• Title/Summary/Keyword: gradient모형

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Prediction on Busan's Gross Product and Employment of Major Industry with Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Model (로지스틱 회귀모형과 머신러닝 모형을 활용한 주요산업의 부산 지역총생산 및 고용 효과 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

Numerical Simulation of Solitary Wave Run-up with an Internal Wave-Maker of Navier-Stokes Equations Model (내부조파기법을 활용한 Navier-Stokes 방정식 모형의 고립파 처오름 수치모의)

  • Ha, Tae-Min;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.9
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    • pp.801-811
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    • 2010
  • A three-dimensional numerical model called NEWTANK is employed to investigate solitary wave run-up with an internal wave-maker on a steep slope. The numerical model solves the spatially averaged Navier-Stokes equations for two-phase flows. The LES (large-eddy-simulation) approach is adopted to model the turbulence effect by using the Smagorinsky SGS (sub-grid scale) closure model. A two-step projection method is adopted in numerical solutions, aided by the Bi-CGSTAB (Bi-Conjugate Gradient Stabilized) method to solve the pressure Poisson equation for the filtered pressure field. The second-order accurate VOF (volume-of-fluid) method is used to track the distorted and broken free surface. A solitary wave is first internally generated and propagated over a constant water depth in the three-dimensional domain. Numerically predicted results are compared with analytical solutions and numerical errors are analyzed in detail. The model is then applied to study solitary wave run-up on a steep slope and the obtained results are compared with available laboratory measurements.

A Simple Emergence Model of Southern Type Garlic Based on Temperature (온도에 따른 난지형 마늘 출현 모형)

  • Moon, K.H.;Choi, K.S.;Son, I.C.;Song, E.Y.;Oh, S.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.343-348
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    • 2014
  • We developed a simple model to predict emergence time and emergence rate of southern type garlic using the daily mean temperature. Emergence rate of garlic was decreased and emergence time was delayed on higher temperature than optimum temperature of $12.7^{\circ}C$. In the model, firstly daily emergence rate was calculated using a beta function to input daily mean temperature, then the percentage of garlic emergence was calculated using a nonlinear model with accumulated emergence rate. The model was good to describe the experimental data of growth cabinet. Also it can explain well the experimental data using temperature gradient tunnel, designed for verification of model performance. But there are 5 days of deviation between estimated and measured time of garlic emergence on the field experiment. More research is needed to develop an advanced model considering other factors, such as soil moisture.

A numerical investigation on nonlinear behavior of fluid flow with variation of physical properties of a porous medium (다공성 매질의 물리적 특성 변화에 따른 유체흐름의 비선형 거동에 대한 수치적 분석)

  • Jeong, Woochang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the numerical investigation of the non-linear behavior of the fluid flow with physical properties, such as porosity and intrinsic permeability of a porous medium, and kinematic viscosity of a fluid, are carried out. The applied numerical model is ANSYS CFX which is the three-dimensional fluid dynamics model and this model is verified through the application of existing physical and numerical results. As a result of the verification, the results of the pressure gradient-velocity relationship and the friction coefficient-Reynolds number relationship produced from this study show relatively good agreement with those from existing physical and numerical experiments. As a result of the simulation by changing the porosity and intrinsic permeability of a porous medium and the kinematic viscosity of a fluid, the kinematic viscosity has the biggest effect on the non-linear behavior of the fluid flow in the porous medium.

Prediction of Combined Forced and Natural Turbulent Convection in a Vertical Plane Channel with an Elliptic-Blending Second Moment Closure (타원-혼합 2차모멘트 모형에 의한 강제와 자연대류가 복합된 수직 평판 난류유동의 예측)

  • Shin, Jong Keun;An, Jeong Soo;Choi, Young Don
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.29 no.11 s.242
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    • pp.1265-1276
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    • 2005
  • The elliptic conceptual second moment models for turbulent heat fluxes, which are proposed on the basis of elliptic-blending and elliptic-relaxation equations, are applied to calculate the combined forced and natural turbulent convection in a vertical plane channel. The models satisfy the near-wall balance between viscous diffusion, viscous dissipation and temperature-pressure gradient correlation, and also have the characteristics of approaching its respective conventional high Reynolds number model far away from the wall. Also the models are closely linked to the elliptic blending model which is used for the prediction of Reynolds stress. In order to calibrate the heat flux models, firstly, the distributions of mean temperature and scala flux in fully developed channel flow with constant wall difference temperature are solved by the present models. The buoyancy effect on the turbulent characteristics including the mean velocity and temperature, the Reynolds stress tensor, and the turbulent heat flux vector are examined. In the opposing flow, the turbulent transport is greatly enhanced with both the Reynolds stresses and the turbulent heat fluxes being remarkably increased; whereas, in the aiding flow, the opposite change is observed. The results of prediction are directly compared to the DNS to assess the performance of the model predictions and show that the behaviors of the turbulent heat transfer in the whole flow region are well captured by the present models.

