• Title/Summary/Keyword: inference model

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A Neuro-Fuzzy Modeling using the Hierarchical Clustering and Gaussian Mixture Model (계층적 클러스터링과 Gaussian Mixture Model을 이용한 뉴로-퍼지 모델링)

  • Kim, Sung-Suk;Kwak, Keun-Chang;Ryu, Jeong-Woong;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.512-519
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose a neuro-fuzzy modeling to improve the performance using the hierarchical clustering and Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). The hierarchical clustering algorithm has a property of producing unique parameters for the given data because it does not use the object function to perform the clustering. After optimizing the obtained parameters using the GMM, we apply them as initial parameters for Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System. Here, the number of fuzzy rules becomes to the cluster numbers. From this, we can improve the performance index and reduce the number of rules simultaneously. The proposed method is verified by applying to a neuro-fuzzy modeling for Box-Jenkins s gas furnace data and Sugeno's nonlinear system, which yields better results than previous oiles.

New Inference for a Multiclass Gaussian Process Classification Model using a Variational Bayesian EM Algorithm and Laplace Approximation

  • Cho, Wanhyun;Kim, Sangkyoon;Park, Soonyoung
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.202-208
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we propose a new inference algorithm for a multiclass Gaussian process classification model using a variational EM framework and the Laplace approximation (LA) technique. This is performed in two steps, called expectation and maximization. First, in the expectation step (E-step), using Bayes' theorem and the LA technique, we derive the approximate posterior distribution of the latent function, indicating the possibility that each observation belongs to a certain class in the Gaussian process classification model. In the maximization step, we compute the maximum likelihood estimators for hyper-parameters of a covariance matrix necessary to define the prior distribution of the latent function by using the posterior distribution derived in the E-step. These steps iteratively repeat until a convergence condition is satisfied. Moreover, we conducted the experiments by using synthetic data and Iris data in order to verify the performance of the proposed algorithm. Experimental results reveal that the proposed algorithm shows good performance on these datasets.

Stochastic Fatigue Life Assesment based on Bayesian-inference (베이지언 추론에 기반한 확률론적 피로수명 평가)

  • Park, Myong-Jin;Kim, Yooil
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2019
  • In general, fatigue analysis is performed by using deterministic model to estimate the optimal parameters. However, the deterministic model is difficult to clearly describe the physical phenomena of fatigue failure that contains many uncertainty factors. With regard to this, efforts have been made in this research to compare with the deterministic model and the stochastic models. Firstly, One deterministic S-N curve was derived from ordinary least squares technique and two P-S-N curves were estimated through Bayesian-linear regression model and Markov-Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Secondly, the distribution of Long-term fatigue damage and fatigue life were predicted by using the parameters obtained from the three methodologies and the long-term stress distribution.

A Bayesian Analysis of the Multinomial Randomized Response Model Using Dirichlet Prior Distribution

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response (RR) model. We analyze this problem through a Bayesian perspective and develop a Bayesian multinomial RR model in survey study. The Bayesian inference of multinomial RR model is a new approach to RR models.

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Design and Analysis of TSK Fuzzy Inference System using Clustering Method (클러스터링 방법을 이용한 TSK 퍼지추론 시스템의 설계 및 해석)

  • Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.132-136
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    • 2014
  • We introduce a new architecture of TSK-based fuzzy inference system. The proposed model used fuzzy c-means clustering method(FCM) for efficient disposal of data. The premise part of fuzzy rules don't assume any membership function such as triangular, gaussian, ellipsoidal because we construct the premise part of fuzzy rules using FCM. As a result, we can reduce to architecture of model. In this paper, we are able to use four types of polynomials as consequence part of fuzzy rules such as simplified, linear, quadratic, modified quadratic. Weighed Least Square Estimator are used to estimates the coefficients of polynomial. The proposed model is evaluated with the use of Boston housing data called Machine Learning dataset.

The Hybrid Multi-layer Inference Architectures and Algorithms of FPNN Based on FNN and PNN (FNN 및 PNN에 기초한 FPNN의 합성 다층 추론 구조와 알고리즘)

