• Title/Summary/Keyword: inference model

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Runoff estimation using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

  • Nath, Amitabha;Mthethwa, Fisokuhle;Saha, Goutam
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.545-553
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    • 2020
  • Rainfall-Runoff modeling plays a crucial role in various aspects of water resource management. It helps significantly in resolving the issues related to flood control, protection of agricultural lands, etc. Various Machine learning and statistical-based algorithms have been used for this purpose. These techniques resulted in outcomes with an acceptable rate of success. One of the pertinent machine learning algorithms namely Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been reported to be a very effective tool for the purpose. However, the computational complexity of ANFIS is a major hindrance in its application. In this paper, we resolved this problem of ANFIS by incorporating one of the evolutionary algorithms known as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) which was used in estimating the parameters pertaining to ANFIS. The results of the modified ANFIS were found to be satisfactory. The performance of this modified ANFIS is then compared with conventional ANFIS and another popular statistical modeling technique namely ARIMA model with respect to the forecasting of runoff. In the present investigation, it was found that proposed PSO-ANFIS performed better than ARIMA and conventional ANFIS with respect to the prediction accuracy of runoff.

Inference Models for Tidal Flat Elevation and Sediment Grain Size: A Preliminary Approach on Tidal Flat Macrobenthic Community

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Hwang, In-Seo;Hong, Jae-Sang
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2007
  • A vertical transect with 4 km length was established for the macrofaunal survey on the Chokchon macrotidal flat in Kyeonggi Bay, Incheon, Korea, 1994. Tidal elevation (m) and sediment mean grain size $(\phi)$ were inversely predicted by the transfer functions from the faunal assemblages. Three methods: weighted average using optimum value (WA), tolerance weighted version of the weighted average (WAT) and maximum likelihood calibration (MLC) were employed. Estimates of tidal elevation and mean grain size obtained by using the three different methods showed positively corresponding trends with the observations. The estimates of MLC were found to have the minimum value of sum of squares due to errors (SSE). When applied to the previous data $(1990\sim1992)$, each of three inference models exhibited high predictive power. This result implied there are visible relationships between species composition and faunas' critical environmental factors. Although a potential significance of the two major abiotic factors was re-affirmed, a weak tendency of biological interaction was detected from faunal distribution patterns across the flat. In comparison to the spatial and temporal patterns of the estimates, it was suggested that sediment characteristics were the primary factors regulating the distribution of macrofaunal assemblages, rather than tidal elevation, and the species composition may be sensitively determined by minute changes in substratum properties on a tidal flat.

퍼지추론을 이용한 설비가동상태진단 모델 연구 (Development of Equipment Operating Condition Diagnosis Model Using the Fuzzy Inference)

  • 정영득;박주식
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2005
  • In the study, Methods for operating measures in equipment security to find out dangerousness timely in the system and to need for the prevention and measures. The method for analyzing and reconstructing the causes of accident of equipment in site, and try to save the information of site in real-time and to analyze the state of equipment to look for the factors of accidents. By this analysis, one plan for efficiency of production, Equipment Fault Diagnosis Management and security is integrating and building module of using the Fuzzy Inference based on fuzzy theory. The case study is applied to the industrial electric motors that are necessarily used to all manufacturing equipment. Using the sensor for temperature is attached to gain the site information in real time and to design the hardware module for signal processing. In software, realize the system supervising and automatically saving to management data base by the algorithm based in fuzzy theory from the existing manual input system

지능적 정보처리를 위한 퍼지추론기관의 구축 (Development of Fuzzy Inference Mechanism for Intelligent Data and Information Processing)

  • 송영배
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.191-207
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    • 1999
  • 공간과 관련된 의사결정문제 해결에 필요한 취득가능한 자료나 정보는 불완전하거나 부정확하며, 많은 부분 자연산어(natural language)로 기술되어 있다. 이 같은 정보들을 컴퓨터를 이용하여 처리하기 위해서는 결국 컴퓨터로 하여금 인간이 사용하는 자연어를 이해할 수 있도록 애매한 특성의 언어값(Linguistic value)을 정량적으로 기술할 필요가 있다. 이를 위해 퍼지집합(fuzzy set) 이론을 퍼지논리(fuzzy logic)가 대표적인 방법론으로 이용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 부정확하거나 불명확한 자료 및 정보를 기반으로 의사결정문제를 지능적으로 처리하기위해 사용자가 가장 이해하기 쉬운 자연어로 『언어모델』을 구축하고, 평가사안이나 의사결정문제가 불명확하게 서술될 경우 컴퓨터를 이용한 구조화 및 추론을 통한 문제해결이 가능하도록 퍼지추론기관구축을 위한 일련의 논리적 개념과 구축과정을 연구하였다.

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Application of ANFIS Power Control for Downlink CDMA-Based LMDS Systems

  • Lee, Ze-Shin;Tsay, Mu-King;Liao, Chien-Hsing
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2009
  • Rain attenuation and intercell interference are two crucial factors in the performance of broadband wireless access networks such as local multipoint distribution systems (LMDS) operating at frequencies above 20 GHz. Power control can enhance the performance of downlink CDMA-based LMDS systems by reducing intercell interference under clear sky conditions; however, it may damage system performance under rainy conditions. To ensure robust operation under both clear sky and rainy conditions, we propose a novel power-control scheme which applies an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for downlink CDMA-based LMDS systems. In the proposed system, the rain rate and the number of users are two inputs of the fuzzy inference system, and output is defined as channel quality, which is applied in the power control scheme to adjust the power control region. Moreover, ITU-R P.530 is employed to estimate the rain attenuation. The influence of the rain rate and the number of users on the distance-based power control (DBPC) scheme is included in the simulation model as the training database. Simulation results indicate that the proposed scheme improves the throughput of the DBPC scheme.

