• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.99-99
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• 2022

Jeju island has a humid subtropical climate and this climate zone is expected to migrate northward toward the main land, Korea Peninsula, as temperature increases are accelerated. Vegetation type has been inevitably shifted along with the climatic change, having more subtropical species native in southeast Asia or even in Africa. With the forest composition shift, it becomes more important than ever to analyze the water balance of the forest wihth the ongoing as well as upcoming climate change. Here, we implemented the Ecosystem Demography Biosphere Model (ED2) by initializing the key variables using forest inventory data (diameter at breast height in 2012). Out of 10,000 parameter sets randomly generated from prior distribution distributions of each parameter (i.e., Monte-Carlo Method), we selected four behavioral parameter sets using remote-sensing data (LAI-MOD15A2H, GPP-MOD17A2H, and ET-MOD16A2, 8-days at 500-m during 2001-2005), and evaluated the performances using eddy-covariance carbon flux data (2012 Mar.-Sep. 30-min) and remote sensing data between 2006-2020. We simulated each of the four RCP scenarios (2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) from four climate forcings (GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MIROC5 from ISIMIP2b). Based on those 64 simulation sets, we estimate the changes in water balance resulting from the forest composition shift, and also uncertainty in the estimates and the sensitivity of the estimates to the parameters, climate forcings, and RCP scenarios.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제50권4호
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• pp.241-252
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 오프라인 및 온라인 매개변수 자동보정기법을 이용하여 개념적 집중형 수문모형의 매개변수를 보정한 후, 각 보정기법에 따른 강우-유출 해석 결과를 비교 분석하여 기법별 적용성을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 용담댐 상류 천천 유역을 대상으로 9개의 단기 강우사상을 선정하고, 강우-유출 모의를 위한 수문모형으로 저류함수모형을 선택하였다. 또한 저류함수모형의 매개변수 보정을 위한 자동보정기법으로 오프라인 기법으로는 SCE-UA, 온라인 기법으로는 파티클 필터를 선정하여 해석을 수행하였다. 각 기법에 따른 유출 해석결과의 재현성 평가를 위해 관측수문곡선의 평균유량을 근거로 하여 저수부(평균유량 이하)와 고수부(평균유량 초과)로 구분하여 모의결과를 비교 검토하였다. 그 결과, 매 시간 입력자료를 이용하여 매개변수를 실시간으로 업데이트하는 파티클 필터의 경우, 저수부와 고수부에 구분없이 전반적으로 우수한 재현성을 보여주었다. 반면에 SCE-UA의 경우, 대상 사상에 대한 전체기간의 정보를 활용하여 선택된 목적함수 RMSE와 HMLE를 최소로 하는 최적 매개변수를 추정함에 따라 일정규모 이상의 홍수사상에서는 목적함수에 따라 매개변수의 변동성이 나타났으며, 고수부에서는 RMSE, 저수부에서는 HMLE가 비교적 우수한 유출모의 결과를 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.451-459
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• 2008

Accurate load modeling is essential for power system static and dynamic analysis. By the nature of the problem of parameter estimation for power system load modeling using actual measurements, multiple local optimal solutions may exist and local methods can be trapped in a local optimal solution giving possibly poor performance. In this paper, Trust-Tech, a novel methodology for global optimization, is applied to tackle the multiple local optimal solutions issue in measurement-based power system load modeling. Multiple sets of parameter values of a composite load model are obtained using Trust-Tech in a deterministic manner. Numerical studies indicate that Trust-Tech along with conventional local methods can be successfully applied to power system load model parameter estimation in measurement-based approaches.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.153-166
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• 1999

In this paper, we address the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the shape parameter of weibull model. In Bayesian testing problem, conventional Bayes factors can not typically accommodate the use of noninformative priors which are improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. To overcome such problem, we use the recently proposed hypotheses testing criterion called the intrinsic Bayes factor. We derive the arithmetic and median intrinsic Bayes factors and use these results to analyze real data sets.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1989년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; Seoul, Korea; 27-28 Oct. 1989
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• pp.441-444
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• 1989

This correspondence presents a recursive estimation algorithm which, unlike conventional ones; updates the estimates only when a sufficient improvement can be obtained with a bounded noise assumption, the resulting sequence of estimates is a sequence of convex sets(ellipsoids) in the parameter space. For the cases studied, the algorithm use less than 20 percent of the. data to update, the estimate and still acquired good accuracy for spectral estimation.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1989년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; Seoul, Korea; 27-28 Oct. 1989
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• pp.503-507
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• 1989

A new decentralized adaptive controller design is proposed. In large scale interconnected system with unknown parameters, nonlinearities and bounded disturbances, even though the interconnection is weak, the controller parameter drifts due to the interconnection, so the decentralized adaptive controller comes to be unstable. The proposed new decentralized adaptive controller guarantees exponential convergence of tracking and parameter errors to residual sets which depend on the bound for the local disturbances and interconnections as well as on some arbitrary design parameters.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.645-660
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• 2001

In this paper we propose a goodness-of-fit test statistic for testing the (null) parametric model versus the (alternative) nonparametric model. Most of existing nonparametric test statistics are based on the residuals which are obtained by regressing the data to a parametric model. Our test is based on the bootstrap estimator of the probability that the smoothing parameter estimator is infinite when fitting residuals to cubic smoothing spline. Power performance of this test is investigated and is compared with many other tests. Illustrative examples based on real data sets are given.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.193-199
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• 2014

As the requirement on the quality of the system has increased, the reliability is very important part in terms of enhance stability and to provide high quality services to customers. Many statistical models have been developed in the past years for the estimation of software reliability. We consider the functions for NHPP software reliability model and time series model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from three data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from three data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual three data sets using the NHPP software reliability model and time series model.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.142-147
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• 2018

We present a practical design algorithm for quantizers at nodes in distributed systems in which each local measurement is quantized without communication between nodes and transmitted to a fusion node that conducts estimation of the parameter of interest. The benefits of vector quantization (VQ) motivate us to incorporate the VQ strategy into our design and we propose a low-complexity design technique that seeks to assign vector codewords into sets such that each codeword in the sets should be closest to its associated local codeword. In doing so, we introduce new distance metrics to measure the distance between vector codewords and local ones and construct the sets of vector codewords at each node to minimize the average distance, resulting in an efficient and independent encoding of the vector codewords. Through extensive experiments, we show that the proposed algorithm can maintain comparable performance with a substantially reduced design complexity.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제40권5_6호
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• pp.897-914
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• 2022

Pythagorean fuzzy sets (PFSs) are capable of modelling information with more uncertainties in decision-making problems. The essential feature of PFSs is that they are described by three parameters: membership function, non-membership function and hesitant margin, with the total of the squares of each parameter equal to one. The purpose of this article is to suggest some new similarity measures and weighted similarity measures for PFSs. Numerical computations have been carried out to validate our proposed measures. Applications of these measures have been applied to some real-life decision-making problems of pattern detection and medicinal investigations. Moreover, a descriptive illustration is employed to compare the results of the proposed measures with the existing analogous similarity measures to show their effectiveness.