  • Park, Byeong-Jun;O, Seong-Gwon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.378-388
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(FPNN) based on Polynomial Neural Networks(PNN) and Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNN) for model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. The proposed FPNN is generated from the mutually combined structure of both FNN and PNN. The one and the other are considered as the premise part and consequence part of FPNN structure respectively. As the consequence part of FPNN, PNN is based on Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH) method and its structure is similar to Neural Networks. But the structure of PNN is not fixed like in conventional Neural Networks and self-organizing networks that can be generated. FPNN is available effectively for multi-input variables and high-order polynomial according to the combination of FNN with PNN. Accordingly it is possible to consider the nonlinearity characteristics of process and to get better output performance with superb predictive ability. As the premise part of FPNN, FNN uses both the simplified fuzzy inference as fuzzy inference method and error back-propagation algorithm as learning rule. The parameters such as parameters of membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using genetic algorithms. And we use two kinds of FNN structure according to the division method of fuzzy space of input variables. One is basic FNN structure and uses fuzzy input space divided by each separated input variable, the other is modified FNN structure and uses fuzzy input space divided by mutually combined input variables. In order to evaluate the performance of proposed models, we use the nonlinear function and traffic route choice process. The results show that the proposed FPNN can produce the model with higher accuracy and more robustness than any other method presented previously. And also performance index related to the approximation and prediction capabilities of model is evaluated and discussed.

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Characteristics of Fuzzy Inference Systems by Means of Partition of Input Spaces in Nonlinear Process (비선형 공정에서의 입력 공간 분할에 의한 퍼지 추론 시스템의 특성 분석)

  • Park, Keon-Jun;Lee, Dong-Yoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we analyze the input-output characteristics of fuzzy inference systems according to the division of entire input spaces and the fuzzy reasoning methods to identify the fuzzy model for nonlinear process. And fuzzy model is expressed by identifying the structure and parameters of the system by means of input variables, fuzzy partition of input spaces, and consequence polynomial functions. In the premise part of the rules Min-Max method using the minimum and maximum values of input data set and C-Means clustering algorithm forming input data into the hard clusters are used for identification of fuzzy model and membership function is used as a series of triangular membership function. In the consequence part of the rules fuzzy reasoning is conducted by two types of inferences. The identification of the consequence parameters, namely polynomial coefficients, of the rules are carried out by the standard least square method. And lastly, we use gas furnace process which is widely used in nonlinear process and we evaluate the performance for this nonlinear process.

Undecided inference using logistic regression for credit evaluation (신용평가에서 로지스틱 회귀를 이용한 미결정자 추론)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Jung, Min-Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2011
  • Undecided inference could be regarded as a missing data problem such as MARand MNAR. Under the assumption of MAR, undecided inference make use of logistic regression model. The probability of default for the undecided group is obtained with regression coefficient vectors for the decided group and compare with the probability of default for the decided group. And under the assumption of MNAR, undecide dinference make use of logistic regression model with additional feature random vector. Simulation results based on two kinds of real data are obtained and compared. It is found that the misclassification rates are not much different from the rate of rawdata under the assumption of MAR. However the misclassification rates under the assumption of MNAR are less than those under the assumption of MAR, and as the ratio of the undecided group is increasing, the misclassification rates is decreasing.

Intelligent Ship s Steering Gear Control System Using Linguistic Instruction (언어지시에 의한 지능형 조타기 제어 시스템)

  • Park, Gyei-Kark;Seo, Ki-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.417-423
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose intelligent steering control system that apply LIBL(Linguistic Instruction Based Learning) method to steering system of ship and take the place of process that linguistic instruction such as officer s steering instruction is achieved via ableman. We embody ableman s suitable steering manufacturing model using fuzzy inference rule by specific method of study, and apply LIBL method to present suitable meaning element and evaluation rule to steering system of ship, embody intelligent steering gear control system that respond more efficiently on officer s linguistic instruction. We presented evaluation rule to constructed steering manufacturing model based on ableman s experience, and propose rudder angle for steering system, compass bearing arrival time, meaning element of stationary state, and correct ableman manufacturing model rule using fuzzy inference. Also, we apply LIBL method to ship control simulator and confirmed the effectiveness.

Intelligent Ship s Steering Gear Control System Using Linguistic Instruction (언어지시에 의한 지능형 조타기 제어 시스템)

  • 박계각;서기열
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2002.12a
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    • pp.93-97
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose intelligent steering control system that apply LIBL(Linguistic Instruction Based Learning) method to steering system of ship and take the place of process that linguistic instruction such as officer's steering instruction is achieved via ableman. We embody ableman's suitable steering manufacturing model using fuzzy inference rule by specific method of study, and apply LIBL method to present suitable meaning element and evaluation rule to steering system of ship, embody intelligent steering gear control system that respond more efficiently on officer's linguistic instruction. We presented evaluation rule to constructed steering manufacturing model based on ableman's experience, and propose rudder angle for steering system, compass bearing arrival time, meaning element of stationary state, and correct ableman manufacturing model rule using fuzzy inference. Also, we apply LIBL method to ship control simulator and confirmed the effectiveness.