• 제목/요약/키워드: normal-exponential distribution

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A Study on Improving the predict accuracy rate of Hybrid Model Technique Using Error Pattern Modeling : Using Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis

  • Cho, Yong-Jun;Hur, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the new hybrid data mining technique using error pattern, modeling of improving classification accuracy. The proposed method improves classification accuracy by combining two different supervised learning methods. The main algorithm generates error pattern modeling between the two supervised learning methods(ex: Neural Networks, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression and so on.) The Proposed modeling method has been applied to the simulation of 10,000 data sets generated by Normal and exponential random distribution. The simulation results show that the performance of proposed method is superior to the existing methods like Logistic regression and Discriminant analysis.

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부재고기간(負在庫期間)에 의존하는 부재고비율(負在庫比率)을 갖는 확률적(確率的) 부분부재고(部分負在庫)모델 (A Stochastic Partial Backorder Inventory Model with a Backorder Ratio Depending on Backorder periods)

  • 김정자
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a stochastic partial backorder inventory model for the situation in which demand follows normal distribution and back order ratio during that stockout period decreases exponentially according to the length of backorder period. In the paper, an objective function is formulated to minimize the average annual cost, which is the sum of the ordering, carrying, time-proportional backordering, and lost sales cost. And then sensitivity analysis for various exponential backorder ratios and standard deviations of leadtime demand are presented. The inventory model in the paper is reduced to a backorder model and lost sales model, when backorder ratio is 1 and 0, respectively.

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공작기계 부품의 고장 데이터 해석 및 데이터베이스 프로그램 개발 (Development of the Failure Data Analysis and Database Program for Machine Tools Parts)

  • 이수훈;김종수;송준엽;이승우;박화영
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회(한국공작기계학회)
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    • pp.209-213
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    • 2001
  • The reliability data analysis for components of CNC machining center is studied in this paper. The failure data of mechanical part is analyzed by Exponential, Weibull, and Log-normal distributions. And then, the optimum failure distribution model is selected by goodness of fit test. The reliability data analysis program is developed with ASP language to use on the Internet. The failure rate, MTBF, life, and failure mode of mechanical parts are estimated and searched by this program. The failure data and analysis results are stored in the database.

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지수 비재고비율을 갖는 효율적 부분비재고시스템에 관한 연구 (A Stochastic Partial Backorder Inventory System with a Exponential Backorder Ratio)

  • 이강우
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents a stochastic partial inventory model for the situation in which demand is deterministic, lead time follows normal distribution and backorder ratio during the stockout period decreases exponentially according to the length of backorder period. In this situation, an objective function is formulated to minimize the average annual cost, which is the sum of the ordering, carrying time-proportional backordering, quantity-proportional backordering and lost sales costs. And then the procedure of iterative solution method for the model is developed to find optimal reorder point and order quantity and numerical example to illustrate the proposed method is presented.

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시장데이타와 실험데이타를 이용한 제품 수명 예측

  • 김진영;전치혁
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1996년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 공군사관학교, 청주; 26-27 Apr. 1996
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    • pp.262-265
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    • 1996
  • An ALT(accelerated life testing) method is to test a product in over-stressed conditions, and then the test result is extrapolated to an usual (normal stressed) condition. It is the major disadvantage of ALT method that the more extrapolation to an usual condition applies the bigger error is indispensable. Therefore a reliability model combining field failure data and laboratory test data is required in pratice. We propose several methods of estimating the failure rate of a product life which is assumed to follow an exponential distribution. Structural similarity and technological advances are also cosidered. Finally, We derive the acceleratio factor which can be used to predict the failure rate for a new product.

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Analysis Performance Characterics of Dynamic Signature File Methods

  • Yoo, Jae-Soo;Choi, Kil-Seong;Kim, Myoung-Ho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 1997
  • With rapid increase of information requirements from various application areas, there has been much research on dynamic information storage structures that effectively support insertions, deletions and updates. In this appear we evaluate the performance of he existing dynamic signature file methods such as the S-tree, Quick Filter and HS file and provide guidelines for the most effective usage to a given operational environment. We derive analytic performance evaluation models of the storage structures based on retrieval time, storage overhead and insertion time. We also perform extensive experiments with various data distributions such as uniform, normal and exponential distributions. The relationships among various performance parameters are throughly investigated. We show through performance comparison based on analytic models and experiments that regardless of data distribution, the HS file significantly improves performance in both the retreival time and the storage overhead over S-tree and Quick Filter.

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다단계 재고시스템에서의 서비스수준에 관한 연구 (Service level in multiechelon Inventory systems)

  • 어윤양
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 1999
  • Some multi echelon inventory systems carry perishable products. The value of these product reduces as the period of time they spend in the system. In this paper We derive the necessary condition to determine optimal quantity, service level for a perishable product. The systems considered consist of two echelons and carry single item. To determine the optimal order quantity, the demand is assumed to be constant, the holding costs may be different in the echelons, and it allows no shortages. I assumed the price of product decreases by negative exponential function. To determine service level, following assumptions used in the model ㆍlead time is constant. ㆍdemand is normal distribution. ㆍthe product starts to perish at the second echelon. Service level is computed for different levels of lead times and for different variance of demands and for different price functions. The experimental results indicate that the service level in cost is a function of service level in demand and perishability of product. Results of the models exhibit that perishability and the age of the product are critical to determine the lot sizing and service level.