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계층적 퍼지추론기법에 의한 도립진자 시스템의 안정화 제어 (Stabilization Control of the Inverted Pendulum System by Hierarchical Fuzzy Inference Technique)

  • 이준탁;정형환;김태우;최우진;박정훈;김형배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.1104-1106
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, a hierarchical fuzzy controller is proposed for the stabilization control of the inverted pendulum system. The design of controller for that system is difficult because of its complicated nonlinear mathematical model with unknown parameters. Conventional fuzzy control strategy based only on dynamics of pendulum made have failed to stabilize. However, proposed control strategies are to swing pendulum from natural stable up equilibrium point to an unstable equilibrium point and are to transport a cart from an arbitrary position toward a center of rail. Thus, the proposed fuzzy stabilization controller have a hierarchical fuzzy inference structure; that is, the lower level is for inference interface for the virtual equilibrium point and the higher level one for the position control of cart according to the firstly inferred virtual equilibrium point.

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퍼지집합 기반 진화론적 최적 퍼지다항식 뉴럴네트워크 (Genetically Optimized Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks Based on Fuzzy Set)

  • 박병준;박건준;오성권
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2633-2635
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we propose a fuzzy polynomial neural networks (FPNN) and a genetically optimized fuzzy polynomial neural networks(GoFPNN) for identification of non-linear system. GoFPNN architecture is designed by a FPNN based on fuzzy set and its structure and parameters are optimized by genetic algorithms. A fuzzy neural networks(FNN) based on fuzzy set divide into two structures that is simplified inference structure and linear inference structure. The proposed FPNN is resulted from integration and extension of simplified and linear inference structure of FNN. The consequence structure of the FPNN consist of polynomials represented by networks using connection weights for rules. The networks comprehend simplified(Type 0), linear (Type 1), and quadratic(Type 3) inferences. The proposed FPNN can select polynomial type of consequence part for each rule. Therefore, proposed scheme can offer flexible structure design capability for a system characteristics. Moreover, GAs is applied to networks structure and parameters tuning of proposed FPNN, and its efficient application method is discussed, these subjects are result in GoFPNN that is optimal FPNN. To evaluate proposed model performance, a numerical experiment is carried out.

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Fuzzy Learning Method Using Genetic Algorithms

  • Choi, Sangho;Cho, Kyung-Dal;Park, Sa-Joon;Lee, Malrey;Kim, Kitae
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.841-850
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a GA and GDM-based method for removing unnecessary rules and generating relevant rules from the fuzzy rules corresponding to several fuzzy partitions. The aim of proposed method is to find a minimum set of fuzzy rules that can correctly classify all the training patterns. When the fine fuzzy partition is used with conventional methods, the number of fuzzy rules has been enormous and the performance of fuzzy inference system became low. This paper presents the application of GA as a means of finding optimal solutions over fuzzy partitions. In each rule, the antecedent part is made up the membership functions of a fuzzy set, and the consequent part is made up of a real number. The membership functions and the number of fuzzy inference rules are tuned by means of the GA, while the real numbers in the consequent parts of the rules are tuned by means of the gradient descent method. It is shown that the proposed method has improved than the performance of conventional method in formulating and solving a combinatorial optimization problem that has two objectives: to maximize the number of correctly classified patterns and to minimize the number of fuzzy rules.

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약물동태학 모형에 대한 변분 베이즈 방법 (A variational Bayes method for pharmacokinetic model)

  • 박선;조성일;이우주
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 평균장 방법(mean-field methods)을 기반으로 사후 분포(posterior distribution)를 근사하는 방법인 변분 베이즈 방법(variational Bayes methods)에 대해 소개한다. 특히, 모수들을 실수공간으로 변환 후의 결합 사후분포를 가우시안 분포(Gaussian distribution)들의 곱(product)으로 근사하는 방법인 자동 미분 변분 추론(automatic differentiation variational inference)방법에 대해 자세히 소개하고, 환자에게 약물을 투여한 후 시간에 따라 약물의 흐름을 파악하는 연구인 약물동태학 모형(pharmacokinetic models)에 적용한다. 소개된 변분 베이즈 방법을 이용하여 자료분석을 실시하고 마코프 체인 몬테 카를로(Markov chain Monte Carlo)방법을 기초로한 자료분석의 결과와 비교한다. 알고리즘의 구현은 Stan을 이용한다.

A Probabilistic Tensor Factorization approach for Missing Data Inference in Mobile Crowd-Sensing

  • Akter, Shathee;Yoon, Seokhoon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2021
  • Mobile crowd-sensing (MCS) is a promising sensing paradigm that leverages mobile users with smart devices to perform large-scale sensing tasks in order to provide services to specific applications in various domains. However, MCS sensing tasks may not always be successfully completed or timely completed for various reasons, such as accidentally leaving the tasks incomplete by the users, asynchronous transmission, or connection errors. This results in missing sensing data at specific locations and times, which can degrade the performance of the applications and lead to serious casualties. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a missing data inference approach, called missing data approximation with probabilistic tensor factorization (MDI-PTF), to approximate the missing values as closely as possible to the actual values while taking asynchronous data transmission time and different sensing locations of the mobile users into account. The proposed method first normalizes the data to limit the range of the possible values. Next, a probabilistic model of tensor factorization is formulated, and finally, the data are approximated using the gradient descent method. The performance of the proposed algorithm is verified by conducting simulations under various situations using different datasets.