On vertical profiles of cohesive sediment: concentration, velocity gradient, and Stokes number (가는 유사 부유의 연직구조 특성 : 농도, 속도경사, 스토크스 수)

  • Son, Minwoo;Byun, Jisun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.391-391
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    • 2016
  • 유수동역학적인 요소와 유사의 부유는 서로 상호작용을 주고받으며 다양한 현상을 만들어낸다. 많은 선행연구를 통해 유사 농도 등의 특성이 난류 구조 등의 변화를 야기하며, 변화한 난류 구조 역시 유사의 부유 등에 2차적인 영향을 준다는 점이 확인되었다. 본 연구에서는 가는 유사에 보다 집중하여 유사 부유와 이에 따른 연직구조 특성의 변화를 살펴본다. 본 연구에서는 1차원 연직 모형을 이용하여 수치실험을 수행한다. 본 연구에 이용된 모형은 가는 유사의 특성인 빠른 입자 반응 시간(Particle Response Time)이 가정되는 모형으로 선행연구를 통해 적용성이 검증된 것으로 판단한다. 주요 분석대상은 유사의 농도와 속도경사 간의 관계 등이며, 분석하는 유사 농도 종류는 일반적인 비점착성 유사의 경우에 관심을 가지는 질량 농도에 집중하여 결정된다. 수치실험 수행을 위해서는 정류 흐름, 진동파 흐름 등이 적용되었고 다양한 경우의 가는 유사를 고려하기 위한 실험조건의 변경이 이루어졌다. 수치실험 결과 진동파의 다양한 위상에서 조금씩 달라지는 연직구조가 확인되었다. 이는 보정되는 Schmidt 수의 값과도 연관관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 가는 유사의 경우에도 입자의 크기에 따라 다른 연직구조의 특성이 모의되었으며 이를 통해 수치실험의 경우에도 입자 크기의 고려 하에 매개변수의 보정이 이루어져야 한다는 점을 알 수 있다. 스토크스 수는 입자 반응 시간과 유체 난류 시간규모(Fluid Turbulence Ttime Scale)의 비율을 의미한다. 본 연구를 통해 스토크스 수가 유사의 확산강도 결정과 큰 상관 관계를 가지는 것을 알 수 있다. 이때 유사의 크기와 보정되는 Schmidt 수의 값은 고정되었다. 수치 계산시에 확산계수의 값이 부유 및 이에 따른 연직구조의 특성을 결정하는 중요한 변수라는 점을 고려할 때, 가는 유사의 부유를 모의할 때에는 세심한 주의가 요구된다는 점을 이해할 수 있다. 선행 연구사례를 통해 볼 때 부유하는 입자의 관성력이 Schmidt 수의 결정과 이에 따른 연직 구조의 계산에 큰 영향을 준다는 점을 알 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 스토크스 수를 관성력을 나타낼 수 있는 지표로서 계산하였지만 보다 정량적이고 효율적인 입자 관성력 지표가 제시될 때 효율적인 연구결과의 제시가 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Deformation Analysis of Shallow Tunnel Using Tunnel Model Test and Computational Analysis (모형시험과 수치해석을 이용한 저토피 터널의 변형거동에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Young-Su;Moon, Hong-Duk
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2008
  • The control and prediction of surface settlement, gradient and ground displacement are the main factors in shallow tunnel design and construction in urban area. For deformation analysis of shallow tunnel due to excavation it is important to identify possible deformation mechanism of shear bands developing from tunnel shoulder to the ground surface. This paper investigaties quantitatively the deformation behavior of shallow tunneling by model tunnel test and strain softening analysis Incorporating the reduction of shear stiffness and strength parameters. The comparison of model tunnel test result and numerical simulation using strain softening analysis showed good agreement in crown settlement, normalized subsidence settlement and developing shear bands above tunnel shoulder. In this study, it is blown that the strain softening modeling is applicable to the nonlinear deformation analysis of shallow tunnel.