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효율성추정(效率性推定)과 생산물정의(生産物定義)에 대한 비교연구(比較硏究) - 미국(美國) 생명보험산업(生命保險産業)을 대상으로 -

  • 김헌수
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.107-139
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    • 1997
  • 다른 금융산업과 마찬가지로 생명보험산업의 효율성에 대한 실증연구는 두 가지 문제에 봉착하게 된다. 하나는 효율성을 실증적으로 추정하는 다양한 추정방법은 일관되게 동일한 결과를 도출하는가 하는 것이며 다른 문제는 효율성추정에 사용된 생산물정의에서 어떤 대리변수를 사용하는 것이 가장 좋으냐 하는 것이다. Yuengert(1993)은 미국 생보산업 전체의 효율성과 추정방법간의 관계를 보고하였는데 본 연구는 추정방법 뿐만 아니라 생보산업 생산물의 정의에 따라 개별생보사의 효율성지수가 차이가 있다는 것을 248개의 미국 생명보험희사를 대상으로 검증하였다. 본 논문에서는 계량 경제학적 방법중 널리 사용되는 SFA(stochastic frontier approach)중에서 비효율성이 half-normal, truncated normal, exponential 분포라고 한 방법들과 비분포방법(DFA: distribution free approach)을 사용하였다. 또 각 방법마다 거수보험료(premiums)와 claims-plus-reserve라는 새로운 생산물 대리변수로 사용하여 효율성을 측정하였다. 그리하여 총 8가지의 다른 방법으로 추정한 효율성지수를 비교, 분석하였다. 연구결과 표1과 2에서 나타난 바와 같이 SFA방법(1, 3, 5번)간에는 결과가 거의 일치하였고 같은 추정방법에서 생산물 대리변수가 다른 경우에도(1과2, 3과4, 5와6, 7과8) 결과는 큰 차이가 없었다. 이는 생보산업에서 거수보험료를 생산물 대리변수로 하는 것이 이론적 문제가 있음에도 불구하고 구조적 편견(systematic bias)은 나타나지 않았다는 Suret(1991)의 결과를 지지하고 있다. DFA방법(7과 8번)과 SFA방법(1-6번)간에는 상관계수는 낮게 나타났는데 이는 생보산업의 효율성을 각각 DFA와 SPA방법을 사용한 두 연구(Gardner and Grace, 1993; Zi, 1994) 결과의 차이와 일치하고 있다.

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확률분포모형을 이용한 하루살이속(Ephemera) 4종의 고도구배에 따른 서식처적합도 평가 (Estimation on Altitudinal Spectrum of Suitability for Four Species of the Mayfly Genus Ephemera (Ephemeroptera: Ephemeridae) Using Probability Distribution Models)

  • 공동수;강보미
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.302-315
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    • 2023
  • Distribution characteristics and altitudinal gradient of four species (E. strigata, E. separigata, E. orientalis-sachalinensis group) of the mayfly genus Ephemera (Order Ephemeroptera) were analyzed with probability distribution models (exponential, normal, lognormal, logistic, Weibull, gamma, beta, Gumbel). Data was collected from 23,846 sampling units of 6,787 sites in Korea from 2010 to 2021. The beta distribution model showed the best fit for positively skewed E. orientalis-sachalinensis and little-skewed E. strigata along with altitudinal gradient. The reversed lognormal distribution model showed the best-fit for negatively skewed E. separigata. E. orientalis-sachalinensis distributed at the range of altitude 1~700 m (mean 251 m, median 226 m, mode 124 m, and standard deviation 161 m), E. strigata distributed at the range of altitude 5~871 m (mean 474 m, median 478 m, mode 492 m, and standard deviation 200 m), E. separigata distributed at the range of altitude 7~846 m (mean 620 m, median 659 m, mode 760 m, and standard deviation 181 m). Altitudinal habitat suitability ranges were estimated to be 42~257 m for E. orientalis-sachalinensis, 335~644 m for E. strigata, and 641~824 m for E. separigata. Based on the altitudinal spectrum of suitability and altitude-related temperature analysis results, E. orientalis-sachalinensis was estimated to be thermophilic, E. strigata to be mesophilic, and E. separigata to be thermophobic. This is the first national-scale evaluation of the altitudinal distribution of Ephemera in Korea. These results will be used in a further research study on altitudinal shift of the species of Ephemera under climate change.

시뮬레이션에 의한 컨테이너 물류시스템의 분석에 관한 연구(BCTOC를 중심으로) (On the analysis of container physical distribution system by simulation(Centering on BCTOC))

  • 임봉택;이재원;성경빈;이철영
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 1998년도 추계학술대회논문집:21세기에 대비한 지능형 통합항만관리
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 1998
  • For the purpose of building the simulation model on cargo handling capacity of container terminal, we composed a model of container logistics system which has a 4 subsystems ; cargo handling, transportation, storage system and Gate complex system. Several date used in simulation gained through spot research and basic statistic analysis using raw data from January to Jane in 1998. The results of this study are as follows ; First, average available ratio of each subsystem was G/C 50%, Y/T 57.5%, storage system 56%, Gate complex 50%, and there was no subsystem occurring specific bottleneck. Second, comparing the results of simulation to the results of basic statistics, we can verify suitability of this simulation model. Third, Comparing the results of this study to the results of existed study, we were able to confirm a change of BCTOC container logistics system under IMF situation.

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