• Title/Summary/Keyword: plywood demand

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Development of the Plywood Demand Prediction Model

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.2
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    • pp.140-143
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    • 2008
  • This study compared the plywood demand prediction accuracy of econometric and vector autoregressive models using Korean data. The econometric model of plywood demand was specified with three explanatory variables; own price, construction permit area, dummy. The vector autoregressive model was specified with lagged endogenous variable, own price, construction permit area and dummy. The dummy variable reflected the abrupt decrease in plywood consumption in the late 1990's. The prediction accuracy was estimated on the basis of Residual Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error and Theil's Inequality Coefficient. The results showed that the plywood demand prediction can be performed more accurately by econometric model than by vector autoregressive model.

A Status and View of Demand for Plywood in Korea (한국(韓國)의 합판수요(合板需要) 현황(現況)과 전망(展望))

  • Kim, Jae-Sung;Chung, Dae-Kyo
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.32-44
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    • 1987
  • This study was carried out to analyze and furecast the domestic demand for plywood in Korea by regression models with time-series data for 16 years(1970-85). The results obtained were summarized as follows. 1. To analyze domestic demand for plywood, GNP, PWI and CWI were used as independant variables. The domestic demand equation was computed as follows: $^{in}DDP$=0.65186+1.29412 $^{in}GNP$-0.28385 $^{in}PWI$-1.05011 $^{in}CWI$ Where DDP : Domestic demand for plywood(1000 S/F) GNP: Gross national product (Billion won) PWI : Real wholesale price index of plywood CWI: Real wholesale price index of construction materials. 2. Among independant variables reflecting on the production activity of plywood industry, GNP was the most decisive in forecasting the domestic demand for plywood. 3. The significance can be recognized highly because the decision coefficient of the forecasting model which is obtained by using time series data is 0.9. 4. According to the estimated regression coefficients for GNP, PWI and CWI, GNP shows positive relation while PWI and CWI show negative relation. 5. An annual average increase rate of demand for plywood was 9.4 percent during expect period. Therefore, it was decreased slightly than that of 10.2 percent during sample period.

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Outlook of Wood Products Markets with Supply and Demand Model (수급모형을 이용한 목제품 시장 전망)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Kim, Kyeong-Duk;Song, Seong-Hwan;Bark, Ji-Eun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.103 no.3
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    • pp.462-472
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    • 2014
  • This study is aimed at developing a supply-demand model of wood products, and outlook for mid-term and long-term supply and demand for each products. The main wood products include sawnwood, plywood, particle board, fiberboard (MDF), and pulp. The partial equilibrium model is composed of supply function, import demand function, demand function, price relation function. With given parameters the outlook for year 2050 says that sawnwood, plywood, and fiberboard for domestic productions and imports are decreased. This may result from the increase of log prices from the inside and outside of the country because of the propensity for environment protection and the resource nationalism. On the other hand the supply of particle board and pulp will increase because they are made from wasted wood and chips.

A Study on Heat Transfer of Plywood for Wood Based Flooring by Veneer Composition (마루판용 합판의 단판 구성요소에 따른 열전달 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Pi, Duck-Won;Choi, Song-Kyu;Kang, Ho-Yang;Kang, Seog-Goo
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.298-304
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    • 2012
  • Since 1990's, a flooring based on plywood has gotten customers' demand. Costs of raw material and production increased because of changed environment of industry. Tropical timber such as Red Meranti (Shorea acuminate) used for raw material of the floor has been depleting beside countries in South Eastern Asia changed species of afforestation. As a result, it gets hard to secure good quality of raw material for plywood. Moreover plywood price is increased suddenly after earthquake in Japan. Eucalyptus (Eucalyptus globulus) in china has been using for raw material as a countermeasure of changed environment of industry. In this study, possibility of using flooring consisted of Eucalyptus veneer as a core layer was checked by heat transfer experiments. Flooring consisted of Red Meranti was used for comparison. Two factors which impact on heat transfer are a type of density gradient and density difference between Long-grain veneer and Short-grain veneer. Red Meranti samples are 'M' type of density gradient on the other hand Eucalyptus samples are 'W' type of density gradient.

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Development of the Roundwood Demand Prediction Model

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.2
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2006
  • This study compared the roundwood demand prediction accuracy of econometric and time-series models using Korean data. The roundwood was divided into softwood and hardwood by species. The econometric model of roundwood demand was specified with four explanatory variables; own price, substitute price, gross domestic product, dummy. The time-series model was specified with lagged endogenous variable. The dummy variable reflected the abrupt decrease in roundwood demand in the late 1990's in the case of softwood roundwood, and the boom of plywood export in the late 1970's in the case of hardwood roundwood. On the other hand, the prediction accuracy was estimated on the basis of Residual Mean Square Errors(RMSE). The results showed that the softwood roundwood demand prediction can be performed more accurately by econometric model than by time-series model. However, the hardwood roundwood demand prediction accuracy was similar in the case of using econometric and time-series model.