Machine Learning Algorithms Evaluation and CombML Development for Dam Inflow Prediction (댐 유입량 예측을 위한 머신러닝 알고리즘 평가 및 CombML 개발)

  • Hong, Jiyeong;Bae, Juhyeon;Jeong, Yeonseok;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2021
  • 효율적인 물관리를 위한 댐 유입량 대한 연구는 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 머신러닝 알고리즘을 통해 40년동안의 기상 및 댐 유입량 데이터를 이용하여 소양강댐 유입량을 예측하였으며, 그 중 고유량과 저유량예측에 적합한 알고리즘을 각각 선정하여 머신러닝 알고리즘을 결합한 CombML을 개발하였다. 의사 결정 트리 (DT), 멀티 레이어 퍼셉트론 (MLP), 랜덤 포레스트(RF), 그래디언트 부스팅 (GB), RNN-LSTM 및 CNN-LSTM 알고리즘이 사용되었으며, 그 중 가장 정확도가 높은 모형과 고유량이 아닌 경우에서 특별히 예측 정확도가 높은 모형을 결합하여 결합 머신러닝 알고리즘 (CombML)을 개발 및 평가하였다. 사용된 알고리즘 중 MLP가 NSE 0.812, RMSE 77.218 m3/s, MAE 29.034 m3/s, R 0.924, R2 0.817로 댐 유입량 예측에서 최상의 결과를 보여주었으며, 댐 유입량이 100 m3/s 이하인 경우 앙상블 모델 (RF, GB) 이 댐 유입 예측에서 MLP보다 더 나은 성능을 보였다. 따라서, 유입량이 100 m3/s 이상 시의 평균 일일 강수량인 16 mm를 기준으로 강수가 16mm 이하인 경우 앙상블 방법 (RF 및 GB)을 사용하고 강수가 16 mm 이상인 경우 MLP를 사용하여 댐 유입을 예측하기 위해 두 가지 복합 머신러닝(CombML) 모델 (RF_MLP 및 GB_MLP)을 개발하였다. 그 결과 RF_MLP에서 NSE 0.857, RMSE 68.417 m3/s, MAE 18.063 m3/s, R 0.927, R2 0.859, GB_MLP의 경우 NSE 0.829, RMSE 73.918 m3/s, MAE 18.093 m3/s, R 0.912, R2 0.831로 CombML이 댐 유입을 가장 정확하게 예측하는 것으로 평가되었다. 본 연구를 통해 하천 유황을 고려한 여러 머신러닝 알고리즘의 결합을 통한 유입량 예측 결과, 알고리즘 결합 시 예측 모형의 정확도가 개선되는 것이 확인되었으며, 이는 추후 효율적인 물관리에 이용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Application of Iterative Procedure to the wave Field with Energy Dissipation Area (에너지 감쇠역을 포함하는 파랑장에 대한 반복기법의 적용)

  • 윤종태
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 1998
  • An Elliptic model for calculating the combined refraction/diffraction of monochromatic linear waves is developed, including a term which allows for the dissipation of wave energy. Conjugate gradient method is employed as a solution technique. Wave height variations are calculated for localized circular and rectangular dissipation areas. It is shown that the numerical results agree very well with analytical solution in the case of circular damping region. The localized dissipation area creates a shadow region of low wave energy and the recovery of wave height by diffraction occurs very slowly with distance behind the damping region.

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Robustness Analysis of MRAC System in the Presence of Unmodelled Dynamics (비모형화 특성을 갖는 기준모델 적응제어 시스템의 견고성 해석)

  • 김성덕;양해원
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.748-754
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    • 1987
  • A robustness analysis for model reference adaptive control(MRAC) system with plant uncertainty is discussed in this paper. The adaptive control system is designed under assumptions that the controlled plant is represented by a lst order nominal model and that the system is drived by a constant reference signal. When using general gradient method(GGM), it is shown that unmodelled dynamics in plant model can cause the instability of the overall control loop during the adaptation process. However, as the algorithm of least square method(LSM) is introduced, the global stability of the system can be hold. And it is also given that the boundedness of adjustable parameters may be verified using the concept of an equilibrium point analysis.

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