied with the dynamic programming method under a market model of both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates.

지수가중이동평균법과 결합된 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형 기반 투자 프레임워크 개발 : 글로벌 금융위기 상황 하 한국 주식시장을 중심으로 (Developing an Investment Framework based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model Integrated with EWMA : Case Study in Korea under Global Financial Crisis)

  • 박경찬;정종빈;김성문
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2013
  • In applying Markowitz's portfolio selection model to the stock market, we developed a comprehensive investment decision-making framework including key inputs for portfolio theory (i.e., individual stocks' expected rate of return and covariance) and minimum required expected return. For estimating the key inputs of our decision-making framework, we utilized an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) which places more emphasis on recent data than the conventional simple moving average (SMA). We empirically analyzed the investment results of the decision-making framework with the same 15 stocks in Samsung Group Funds found in the Korean stock market between 2007 and 2011. This five-year investment horizon is marked by global financial crises including the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the European sovereign-debt crisis. We measure portfolio performance in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio. Results are compared with the following benchmarks : 1) KOSPI, 2) Samsung Group Funds, 3) Talmudic portfolio based on the na$\ddot{i}$ve 1/N rule, and 4) Markowitz's model with SMA. We performed sensitivity analyses on all the input parameters that are necessary for designing an investment decision-making framework : smoothing constant for EWMA, minimum required expected return for the portfolio, and portfolio rebalancing period. In conclusion, appropriate use of the comprehensive investment decision-making framework based on the Markowitz's model integrated with EWMA proves to achieve outstanding performance compared to the benchmarks.

불완전 정보 하에서 추가적인 제약조건들이 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 성과에 미치는 영향 : 한국 주식시장의 그룹주 사례들을 중심으로 (Effects of Additional Constraints on Performance of Portfolio Selection Models with Incomplete Information : Case Study of Group Stocks in the Korean Stock Market)

  • 박경찬;정종빈;김성문
    • 경영과학
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.15-33
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    • 2015
  • Under complete information, introducing additional constraints to a portfolio will have a negative impact on performance. However, real-life investments inevitably involve use of error-prone estimations, such as expected stock returns. In addition to the reality of incomplete data, investments of most Korean domestic equity funds are regulated externally by the government, as well as internally, resulting in limited maximum investment allocation to single stocks and risk free assets. This paper presents an investment framework, which takes such real-life situations into account, based on a newly developed portfolio selection model considering realistic constraints under incomplete information. Additionally, we examined the effects of additional constraints on portfolio's performance under incomplete information, taking the well-known Samsung and SK group stocks as performance benchmarks during the period beginning from the launch of each commercial fund, 2005 and 2007 respectively, up to 2013. The empirical study shows that an investment model, built under incomplete information with additional constraints, outperformed a model built without any constraints, and benchmarks, in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio.

DEA 기법을 이용한 효율적 포트폴리오 구성 방안 (An Efficient Portfolio Selection Methodology using DEA Approach)

  • 손민;신현준
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1551-1556
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 KOSPI에 상장된 기업을 대상으로 기업의 효율성을 고려하여 포트폴리오를 구성하는 방안을 제시한다. 이를 위해 한국거래소(KRX)에서 구분하는 산업 업종별로 DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) 기법을 이용하여 기업 효율성 분석을 실시하고 효율성이 우수한 기업들을 대상으로 마코위츠 모형을 통해 포트폴리오를 구성한다. 본 연구에서 제안한 포트폴리오 구성 방안의 성능 실험을 위해 KOSPI에 상장된 약 600개의 기업의 주식을 대상으로 4년 (2007~2010) 동안 매해 포트폴리오를 구성하였고 각각의 포트폴리오 수익률을 경영 효율성을 고려하지 않고 구성한 포트폴리오 및 시장 수익률과의 비교 분석을 통해 그 우수성을 입증하였다.

Decision Support System for Mongolian Portfolio Selection

  • Bukhsuren, Enkhtuul;Sambuu, Uyanga;Namsrai, Oyun-Erdene;Namsrai, Batnasan;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.637-649
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    • 2022
  • Investors aim to increase their profitability by investing in the stock market. An adroit strategy for minimizing related risk lies through diversifying portfolio operationalization. In this paper, we propose a six-step stocks portfolio selection model. This model is based on data mining clustering techniques that reflect the ensuing impact of the political, economic, legal, and corporate governance in Mongolia. As a dataset, we have selected stock exchange trading price, financial statements, and operational reports of top-20 highly capitalized stocks that were traded at the Mongolian Stock Exchange from 2013 to 2017. In order to cluster the stock returns and risks, we have used k-means clustering techniques. We have combined both k-means clustering with Markowitz's portfolio theory to create an optimal and efficient portfolio. We constructed an efficient frontier, creating 15 portfolios, and computed the weight of stocks in each portfolio. From these portfolio options, the investor is given a choice to choose any one option.