Evaluation of Anti-Sapstain Activity of Rice Powder Adhesives Modified with Wood Preservatives

  • Lee, Min;Kang, Eun-Chang;Lee, Sang-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.872-879
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    • 2016
  • Demand of natural interior finishing material has been widely sprayed in nowadays because many weak people as children, pregnant women, and elder people are being struggled with sick house syndrome due to volatile organic compounds such as formaldehyde, toluene, benzene, etc. Our research group developed a no-added formaldehyde adhesive for wood-based panels from mainly rice powder and some additives in the previous study for abating sick house syndrome. Since the rice powder adhesive provides a good source of nutrients with microorganisms, it was suspected a susceptibility of the rice powder adhesive to fungal and sapstain attack. We evaluated anti-sapstain activity of the rice powder adhesives modified by adding wood preservatives. We modified the rice powder adhesive by adding three different types of anti-sapstain preservatives at three different concentrations to assess their anti-sapstin activity. The bonding strengths of the modified rice powder adhesives were still outstanding performance on all samples. Moreover, the plywood manufactured with the modified rice powder adhesive satisfied outdoor use requirement for ordinary plywood (KS F3101, Korean Standard). The results obtained showed that at least 3% of preservative should be added to the rice powder adhesive to obtain effective anti-sapstain activity.

A Study on Deflection Characteristics of Plywood for Wood Based Flooring by Veneer Composition (마루판용 합판의 단판 구성요소에 따른 변형 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Pi, Duck-Won;Kang, Seog Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2013
  • Since 1990's, a plywood for flooring base has gotten customers' demand. Costs of raw material and production increased because of changed environment of industry. Tropical timber such as Red Meranti (Shorea acuminate) used for raw material of the floor has been depleting beside countries in South Eastern Asia changed species of afforestation. As a result, it gets hard to secure good quality of raw material for plywood. Moreover plywood price is increased suddenly after earthquake in Japan. Eucalyptus (Eucalyptus globulus) in china has been using for raw material as a countermeasure of changed environment of industry. In this study, possibility of using flooring consisted of Eucalyptus veneer as crossband layers was checked by deflection experiments. Flooring consisted of Red Meranti was used for comparison. Two factors which impact on deflection are a type of density gradient and density difference between Long-grain veneer and Short-grain veneer. Red Meranti samples are M type of density gradient on the other hand Eucalyptus samples are W type of density gradient. The more samples have high density difference, the more deformation was checked. A sample which has big density difference between core and cross bands layer warp more also deform. Flooring was deformed smaller than plywood and samples which have big density difference was deformed more.

Impacts of Tariff Reduction of Timber Products in Non-Agricultural Market Access on WTO/DDA Negotiations in Korea - based on the tentative agreements of WTO/DDA Negotiations - (WTO/DDA협상 NAMA분야의 목재류 관세감축 영향 분석 -잠정타협안을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Seong Youn;Jung, Byung-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.4
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    • pp.417-425
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzed core issues addressed in the tentative agreement of WTO ministerial meetings held to finish WTO/DDA negotiations in Geneva in July 2008. The objectives of this study are to analyze changes in tariff reduction on timber products, and their influence on demand and supply of the items according to the modality of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) and to provide basic information for strategy formulation of our country for further WTO/DDA negotiations. The results indicate that there will not be significant changes in the tariff on sawnwood and on veneer sheets, however, the tariff on plywood need to be cut by around 50% from the applicable tariff rates of 2008 on condition that our country is in the position of developed countries. Therefore, the item of plywood is expected to be influenced greatly according to the change in tariff reduction. From the analysis of influence of tariff reduction on the demand and supply of timber products including sawnwood and wood based panels, such as plywood, particleboard, and fiberboard, the import quantities of the items are expected to be changed from 0.8% to 13.3% if our country is in the position of developed countries, however, they are expected to decline by 0.8%~44.3%, if our country is in the position of developing countries (22, coefficient for developing members).

A study on the supply-demand analysis and outlook for wood products (목제품 수급분석 및 전망에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Bark, Ji-eun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.6959-6968
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to update the supply-demand model of wood products(FOSMO-2013) and to forecast mid and long run supply and demand for each products. The subjects of the study include sawnwood, plywood, particle board, fiberboard(MDF), and pulp. The updated partial equilibrium model is composed of supply function, import demand function, demand function, price relation function. The long run outlooks of world prices of wood and wood products are imported from the results of Buongiorno(2012). This study also adopt Buongiorno's scenarios, which includes three scenarios of IPCC(A1B, A2, B2) and the other one with assumption of increasing fuelwood consumption of A1B scenario. The result says that the domestic productions of wood products are expecting to decrease while the imports of them increase even there are some differences among the products as well as scenarios.

Development of Environment-friendly Board in Construction Materials (친환경 건설 성형판재 개발을 위한 기초적 연구)

  • Seo, Deok-Hyun;Kim, Seong-Sik;Jeong, Yong-Sik;Im, Nam-Ki;Lee, Sang-Beom
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.5 no.1 s.15
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2005
  • The construction of house in Korea firstly has been made up quantitative supply and margin of confined land until the latest. But, residents interest of living environment, demand of high-quality has varied with the latest elevation of life quality Specially, the interest for environment-friendly architecture is increased by the recent well-being trend in 2002, So, construction company and construction materials manufacturing industry are trying to offer more healthy and agreeable indoor aerial environment. Related circles do their best to commercialize and develop environment-friendly finish materials which influence indoor aerial environment. Therefore, in this study, that developing raw material and productive system that can minimize hazardous article quality discharge with formaldehyde in development of correction of deformities board such as plywood that is used mainly by a environment-friendly materials indoor finish, and examines application possibility of construction correction of deformities board through properties of matter examination by purpose, do.