Multiperiod Mean Absolute Deviation Uncertain Portfolio Selection

  • Zhang, Peng
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2016
  • Multiperiod portfolio selection problem attracts more and more attentions because it is in accordance with the practical investment decision-making problem. However, the existing literature on this field is almost undertaken by regarding security returns as random variables in the framework of probability theory. Different from these works, we assume that security returns are uncertain variables which may be given by the experts, and take absolute deviation as a risk measure in the framework of uncertainty theory. In this paper, a new multiperiod mean absolute deviation uncertain portfolio selection models is presented by taking transaction costs, borrowing constraints and threshold constraints into account, which an optimal investment policy can be generated to help investors not only achieve an optimal return, but also have a good risk control. Threshold constraints limit the amount of capital to be invested in each stock and prevent very small investments in any stock. Based on uncertain theories, the model is converted to a dynamic optimization problem. Because of the transaction costs, the model is a dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. To solve the new model in general cases, the forward dynamic programming method is presented. In addition, a numerical example is also presented to illustrate the modeling idea and the effectiveness of the designed algorithm.

유치원에서의 효율적인 포트폴리오 평가 방법 연구 (Efficient Portfolio Assessment Methods in Kindergarten)

  • 황윤세;양옥승
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.191-211
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    • 2001
  • This in-depth study of portfolio method centered on efficient methods of application, including teacher education. The study was carried out in 2 public kindergartens in Taegu. The efficient portfolio assessment method was developed by revisions after successive applications, observations, and discussions with the teachers of both kindergartens. The resulting efficient portfolio method is composed of step 1: portfolio conference and planning; step 2: development of the portfolio in the process of teaching and learning; step 3: selection of the materials for the portfolio; step 4: analysis of the portfolio; and step 5: use of the portfolio method. The practical application of the portfolio assessment is included in the forms used for teachers' observations of children's play and educational interventions. Teachers' interventions include verbal interaction, presentation of materials, and participating as partners. This teaching-learning method consists of teaching and assessment by sensitive and instant responses to children's needs.

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한국 주식시장의 삼성그룹주펀드들과 비선형계획법을 이용한 마코위츠의 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 투자 성과 비교 (Comparison of Investment Performance in the Korean Stock Market between Samsung-Group-Funds and Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model Using Nonlinear Programming)

  • 김성문;김홍선
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.76-94
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 마코위츠의 포트폴리오 선정 이론을 한국 주식 시장에 실제 적용할 경우 투자 성과를 평가해 본 실증적 연구이다. 이를 위해서 대중적으로 인기가 있었던 삼성그룹주펀드 5종 및 KOSPI지수 변화율을 마코위츠의 모형과 비교 분석하였다. 2007년 3월부터 2008년 9월까지 최근 1년 6개월의 기간에 대하여, KOSPI 지수는 0.1%로 거의 변화를 보이지 않은 반면, 삼성그룹주펀드 5종의 평균수익률은 20.54%였고, 삼성그룹주펀드를 구성하는 동일한 17개 종목으로 마코위츠의 모형에 따라 투자한 방식은 52%의 수익률을 올렸다. 수익률을 극대화하기 위하여 데이터 수집 기간 및 포트폴리오 교체 주기에 대하여 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 결론적으로, 투자자 개인의 주관이나 감정에 의한 판단을 완전히 배제하고 객관적 데이터에 의하여 포트폴리오를 수리적으로 변경하는 마코위츠의 모형에 의한 투자 방식이, 상대적으로 우월한 시장 정보를 가지고 주관적 판단에 의해 능동적으로 포트폴리오를 변경하는 시중 펀드매니저의 운영 성과에 비해 월등하였음을 본 연구에서는 삼성그룹주펀드의 실증적 연구를 통하여 보이고 있다.

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Selecting Information Technology Projects in Non-linear Risk/Return Relationships of IT Investment

  • Cho, Wooje;Song, Minseok
    • 정보화연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2012
  • We focus on the issues of the non-linear return/risk relationship of IT investment and the balance between return and risk of IT portfolio. We develop an IT project selection model by integrating DEA models with Markowitz portfolio selection theory. The project data collected from a Fortune 100 company are used to illustrate the implementation of the model. In addition, computational experiments are conducted to demonstrate the validity of the proposed model.

Identity Formation and Self-Reflection Strategies in the Development of Apparel Design ePortfolios

  • Seifert, Christin;Chattaraman, Veena
    • Fashion, Industry and Education
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.60-69
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    • 2016
  • Visual literacy, a key element of a design portfolio, is achieved by communicating a consistent visual aesthetic with respect to design elements, design principles and individual style. Yet, students often feel challenged in articulating their personal aesthetic or design philosophy in order to create a unifying design identity within a body of artifacts. This paper shares some best practices on overcoming this challenge through students' engagement in self-reflection and identity formation processes. The implemented innovative strategy in a senior-level portfolio development course for apparel designers involved four different phases: 1) one-on-one meetings to self-reflect on previous design work, 2) selection and revision of artifacts, 3) peer-review and critiques of revised portfolio artifacts, and 4) development of a final ePortfolio to showcase a unified design identity. It was evident that recording students' initial self-reflection in the form of a metacognitive oral report encouraged and motivated identity development in their portfolio. Further, students expressed their satisfaction in the ability to participate in the selection process of artifacts by self-reflecting about what they wanted to highlight about themselves and why. Overall, student outcomes from this strategy exceeded expectations and the portfolios developed were successful in creating a cohesive design identity.